Proposed Rule2025-20214

Tart Cherries Grown in the States of Michigan, et al.; Free and Restricted Percentages for the 2024-25 Crop Year

Primary source

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Published
November 18, 2025

Issuing agencies

Agriculture DepartmentAgricultural Marketing Service

Abstract

This proposed rule would implement a recommendation from the Cherry Industry Administrative Board (Board) to establish free market tonnage percentages (free percentages) and restricted percentages for the 2024-25 crop year under the Federal marketing order for tart cherries grown in the states of Michigan, New York, Pennsylvania, Oregon, Utah, Washington, and Wisconsin. This action would establish the proportion of tart cherries from the 2024-25 crop which may be handled in commercial outlets. This action should stabilize marketing conditions by adjusting supply to meet market demand and help improve grower returns.

Full Text

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<title>Federal Register, Volume 90 Issue 220 (Tuesday, November 18, 2025)</title>
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[Federal Register Volume 90, Number 220 (Tuesday, November 18, 2025)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 51572-51577]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [<a href="http://www.gpo.gov">www.gpo.gov</a>]
[FR Doc No: 2025-20214]


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Proposed Rules
                                                Federal Register
________________________________________________________________________

This section of the FEDERAL REGISTER contains notices to the public of 
the proposed issuance of rules and regulations. The purpose of these 
notices is to give interested persons an opportunity to participate in 
the rule making prior to the adoption of the final rules.

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Federal Register / Vol. 90, No. 220 / Tuesday, November 18, 2025 / 
Proposed Rules

[[Page 51572]]



DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

Agricultural Marketing Service

7 CFR Part 930

[Doc. No. AMS-SC-24-0061]


Tart Cherries Grown in the States of Michigan, et al.; Free and 
Restricted Percentages for the 2024-25 Crop Year

AGENCY: Agricultural Marketing Service, Department of Agriculture 
(USDA).

ACTION: Proposed rule.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------

SUMMARY: This proposed rule would implement a recommendation from the 
Cherry Industry Administrative Board (Board) to establish free market 
tonnage percentages (free percentages) and restricted percentages for 
the 2024-25 crop year under the Federal marketing order for tart 
cherries grown in the states of Michigan, New York, Pennsylvania, 
Oregon, Utah, Washington, and Wisconsin. This action would establish 
the proportion of tart cherries from the 2024-25 crop which may be 
handled in commercial outlets. This action should stabilize marketing 
conditions by adjusting supply to meet market demand and help improve 
grower returns.

DATES: Comments must be received by December 18, 2025.

