Notice2025-08672

Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to Specified Activities; Taking Marine Mammals Incidental to Narwhal, LLC Oil and Gas Exploration Activities in West Harrison Bay, Alaska

Primary source

Metadata and text below are from the Federal Register, a public-domain U.S. government work. Always verify the official published version before relying on it for any legal matter.

Published
May 16, 2025

Issuing agencies

Commerce DepartmentNational Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Abstract

NMFS has received a request from Narwhal, LLC (Narwhal) for authorization to take marine mammals incidental to oil and gas exploration activities in west Harrison Bay, Alaska. Pursuant to the Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA), NMFS is requesting comments on its proposal to issue an incidental harassment authorization (IHA) to incidentally take marine mammals during the specified activities. NMFS is also requesting comments on a possible one-time, one-year renewal that could be issued under certain circumstances and if all requirements are met, as described in Request for Public Comments at the end of this notice. NMFS will consider public comments prior to making any final decision on the issuance of the requested MMPA authorization and agency responses will be summarized in the final notice of our decision.

Full Text

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[Federal Register Volume 90, Number 94 (Friday, May 16, 2025)]
[Notices]
[Pages 21182-21214]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [<a href="http://www.gpo.gov">www.gpo.gov</a>]
[FR Doc No: 2025-08672]



[[Page 21181]]

Vol. 90

Friday,

No. 94

May 16, 2025

Part III





Department of Commerce





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National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration





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Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to Specified Activities; Taking 
Marine Mammals Incidental to Narwhal, LLC Oil and Gas Exploration 
Activities in West Harrison Bay, Alaska; Notice

Federal Register / Vol. 90 , No. 94 / Friday, May 16, 2025 / 
Notices

[[Page 21182]]


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DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

[RTID 0648-XC940]


Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to Specified Activities; 
Taking Marine Mammals Incidental to Narwhal, LLC Oil and Gas 
Exploration Activities in West Harrison Bay, Alaska

AGENCY: National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and 
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Commerce.

ACTION: Notice; proposed incidental harassment authorization; request 
for comments on proposed authorization and possible renewal.

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SUMMARY: NMFS has received a request from Narwhal, LLC (Narwhal) for 
authorization to take marine mammals incidental to oil and gas 
exploration activities in west Harrison Bay, Alaska. Pursuant to the 
Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA), NMFS is requesting comments on its 
proposal to issue an incidental harassment authorization (IHA) to 
incidentally take marine mammals during the specified activities. NMFS 
is also requesting comments on a possible one-time, one-year renewal 
that could be issued under certain circumstances and if all 
requirements are met, as described in Request for Public Comments at 
the end of this notice. NMFS will consider public comments prior to 
making any final decision on the issuance of the requested MMPA 
authorization and agency responses will be summarized in the final 
notice of our decision.

DATES: Comments and information must be received no later than June 16, 
2025.

ADDRESSES: Submit all electronic public comments via the Federal e-
Rulemaking Portal. Go to <a href="https://www.regulations.gov">https://www.regulations.gov</a> and enter NOAA-
NMFS-2025-0042 in the Search box. Click on the ``Comment'' icon, 
complete the required fields, and enter or attach your comments.
    Instructions: Comments sent by any other method, to any other 
address or individual, or received after the end of the comment period, 
may not be considered by NMFS. All comments received are a part of the 
public records and will generally be posted for public viewing on 
<a href="https://www.regulations.gov">https://www.regulations.gov</a> without change. All personal identifying 
information (e.g., name, address), confidential business information, 
or otherwise sensitive information submitted voluntarily by the sender 
will be publicly accessible. NMFS will accept anonymous comments (enter 
``N/A'' in the required fields if you wish to remain anonymous). 
Attachments to electronic comments will be accepted in Microsoft Word, 
Excel, or Adobe PDF file formats only.
    Electronic copies of the application and supporting documents, as 
well as a list of the references cited in this document, may be 
obtained online at: <a href="https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/national/marine-mammal-protection/incidental-take-authorizations-oil-and-gas">https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/national/marine-mammal-protection/incidental-take-authorizations-oil-and-gas</a>. In case 
of problems accessing these documents, please call the contact listed 
below.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Craig Cockrell, Office of Protected 
Resources, NMFS, (301) 427-8401.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: 

Background

    The MMPA prohibits the ``take'' of marine mammals, with certain 
exceptions. Sections 101(a)(5)(A) and (D) of the MMPA (16 U.S.C. 1361 
et seq.) direct the Secretary of Commerce (as delegated to NMFS) to 
allow, upon request, the incidental, but not intentional, taking of 
small numbers of marine mammals by U.S. citizens who engage in a 
specified activity (other than commercial fishing) within a specified 
geographical region if certain findings are made and either regulations 
are proposed or, if the taking is limited to harassment, a notice of a 
proposed IHA is provided to the public for review.
    Authorization for incidental takings shall be granted if NMFS finds 
that the taking will have a negligible impact on the species or 
stock(s) and will not have an unmitigable adverse impact on the 
availability of the species or stock(s) for taking for subsistence uses 
(where relevant). Further, NMFS must prescribe the permissible methods 
of taking and other ``means of effecting the least practicable adverse 
impact'' on the affected species or stocks and their habitat, paying 
particular attention to rookeries, mating grounds, and areas of similar 
significance, and on the availability of the species or stocks for 
taking for certain subsistence uses (referred to in shorthand as 
``mitigation''); and requirements pertaining to the mitigation, 
monitoring and reporting of the takings are set forth. The definitions 
of all applicable MMPA statutory terms cited above are included in the 
relevant sections below.

National Environmental Policy Act

    To comply with the National Environmental Policy Act of 1969 (NEPA; 
42 U.S.C. 4321 et seq.) and NOAA Administrative Order (NAO) 216-6A, 
NMFS must review our proposed action (i.e., the issuance of an IHA) 
with respect to potential impacts on the human environment.
    Accordingly, NMFS is preparing an Environmental Assessment (EA) to 
consider the environmental impacts associated with the issuance of the 
proposed IHA. In accordance with the National Environmental Policy Act 
of 1969 (NEPA; 42 U.S.C. 4321 et seq.) and NOAA policy and procedures 
(NOAA Administrative Order 216-6A and its Companion Manual), NMFS has 
prepared a draft environmental assessment analyzing the potential 
impacts of NMFS' proposed action of issuance of an IHA. NMFS is seeking 
public comment on the draft EA. The draft EA is available at <a href="https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/national/marine-mammal-protection/incidental-take-authorizations-oil-and-gas">https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/national/marine-mammal-protection/incidental-take-authorizations-oil-and-gas</a> for a 30 day public comment period. 
NMFS will consider all comments submitted in response to this notice 
prior to concluding the NEPA process or making a final decision on the 
IHA request.

Summary of Request

    On October 25, 2022, NMFS received a request from Narwhal for an 
IHA to take marine mammals incidental to oil and gas exploration 
activities in and around west Harrison Bay, Alaska. After withdrawing 
its original request, on November 1, 2024, Narwhal resubmitted its 
application, which included a revised project schedule and minor 
changes to its activity. The application was deemed adequate and 
complete on January 27, 2025. Narwhal's request is for take of four 
marine mammal species by Level B harassment only. Neither Narwhal nor 
NMFS expect serious injury or mortality to result from the specified 
activity, and therefore, an IHA is appropriate.

Description of Proposed Activity

Overview

    Narwhal proposes to conduct shallow hazard geophysical surveys and 
exploratory drilling operations, which includes construction and 
operation of ice trails, roads, and pads, in west Harrison Bay, Alaska 
to explore its oil and gas leases in the area. The activities would 
occur between August 2025 and July 2026 and would occur primarily in 
west Harrison Bay and the area between west Harrison Bay and Prudhoe 
Bay, Alaska. Narwhal would also conduct mobilization and barge 
transport activities out of Prudhoe Bay, Alaska. Shallow hazard 
geophysical surveys (hereinafter, ``shallow water hazard surveys'') 
would use airguns and

[[Page 21183]]

sparkers as acoustic sources and would introduce underwater sound that 
may result in take by Level B harassment of marine mammals. 
Construction and operation of sea ice trails around the Colville River 
Delta may result in take by Level B harassment of ringed seals due to 
the introduction of underwater sound. A number of other activities 
would occur during the course of this project but are not expected to 
result in take of marine mammals.

Dates and Duration

    The proposed IHA would be effective for a period of one year, and 
activities are anticipated to occur year-round. Work that may result in 
the take of marine mammals is expected to take place between August and 
September (shallow hazard surveys) and through December and March (ice 
trail construction and operation). Figure 2-1 of Narwhal's IHA 
application provides more detail regarding timing of project 
activities. Please refer to Narwhal's application for additional 
information about the timing of its various proposed activities. 
Shallow hazard surveys at all six sites would take place over 
approximately 12 days and would occur over a 12 hour period each day. 
Offshore ice road and trail construction would occur over approximately 
167 days and would occur as needed throughout a 24-hour period.
    Several communities on the North Slope of Alaska engage in marine 
mammal subsistence hunting activities at varying times and in varying 
locations. These subsistence hunts are further described below in the 
Potential Effects of Specified Activities on Subsistence Uses of Marine 
Mammals section. The proposed activities would occur closest to the 
marine subsistence use area used by the Native Village of Nuiqsut, 
which typically occurs August 25th to September 15th or earlier if 
whaling is complete.

Specific Geographic Region

    Narwhal's proposed activities would primarily occur in west 
Harrison Bay and between Oliktok Point and west Harrison Bay in the 
Beaufort Sea, Alaska. Additionally, the activity would include transit 
between west Harrison Bay and Prudhoe Bay, Alaska. All activities would 
occur primarily in shallow waters of 3 meters (m) or less.
BILLING CODE 3510-22-P
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN16MY25.014

BILLING CODE 3510-22-C

Detailed Description of the Specified Activity

    Narwhal is proposing to conduct a variety of activities in and 
around Harrison Bay, Alaska in support of oil and gas exploration.
Shallow Water Hazard Surveys
    Narwhal plans to conduct shallow hazard surveys beginning in August 
2025 at up to six offshore locations to identify up to four sites for 
exploratory drilling in winter 2026 (figure 1-5 of Narwal's 
application). The shallow hazard surveys include use of a single airgun 
as the primary acoustic source and would also use a sub-bottom profiler 
(SBP), echosounder/fathometer, side scan sonar (SSS), and sparker.
    Use of acoustic sources other than the sparker and airgun are not 
reasonably expected to result in take of marine mammals and will not be 
discussed further beyond the brief summaries provided below.
    Non-parametric SBPs are used to provide high data density in sub-
bottom profiles that are typically required for

[[Page 21184]]