ADDRESSES: Interested persons are invited to submit written comments 
concerning this proposed rule. Comments can be sent to the Docket 
Clerk, Market Development Division, Specialty Crops Program, AMS, USDA, 
1400 Independence Avenue SW, STOP 0237, Washington, DC 20250-0237. 
Comments can also be sent to the Docket Clerk electronically by email: 
<a href="/cdn-cgi/l/email-protection#3d705c4f56584954535a724f59584f7e5250505853497d484e595c135a524b"><span class="__cf_email__" data-cfemail="8dc0ecffe6e8f9e4e3eac2ffe9e8ffcee2e0e0e8e3f9cdf8fee9eca3eae2fb">[email&#160;protected]</span></a> or via the internet at: <a href="https://www.regulations.gov">https://www.regulations.gov</a>. Comments should reference the document number, the 
date, and the page number of this issue of the Federal Register. 
Comments submitted in response to this proposed rule will be included 
in the record, will be made available to the public, and can be viewed 
at: <a href="https://www.regulations.gov">https://www.regulations.gov</a>. Please be advised that the identity of 
the individuals or entities submitting the comments will be made public 
on the internet at the address provided above.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Steven W. Kauffman, Marketing 
Specialist, or Christian D. Nissen, Chief, Southeast Region Branch, 
Market Development Division, Specialty Crops Program, AMS, USDA; 
telephone: (863) 324-3375; or email: <a href="/cdn-cgi/l/email-protection#3e6d4a5b485b5010755f4b5858535f507e4b4d5a5f10595148"><span class="__cf_email__" data-cfemail="67341302110209492c061201010a0609271214030649000811">[email&#160;protected]</span></a> or 
<a href="/cdn-cgi/l/email-protection#5112392338222538303f7f1f382222343f11242235307f363e27"><span class="__cf_email__" data-cfemail="b3f0dbc1dac0c7dad2dd9dfddac0c0d6ddf3c6c0d7d29dd4dcc5">[email&#160;protected]</span></a>.
    Small businesses may request information on complying with this 
regulation by contacting Antoinette Carter, Market Development 
Division, Specialty Crops Program, AMS, USDA, 1400 Independence Avenue 
SW, STOP 0237, Washington, DC 20250-0237; telephone: (202) 720-8085; or 
email: <a href="/cdn-cgi/l/email-protection#77361903181e191203031259341605031205370204131659101801"><span class="__cf_email__" data-cfemail="51103f253e383f342525347f12302325342311242235307f363e27">[email&#160;protected]</span></a>.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: This action, pursuant to 5 U.S.C. 553, 
proposes to amend regulations issued to carry out a marketing order as 
defined in 7 CFR 900.2(j). This proposed rule is issued under Marketing 
Order No. 930, as amended (7 CFR part 930), regulating the handling of 
tart cherries produced in the states of Michigan, New York, 
Pennsylvania, Oregon, Utah, Washington, and Wisconsin. Part 930 
(referred to as the ``Order'') is effective under the Agricultural 
Marketing Agreement Act of 1937, as amended (7 U.S.C. 601-674), 
hereinafter referred to as the ``Act.'' The Board locally administers 
the Order and is comprised of growers and handlers of tart cherries 
operating within the production area, and a public member.
    The Agricultural Marketing Service (AMS) is issuing this proposed 
rule in conformance with Executive Order 12866, as amended by Executive 
Order 13563. Executive Orders 12866 and 13563 direct agencies to assess 
all costs and benefits of available regulatory alternatives and, if 
regulation is necessary, to select regulatory approaches that maximize 
net benefits (including potential economic, environmental, public 
health and safety effects, distributive impacts, and equity). Executive 
Order 13563 emphasizes the importance of quantifying both costs and 
benefits, reducing costs, harmonizing rules, and promoting flexibility. 
This action falls within a category of regulatory actions that the 
Office of Management and Budget (OMB) exempted from Executive Order 
12866 review.
    This proposed rule has been reviewed under Executive Order 13175, 
``Consultation and Coordination with Indian Tribal Governments,'' which 
requires Federal agencies to consider whether their rulemaking actions 
would have Tribal implications. AMS has determined that this proposed 
rule is unlikely to have substantial direct effects on one or more 
Indian Tribes, on the relationship between the Federal Government and 
Indian Tribes, or on the distribution of power and responsibilities 
between the Federal Government and Indian Tribes.
    This proposed rule has been reviewed under Executive Order 12988, 
``Civil Justice Reform.'' Under the Order provisions now in effect, 
free and restricted percentages may be established for tart cherries 
for the 2024-25 crop year. This proposed rule would establish free and 
restricted percentages for the 2024-2025 crop year, beginning July 1, 
2024, through June 30, 2025.
    The Act provides that administrative proceedings must be exhausted 
before parties may file suit in court. Under section 608c(15)(A) of the 
Act, any handler subject to an order may file with the U.S. Department 
of Agriculture (USDA) a petition stating that the order, any provision 
of the order, or any obligation imposed in connection with the order is 
not in accordance with law and request a modification of the order or 
to be exempted therefrom. Such handler is afforded the opportunity for 
a hearing on the petition. After the hearing, USDA would rule on the 
petition. The Act provides that the district court of the United States 
in any district in which the handler is an inhabitant, or has his or 
her principal place of business, has jurisdiction to review USDA's 
ruling on the petition, provided an action is filed not later than 20 
days after the date of the entry of the ruling.
    This proposed rule would establish the proportion of tart cherries 
from the 2024-25 crop year which may be handled at 81 percent free and 
19 percent restricted. The Secretary of Agriculture (Secretary) has 
determined that designating free and restricted percentages of tart 
cherries for the 2024-25 crop year would effectuate the