cable routes, very shallow water, and archaeological surveys. 
Parametric SPBs are usually mounted on a pole, either over the side of 
the vessel or through a moon pool in the bottom of the hull. The SBP 
proposed by Narwhal will be pointed vertically from the water surface 
into the water column along track lines spaced 600 m (1969 ft), 300 m 
(984 ft), and 150 m (492 ft) apart. For the proposed project, the SBP 
used would generate sound pulses at frequencies around 2 to 16 kHz. 
Ruppel et al. (2022) recommend that towed SBPs, including the 
Compressed High-Intensity Radar Pulse (CHIRP) SBP planned for use by 
Narwhal, be considered de minimis with regard to their potential to 
cause incidental take of marine mammals. The authors base this 
conclusion largely on the low likelihood that marine mammals would 
experience a received level exceeding 160 dB re 1 [micro]Pa (see 
Background on Active Acoustic Sound Sources and Acoustic Terminology 
Section) as a result of typical use of this class of acoustic sources. 
NMFS has determined that this is appropriate here and, therefore, 
considers use of SBPs by Narwhal as unlikely to result in incidental 
take of marine mammals.
    Narwhal anticipates collecting bathymetric data using a single-beam 
echosounder due to the shallow water at each survey location. 
Echosounders and fathometers are used to determine water depths and 
general bottom topography. Echosounder and fathometer sonar systems 
project sonar pulses in angled beams from a transducer mounted to a 
ship's hull. The beams radiate out from the transducer in a fan-shaped 
pattern orthogonally to the ship's direction. SSS are used for seabed 
sediment classification purposes and to identify natural and man-made 
acoustic targets on the seafloor. The sonar device emits conical or 
fan-shaped pulses down toward the seafloor in multiple beams at a wide 
angle, perpendicular to the path of the sensor through the water 
column. The proposed echosounders, fathometers, and SSS have operating 
frequencies >200 kHz which are outside the general hearing range of 
marine mammals. Therefore, take is not expected to occur from use of 
these sources.
    Additionally, Narwhal may conduct vibracore sediment sampling to 
obtain shallow cores of the seafloor sediment from the surface. 
Sediment cores will be analyzed for load-bearing capacity, shear 
strength, grain size, and other parameters to be determined. The 
proposed mini vibracore sampler is a hand-held device with a 3-position 
switch that allows immediate on/off controls. To collect samples, an 
electric motor oscillates the core barrel into the sediment to extract 
a sediment core. Generally, the sound source (driving mechanism) 
operates for one to two minutes with the entire process requiring less 
than 1 hour. Vibracoring would produce a very brief duration of 
continuous non-impulsive sound. NMFS does not typically expect that 
vibracoring or similar sources of continuous noise to result in 
incidental take of marine mammals.
    High-resolution three-dimensional (3D) seismic surveys are also 
expected to be conducted at the four potential drilling sites using a 
single 105 cubic inch (cu. in.; 1,721 cubic centimeter (cc)) towed 
airgun and geophone sound receivers. Approximately 480 geophones will 
be embedded in the seafloor by hand with a wood or aluminum planting 
pole to a maximum depth of 2 m (6.56 ft) in a grid pattern. The grids 
would be spaced at 50 m (164 ft) intervals along receiver lines as 
shown in figure 1-7 of Narwhal's application. This pattern will be the 
same in each of the four exploratory drilling locations. The airgun 
would fire about once every 6 or 7 seconds while traveling at a speed 
of approximately 2 m per second.
    The airgun will be towed by the source vessel perpendicular to the 
receiver lines, while a support vessel will deploy and retrieve the 
geophones from the seafloor. Narwhal expects the survey for each site 
to take approximately 2 days to survey over a 12 hour period each day. 
In total to survey the six sites it is anticipated to take up to 30 
days to complete the seismic surveys (including retrieving the 
geophones; 12 days of airgun use). Use of the airgun is expected to 
present the potential to cause incidental take of marine mammals.
    Narwhal proposes to use a sparker during shallow hazard survey 
activities. Use of the sparker has the potential to cause incidental 
take of marine mammals. Sparkers are medium penetration impulsive 
sources used to map deep subsurface stratigraphy (soils down to at 
least 100 m (328 ft) below the seabed in sand and at least 125 m (410 
ft) below the seabed in mixed sediments). Sparkers are typically towed 
behind the vessel, and may be operated with different numbers of 
electrode tips to allow tuning of the acoustic waveform for specific 
applications. Narwhal plans to use the Applied Acoustics UHD Dura-Spark 
or a similar system. The operation of the sparker is expected to result 
in the incidental take of marine mammals.
    Vessels used for the shallow water hazard surveys will be mobilized 
from West Dock in Prudhoe Bay or from Oliktok Point. Periodic resupply, 
logistics support, and personnel transfers for the surveys would occur 
at Oliktok Point. Figures 1-1 and 1-5 of Narwhal's application show the 
anticipated mobilization and resupply routes for the shallow water 
hazard survey vessel(s). Narwhal estimates daily trips between Oliktok 
Point and the west Harrison Bay work area will be required over a 
period of 35 days during shallow water hazard survey. Bathymetry, side 
scan sonar, and sub-bottom profiling will require one survey vessel and 
one support vessel. The 3D seismic survey will require one vessel 
equipped with a single airgun, one vessel responsible for deploying and 
retrieving geophones on the seafloor, and one to two support vessels 
for berthing crew and expediting. The non-3D seismic shallow hazard 
survey work (bathymetry, sub-bottom profiler, side scan sonar, sparker) 
will be conducted from a single vessel, with the possible inclusion of 
one additional vessel for additional berth capacity, if necessary. The 
berthing vessel may transit to Oliktok Point during the day if 
necessary to pick up supplies or transport personnel. The operation of 
these vessels are not expected to result in take of marine mammals.
Sea Ice Trail Construction and Operation
    Sea ice trails would be used by Narwhal to support the transport of 
light tracked vehicles and would largely consist of unimproved roads 
once constructed. Narwhal would use snow machines and light-weight 
tracked vehicles to mark the sea ice trail corridor as soon as it is 
determined to be safe to access (i.e., as soon as there is stable 
grounded sea ice along the shoreline at Oliktok Point). Narwhal will 
install a small, 15-person camp on a 0.008 km\2\ (.004 mi\2\) pad 
adjacent to Oliktok Point on the grounded sea ice (Oliktok Point camp). 
This location will receive freight from the existing gravel road 
infrastructure to be transferred to west Harrison Bay.
    After completion of the Oliktok Point camp, the crew will construct 
the first section of the sea ice trail southwesterly along the coast on 
grounded ice to the Colville River Delta. The coastal sea ice trail may 
be smoothed during all-terrain vehicle (ATV) passes with a drag (i.e., 
pulling a pipe or similar straight tool behind the ATV) during setting 
of the trail and periodically thereafter. Narwhal would need to thicken 
the ice in five or six channels in the Colville

[[Page 21185]]

River Delta to support any heavy equipment transport that may be 
needed.
    To thicken the ice, seawater will be pumped to the surface and 
allowed to freeze in layers until at least 0.9 m of ice thickness has 
been achieved to allow for heavy equipment to be moved down the trail. 
Narwhal would manually install lightweight equipment such as 
centrifugal pumps to pump water to the ice surface. These pumps would 
be periodically repositioned along the route across the channel. 
Heavier pumping/auger equipment, which would be self-driven from 
Oliktok Point along the grounded sea ice trail, would be used to 
complete thickening of the sea ice once the channel ice is thick enough 
to support such equipment. Narwhal anticipates that thickening will 
require mobilization of six pumping units, which will be mobilized to 
west Harrison Bay upon completion of the ice trail route. Narwhal 
anticipates that the thickening of the Delta channels would take up to 
25 days, and that thickening would require six trips per day between 
Oliktok Point and the western extent of the Delta for fuel resupply, 
crew change, and technical support.
    Critical habitat for ringed seals was designated on April 1, 2022 
(87 FR 19232) and outlined three primary biological features of 
suitable habitat, one of which is water depths greater than 3 m. 
Whenever possible, sea ice trials will be constructed on grounded ice 
to minimize the need for sea ice thickening and the potential to 
encounter ringed seal habitat defined in NMFS (2022a). Only small 
portions of sea ice trail are expected to be constructed in areas that 
may be in waters less than 3 m in depth (i.e., the Colville River Delta 
portion). Narwhal anticipates that it would construct a section of the 
coastal sea ice trail (57.8 km; 35.9 mi) over a period of 12 days, 
after thickening of the Colville River Delta channels. Construction of 
this section of the sea ice trail would not require significant ice 
construction work. Narwhal would complete construction with a two-
person crew and two ATVs to scout the remaining trail and set the 
global positioning system (GPS) points along the trail, as the 
construction generally consists of packing the trail with repeated ATV 
passes to create a hard and relatively smooth surface to travel on. 
Narwhal may also use a drag on initial passes to establish a smooth 
surface. The two-person crew will return to Oliktok Point after 
completing the trail to support mobilization of additional equipment to 
the west Harrison Bay area.
    Narwhal anticipates that total construction of the coastal sea ice 
trail will occur over a period of 30 days and that the completed trail 
would be 57.8 km long with an approximate average width of 340 m.
    During exploratory drilling operations (described below) over an 
86-day period, an estimated average of 10 ATV trips per day will 
transit from Oliktok Point to the west Harrison Bay area for daily 
resupply if supporting a two-rig program. For a one-rig program, 
approximately five ATV trips per day are anticipated for daily support. 
The ATVs will travel in groups of two or more for safety purposes 
resulting in an average of two to four groups of ATVs transiting the 
sea ice trail daily during this period. Each trip will likely take 
approximately 6 hours (i.e., 12 hours roundtrip within a 24-hour 
period).
    Narwhal would transport, during mobilization phase, all necessary 
equipment to the west Harrison Bay area via the coastal sea ice trail 
utilizing various ATVs (e.g., rolligons or steiger tractors). Narwhal 
will transport camp and ice construction equipment first, followed by 
equipment and materials needed for exploratory drilling after ice pads 
are complete. The ATVs will travel in groups of two or more for safety 
reasons. Typically, one or two groups of ATVs will travel on the trail 
on a daily basis. Narwhal anticipates approximately 410 ATV trips as 
part of mobilization activities in January and early February 2026. If 
Narwhal stages equipment and materials in advance (discussed above), 
mobilization would require approximately 120 ATV trips on the coastal 
sea ice trail rather than 210 trips.
    During the construction and operation of the sea ice trail across 
the Colville River Delta, NMFS expects that take could occur due to the 
potential for open leads or cracks in the sea ice, which could provide 
suitable habitat for ringed seals.
Project Demobilization
    Narwhal would relocate all project equipment, materials, and 
personnel from the west Harrison Bay operations area to Oliktok Point 
after completion of drilling operations. This demobilization would 
occur over up to 200 ATV trips via the coastal sea ice trail and would 
be completed by the end of April or early May 2026. NMFS expects that 
this activity may result in take due to disturbance caused by ATV 
presences on the sea ice trail in the Coleville River Delta section.
Onshore, Offshore, and Freshwater Lake Surveys, Archaeological, 
Historical and Cultural Resources Clearance Surveys and Thermistor 
Install and Water Access Roads
    Narwhal plans to conduct several activities onshore in the west 
Harrison Bay area. Field archaeological surveys would be conducted in 
the area immediately south of west Harrison Bay where onshore ice roads 
would be constructed (see below) to access freshwater source lakes. 
These surveys would occur in mid-to-late July 2026. Offshore 
archaeological and historical surveys would also be conducted to assess 
routes planned for the coastal sea ice trail, roads, and pads. Coastal 
areas of the project with shallow water less than 1.8 m in depth are 
inaccessible by the geophysical survey vessels. Narwhal plans to 
conduct lake surveys to locate adequate freshwater supplies for its 
activities during August 2025. Surveys will be conducted using 
helicopters to visually inspect water sources from the air and a zodiac 
type or other small vessel will be used to assess various 
characteristics such as fish presence and water quality. Surveys would 
occur over approximately 10 days and would include one daily flight to 
the work area from Deadhorse, Alaska. Aerial surveys would be flown by 
helicopter at an altitude of 457 m (1499 ft), unless such an altitude 
is unsafe. Narwhal may land one to three times per day during the 
onshore surveys. Narwhal anticipates that onshore surveys would occur 
over approximately three days and the offshore and lake surveys to 
occur over 10 days. Narwhal would also construct lake access roads and 
may install thermistors along the tundra access routes from the sea ice 
to selected source water lakes to monitor soil temperatures during 
freeze up fall 2025.
    These activities would occur over land or over extremely shallow 
waters in West Harrison Bay, and therefore, are not anticipated to 
harass marine mammals and are not discussed further.
Optional Staging on Kogru Airstrip and Barges
    Narwhal may stage equipment in advance of winter activities to 
reduce the total number of ATV trips and time required for mobilizing 
project equipment via the coastal sea ice trail from Oliktok Point and 
to enable faster start-up once sea ice conditions permit. Advance 
equipment staging would occur during mid-August or September of 2025. 
Narwhal identified two options for advance staging sites.
    Option 1, Kogru Airstrip--Narwhal would use the existing gravel 
Kogru

[[Page 21186]]

airstrip (see figure 1-10 of Narwhal's IHA application) and place a 
series of interlocking tundra mats between the shoreline and the 
airstrip to provide support for offloading materials from barges along 
shore up to the existing Kogru airstrip. This scenario would require 
water depth sufficient for barge activity in the nearshore vicinity of 
the Kogru airstrip.
    Option 2, Protected Location in West Harrison Bay--Narwhal would 
tow up to six empty anchored barges from Tuktoyaktuk, Canada, and 
anchor them in a protected location within west Harrison Bay. The 
barges would be pushed into a sandy beach by tug and frozen in place 
during fall 2025. Narwhal would use a temporary ramp to offload a 
front-end loader onto the beach. The loader would then set 4 to 6 
anchors on the beach to hold the barges fast to the shoreline. The 
barges will be tied to each other in a rectangle arrangement to provide 
a continuous staging surface for the placement of equipment and 
materials.
    Narwhal may also place two to four anchors in the water at the 
open-water end of the barges. These anchors would be set by lowering 
them into the water (estimate 1 m (3 ft) depth) from a barge with the 
same loader, and then connecting the anchors to the moored barges. 
Final locations for placement of anchors on the beach and in open water 
will be subject to a mooring analysis that will ensure the barges are 
not moved off location by wind and ice movement during breakup. Narwhal 
identified protected locations for this option in the Kogru River, near 
the Eskimo Islands and other western areas of Harrison Bay (see figure 
1-12 in Narwhal's IHA application), generally in waters less than 1 m 
deep. Narwhal does not anticipate needing a tug to hold the barge 
against significant tides or currents, as the area selected for 
advanced staging will be relatively calm and in shallow water.
    Narwhal anticipates that transfer of equipment and materials for 
advance staging would require a total of five barge trips from West 
Dock/Prudhoe Bay or Oliktok Point. However, vessel transit is not 
generally anticipated to result in take of marine mammals due to the 
proposed routes in relatively shallow water and the slow speed of the 
vessels. Given this, NMFS does not anticipate either option to result 
in take of marine mammals due to the transport of barges for equipment 
staging, and these activities are not discussed further.
    Narwhal would employ a two-person caretaker crew that would remain 
on site during the staging period mid-August through September 2025 to 
monitor the equipment and fuel, patrol the area, and collect basic 
ocean data. The crew would stay at a small skid camp located at the 
advance staging location. Narwhal may repurpose the small skid camp as 
a company office and sleeping facility at the drilling location during 
drilling operations or it may be set as the safety stop at the 
approximate halfway point of the coastal sea ice trail. Narwhal 
anticipates one helicopter flight per week will provide support to the 
caretaker crew. NMFS does not expect take to occur during these flights 
given they would occur mostly over land and over 457 m in elevation as 
specified in the Proposed Mitigation section.
    The advance staging barges would be transported back to 
Tuktoyaktuk, Canada in the latter half of July or early August 2026 
when ice conditions permit barge transport.
Sea Ice Road Construction and Operation
    Narwhal would construct local sea ice roads to support exploratory 
drilling operations. Ice roads are designed to accommodate heavier 
equipment, including standard vehicles such as pick-up trucks, SUVs, 
buses and other trucks to be used to transport personnel and equipment 
including the drilling rigs to the drill sites. Table 1-4 of Narwhal's 
application summarizes the estimated lengths of each ice road and 
timeframes for construction.
    Narwhal also proposes that between January 20 and April 12, 2026, 
it will take an estimated five ATV trips per day between Oliktok Point 
and the west Harrison Bay operations base for resupply. The ATVs will 
travel in groups of two or more for safety purposes resulting in an 
average of one or two groups of ATVs transiting the sea ice trail daily 
during this period. Each trip will likely take approximately six hours 
(i.e., 12 hours roundtrip within a 24-hr period).
    Narwhal would determine the final west Harrison Bay ice road routes 
to exploratory drilling locations and onshore freshwater source lakes 
using ongoing geological and geophysical analysis, the results of the 
shallow hazard surveys, and the pre-clearance archaeological and 
freshwater lake surveys.
    Where the ice road route includes floating sections of sea ice, 
Narwhal would thicken the ice using flooding techniques shown in figure 
1-19 of Narwhal's application. Narwhal will thicken the road until the 
ice is grounded or at least 1.5 m (5 ft) to 1.8 m (6 ft) thick. After 
the ice road is sufficiently grounded or thickened to the prescribed 
depth, Narwhal will place a freshwater cap on the ice road to provide a 
harder and more durable surface for equipment. In a typical year, 
natural sea ice growth in west Harrison Bay generally reaches a maximum 
thickness of approximately 1.8 m by the end of April, which is 
anticipated to be the maximum ice road thickness. Flooding and ice 
buildup or maintenance activities may be conducted during non-daylight 
hours.
    Narwhal would need to smooth the sea ice road routes as well. On 
grounded sea ice road sections that do not require flooding, Narwhal 
would conduct smoothing using ATV techniques used on the coastal sea 
ice trail or by using a motor grader. Ungrounded sea ice road sections 
that did require flooding to thicken the road would generally be 
smoothed out by the flooding process, though Narwhal may use a motor 
grader when the road is near completion and can support heavier 
equipment. Narwhal would use a bulldozer to breach any ice ridges 
present on the ice road route, though ice ridges are not anticipated to 
be a significant issue in west Harrison Bay, as the ice sheet is 
generally very smooth over most of the area with ice ridging occurring 
along the subsea feature of Pacific Shoal. Re-routing of sea ice roads 
will be minimized whenever possible.
    Narwhal anticipates that the maintained ice road width, including 
taper areas and shoulders where blown snow may be placed, would be 
approximately 49 m (161 ft). Vehicle trips on local ice roads in west 
Harrison Bay would be concentrated between the base camp and the active 
drilling and testing location(s). Narwhal anticipates 25 round trips 
would occur on a daily basis between the rig and base camp for drilling 
and an additional 20 round trips per day for testing (separate from 
drilling; i.e., 45 total trips). Well testing operations on a given 
well would be anticipated to last approximately 10 days.
    The construction and operation of the sea ice roads is expected to 
be conducted entirely on grounded sea ice which would not be suitable 
habitat for ringed seals and therefore, NMFS does not expect take of 
marine mammals to occur on ice roads. As stated above, the portion of 
the sea ice trail that crosses the Colville River Delta is the only 
portion where NMFS expects take of marine mammals to occur.
Ice Pad Construction for Drilling Operations
    As described below in the Exploratory Drilling Operations section, 
Narwhal

[[Page 21187]]

would conduct exploratory drilling operations at four sites that it 
surveys. Therefore, it would construct four sea ice pads (one at each 
drill site) using the same techniques described above for sea ice 
roads. Narwhal would construct sea ice pads in shallow water (1 m or 
less) using the flooding techniques if the ice is not already grounded. 
Narwhal may also add snow or ice chips to water to freeze the material 
in place. All ice pads will be grounded with additional ice above sea 
level to protect against ice movement during a storm event with higher 
seas. Narwhal would construct ice pads in deeper water (up to 2.5 m) 
with spray ice techniques to build up the base level with sufficient 
ice above sea level to ensure the ice pad will not be moved during a 
storm surge event.
    When the desired pad elevation has been achieved, Narwhal would 
smooth the ice surface with a bulldozer and motor grader, and add a 
freshwater cap to provide a durable work surface as is done for the ice 
roads. Ice pad construction would occur concurrently with ice road 
construction and would take approximately 2-3 weeks depending on water 
depth and ambient temperatures. Ice pads will be constructed in 
sequence. The finished diameter of an ice pad would be approximately 
183 m (600 ft).
    NMFS does not expect take of marine mammals to occur due to the 
construction of ice pads since pads would only be constructed on 
grounded sea ice.
Temporary Airstrip and Base Camp Construction and Use
    Narwhal plans to construct a temporary airstrip on grounded sea ice 
(23 m (75 ft) wide and up to 1,525 m (5,003 ft) long). The specific 
location is generally anticipated to be close to the exploratory 
drilling base camp (see figure 1-16 in Narwhal's IHA application). To 
construct the airstrip, Narwhal would plow snow off the sea ice to 
create a smooth surface for aircraft and install perimeter lighting for 
visual flight operations. Narwhal may plow the strip as necessary with 
a motor grader to remove snow, or use a snow blower if large drifts 
occur. However, the airstrip will be sited to avoid drifted snow to the 
extent possible. Narwhal may periodically spread fresh water on the 
runway surface as needed to maintain a hard, smooth, and safe surface 
for aircraft.
    Aircraft would use the temporary airstrip between December 6, 2025 
and May 5, 2026. Narwhal does not anticipate using helicopters after 
the sea ice airstrip is established. During ice construction and 
drilling, Narwhal anticipates that it would make approximately 68 
flights using fixed wing aircraft.
    NMFS does not anticipate that use of aircraft associated with this 
project would result in take of marine mammals. Born et al. (1999) 
analyzed ``escape responses'' (i.e., hauled out animals entering the 
water) from an aircraft and a helicopter flying at an altitude of 150 m 
(492 ft). The results of the study indicated that if the aircraft do 
not approach the seals closer than 500 m (1,640 ft) at that altitude, 
the risk of flushing the seals into the water can be greatly reduced. 
While Bradford and Weller (2005) note that helicopter presence resulted 
in flushing of most of the hauled out seals during observations, they 
did not note specific distances of the helicopter at which flushing 
occurred. Use of aircraft is not expected to result in take given the 
proposed mitigation measures related to aircraft that reduce the 
potential for take. See the Proposed Mitigation section of this 
document for further detail.
    Narwhal would assemble and start up the base camp where it will set 
modules approximately 3.7 m (12 ft) wide by 18 m (59 ft) long side by 
side with a front end loader. Narwhal has not determined the exact camp 
location, but estimates that the footprint of the overall camp facility 
would be 100 m (328 ft) by 50 m (164 ft). Narwhal may use additional 
sea ice area around camp for staging equipment and materials, fuel 
storage, and loading and receipt of freight. NMFS does not expect take 
to occur during the construction of the base camp on sea ice since it 
would be constructed on grounded ice.
Summer Cleanup
    In early July 2026, after the snow has melted off the tundra, 
Narwhal would use a helicopter to conduct cleanup of the coastal sea 
ice route and freshwater access routes in the west Harrison Bay area. 
Narwhal would collect and dispose of project debris that can be safely 
retrieved. Narwhal would use one helicopter to complete this work over 
a period of approximately 3 to 5 days, including possible weather 
delays. These activities would require approximately 6 hours per day of 
flight time with up to 25-40 landings per day.
    The use of the helicopter is not expected to result in take. 
However, this proposed IHA includes mitigation measures related to all 
aircraft that further reduce any potential for take. See the Proposed 
Mitigation section of this document for further detail.
Exploratory Drilling Operations
    Upon completion of the sea ice roads and pads, Narwhal would 
assemble the exploratory drilling rig on site over about 7 to 10 days. 
Exploratory drilling is estimated to occur over 21 days per well 
including moving between sites via sea ice road. Narwhal may conduct 
flow testing on a well after the rig has been moved to the next well.
    To conduct well testing, Narwhal would install a test tree on top 
of a completed well to control flow from the well at the surface. Prior 
to flowing fluids to the surface, Narwhal will perforate the well 
casing downhole to allow formation fluids to flow into the well. Well 
fluids would flow through the tree into a choke manifold and then to a 
line heater and into a three-phase separator. High pressure piping will 
connect all testing equipment. Separated gas will be measured and 
flared with oil and water directed to separate tanks for measurement. 
Produced liquids will either be reinjected back into the well after 
testing is complete or backhauled to the Prudhoe Bay infrastructure for 
disposal. Testing operations including rig up and rig down of the test 
spread is anticipated to take 15 days. At the completion of testing 
operations, the well will be plugged and abandoned in accordance with 
Alaska Oil and Gas Conservation Commission regulations. Plugging and 
abandonment will include pumping cement into the well to seal off the 
casing perforations, any annuli, and a surface cement plug will be 
installed in the upper 45 m of the wellbore. After cementing, the well 
will be cut off at least five feet below the seafloor.
    Exploratory drilling operations would be conducted 24 hours per 
day. Narwhal anticipates that rig moves between wells would take 5 days 
or less and would be done with conventional heavy haul trucks and 
trailers. Each rig move is anticipated to require 60 truck trips from 
one drilling location to the next. Narwhal anticipates that drilling 
operations would occur over approximately 82 days, including time to 
move the rig, for the entirety of the drilling operation. All drilled 
exploration wells will be plugged and abandoned during the 2025/2026 
winter season.
    Drilling sounds are expected to transmit poorly from the drill rig 
machinery through ice or soft substrate into the water (Richardson et 
al. 1995). Recordings of underwater sounds during drilling operations 
were recorded in late February and early March of 2001 and 2002 from 
Northstar Island, an artificial gravel island located

[[Page 21188]]

approximately 125 km (77 mi) east of west Harrison Bay in water 11.9 m 
(39 ft) deep. Underwater sound during drilling alone (i.e., without 
other production noises from the island) were reported in Blackwell et 
al. (2004a) as 114 dB re 1[mu]Pa at 250 m (820 ft) from the source 
during ice-covered conditions. The lowest level of underwater sound 
recorded during drilling alone was reported as 104 dB re 1[mu]Pa at 1 
km, while background sound levels (measured at 95 dB re 1[mu]Pa) were 
reached 2 to 4 km from the source (Blackwell et al. 2004a). None of 
these underwater sounds exceeded the120-dB root mean square continuous 
noise threshold criterion (see Background on Active Acoustic Sound 
Sources and Acoustic Terminology section) at the reported distances 
close to the island, and similar low-level underwater sounds are 
expected during short-term (i.e., 25 non-continuous days) exploratory 
drilling in west Harrison Bay.
    Airborne drilling sounds are similarly not expected to exceed the 
100 dB re 20 1[mu]Pa threshold criterion for pinnipeds (other than 
harbor seals). In the early winter-spring of 2001 and 2002, the levels, 
frequency characteristics, and range dependence of sounds and 
vibrations during industrial activity (i.e., mainly drilling and 
production) at Northstar were recorded (Blackwell et al. 2004a). The 
``drilling'' category included only periods of time during which the 
drill bit was boring through subsurface formations. Only recordings 
when wind speed was <5 m/s were used to minimize contamination in the 
data. The highest (80 dB re: 20 mPa) and lowest (44 dB re: 20 mPa) 
broadband levels were recorded in 2002 at 220 m (722 ft) and 9.4 km (31 
ft), respectively. NMFS concludes that neither airborne nor underwater 
noise resulting from drilling operations is likely to exceed associated 
threshold criteria. As a result, no take of marine mammals is 
anticipated during exploratory drilling during winter in west Harrison 
Bay and this activity is not discussed further.
    Proposed mitigation, monitoring, and reporting measures are 
described in detail later in this document (please see Proposed 
Mitigation and Proposed Monitoring and Reporting).