[[Page 51573]]

declared policy of the Act to stabilize marketing conditions by 
adjusting supply to meet market demand and help improve grower returns. 
These recommendations were made by the Board at a meeting on September 
12, 2024.
    Section 930.51(a) of the Order provides the Secretary authority to 
regulate volume by designating free and restricted percentages for any 
tart cherries acquired by handlers in a given crop year. Section 930.50 
prescribes procedures for computing an optimum supply based on sales 
history and for calculating these free and restricted percentages. Free 
percentage volume may be shipped to any market, while restricted 
percentage volume must be held by handlers in a primary or secondary 
reserve, be diverted, or used for exempt purposes as prescribed in 
Sec. Sec.  930.159 and 930.162. Exempt purposes include, in part, the 
development of new products, sales into new markets, the development of 
export markets, and charitable contributions. Sections 930.55 through 
930.57 prescribe procedures for inventory reserves. For tart cherries 
held in reserve, handlers would be responsible for storage and would 
retain title of the tart cherries.
    Under Sec.  930.52, only districts in which the average annual 
production of cherries over the prior three years has exceeded six 
million pounds are subject to volume regulation, and any district 
producing a crop that is less than 50 percent of its annual average 
processed production in the previous five years would be exempt from 
any volume regulation. The regulated districts for the 2024-25 crop 
year would be: District 1--Northern Michigan; District 2--Central 
Michigan; District 3--Southern Michigan; District 4--New York; District 
7--Utah; District 8--Washington; and District 9--Wisconsin. Districts 5 
and 6 (Oregon and Pennsylvania, respectively) would not be regulated 
for the 2024-25 season.
    Demand for tart cherries and tart cherry products tends to be 
relatively stable despite the variance in production volume that the 
industry may experience from year to year. Additionally, once 
processed, tart cherries can be stored and carried over from crop year 
to crop year, further impacting supply. The Board is aware of this 
economic relationship and focuses on using the volume control 
provisions in the marketing order to balance supply and demand to 
stabilize industry returns.
    Pursuant to Sec.  930.50, the Board meets on or about July 1 of 
each crop year to review sales data, inventory data, current crop 
forecasts, and market conditions for the upcoming season and, if 
necessary, to recommend preliminary free and restricted percentages if 
anticipated supply would exceed demand. After harvest is complete, but 
no later than September 15 of each crop year, the Board meets again to 
update its calculations using actual production data, consider any 
necessary adjustments to the preliminary percentages, and determine if 
final free and restricted percentages should be recommended to the 
Secretary.
    The Board uses sales history, inventory, and production data to 
determine whether a surplus exists and how much volume should be 
restricted to maintain optimum supply. The optimum supply represents 
the desirable volume of tart cherries that should be available for sale 
in the coming crop year. The optimum supply value is calculated by 
determining the average free sales of the prior three years, reduced by 
average sales that represent dispositions of exempt cherries and 
restricted percentage cherries qualifying for diversion credit for the 
same three years, plus desirable carry-out inventory. Desirable carry-
out is the amount of fruit needed by the industry to be carried into 
the succeeding crop year to meet market demand until the new crop is 
available. Desirable carry-out is recommended by the Board after 
considering market circumstances and needs. Section 930.151 specifies 
that desirable carry-out can range from zero to a maximum of 100 
million pounds.
    In addition, Sec.  930.50(g) specifies that in years when 
restricted percentages are established, the Board shall make available 
tonnage equivalent to an additional 10 percent of the average sales of 
the prior three years for market expansion. This requirement conforms 
with the USDA's ``Guidelines for Fruit, Vegetable, and Specialty Crop 
Marketing Orders'' (<a href="http://www.ams.usda.gov/publications/content/1982-guidelines-fruit-vegetable-marketing-orders">http://www.ams.usda.gov/publications/content/1982-guidelines-fruit-vegetable-marketing-orders</a>, pg. 12) which specifies 
that 110 percent of recent years' sales should be made available to 
primary markets each season before recommendations for volume 
regulation are approved.
    After the Board determines the optimum supply, desirable carry-out, 
and market expansion factor, it must examine the current year's 
available volume to determine whether an oversupply might occur. 
Available volume includes carry-in inventory (any inventory available 
at the beginning of the season) along with that season's production. If 
production plus the carry-in inventory is greater than the optimum 
supply (3-year sales average plus the targeted carry-out), then the 
difference is considered surplus. The ten percent market expansion 
factor and any economic adjustments recommended by the Board are then 
subtracted from this surplus number to arrive at an adjusted surplus. 
This adjusted surplus tonnage is divided by the sum of production in 
the regulated districts to reach a restricted percentage. This 
percentage must be held in reserve or used for approved diversion 
activities, such as exports, new products, or new market activities.
    The Board met on June 20, 2024, to discuss whether supply would 
exceed demand for the 2024-25 crop year. After some discussion, the 
Board unanimously supported an estimated crop of 247.3 million pounds 
for the 2024-25 season. Next, the Board computed an optimum supply of 
268.3 million pounds for the 2024-25 crop year using the three-year 
average of free sales (191.6 million pounds) plus a recommended 
desirable carry-out of 76.7 million pounds.
    In determining the carry-out figure, the Board members discussed 
the findings of the committee established by the Board to review the 
way volume control is calculated, including carry-out. The committee 
looked at the five-year average movement for June (18.8 million 
pounds), July (19.3 million pounds), August (19.3 million pounds), and 
September (19.3 million pounds) for an average carry-out of 76.7 
million pounds. It was also reported that the numbers were consistent 
from year to year, and based on the historical data, would be 
reflective of what would be needed for carry-out for the 2024-25 
season. One member questioned if the industry really needed four months 
of inventory or if three or three and half months would be a better 
indicator of needed carry-out. Other members voiced concerns about how 
reflective these numbers were of the different market segments.
    The Board also considered setting carry-out volume the same as last 
year at 85 million pounds. Several members expressed that 85 million 
pounds was too large for this season's carry-out since the carry-in 
inventory was above 90 million pounds from last season. After 
considering a range of alternatives between 75 to 85 million pounds, 
the Board unanimously recommended a carry-out of 76.7 million pounds.
    To calculate the production quantity needed from the 2024-25 crop 
to meet optimum supply, the Board subtracted the carry-in inventory 
available on June 1, 2024, of 93.1 million pounds from the

[[Page 51574]]

optimum supply (268.3 million pounds). This number, 175.2 million 
pounds, was then subtracted from the Board's estimated 2024-25 total 
production of 247.3 million pounds (from regulated and unregulated 
districts) to calculate a surplus of 72.1 million pounds of tart 
cherries.
    The Board then discussed whether this calculation would supply 
enough cherries to grow sales, account for this season's economic 
demands, and fulfill orders that have not yet shipped. The Board 
discussed making an economic adjustment based on some fruit quality 
concerns from the weather in Michigan and reports of European crops 
being short this year which could increase demand for domestic fruit. 
After discussing multiple motions for an economic adjustment ranging 
from 0 to 10 million pounds, the Board recommended a preliminary 
economic adjustment of 5 million pounds at the June meeting.
    The Board also complied with the market expansion factor 
requirement by removing 19.2 million pounds (average sales for prior 
three years of 191.6 million times 10 percent) from the 72.1 million 
pounds of surplus. The adjusted surplus of 47.9 million pounds (72.1 
million pounds -19.2 million pounds -5 million pounds for the economic 
adjustment) was then divided by the expected production in the 
regulated districts (245.5 million pounds) to reach a preliminary 
restricted percentage of 19.5 percent for the 2024-25 crop year.
    The Board met again on September 12, 2024, to consider final volume 
regulation percentages for the 2024-25 season. The final percentages 
are based on the Board's reported production figures and the supply and 
demand information available in September.
    The total production for the 2024-25 season reported at the 
September meeting was 261.7 million pounds. This exceeded the Board's 
June production estimate by 14.5 million pounds. In addition, growers 
diverted 11.02 million pounds in the orchard, lowering the available 
production for market. As a result, 250.67 million pounds of production 
would be available to the market, 249.3 million pounds of which are in 
the seven districts subject to volume regulation.
    At the September meeting, the Board revisited the recommended 5-
million-pound economic adjustment to the optimum supply calculation 
made in June. The Board discussed that the yields from processing were 
lower than normal by approximately 10 percent due to poor fruit 
quantity throughout the industry. To address this issue, the Board 
recommended increasing the economic adjustment by 15 million pounds for 
a total economic adjustment of 20 million pounds. The Board believes 
this increase should ensure sufficient inventory is available to meet 
demand.
    The Board then recalculated the restricted percentage using the 
revised economic adjustment and the actual production numbers. The 
carry-in figure considered at the June meeting of 93.1 million pounds 
was subtracted from the optimum supply of 268.3 million pounds to 
determine 175.2 million pounds of 2024-25 production would be necessary 
to reach optimum supply. The 175.2 million pounds were then subtracted 
from the actual production of 261.7 million pounds, resulting in a 
surplus of 86.5 million pounds of tart cherries.
    The calculated surplus of 86.5 million pounds was reduced by 
subtracting the economic adjustment of 20 million pounds and the market 
expansion factor of 19.2 million pounds, resulting in an adjusted 
surplus of 47.3 million pounds. The Board then divided the adjusted 
surplus by the available production of 249.3 million pounds in the 
regulated districts (261.7 million pounds minus 11.02 million pounds of 
in-orchard diversion minus 1.33 million pounds from unregulated 
districts) to calculate a restricted percentage of 19 percent (47.3 
million pounds) with a corresponding free percentage of 81 percent (202 
million pounds) in the regulated districts for the 2024-25 crop year, 
as outlined in the following table:

------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                            Millions of
                                                              pounds
------------------------------------------------------------------------
September Calculations:
    (1) Average sales of the prior three years..........           191.6
    (2) Desirable carry-out.............................            76.7
                                                         ---------------
    (3) Optimum supply calculated by the Board (item 1             268.3
     plus item 2).......................................
    (4) Carry-in as of July 1, 2023.....................            93.1
    (5) Adjusted optimum supply (item 3 minus item 4)...           175.2
    (6) Board reported production.......................           261.7
    (7) Surplus (item 6 minus item 5)...................            86.5
    (8) Total economic adjustments......................              20
    (9) Market growth factor............................            19.2
    (10) Adjusted Surplus (item 7 minus items 8 and 9)..            47.3
    (11) Production in regulated districts..............           260.4
    (12) In-Orchard Diversion...........................           11.02
                                                         ---------------
    (13) Production minus in-orchard diversion..........           249.3
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Final Percentages:                                               Percent
                                                         ---------------
    Restricted (item 10 divided by item 13 x 100).......              19
    Free (100 minus restricted percentage)..............              81
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The final restriction of 19 percent is lower than the preliminary 
restriction percentage of 19.5 percent. The change is due to the 
increase in the economic adjustment at the September meeting. While 
actual production increased by a total of 14.5 million pounds over the 
June estimate, the economic adjustment increased from the 5 million 
pounds recommended in June to 20 million pounds at the September 
meeting. The economic adjustment roughly balanced out the additional 
production, keeping the final restriction close to the number estimated 
in June.
    Establishing free and restricted percentages is an attempt to bring 
supply and demand into balance. Historically, if the primary market is 
oversupplied with cherries, grower

[[Page 51575]]

prices decline substantially. Restricted percentages have benefited 
grower returns and helped stabilize the market as compared to those 
seasons prior to the implementation of the Order. The Board, based on 
its discussion of this issue and the result of the above calculations, 
believes the available information indicates a restricted percentage 
should be established for the 2024-25 crop year to avoid oversupplying 
the market with tart cherries.
    Consequently, the Board recommended final percentages of 81 percent 
free, and 19 percent restricted by a vote of 17 in favor, and 1 opposed 
on September 12, 2024. The Board could meet during the crop year, and 
if conditions so warranted, recommend the release of additional volume. 
The Secretary finds, from the recommendation and supporting information 
supplied by the Board, that designating final percentages of 81 percent 
free and 19 percent restricted would tend to effectuate the declared 
policy of the Act, and so designates these percentages.