Description of Marine Mammals in the Area of Specified Activities

    Sections 3 and 4 of the application summarize available information 
regarding status and trends, distribution and habitat preferences, and 
behavior and life history of the potentially affected species. NMFS 
fully considered all of this information, and we refer the reader to 
these descriptions instead of reprinting the information. Additional 
information regarding population trends and threats may be found in 
NMFS' Stock Assessment Reports (SARs; <a href="https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/national/marine-mammal-protection/marine-mammal-stock-assessments">https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/national/marine-mammal-protection/marine-mammal-stock-assessments</a>) and 
more general information about these species (e.g., physical and 
behavioral descriptions) may be found on NMFS' website (<a href="https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/find-species">https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/find-species</a>).
    Table 1 lists all species or stocks for which take is likely from 
the specified activities and proposed to be authorized and summarizes 
information related to the population or stock, including regulatory 
status under the MMPA and Endangered Species Act (ESA) and potential 
biological removal (PBR), where known. PBR is defined by the MMPA as 
the maximum number of animals, not including natural mortalities, that 
may be removed from a marine mammal stock while allowing that stock to 
reach or maintain its optimum sustainable population. While no serious 
injury or mortality is anticipated or proposed to be authorized here, 
PBR and annual serious injury and mortality from anthropogenic sources 
are included here as gross indicators of the status of the species or 
stocks and other threats.
    Marine mammal abundance estimates presented in this document 
represent the total number of individuals that make up a given stock or 
the total number estimated within a particular study or survey area. 
NMFS' stock abundance estimates for most species represent the total 
estimate of individuals within the geographic area, if known, that 
comprises that stock. For some species, this geographic area may extend 
beyond U.S. waters. All managed stocks in this region are assessed in 
NMFS' U.S. Alaska SARs. All values presented in table 1 are the most 
recent available at the time of publication, including from the draft 
2024 SARs, and are available online at: <a href="https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/national/marine-mammal-protection/marine-mammal-stock-assessments">https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/national/marine-mammal-protection/marine-mammal-stock-assessments</a>.

                                            Table 1--Species \1\ Likely Impacted by the Specified Activities
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                                                                                Annual
                                                                                         ESA/MMPA status;   Stock abundance (CV,              mortality/
             Common name                  Scientific name               Stock            strategic (Y/N)      Nmin, most recent       PBR       serious
                                                                                               \2\          abundance survey) \3\             injury (M/
                                                                                                                                                SI) \4\
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                 Order Artiodactyla--Cetacea--Mysticeti (baleen whales)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Family Balaenidae:
    Bowhead whale...................  Balaena mysticetus.....  Western Arctic.........  E, D, Y            15,227 (0.165, 13,263,        133          57
                                                                                                            2019).
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                               Order Carnivora--Pinnipedia
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Family Phocidae (earless seals):
    Bearded Seal....................  Erignathus barbatus....  Beringia...............  T, D, Y            Unknown (UND) (UND,           UND       6,709
                                                                                                            UND, 2013).
    Ringed Seal.....................  Pusa hispida...........  Arctic.................  T, D, Y            UND (UND, UND, 2013)..        UND       6,459
    Spotted Seal....................  Phoca largha...........  Bering.................  -, -, N            461,625 (N/A, 423,237,     25,394       5,254
                                                                                                            2013).
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ Information on the classification of marine mammal species can be found on the web page for The Society for Marine Mammalogy's Committee on Taxonomy
  (<a href="https://marinemammalscience.org/science-and-publications/list-marine-mammal-species-subspecies/">https://marinemammalscience.org/science-and-publications/list-marine-mammal-species-subspecies/</a>).
\2\ Endangered Species Act (ESA) status: Endangered (E), Threatened (T)/MMPA status: Depleted (D). A dash (-) indicates that the species is not listed
  under the ESA or designated as depleted under the MMPA. Under the MMPA, a strategic stock is one for which the level of direct human-caused mortality
  exceeds PBR or which is determined to be declining and likely to be listed under the ESA within the foreseeable future. Any species or stock listed
  under the ESA is automatically designated under the MMPA as depleted and as a strategic stock.
\3\ NMFS marine mammal stock assessment reports online at: <a href="https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/national/marine-mammal-protection/marine-mammal-stock-assessment-reports-region/">https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/national/marine-mammal-protection/marine-mammal-stock-assessment-reports-region/</a>. CV is coefficient of variation; Nmin is the minimum estimate of stock abundance.
\4\ These values, found in NMFS' SARs, represent annual levels of human-caused mortality plus serious injury from all sources combined (e.g., commercial
  fisheries, ship strike). Annual M/SI often cannot be determined precisely and is in some cases presented as a minimum value or range.


[[Page 21189]]

    As indicated above, all four species, comprising four managed 
stocks, in table 1 temporally and spatially co-occur with the specified 
activities to the degree that take is reasonably likely to occur. While 
gray whale (Eschrichtius robustus), beluga whale (Delphinapterus 
leucas), and harbor porpoise (Phocoena phocoena) have been documented 
in the Beaufort Sea, the temporal and/or spatial occurrence of these 
species is such that take is not expected to occur, and they are not 
discussed further beyond the explanation provided here. Gray whales and 
harbor porpoises rarely occur east of Point Barrow, approximately 200 
km west of the project area. Further, while beluga whales occasionally 
occur in the Beaufort Sea, they are generally distributed at or beyond 
the continental shelf break outside of the project area (Ireland et al. 
2016).
    In addition, the polar bear (Ursus maritimus) may be found in west 
Harrison Bay. However, polar bear are managed by the U.S. Fish and 
Wildlife Service and are not considered further in this document.
Bowhead Whale
    Of the five stocks of bowhead whale, only the Western Arctic stock 
occurs in U.S. waters. The Western Arctic stock of bowhead whales are 
distributed seasonally in ice-covered waters of the Arctic and near-
Arctic, generally between 60 degrees and 75 degrees North latitude in 
the Western Arctic Basin (Moore and Reeves 1993; Muto et al. 2018). The 
majority of the stock migrates annually from wintering areas (December 
to March) in the central and northwestern Bering Sea, north through the 
Chukchi Sea in the spring (April through May) following offshore ice 
leads around the coast of Alaska, and into the eastern Beaufort Sea 
where they spend most of the summer (June through early to mid-
October). Most animals from the stock return to the Bering Sea in the 
fall (September through December) where they overwinter (Braham et al. 
1980; Moore and Reeves 1993; Citta et al. 2015; Muto et al. 2018).
    The annual migration of the Western Arctic stock to and from the 
summer feeding grounds in the Beaufort Sea has been monitored by the 
Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) (and predecessor agencies), 
NMFS, and/or industry since 1982 (Treacy et al. 2006; Blackwell et al. 
2007; Ireland et al. 2009; Reiser et al. 2011; Bisson et al. 2013; 
Clarke et al. 2014). Survey data indicate that the fall migration off 
northern Alaska occurs primarily over the continental shelf, generally 
12-37 mi (19-60 km) offshore, in waters 11-60 m deep (Moore et al. 
1989; Moore and Reeves 1993; Treacy 2002; Monnett and Treacy 2005; 
Treacy et al. 2006). Waters less than 4.5 m deep are considered too 
shallow to support these whales, and in three decades of aerial surveys 
by BOEM Aerial Surveys of Arctic Marine Mammals (ASAMM), no bowhead 
whale has been recorded in waters less than 5 m deep (Clarke and 
Ferguson 2010).
    In September 2020, Brower et al. (2022) reported an unusual 
sighting of an aggregation of bowhead whales just east of Harrison Bay 
(see figure 4-2 of Narwhal's application). Bowhead whales had not 
typically been observed in this area since 1982, when similar aerial 
surveys (now referred to as ASAMM) began (Brower et al. 2022). The 
sighting data represented in figure 4-2 of Narwhal's application are 
approximately 5 to 10 km west-northwest of Narwhal's proposed 
activities that would occur during the open-water season. As described 
in Brower et al. (2022), the aggregation of bowheads near Harrison Bay 
was attributed to a large oceanographic front due to high freshwater 
discharge from the Colville River (three and a half times the 
historical mean), which can aggregate prey.
    Hauser et al. (2008) reported results for bowhead whale surveys 
near the Colville River Delta in August and September 2008, reporting 
that most bowheads were observed between 25 and 30 km north of the 
barrier islands offshore. In 2017, Quintillion Subsea Operations, LLC 
monitored for marine mammals during installation of a fiber optics 
cable more than 50 km offshore of Oliktok Point moving west to Point 
Barrow and beyond (Green et al. 2018). In the fall of 2017, the project 
recorded 17 groups of bowhead whales (25 individuals) during operations 
offshore of Oliktok Point. Bowhead whale group size ranged from 1 to 5 
with a mean of 1.47 (Green et al. 2018).
    In September 2022 as part of a long term study, researchers tagged 
11 bowhead whales with satellite transmitters to help determine how 
decreasing sea ice, changing wind patterns, warmer water, and 
increasing human activity are affecting bowhead whale behavior and 
distribution (<a href="http://www.adfg.alaska.gov/index.cfm?adfg=marinemammalprogram.bowhead">http://www.adfg.alaska.gov/index.cfm?adfg=marinemammalprogram.bowhead</a>). This project began in 2006 
and is a collaboration among the Alaska Department of Fish and Game 
(ADF&G), the Alaska Eskimo Whaling Commission (AEWC), Whaling Captain's 
Associations of Barrow, Kaktovik, Gambell, and Savoonga, the Aklavik 
and Tuktoyaktuk Hunters and Trappers Committees, the North Slope 
Borough (NSB), the Barrow Arctic Science Consortium, the Department of 
Fisheries and Oceans Canada, and the Greenland Institute of Natural 
Resources. Further analysis of the movement patterns showed that these 
tagged animals from 2022 did not extend into Harrison Bay, Alaska.
    Critical habitat has not been designated for the bowhead whale. 
However, Clarke et al. (2023) identified several Biological Important 
Areas (BIAs) for feeding and migration for both mature and juvenile 
whales that directly overlap or occur close to the project area. 
Bowhead feeding BIAs encompass much of the Arctic region from May 
through December with the August, September, and October BIAs occurring 
close to the proposed project area. These areas were delineated from 
data collected during the ASAMM survey where both juvenile and adult 
bowhead whales were observed feeding or milling (Clark et al. 2023). 
Ferguson et al. (2023) found that correlations with Arctic krill 
(Euphausia superba) and specifically ``krill traps'' created by wind 
driven upwelling bringing prey from depth and concentrating it near 
freshwater runoff drove much of the feeding aggregations. Migratory 
BIAs also occur in the vicinity of the project area and overlap with 
feeding BIAs from August through October. Migration routes were found 
closely correlated with feeding areas and essentially contain the same 
habitat type as described above (Clark et al. 2023). The reproductive 
BIAs identified for bowhead whale all occur over 32 km (20 mi) offshore 
from the project area and are not anticipated to be affected by 
Narwhal's activities.
    In summary, we expect that bowhead whales would occur within the 
project area during the open water season. Much of the presence of 
bowhead whales and their important habitat as described above would be 
at the farthest extent of the project area during the open water 
periods. NMFS expects that there is some potential for bowhead whales 
to occur in the project area in the summer and fall and may experience 
disturbance from the underwater noise produced during the operation of 
the seismic airgun. NMFS would not expect bowheads to be present during 
Narwhal's ice-cover activities.
Bearded Seal
    The Alaska stock of bearded seals occur seasonally in the shallow 
shelf waters of the Beaufort, Chukchi, and

[[Page 21190]]