Initial Regulatory Flexibility Analysis

    Pursuant to requirements set forth in the Regulatory Flexibility 
Act (RFA) (5 U.S.C. 601-612), AMS has considered the economic impact of 
this proposed rule on small entities. Accordingly, AMS has prepared 
this initial regulatory flexibility analysis.
    The purpose of the RFA is to fit regulatory actions to the scale of 
businesses subject to such actions in order that small businesses will 
not be unduly or disproportionately burdened. Marketing orders issued 
pursuant to the Act, and the rules issued thereunder, are unique in 
that they are brought about through group action of typically small 
entities acting on their own behalf.
    There are approximately 330 growers of tart cherries in the 
regulated area and approximately 30 handlers of tart cherries who are 
subject to regulation under the Order. At the time this analysis was 
prepared, the Small Business Administration (SBA) defined small 
agricultural growers of tart cherries as those having annual receipts 
equal to or less than $3.5 million (North American Industry 
Classification System (NAICS) code 111339, Other Noncitrus Fruit 
Farming). Small agricultural service firms, including handlers, are 
defined as those whose annual receipts are equal to or less than $34 
million (NAICS code 11514, Postharvest Crop Activities) (13 CFR 
121.201).
    According to data from the National Agricultural Statistics Service 
(NASS), the 2023-2024 season average grower price for tart cherries 
utilized for processing was approximately $0.1922 per pound. With total 
utilization for processing at 196.5 million pounds for the 2023-24 
season, the total 2023-24 value of the crop utilized for processing is 
estimated at $37.7 million. Dividing the crop value by the estimated 
number of growers (330) yields an estimated average annual receipts per 
grower of approximately $114,240. This is well below the $3.5 million 
SBA threshold for small growers.
    An estimate of the season average price per pound received by 
handlers for processed tart cherries was derived from USDA's purchases 
of dried tart cherries for feeding programs in 2023 and 2024, which had 
an average price of $4.72 per pound. The dried cherry price was 
converted to a raw product equivalent price of $0.94 per pound at an 
industry recognized ratio of five to one. Based on utilization, this 
price represents a good estimate of the price for processed cherries. 
Multiplying the raw product equivalent price above by the total 
processed utilization of 196.5 million pounds results in an estimated 
handler-level tart cherry value of $184.7 million. Dividing this figure 
by the number of handlers ($184.7 million divided by 30 handlers) 
yields estimated average annual receipts per handler of approximately 
$6.2 million, which is well below the SBA threshold of $34 million for 
small agricultural service firms. Assuming normal distributions, the 
majority of growers and handlers of tart cherries may be classified as 
small entities.
    The tart cherry industry in the United States is characterized by 
wide annual fluctuations in production. According to NASS, the pounds 
of tart cherry production utilized for processing for the years 2021 
through 2023 were 170.1 million, 239.0 million, and 196.5 million, 
respectively. Because of these fluctuations, supply and demand for tart 
cherries are rarely in balance.
    Demand for tart cherries is inelastic, meaning changes in price 
have a minimal effect on total sales volume. However, prices are very 
sensitive to changes in supply, and grower prices vary widely in 
response to the large swings in annual supply. Grower prices per pound 
for processed utilization have ranged from a low of $0.07 in 1987 to a 
high of $0.59 per pound in 2012 when a weather event substantially 
reduced supply. Grower prices per pound for processed utilization over 
the most recent three years (2021 through 2023) were $0.50, $0.22, and 
$0.19, respectively.
    Because of this relationship between supply and price, 
oversupplying the market with tart cherries would have a sharp negative 
effect on prices, driving down grower returns. Aware of this economic 
relationship, the Board focuses on using the volume control authority 
in the Order to align supply with demand and stabilize industry 
returns. This authority allows the industry to set free and restricted 
percentages to bring supply and demand into balance. Free percentage 
cherries can be marketed by handlers to any outlet, while restricted 
percentage volume must be held by handlers in reserve, diverted, or 
used for exempted purposes.
    This proposal would establish 2024-25 crop year percentages of 81 
percent free and 19 percent restricted. These percentages should 
stabilize marketing conditions by adjusting supply to meet market 
demand and help improve grower returns. The proposal would regulate 
tart cherries handled in Michigan, Utah, Washington, Wisconsin, and New 
York. The authorities for this proposed action are provided in 
Sec. Sec.  930.50, 930.51(a), and 930.52. The Board recommended this 
action at its meeting on September 12, 2024.
    This proposal would result in some fruit being diverted from the 
primary domestic markets as authorized in the Order's marketing policy 
in Sec.  930.50. However, as mentioned earlier, the USDA's ``Guidelines 
for Fruit, Vegetable, and Specialty Crop Marketing Orders'' (<a href="https://www.ams.usda.gov/publications/content/1982-guidelines-fruit-vegetable-marketing-orders">https://www.ams.usda.gov/publications/content/1982-guidelines-fruit-vegetable-marketing-orders</a>) specify that 110 percent of recent years' sales 
should be made available to primary markets each crop year per Sec.  
930.50(g), before recommendations for volume regulation are approved. 
Under this proposal, the available quantity of 296.4 million pounds 
(Free production of 202 million plus a carry-in of 93.1 million plus 
1.33 million pounds unregulated) would be 155 percent of the average 
sales for the last three years (191.6 million pounds).
    In addition, there are secondary uses available for restricted 
fruit, including the development of new products, sales into new 
markets, the development of export markets, and being placed in 
reserve. While these alternatives may provide different levels of 
return than the sales to primary markets, they play an important role 
for the industry. The areas of new products, new markets, and the 
development of export markets utilize restricted fruit to develop and 
expand the markets for tart cherries.