Bering Seas (Cameron et al. 2010). A reliable population estimate for 
the entire stock is not available. The actual number of ringed seals in 
the U.S. portion of the Bering Sea is likely much higher (Young et al. 
2023). Bearded seals are closely associated with ice and their 
migration coincides with the sea ice retreat and advancement. During 
winter, most bearded seals in Alaskan waters are found in the Bering 
Sea as their movements are related to the advance and retreat of sea 
ice (Kelly 1988). In the Chukchi and Beaufort seas, favorable 
conditions for bearded seals are more limited, and they are less 
abundant. From mid-April to June as the ice recedes, some of the 
bearded seals that overwintered in the Bering Sea migrate northward 
through the Bering Strait to the Chukchi and Beaufort seas. During the 
summer, bearded seals are found near the fragmented margin of multi-
year ice that covers the continental shelf of the Chukchi Sea and in 
nearshore areas of the central and western Beaufort Sea (Ireland et al. 
2016).
    Aerial surveys conducted in the Beaufort Sea indicated that bearded 
seals preferred water depths between 25-75 m (82-246 ft) and areas of 
open ice cover (Cameron et al. 2010). ASAMM commonly observe bearded 
seals offshore in the Beaufort Sea; however, no sightings have been 
observed in the west Harrison Bay. Based on bearded seal water depth 
and ice coverage preferences, survey observations in the Prudhoe Bay 
region, and the normal level of ongoing industrial activity in the 
project area, only very small numbers of bearded seals are expected 
near the project area.
    Critical habitat for the bearded seal was designated in May 2022 
and includes marine waters off the coast of Harrison Bay, Alaska (87 FR 
19180; April 1, 2022). Essential features established by NMFS for 
conservation of the bearded Beringia Distinct Population Segment (DPS) 
and the U.S. portion of the Beringia stock include (1) Sea ice habitat 
suitable for whelping and nursing, which is defined as areas with 
waters 200 m or less in depth containing pack ice of at least 25 
percent concentration and providing bearded seals access to those 
waters from the ice; (2) Sea ice habitat suitable as a platform for 
molting, which is defined as areas with waters 200 m or less in depth 
containing pack ice of at least 15 percent concentration and providing 
bearded seals access to those waters from the ice, and (3) Primary prey 
resources to support bearded seals: Waters 200 m or less in depth 
containing benthic organisms, including epifaunal and infaunal 
invertebrates, and demersal fishes. Narwhal's proposed project would 
not overlap with bearded seal critical habitat and therefore, not have 
any potential effects to that habitat.
    In summary, bearded seals may occur in the project area during the 
open water season as the sea ice recedes in the Harrison Bay area. NMFS 
expects that some individuals would inhabit the coastal areas of west 
Harrison Bay and have the potential to be disturbed by seismic surveys. 
Bearded seals could potentially occur in the project area during the 
remainder of the year; however, given the shallow waters of west 
Harrison Bay, NMFS expects bearded seals to mainly occur offshore in 
pack ice during the ice covered periods.
Ringed Seal
    Ringed seals are distributed in all seasonally ice-covered seas of 
the Northern Hemisphere (Lang et al. 2021, Muto et al. 2020). Five 
subspecies of ringed seals are currently recognized, with only the 
Arctic stock occurring in U.S. waters of the Arctic Ocean and Bering 
Sea (Rice and Society for Marine Mammalogy 1998). Although Conn et al. 
(2014) calculated an abundance estimate of 171,418 using a subset of 
aerial survey data collected in 2012 by Moreland et al. (2013) that 
covered the entire ice-covered portions of the Bering Sea, this 
estimate is considered to be low and was multiplied by a factor of two 
(Young et al. 2023).
    They are year-round residents of the Chukchi and Beaufort seas and 
are generally the most encountered seal in the U.S. Arctic. While other 
ice seals, such as spotted and bearded seals, may be present in the 
Beaufort Sea during the open-water season, only ringed seals are 
expected to be in the nearshore environment during the ice-covered 
months and, therefore, are the only species expected to be affected by 
Narwhal's activities, such as ice trail construction and operation, 
during the ice covered season (see Detailed Description of Specified 
Activities section).
    Ringed seals are abundant in the winter and spring on shorefast and 
pack ice in the northern Bering Sea, Norton Sound, Kotzebue Sound, 
Chukchi Sea, and Beaufort Sea, where they utilize sea ice for pupping 
and nursing as well as resting. Landfast ice has been shown to be the 
best habitat for ringed seal pupping (Kelly 1988). Moulton et al. 
(2002) found the highest concentrations of ringed seals on stable, 
shorefast ice over water depths of about 10-20 m in late May and early 
June; but waters less than 5 m deep are not preferred wintering areas 
for ringed seals (Frost et al. 2004, Moulton et al. 2002). In the 
summer months, they use sea ice as a platform for molting and resting, 
although ringed seals can remain pelagic in productive foraging areas 
for long periods of time. In the fall, ringed seals utilize sea ice as 
a platform for resting, and rarely haul out in terrestrial habitats.
    During the winter, ringed seals excavate and maintain breathing 
holes in the ice and occupy lairs in accumulated snow (Smith and 
Stirling 1975). Ringed seals give birth in lairs from mid-March through 
April, nurse their pups in the lairs for 5 to 8 weeks, and mate in late 
April and May (Smith 1973; Hammill et al. 1991; Lydersen and Hammill 
1993; as cited in (Ireland et al. 2016)). Seal mothers continue to 
forage throughout lactation and move young pups between a network of 
four to six lairs (Ireland et al. 2016). Arctic ringed seals generally 
prefer landfast ice along the shoreline for pupping. Frost et al. 
(2004) conducted aerial surveys over the Beaufort Sea coast from 
Utqia[gdot]vik to Kaktovik and determined that ringed seal density was 
greatest in water depths between 16 and 115 ft (5 and 35 m), and in 
relatively flat ice close to the fast ice edge. Aerial surveys 
conducted in association with construction near the Northstar facility 
found ringed seal annual densities ranged from 0.39 to 0.83 seals per 
km\2\ (Moulton et al. 2005).
    The ringed seal diet is composed predominantly of pelagic fish such 
as cod (Crain et al. 2021) but also includes shrimp and planktonic 
crustaceans; the relative importance of each type of prey depends on 
local availability and season (Lowry et al. 1998, as cited in (Ireland 
et al. 2016)). They have been shown to dive to depths of up to 46 m or 
more while foraging. Ringed seals are hunted by killer whales and polar 
bears. Spatial distributions and population fluctuations of ringed 
seals and polar bears appear to be tightly correlated in some areas 
(Stirling and [Oslash]ritsland 1995 as cited in (Ireland et al. 2016)).
    Optimal overwintering areas for ringed seals in the Beaufort Sea 
occur in waters between 10 and 35 m deep, preferably in the landfast 
ice along the shoreline close to lead systems. In May 2022, two trained 
wildlife-detection dogs were used to survey an area in Prudhoe Bay near 
Northstar Island. A total of 61 ringed seal structures (47 breathing 
holes and 14 lairs) were identified in an 88.2 km\2\ area resulting in 
a density of 0.68 structures/km2. Lair density was higher in water 
deeper than 5m; however, seal structures were found in all water depths 
(Quakenbush et al.

[[Page 21191]]

2022). Ringed seal movements during winter and spring are typically 
quite limited, especially where ice cover is extensive (Kelly et al. 
2010a).
    During spring (i.e., May and June in the Arctic), ringed seals 
spend time basking on the ice. Based on a tagging study in the mid-
2000s between Pt. Barrow and Peard Bay along the Chukchi Sea coast, 
tagged seals (n=43) spent an average of 3 percent (95 percent 
Confidence Level (CL): 1-4 percent) of their time in lairs and an 
average of 37 percent (95 percent CL: 32-41 percent) of their time 
basking after the first emergence from the subnivean lair. Basking 
duration (median) on the ice increased to nine hours before ice melt 
during the course of the study (Kelly et al.2010a).
    On April 1, 2022, NMFS designated critical habitat for the Arctic 
subspecies of ringed seals (87 FR 19232). The critical habitat 
designation covers areas of marine habitat in the Bering, Chukchi, and 
Beaufort seas. During the designation, NMFS considered their primary 
biological features: (1) snow covered sea ice suitable for subnivean 
birth lair formation and maintenance defined as waters 3 m or more in-
depth containing area of shorefast ice or dense stable pack ice that 
contain snow drifts at least 54 cm deep to maintain lairs; (2) sea ice 
suitable for basking and molting defined as waters 3 m or more in depth 
with 15 percent or higher concentrations of sea ice; and primary prey 
resources to support ringed seals defined as small, schooling fish and 
small crustaceans. Narwhal's proposed project would not overlap with 
ringed seal critical habitat and therefore, not have any potential 
effects to that habitat.
    Ringed seals were the most common pinniped observed during marine 
mammal monitoring for installation of an offshore fiber optic cable in 
the Beaufort and Chukchi seas; 57 groups (77 individuals) were recorded 
(Green et al. 2018). All but three of the seals were recorded during 
operations offshore of Oliktok Point. Four of the ringed seals were 
identified as juveniles. Figure 4-6 of Narwhal's application depicts 
observations of ringed seals during summer and fall from industry-
sponsored vessels over the period 2006-2012, including detections in 
eastern Harrison Bay and the area around Oliktok. NMFS expects that 
ringed seals would be the most common pinniped observed during the 
project during the open-water period and the only species during the 
ice-covered months.
Spotted Seal
    In U.S. waters, spotted seals from the Bering stock are distributed 
along the continental shelf of the Bering, Chukchi, and Beaufort seas 
(Muto et al. 2021). They are present in the Beaufort Sea from July 
through late August (Ireland et al. 2016); they sometimes haul out on 
land but also spend extended periods at sea and are rarely seen on the 
pack ice. During the spring when pupping, breeding, and molting, 
spotted seals are found along the southern edge of the sea ice in the 
Okhotsk and Bering seas (Rugh et al. 1997). As the ice cover thickens 
at the onset of winter, spotted seals leave the northern portions of 
their range and move into the Bering Sea (Lowry et al. 1998; Von Duyke 
et al. 2016; as cited in Ireland et al. (2016)).
    Historically, the Colville and Sagavanirktok rivers deltas 
supported up 600 spotted seals; however, by the late 1900s, fewer than 
20 seals were been seen at either location (Johnson et al. 1999; as 
cited in (Ireland et al. 2016)). Johnson et al. (1999) stated that 
while specific surveys for spotted seals were not conducted in 1998, 
known haulouts were checked opportunistically during aerial surveys for 
other species. An estimated 16 seals were hauled out on a small island 
in the East Channel off the mouth of the Kachemach River, on August 25, 
1998. Four seals were observed hauled out at a consistently used site 
at the southwest end of Anachlik Island on September 14, 1998. In 1997, 
during eight aerial surveys, small groups of spotted seals were seen on 
four occasions, hauled out on sand spits or in adjacent shoals in these 
same two locations. Seals were not seen elsewhere on the delta, nor 
were any seen on or around the Jones Islands or Pingok Island in 1997 
(Johnson et al. 1999).
    In 2014, visual and passive acoustic monitoring was undertaken from 
August 25-September 30 in an approximately 30-km\2\ survey area between 
the Spy Islands and Oliktok Point near Simpson Lagoon (i.e., near the 
Colville River Delta) (Lomac-MacNair et al. 2018). An Inupiat hunter 
also conducted vessel-based visual surveys for spotted seal haulout 
sites in the area. A total of 90 marine mammals were observed during 
visual surveys including 40 spotted seals, five ringed seals, 28 seals 
identified as either spotted or ringed, two bearded seals, and two 
beluga whales (Lomac-MacNair et al. 2018).
    During oil exploration projects from 1996 to 2001, 12 spotted seals 
were positively identified near a seismic source vessel during open-
water in the central Alaskan Beaufort Sea (Moulton and Lawson 2002; as 
cited in (Moulton et al. 2005)). Bisson et al. (2013) recorded 38 
sightings of spotted seals during 2012 operations in the Beaufort Sea, 
and 46 spotted seal sightings were reported during barge operations 
between West Dock and Cape Simpson (Green et al. 2007; as cited in 
Ireland et al. (2016)). Most sightings occurred from WHB to Cape 
Simpson, with only one sighting occurring offshore of the Colville 
River Delta.
    Sighting data indicate that spotted seals could be present in the 
project area during the summer months; however, we do not expect 
spotted seals to occur in the project area during the ice-covered 
portion of the project activities. Since spotted seals are not listed 
as threatened or endangered under the ESA, there is no designated 
critical habitat. No BIAs have been designated for spotted seals.

Marine Mammal Hearing

    Hearing is the most important sensory modality for marine mammals 
underwater, and exposure to anthropogenic sound can have deleterious 
effects. To appropriately assess the potential effects of exposure to 
sound, it is necessary to understand the frequency ranges marine 
mammals are able to hear. Not all marine mammal species have equal 
hearing capabilities (e.g., Richardson et al., 1995; Wartzok and 
Ketten, 1999; Au and Hastings, 2008). To reflect this, Southall et al. 
(2007, 2019) recommended that marine mammals be divided into hearing 
groups based on directly measured (behavioral or auditory evoked 
potential techniques) or estimated hearing ranges (behavioral response 
data, anatomical modeling, etc.). Generalized hearing ranges were 
chosen based on the ~65 decibel (dB) threshold from composite 
audiograms, previous analyses in NMFS (2018), and/or data from Southall 
et al. (2007) and Southall et al. (2019). We note that the names of two 
hearing groups and the generalized hearing ranges of all marine mammal 
hearing groups have been recently updated (NMFS 2024) as reflected 
below in table 2.

[[Page 21192]]



                  Table 2--Marine Mammal Hearing Groups
                              [NMFS, 2024]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Hearing group                 Generalized hearing range *
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low-frequency (LF) cetaceans (baleen   7 Hz to 36 kHz.
 whales).
High-frequency (HF) cetaceans          150 Hz to 160 kHz.
 (dolphins, toothed whales, beaked
 whales, bottlenose whales).
Very High-frequency (VHF) cetaceans    200 Hz to 165 kHz.
 (true porpoises, Kogia, river
 dolphins, Cephalorhynchid,
 Lagenorhynchus cruciger & L.
 australis).
Phocid pinnipeds (PW) (underwater)     40 Hz to 90 kHz.
 (true seals).
Otariid pinnipeds (OW) (underwater)    60 Hz to 68 kHz.
 (sea lions and fur seals).
------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Represents the generalized hearing range for the entire group as a
  composite (i.e., all species within the group), where individual
  species' hearing ranges may not be as broad. Generalized hearing range
  chosen based on ~65 dB threshold from composite audiogram, previous
  analysis in NMFS 2018, and/or data from Southall et al. 2007; Southall
  et al. 2019. Additionally, animals are able to detect very loud sounds
  above and below that ``generalized'' hearing range.