[[Page 51576]]

    Placing tart cherries into reserves is also a key part of balancing 
supply and demand. Although handlers bear the handling and storage 
costs for fruit in reserve, reserves stored in large crop years can be 
used to supplement supplies in short crop years. The reserves help the 
industry mitigate the impact of oversupply in large crop years, while 
allowing the industry to supply markets in years when production falls 
below demand. During the 2020-21 season, the Board voted to release all 
fruit in the reserve into the primary market to increase supply.
    In considering the establishment of free and restricted 
percentages, the Board recommended a carry-out of 76.7 million pounds 
to help ensure sufficient product is available to meet demand until the 
following year's crop is harvested and processed. The Board also 
recommended an economic adjustment of 20 million pounds. These numbers, 
along with carry-in, production in the unregulated districts, and free 
tonnage from the regulated districts, would make 296.4 million pounds 
of fruit available for the domestic market, which is nearly 105 million 
pounds more than the last three years' average sales. Even with the 
recommended 19 percent restriction, the domestic market would have an 
ample supply of tart cherries. Further, should marketing conditions 
change, and market demand exceed existing supplies, the Board could 
meet and recommend the release of additional reserves up to 50-million-
pounds of tart cherries. Consequently, it is not anticipated that this 
proposal would unduly burden growers or handlers.
    While this proposal could result in some additional costs for the 
industry, these costs would be outweighed by the benefits. The purpose 
of setting restricted percentages is to attempt to bring supply and 
demand into balance. If the primary market (domestic) is oversupplied 
with cherries, grower prices decline substantially. Without volume 
control, the primary market would likely be oversupplied, resulting in 
lower grower prices.
    An AMS econometric model used to assess the impact volume control 
has on the price growers receive for their product estimates volume 
control would have a positive impact on grower returns for this crop 
year. With volume control, grower prices are estimated to be about 
three cents per pound higher than without a restriction. In addition, 
absent volume control, the industry could start to build large amounts 
of unwanted inventories, which in turn could have a depressing effect 
on grower prices.
    Retail demand is assumed to be inelastic, which indicates changes 
in price do not result in significant changes in the quantity demanded. 
Consumer prices largely do not reflect fluctuations in cherry supplies. 
Therefore, this proposal should have little or no effect on consumer 
prices and should not result in a reduction in retail sales.
    The free and restricted percentages established by this proposal 
would provide the market with optimum supply and would apply uniformly 
to all regulated handlers in the industry, regardless of size. As the 
restriction represents a percentage of a handler's volume, the costs, 
when applicable, are proportionate and should not place an extra burden 
on small entities as compared to large entities.
    The stabilizing effects of this proposal would benefit all handlers 
by helping them maintain and expand markets, despite seasonal supply 
fluctuations. Likewise, price stability positively impacts all growers 
and handlers by allowing them to better anticipate the revenues their 
tart cherries would generate. Growers and handlers, regardless of size, 
would benefit from the stabilizing effects of the volume restriction.
    As noted earlier, the Board discussed several carry-out inventory 
alternatives, ranging from 75 million pounds to 85 million pounds. The 
Board noted if the carry-out number was too large, it could add to the 
unsold free inventory and have a negative impact on grower returns, and 
if it was too small, it could negatively impact the supply processors 
need in the months prior to next season's harvest. Therefore, after 
consideration of the alternatives, the Board recommended a carry-out of 
76.7 million pounds.
    The Board also weighed alternatives when discussing the economic 
adjustment. At its June meeting, the Board recommended a 5-million-
pound economic adjustment based on fruit quality concerns and a short 
crop in Europe, after considering making no economic adjustment or an 
economic adjustment of 10 million pounds. In September, the Board 
discussed that fruit quality throughout the industry was resulting in 
lower processing yields. Consequently, the Board recommended increasing 
the economic adjustment by 15 million pounds for an economic adjustment 
of 20 million pounds for the 2024-25 season.
    The Board considered recommendations that would result in a smaller 
restriction. However, after considering the larger than expected 
harvest and carry-in inventory, the industry recommended a 19 percent 
restriction for the 2024-25 crop. Thus, the alternatives were rejected.
    The Board's meetings are widely publicized throughout the tart 
cherry industry and all interested persons are invited to attend the 
meetings and participate in Board deliberations on all issues. Like all 
Board meetings, the June 20 and September 12, 2024, meetings were 
public meetings and all entities, both large and small, were able to 
express views on this issue. Finally, interested persons are invited to 
submit comments on this proposed rule, including the regulatory impacts 
of this action on small businesses.
    In accordance with the Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 (44 U.S.C. 
chapter 35), the Order's information collection requirements have been 
previously approved by OMB and assigned OMB No. 0581-0177, Tart 
Cherries Grown in the States of Michigan, New York, Pennsylvania, 
Oregon, Utah, Washington, and Wisconsin. No changes to those 
requirements would be necessary based on this proposed rule. Should any 
changes become necessary, they would be submitted to OMB for approval.
    This proposed rule would not impose any additional reporting or 
recordkeeping requirements on either small or large tart cherry 
handlers. As with all Federal marketing order programs, reports and 
forms are periodically reviewed to reduce information requirements and 
duplication by industry and public sector agencies.
    AMS is committed to complying with the E-Government Act, to promote 
the use of the internet and other information technologies to provide 
increased opportunities for citizen access to Government information 
and services, and for other purposes.
    AMS has not identified any relevant Federal rules that duplicate, 
overlap, or conflict with this proposed rule.
    A small business guide on complying with fruit, vegetable, and 
specialty crop marketing agreements and orders may be viewed at: 
<a href="https://www.ams.usda.gov/rules-regulations/moa/small-businesses">https://www.ams.usda.gov/rules-regulations/moa/small-businesses</a>. Any 
questions about the compliance guide should be sent to Antoinette 
Carter at the previously mentioned address in the FOR FURTHER 
INFORMATION CONTACT section.
    After consideration of all relevant material presented, including 
the information and recommendations submitted by the Board and other 
available information, AMS has determined that this proposed rule is

[[Page 51577]]

consistent with, and would effectuate the purposes of the Act.
    A 30-day comment period is provided to allow interested persons to 
respond to this proposed rule. All written comments timely received 
will be considered before a final determination is made on this 
proposed rule.

List of Subjects in 7 CFR Part 930

    Tart cherries, Marketing agreements, Reporting and recordkeeping 
requirements.

    For the reasons set forth in the preamble, the Agriculture 
Marketing Services proposes to amend 7 CFR part 930 as follows:

PART 930--TART CHERRIES GROWN IN THE STATES OF MICHIGAN, NEW YORK, 
PENNSYLVANIA, OREGON, UTAH, WASHINGTON, AND WISCONSIN.

0
1. The authority citation for 7 CFR part 930 continues to read as 
follows:

    Authority: 7 U.S.C. 601-674.

0
2. Revise Sec.  930.256 and its section title to read as follows:


Sec.  930.256  Free and restricted percentages for the 2024-25 crop 
year.

    The percentages for tart cherries handled by handlers during the 
crop year beginning on July 1, 2024, which shall be free and 
restricted, respectively, are designated as follows: Free percentage, 
81 percent and restricted percentage, 19 percent.

Erin Morris,
Administrator, Agricultural Marketing Service.
[FR Doc. 2025-20214 Filed 11-17-25; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE P


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Indexed from Federal Register on November 18, 2025.

This is legal information, not legal advice. Laws vary by jurisdiction and change frequently. Always verify current law with official sources and consult a licensed attorney in your jurisdiction for advice on your specific situation.