    The pinniped functional hearing group was modified from Southall et 
al. (2007) on the basis of data indicating that phocid species have 
consistently demonstrated an extended frequency range of hearing 
compared to otariids, especially in the higher frequency range 
(Hemil[auml] et al., 2006; Kastelein et al., 2009; Reichmuth and Holt, 
2013).
    For more detail concerning these groups and associated frequency 
ranges, please see NMFS (2024) for a review of available information 
(<a href="https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/national/marine-mammal-protection/marine-mammal-acoustic-technical-guidance-other-acoustic-tools">https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/national/marine-mammal-protection/marine-mammal-acoustic-technical-guidance-other-acoustic-tools</a>).

Potential Effects of Specified Activities on Marine Mammals and Their 
Habitat

    This section provides a discussion of the ways in which components 
of the specified activity may impact marine mammals and their habitat. 
The Estimated Take of Marine Mammals section later in this document 
includes a quantitative analysis of the number of individuals that are 
expected to be taken by this activity. The Negligible Impact Analysis 
and Determination section considers the content of this section, the 
Estimated Take of Marine Mammals section, and the Proposed Mitigation 
section, to draw conclusions regarding the likely impacts of these 
activities on the reproductive success or survivorship of individuals 
and whether those impacts are reasonably expected to, or reasonably 
likely to, adversely affect the species or stock through effects on 
annual rates of recruitment or survival.

Background on Active Acoustic Sound Sources and Acoustic Terminology

    This section contains a brief technical background on sound, the 
characteristics of certain sound types, and metrics used in this 
proposal inasmuch as the information is relevant to the specified 
activity and to the discussion of the effects of the specified activity 
on marine mammals in this document. For general information on sound 
and its interaction with the marine environment, please see Au and 
Hastings (2008); Richardson et al. (1995); Urick (1983).
    Sound travels in waves, the basic components of which are 
frequency, wavelength, velocity, and amplitude. Frequency is the number 
of pressure waves that pass by a reference point per unit of time and 
is measured in hertz or cycles per second. Wavelength is the distance 
between two peaks or corresponding points of a sound wave (length of 
one cycle). Higher frequency sounds have shorter wavelengths than lower 
frequency sounds, and typically attenuate (decrease) more rapidly, 
except in certain cases in shallower water. Amplitude is the height of 
the sound pressure wave or the ``loudness'' of a sound and is typically 
described using the relative unit of the decibel. A sound pressure 
level (SPL) in dB is described as the ratio between a measured pressure 
and a reference pressure (for underwater sound, this is 1 microPascal 
([mu]Pa)), and is a logarithmic unit that accounts for large variations 
in amplitude. Therefore, a relatively small change in dB corresponds to 
large changes in sound pressure. The source level (SL) represents the 
SPL referenced at a distance of 1 m from the source (referenced to 1 
[mu]Pa), while the received level is the SPL at the listener's position 
(referenced to 1 [mu]Pa).
    Sound exposure level (SEL; represented as dB re 1 [mu]Pa2-s) 
represents the total energy in a stated frequency band over a stated 
time interval or event and considers both intensity and duration of 
exposure. The per-pulse SEL is calculated over the time window 
containing the entire pulse (i.e., 100 percent of the acoustic energy). 
SEL is a cumulative metric; it can be accumulated over a single pulse, 
or calculated over periods containing multiple pulses. Cumulative SEL 
represents the total energy accumulated by a receiver over a defined 
time window or during an event. Peak sound pressure (also referred to 
as zero-to-peak sound pressure or 0-pk) is the maximum instantaneous 
sound pressure measurable in the water at a specified distance from the 
source and is represented in the same units as the rms sound pressure.
    When underwater objects vibrate or activity occurs, sound-pressure 
waves are created. These waves alternately compress and decompress the 
water as the sound wave travels. Underwater sound waves radiate in a 
manner similar to ripples on the surface of a pond and may be either 
directed in a beam or beams or may radiate in all directions 
(omnidirectional sources), as is the case for sound produced by the 
shallow water hazard survey considered here. The compressions and 
decompressions associated with sound waves are detected as changes in 
pressure by aquatic life and man-made sound receptors such as 
hydrophones.
    Even in the absence of sound from the specified activity, the 
underwater environment is typically loud due to ambient sound, which is 
defined as environmental background sound levels lacking a single 
source or point (Richardson et al., 1995). The sound level of a region 
is defined by the total acoustical energy being generated by known and 
unknown sources. These sources may include physical (e.g., wind and 
waves, earthquakes, ice, atmospheric sound), biological (e.g., sounds 
produced by marine mammals, fish, and invertebrates), and anthropogenic 
(e.g., vessels, dredging, construction) sound. A number of sources 
contribute to ambient sound, including wind and waves, which are a main 
source of naturally occurring ambient sound for frequencies between 200 
hertz (Hz) and 50 kilohertz (kHz) (Mitson, 1995). In general, ambient 
sound levels tend to increase with increasing wind speed and wave 
height. Precipitation can become an important

[[Page 21193]]

component of total sound at frequencies above 500 Hz, and possibly down 
to 100 Hz during quiet times. Marine mammals can contribute 
significantly to ambient sound levels, as can some fish and snapping 
shrimp. The frequency band for biological contributions is from 
approximately 12 Hz to over 100 kHz. Sources of ambient sound related 
to human activity include transportation (surface vessels), dredging 
and construction, oil and gas drilling and production, geophysical 
surveys, sonar, and explosions. Vessel noise typically dominates the 
total ambient sound for frequencies between 20 and 300 Hz. In general, 
the frequencies of anthropogenic sounds are below 1 kHz and, if higher 
frequency sound levels are created, they attenuate rapidly.
    The sum of the various natural and anthropogenic sound sources that 
comprise ambient sound at any given location and time depends not only 
on the source levels (as determined by current weather conditions and 
levels of biological and human activity) but also on the ability of 
sound to propagate through the environment. In turn, sound propagation 
is dependent on the spatially and temporally varying properties of the 
water column and sea floor, and is frequency-dependent. As a result of 
the dependence on a large number of varying factors, ambient sound 
levels can be expected to vary widely over both coarse and fine spatial 
and temporal scales. Sound levels at a given frequency and location can 
vary by 10-20 dB from day to day (Richardson et al., 1995). The result 
is that, depending on the source type and its intensity, sound from the 
specified activity may be a negligible addition to the local 
environment or could form a distinctive signal that may affect marine 
mammals. Details of source types are described in the following text.
    Sounds are often considered to fall into one of two general types: 
pulsed and non-pulsed (defined in the following). The distinction 
between these two sound types is important because they have differing 
potential to cause physical effects, particularly with regard to 
hearing (e.g., Ward, 1997 in Southall et al., 2007). Please see 
Southall et al. (2007) for an in-depth discussion of these concepts. 
The distinction between these two sound types is not always obvious, as 
certain signals share properties of both pulsed and non-pulsed sounds. 
A signal near a source could be categorized as a pulse, but due to 
propagation effects as it moves farther from the source, the signal 
duration becomes longer (e.g., Greene and Richardson, 1988).
    Pulsed sound sources (e.g., airguns, explosions, gunshots, sonic 
booms, impact pile driving) produce signals that are brief (typically 
considered to be less than one second), broadband, atonal transients 
(ANSI, 1986, 2005; Harris, 1998; NIOSH, 1998; ISO, 2003) and occur 
either as isolated events or repeated in some succession. Pulsed sounds 
are all characterized by a relatively rapid rise from ambient pressure 
to a maximal pressure value followed by a rapid decay period that may 
include a period of diminishing, oscillating maximal and minimal 
pressures, and generally have an increased capacity to induce physical 
injury as compared with sounds that lack these features.
    Non-pulsed sounds can be tonal, narrowband, or broadband, brief or 
prolonged, and may be either continuous or intermittent (ANSI, 1995; 
NIOSH, 1998). Some of these non-pulsed sounds can be transient signals 
of short duration but without the essential properties of pulses (e.g., 
rapid rise time). Examples of non-pulsed sounds include those produced 
by vessels, aircraft, machinery operations such as drilling or 
dredging, vibratory pile driving, and active sonar systems. The 
duration of such sounds, as received at a distance, can be greatly 
extended in a highly reverberant environment.
    Airgun arrays produce pulsed signals with energy in a frequency 
range from about 10-2,000 Hz, with most energy radiated at frequencies 
below 200 Hz. The amplitude of the acoustic wave emitted from the 
source is equal in all directions (i.e., omnidirectional), but airgun 
arrays do possess some directionality due to different phase delays 
between guns in different directions. Airgun arrays are typically tuned 
to maximize functionality for data acquisition purposes, meaning that 
sound transmitted in horizontal directions and at higher frequencies is 
minimized to the extent possible.

Potential Effects on Marine Mammals

    The effects of sounds from airgun and sparker pulses may include 
one or more of the following: tolerance, masking of natural sounds, 
behavioral disturbance, and auditory injury (permanent) or temporary 
hearing impairment or non-auditory effects (Richardson et al., 1995). 
The effects of noise on marine mammals are highly variable, often 
depending on species and contextual factors (based on Richardson et 
al., 1995).
    Tolerance: Numerous studies have shown that pulsed sounds from air 
guns are often readily detectable in the water at distances of many 
kilometers. Numerous studies have also shown that marine mammals at 
distances more than a few kilometers from operating survey vessels 
often show no apparent response. That is often true even in cases when 
the pulsed sounds must be readily audible to the animals based on 
measured received levels and the hearing sensitivity of that mammal 
group. In general, pinnipeds and small odontocetes (toothed whales) 
seem to be more tolerant of exposure to air gun pulses than baleen 
whales. Although various toothed whales and, less frequently, pinnipeds 
have been shown to react behaviorally to airgun pulses under some 
conditions; at other times, mammals of both types have shown no overt 
reactions. Weir (2008) observed marine mammal responses to seismic 
pulses from a 24 airgun array firing a total volume of either 5,085 
in\3\ or 3,147 in\3\ in Angolan waters between August 2004 and May 
2005. Weir recorded a total of 207 sightings of humpback whales (n = 
66), sperm whales (n = 124), and Atlantic spotted dolphins (n = 17) and 
reported that there were no significant differences in encounter rates 
(sightings/hr) for humpback and sperm whales according to the airgun 
array's operational status (i.e., active versus silent).
    Behavioral Disturbance: Marine mammals may behaviorally react to 
sound when exposed to anthropogenic noise. These behavioral reactions 
are often shown as: Changing durations of surfacing and dives, number 
of blows per surfacing, or moving direction and/or speed; reduced/
increased vocal activities; changing/cessation of certain behavioral 
activities (such as socializing or feeding); visible startle response 
or aggressive behavior (such as tail/fluke slapping or jaw clapping); 
avoidance of areas where noise sources are located; and/or flight 
responses (e.g., pinnipeds flushing into water from haulouts or 
rookeries).
    The biological significance of many of these behavioral 
disturbances is difficult to predict, especially if the detected 
disturbances appear minor. However, the consequences of behavioral 
modification have the potential to be biologically significant if the 
change affects growth, survival, or reproduction. Examples of 
behavioral modifications that could impact growth, survival or 
reproduction include:
    <bullet> Drastic changes in diving/surfacing/swimming patterns that 
could lead to stranding;
    <bullet> Habitat abandonment (temporary or permanent) due to loss 
of desirable acoustic environment; and

[[Page 21194]]

    <bullet> Disruption of feeding or social interaction resulting in 
significant energetic costs, inhibited breeding, or cow-calf 
separation.
    The onset of behavioral disturbance from anthropogenic noise 
depends on both external factors (characteristics of noise sources and 
their paths) and the receiving animals (hearing, motivation, 
experience, demography) and is also difficult to predict (Southall et 
al., 2007).
    Cerchio et al. (2014) used passive acoustic monitoring to document 
the presence of singing humpback whales off the coast of northern 
Angola and to opportunistically test for the effect of seismic survey 
activity on the number of singing whales. Two recording units were 
deployed between March and December 2008 in the offshore environment; 
numbers of singers were counted every hour. Generalized Additive Mixed 
Models were used to assess the effect of survey day (seasonality), hour 
(diel variation), moon phase, and received levels of noise (measured 
from a single pulse during each ten minute sampled period) on singer 
number. The number of singers significantly decreased with increasing 
received level of noise, suggesting that humpback whale communication 
was disrupted to some extent by the survey activity.
    Castellote et al. (2012) reported acoustic and behavioral changes 
by fin whales in response to shipping and airgun noise. Acoustic 
features of fin whale song notes recorded in the Mediterranean Sea and 
northeast Atlantic Ocean were compared for areas with different 
shipping noise levels and traffic intensities and during an airgun 
survey. During the first 72 hours of the survey, a steady decrease in 
song received levels and bearings to singers indicated that whales 
moved away from the acoustic source and out of the study area. This 
displacement persisted for a time period well beyond the 10-day 
duration of airgun activity, providing evidence that fin whales may 
avoid an area for an extended period in the presence of increased 
noise. The authors hypothesize that fin whale acoustic communication is 
modified to compensate for increased background noise and that a 
sensitization process may play a role in the observed temporary 
displacement.
    Seismic pulses at average received levels of 131 dB re 1 [mu]Pa\2\-
s caused blue whales to increase call production (Di Iorio and Clark, 
2010). In contrast, McDonald et al. (1995) tracked a blue whale with 
seafloor seismometers and reported that it stopped vocalizing and 
changed its travel direction at a range of 10 km from the acoustic 
source vessel (estimated received level 143 dB pk-pk). Blackwell et al. 
(2013) found that bowhead whale call rates dropped significantly at 
onset of airgun use at sites with a median distance of 41-45 km from 
the survey. Blackwell et al. (2015) expanded this analysis to show that 
whales actually increased calling rates as soon as airgun signals were 
detectable before ultimately decreasing calling rates at higher 
received levels (i.e., 10-minute cumulative sound exposure level (cSEL) 
of ~127 dB). Overall, these results suggest that bowhead whales may 
adjust their vocal output in an effort to compensate for noise before 
ceasing vocalization effort and ultimately deflecting from the acoustic 
source (Blackwell et al., 2013, 2015). These studies demonstrate that 
even low levels of noise received far from the source can induce 
changes in vocalization and/or behavior for mysticetes.
    Avoidance is the displacement of an individual from an area or 
migration path as a result of the presence of a sound or other 
stressors, and is one of the most obvious manifestations of disturbance 
in marine mammals (Richardson et al., 1995). For example, gray whales 
are known to change direction--deflecting from customary migratory 
paths--in order to avoid noise from airgun surveys (Malme et al., 
1984). Humpback whales showed avoidance behavior in the presence of an 
active airgun array during observational studies and controlled 
exposure experiments in western Australia (McCauley et al., 2000a). 
Avoidance may be short-term, with animals returning to the area once 
the noise has ceased (e.g., Bowles et al., 1994; Goold, 1996; Stone et 
al., 2000; Morton and Symonds, 2002; Gailey et al., 2007). Longer-term 
displacement is possible, however, which may lead to changes in 
abundance or distribution patterns of the affected species in the 
affected region if habituation to the presence of the sound does not 
occur (e.g., Bejder et al., 2006; Teilmann et al., 2006).
    Stone (2015a) reported data from at-sea observations during 1,196 
airgun surveys from 1994 to 2010. When large arrays of airguns 
(considered to be 500 in\3\ or more) were firing, lateral displacement, 
more localized avoidance, or other changes in behavior were evident for 
most odontocetes. However, significant responses to large arrays were 
found only for the minke whale and fin whale. Behavioral responses 
observed included changes in swimming or surfacing behavior, with 
indications that cetaceans remained near the water surface at these 
times. Cetaceans were recorded as feeding less often when large arrays 
were active. Behavioral observations of gray whales during an airgun 
survey monitored whale movements and respirations pre-, during-, and 
post-seismic survey (Gailey et al., 2016). Behavioral state and water 
depth were the best `natural' predictors of whale movements and 
respiration and, after considering natural variation, none of the 
response variables were significantly associated with survey or vessel 
sounds.
    Pinnipeds are not likely to show a strong avoidance reaction to the 
airgun sources proposed for use. Visual monitoring from seismic vessels 
has shown only slight (if any) avoidance of airguns by pinnipeds and 
only slight (if any) changes in behavior. Monitoring work in the 
Alaskan Beaufort Sea during 1996-2001 provided considerable information 
regarding the behavior of Arctic ice seals exposed to seismic pulses 
(Harris et al., 2001; Moulton and Lawson, 2002). These seismic projects 
usually involved arrays of 6 to 16 airguns with total volumes of 560 to 
1,500 in\3\. The combined results suggest that some seals avoid the 
immediate area around seismic vessels. In most survey years, ringed 
seal sightings tended to be farther away from the seismic vessel when 
the airguns were operating than when they were not (Moulton and Lawson, 
2002). However, these avoidance movements were relatively small, on the 
order of 100 m (328 ft) to a few hundreds of meters, and many seals 
remained within 100-200 m (328-656 ft) of the trackline as the 
operating airgun array passed by. Seal sighting rates at the water 
surface were lower during airgun array operations than during no-airgun 
periods in each survey year except 1997. Similarly, seals are often 
very tolerant of pulsed sounds from seal-scaring devices (Mate and 
Harvey, 1987; Jefferson and Curry, 1994; Richardson et al., 1995a). 
However, initial telemetry work suggests that avoidance and other 
behavioral reactions by two other species of seals to small airgun 
sources may at times be stronger than evident to date from visual 
studies of pinniped reactions to airguns (Thompson et al., 1998). Even 
if reactions of the species occurring in the present study area are as 
strong as those evident in the telemetry study, reactions are expected 
to be confined to relatively small distances and durations, with no 
long-term effects on pinniped individuals or populations.
    Behavioral disturbance of marine mammals is the most likely 
acoustic effect expected from Narwhal's single airgun and sparker 
operation during the

[[Page 21195]]

shallow water hazard survey. As described above, the effects would be 
temporary in nature and take during the seismic operation would likely 
only result in Level B harassment of cetaceans and pinnipeds.
    Masking: Masking is the obscuring of sounds of interest by other 
sounds, often at similar frequencies. Marine mammals are highly 
dependent on sound, and their ability to recognize sound signals amid 
other noise is important in communication; predator and prey detection; 
and, in the case of toothed whales, echolocation. Although some degree 
of masking is inevitable when high levels of human-made broadband 
sounds are introduced into the ocean, marine mammals have evolved 
systems and behaviors that function to reduce the impacts of masking. 
Structured signals, such as the echolocation click sequences of small, 
toothed whales, may be readily detected even in the presence of strong 
background noise because their frequency content and temporal features 
usually differ strongly from those of the background noise (Au and 
Moore 1988, 1990). The components of background noise that are similar 
in frequency to the sound signal in question primarily determine the 
degree of signal masking. Masking effects of underwater sounds from 
Narwhal's proposed activities on marine mammal calls and other natural 
sounds are anticipated to be limited. There is little concern regarding 
masking from the airgun in this case due to the brief duration of these 
pulses and relatively longer silence between airgun shots near the 
sound source.
    Auditory Injury and Permanent Threshold Shift (PTS)--NMFS defines 
auditory injury as ``damage to the inner ear that can result in 
destruction of tissue . . . which may or may not result in PTS'' (NMFS, 
2024). NMFS defines PTS as a permanent, irreversible increase in the 
threshold of audibility at a specified frequency or portion of an 
individual's hearing range above a previously established reference 
level (NMFS, 2024). Available data from humans and other terrestrial 
mammals indicate that a 40-dB TS approximates PTS onset (Ward et al., 
1958, 1959; Ward, 1960; Kryter et al., 1966; Miller, 1974; Ahroon et 
al., 1996; Henderson et al., 2008). PTS levels for marine mammals are 
estimates, as with the exception of a single study unintentionally 
inducing PTS in a harbor seal (Kastak et al., 2008), there are no 
empirical data measuring PTS in marine mammals largely due to the fact 
that, for various ethical reasons, experiments involving anthropogenic 
noise exposure at levels inducing PTS are not typically pursued or 
authorized (NMFS, 2018).
    Temporary Threshold Shift (TTS)--It's a temporary, reversible 
increase in the threshold of audibility at a specified frequency or 
portion of an individual's hearing range above a previously established 
reference level (NMFS, 2018). Based on data from cetacean TTS 
measurements (Southall et al., 2007, 2019), a TTS of 6 dB is considered 
the minimum TS clearly larger than any day-to-day or session-to-session 
variation in a subject's normal hearing ability (Schlundt et al., 2000; 
Finneran et al., 2000, 2002). As described in Finneran (2015), marine 
mammal studies have shown the amount of TTS increases with cumulative 
sound exposure level (SELcum) in an accelerating fashion. At low 
exposures with lower SELcum, the amount of TTS is typically small and 
the growth curves have shallow slopes. At exposures with higher SELcum, 
the growth curves become steeper and approach linear relationships with 
the noise SEL.
    Depending on the degree (elevation of threshold in dB), duration 
(i.e., recovery time), frequency range of TTS, and the context in which 
it is experienced, TTS can have effects on marine mammals ranging from 
discountable to serious (similar to those discussed in the Masking 
section, above). For example, a marine mammal may be able to readily 
compensate for a brief, relatively small amount of TTS in a non-
critical frequency range that takes place during a time when the animal 
is traveling through the open ocean, where ambient noise is lower and 
there are not as many competing sounds present. Alternatively, a larger 
amount and longer duration of TTS sustained during time when 
communication is critical for successful mother/calf interactions could 
have more serious impacts. We note that reduced hearing sensitivity as 
a simple function of aging has been observed in marine mammals, as well 
as humans and other taxa (Southall et al., 2007), so we can infer that 
strategies exist for coping with this condition to some degree, though 
likely not without cost.
    Many studies have examined noise-induced hearing loss in marine 
mammals (see Finneran (2015) and Southall et al. (2019) for summaries). 
TTS is the mildest form of hearing impairment that can occur during 
exposure to sound (Kryter, 2013). While experiencing TTS, the hearing 
threshold rises, and a sound must be at a higher level in order to be 
heard. In terrestrial and marine mammals, TTS can last from minutes or 
hours to days (in cases of strong TTS). In many cases, hearing 
sensitivity recovers rapidly after exposure to the sound ends. For 
cetaceans, published data on the onset of TTS are limited to captive 
bottlenose dolphin (Tursiops truncatus), beluga whale, harbor porpoise, 
and Yangtze finless porpoise (Neophocoena asiaeorientalis) (Southall et 
al., 2019). For pinnipeds in water, measurements of TTS are limited to 
harbor seals (Phoca vitulina), elephant seals (Mirounga 
angustirostris), bearded seals and California sea lions (Zalophus 
californianus) (Kastak et al., 2007; Kastelein et al., 2019b, 2019c, 
2021, 2022a, 2022b; Reichmuth et al., 2019; Sills et al., 2020). TTS 
was not observed in spotted and ringed seals exposed to single airgun 
impulse sounds at levels matching previous predictions of TTS onset 
(Reichmuth et al., 2016). These studies examine hearing thresholds 
measured in marine mammals before and after exposure to intense or 
long-duration sound exposures. The difference between the pre-exposure 
and post-exposure thresholds can be used to determine the amount of 
threshold shift at various post-exposure times.
    The amount and onset of TTS depends on the exposure frequency. 
Sounds at low frequencies, well below the region of best sensitivity 
for a species or hearing group, are less hazardous than those at higher 
frequencies, near the region of best sensitivity (Finneran and 
Schlundt, 2013). At low frequencies, onset-TTS exposure levels are 
higher compared to those in the region of best sensitivity (i.e., a low 
frequency noise would need to be louder to cause TTS onset when TTS 
exposure level is higher), as shown for harbor porpoises and harbor 
seals (Kastelein et al., 2019a, 2019c). Note that in general, harbor 
seals and harbor porpoises have a lower TTS onset than other measured 
pinniped or cetacean species (Finneran, 2015). In addition, TTS can 
accumulate across multiple exposures, but the resulting TTS will be 
less than the TTS from a single, continuous exposure with the same 
sound exposure level (SEL) (Mooney et al., 2009; Finneran et al., 2010; 
Kastelein et al., 2014, 2015). This means that TTS predictions based on 
the total, cumulative SEL will overestimate the amount of TTS from 
intermittent exposures, such as sonars and impulsive sources. 
Nachtigall et al. (2018) describe measurements of hearing sensitivity 
of multiple odontocete species (bottlenose dolphin, harbor porpoise, 
beluga, and false killer whale (Pseudorca crassidens)) when a 
relatively loud sound was preceded by a warning

[[Page 21196]]

sound. These captive animals were shown to reduce hearing sensitivity 
when warned of an impending intense sound. Based on these experimental 
observations of captive animals, the authors suggest that wild animals 
may dampen their hearing during prolonged exposures or if conditioned 
to anticipate intense sounds. Another study showed that echolocating 
animals (including odontocetes) might have anatomical specializations 
that might allow for conditioned hearing reduction and filtering of 
low-frequency ambient noise, including increased stiffness and control 
of middle ear structures and placement of inner ear structures (Ketten 
et al., 2021). Data available on noise-induced hearing loss for 
mysticetes are currently lacking (NMFS, 2018). Additionally, the 
existing marine mammal TTS data come from a limited number of 
individuals within these species.
    Relationships between TTS and PTS thresholds have not been studied 
in marine mammals, and there is no PTS data for cetaceans, but such 
relationships are assumed to be similar to those in humans and other 
terrestrial mammals. PTS typically occurs at exposure levels at least 
several decibels above that inducing mild TTS (e.g., a 40-dB threshold 
shift approximates PTS onset (Kryter et al., 1966; Miller, 1974), while 
a 6-dB threshold shift approximates TTS onset (Southall et al., 2007, 
2019). Based on data from terrestrial mammals, a precautionary 
assumption is that the PTS thresholds for impulsive sounds (such as 
impact pile driving pulses as received close to the source) are at 
least 6 dB higher than the TTS threshold on a peak-pressure basis and 
PTS cumulative sound exposure level thresholds are 15 to 20 dB higher 
than TTS cumulative sound exposure level thresholds (Southall et al., 
2007, 2019). Given the higher level of sound or longer exposure 
duration necessary to cause PTS as compared with TTS, it is 
considerably less likely that PTS could occur.
    The single airgun and sparker source Narwhal proposes to use for 
this project is a mobile source being towed by a vessel moving 
approximately 2 m/second. Effects on marine mammals from the operation 
of the sparker are expected to be similar to the operation of the 
single airgun (e.g., impulsive noise). When considering the impacts to 
marine mammals, the effects described above for airguns would be 
expected with sparkers. Also, the water depth where these surveys are 
expected to occur are shallow and animals are expected to only spend 
brief periods, if any, in the ensonified area. Given the movement of 
the sound source and the fact that many marine mammals are likely 
moving through the project areas and not remaining for extended periods 
of time, the potential for PTS or TTS declines is unlikely.

Vessel Strike

    Vessel collisions with marine mammals, or vessel strikes, can 
result in death or serious injury of the animal. These interactions are 
typically associated with large whales, which are less maneuverable 
than are smaller cetaceans or pinnipeds in relation to large vessels. 
The severity of injuries typically depends on the size and speed of the 
vessel, with the probability of death or serious injury increasing as 
vessel speed increases (Knowlton and Kraus, 2001; Laist et al., 2001; 
Vanderlaan and Taggart, 2007; Conn and Silber, 2013). Impact forces 
increase with speed, as does the probability of a strike at a given 
distance (Silber et al., 2010; Gende et al., 2011). The chances of a 
lethal injury decline from approximately 80 percent at 15 kn to 
approximately 20 percent at 8.6 kn. At speeds below 11.8 kn, the 
chances of lethal injury drop below 50 percent (Vanderlaan and Taggart, 
2007).
    Ship strikes generally involve commercial shipping, which is much 
more common in both space and time than is geophysical survey activity 
and barge transports which typically involves larger vessels moving at 
faster speeds. Jensen and Silber (2004) summarized ship strikes of 
large whales worldwide from 1975-2003 and found that most collisions 
occurred in the open ocean and involved large vessels (e.g., commercial 
shipping). Commercial fishing vessels were responsible for 3 percent of 
recorded collisions, while no such incidents were reported for 
geophysical survey vessels during that time period.
    For vessels used in geophysical survey activities, vessel speed 
while towing gear is typically only 4-5 knots. At these speeds, both 
the possibility of striking a marine mammal and the possibility of a 
strike resulting in serious injury or mortality are so low as to be 
discountable. However, the likelihood of a strike actually happening is 
low given the smaller size of these vessels, generally slower speeds, 
and the coastal route vessels would take to the survey area. We 
anticipate that vessel collisions involving seismic data acquisition 
vessels towing gear, while not impossible, represent unlikely, 
unpredictable events for which there are no preventive measures. Given 
the required mitigation measures, the relatively slow speeds of vessels 
towing gear, the presence of bridge crew watching for obstacles at all 
times (including marine mammals), the presence of protected species 
observers, and the small number of seismic survey cruises relative to 
commercial ship traffic, we believe that the possibility of ship strike 
is discountable and, further, that were a strike of a large whale to 
occur, it would be unlikely to result in serious injury or mortality. 
No incidental take resulting from ship strike is anticipated or 
proposed for authorization, and this potential effect of the specified 
activity will not be discussed further in the following analysis.
    The potential effects of Narwhal's shallow hazards survey activity 
are expected to be limited to Level B harassment consisting of 
behavioral harassment and/or temporary auditory effects and, for 
bowhead whales and three species pinnipeds only. No permanent auditory 
effects for any species belonging to other hearing groups are expected.

Ice Trails

    Ringed seals could be adversely affected by exposure to visual and 
acoustic disturbances during ice trail construction and operation. The 
majority of impacts are likely to occur from visual exposure by 
machinery and vehicles used for ice roads and ice trails construction 
and from human presence. The associated noise from the machinery and 
vehicles could also cause pinniped behavioral modification and 
temporary displacement within the vicinity of the action area if the 
noise levels are high enough. These activities are not expected to 
result in serious injury or mortality given the proposed mitigation 
measures (see Proposed Mitigation section) for construction and 
operation of the ice trails.
    A series of reports from the Northstar development provide evidence 
of ringed seal reactions to human activity during ice road construction 
beginning in 1999. As summarized in Richardson and Williams (2000), 
approximately 6.6 km\2\ (2.5 mi\2\) were surveyed for ringed seals 
prior to initiation of ice road construction activities. Though much of 
the ice was flat and not optimal for seal lairs, surveys were conducted 
by biologists and Inupiat hunters who used avalanche probes to identify 
potential breathing holes and lairs. No breathing holes or lairs were 
documented during this survey. A follow-up survey for ringed seal 
breathing holes and lairs was conducted in using trained dogs. The 
follow-up survey did locate at least two, possibly three, open 
breathing holes within the area previously surveyed.

[[Page 21197]]

    The following year, a subsequent survey was undertaken using dog-
based searches which found numerous seal structures within about 1 km 
(0.6 mi) of Northstar facilities before and after intensive 
construction activities in early and late winter. This may indicate 
that the survey method using avalanche probes and Inupiat hunters was 
not effective or that ringed seals were unaffected by ice road/trail 
construction to such extent that it prevented them from establishing 
breathing holes in the project area (Richardson and Williams 2000).
    During two replicate aerial surveys conducted in 1999, ringed seals 
were observed within approximately 0.64 km (0.4 mi) of ice roads 
(Richardson and Williams 2000). These six seals were not assumed to be 
the only seals located within that 0.64 km (0.4 mi) area. Using seal 
densities in similar water depths approximately 4 to 10 km (about 2 to 
6.2 mi) from the ice roads, about 12 ringed seals would be expected to 
occur within 0.64 km (0.4 mi), and 110 ringed seals within 4 km (2.5 
mi), during 1999. Seal behavior within 0 to 0.64 km (0.4 mi) of the 
road may have been affected in some subtle way; however, the 
observation of seals within that area suggests that effects of the ice 
roads were minor and localized. As summarized in Williams et al. 
(2006), several factors influence the rate of abandonment of seal 
lairs, making it challenging to attribute abandonment to any specific 
factor. Of 181 seal structures located within 11 to 3,500 m of 
Northstar during surveys conducted in 2001, 118 (65 percent) were still 
actively used in late May (the end of ice road season).
    The effect of underwater noise on ringed seals is dependent on the 
ability of the seal to perceive or hear the sounds. Due to the overall 
relatively low noise levels associated with the ice trails construction 
and that most of these noises are airborne, it is highly unlikely seals 
in the vicinity of the construction site would suffer hearing damages 
(i.e., PTS or TTS). Temporary short-term changes in behavior or 
avoidance of the affected area as a result of disturbance is the most 
common response of marine mammals to increased noise levels (Richardson 
et al. 1995). Nonetheless, some minor disturbance due to in-air or 
underwater (ice-covered) conditions may occur as a result of ice trail 
activities. The types of impacts to ringed seals exposed to low-level 
noise may include masking and temporary displacement. Increased levels 
of natural and artificial sounds can disrupt behavior by masking. The 
masking of communication signals by anthropogenic noise may reduce the 
communication space of animals (Clark et al. 2009). Factors other than 
received sound level such as the activity state of animals exposed can 
affect the probability of a behavioral response (Ellison et al. 2012).
    Southall et al. (2007) assessed relevant studies, found 
considerable variability among pinnipeds, and determined exposures 
between approximately 90 and 140 dB generally do not induce strong 
behavioral responses of pinnipeds in water, but an increasing 
probability of avoidance and other behavioral effects exists in the 120 
to 160 dB range. The use of the Ditchwitch to cut ice or from pumping 
at Northstar did not exceed 120 dB at 100 m (328 ft) (Greene et al. 
2008). Despite the potential exposure to such noise levels, it is 
highly unlikely the disturbance would result in biologically 
significant effects on the seals (individually or to the population) as 
evident from Northstar research (Richardson and Williams 2000). In 
addition, Kelly et al. (1986) report that some ringed seals temporarily 
departed their lairs when sound sources were within 97 to 3,000 m (0.06 
to 1.9 mi) but did return to their lairs later. Haul outs with and 
without disturbance were not significantly different, and time spent in 
the water versus hauled out was not significantly different.
    Displacement of seals from ice trail construction is considered 
unlikely but could occur. As described in Williams et al. (2006), 
during three surveys conducted in November/December, March and May of 
2001 during Northstar construction activities, 181 ringed seal 
structures were located and 118 (65 percent) were still actively used 
by late May 2001. Active ringed seal structures appeared to be evenly 
distributed across the Northstar study area in relation to the 
facility. The noise heard through snow and ice, and into the subnivean 
lair or den location of the animal should be considerably weaker than 
at source due to sound being attenuated in the ice and snow. In March 
2002, sounds and vibrations from vehicles traveling along an ice road 
along Flaxman Island (a barrier Island east of Prudhoe Bay) were 
recorded in artificially constructed polar bear dens. Sounds were 
attenuated strongly by the snow cover of the artificial dens; broadband 
vehicle traffic noise was reduced by 30-42 dB. Due to attenuation of 
noise through ice and snow, it is less likely that seals in lairs would 
be exposed to levels exceeding 120 dB re 1 [mu]Pa underwater and that 
such exposure would result in displacement.
    In air noise associated with ice trail activities is not expected 
to cause disturbance to ringed seals, as construction noise is not 
likely to exceed 100 dB re 20 [mu]Pa at the source. During the winter 
of 2000, background unweighted in air noise levels from various 
machineries measured in the vicinity of Northstar ranged from 59 to 84 
dB re 20 [mu]Pa, and this background noise level was related to wind 
speed (Greene et al. 2008). Similar levels were reported during the 
winter of 2001 and 2002 by Blackwell et al. (2004a, b) with minimum 
background unweighted in air noise levels of 44 to 52 dB re 20 [mu]Pa 
measured in ice-covered conditions with low wind up to 10 km (6 mi) 
from Northstar in Prudhoe Bay. As a result of the expected low levels, 
in air noise during Narwhal's construction and operation of the sea ice 
trails is not expected to result in harassment of seals.
    The probability that acoustic noise associated with ice trail 
construction would result in masking any acoustic signals of ringed 
seals during construction is very low. Ice trail construction 
activities would be initiated prior to March 1st when animals begin 
constructing dens prior to pupping and during pupping when seals are 
minimally vocal in the dens to prevent predation (Ireland et. al. 
2016). The probability that the noise producing activities associated 
with Narwhal's proposed project would result in masking acoustic 
signals important to the behavior and survival of marine mammal species 
in the project area is low.

Potential Effects on Marine Mammal Habitat

    Experimental studies have shown that sounds from non-explosive 
survey devices, such as airguns, are generally not lethal to fish 
(Sharp 2011). The characteristics of airgun sounds are such that the 
zone of potential injury to fish and invertebrates would be limited to 
a few meters from the source (Buchanan et al. 2004, Sharp 2011). Adult 
fish near seismic operations are likely to avoid the immediate vicinity 
of the sound source and thus avoid injury. Sound pulses at levels of 
180 dB have been documented to cause noticeable changes in behavior 
(Pearson et al. 1992). While underwater sounds from airgun survey 
activities may reach these levels, the areas ensonified to 160 dB are 
not expected to exceed 3,188 m from the source and would be temporary 
(i.e., up to 12 hours per day over an intermittent period of 30 days). 
The operation of the sparker would be expected to have similar 
potential habitat effects as use of

[[Page 21198]]

the airgun, but over a smaller area. Underwater sound levels from 
seismic activities in WHB are not expected to result in measurable 
effects to prey fish species populations.
    The proposed vibracoring would minimally and briefly impact 
physical habitat features, such as substrates and/or water quality. 
Vibracoring would be used to obtain shallow cores of the seafloor 
sediment within the footprint of the winter exploratory drilling 
location, the few samples collected would be expected to have only a 
slight, temporary effect on benthic habitat. Vibracoring would occur 
over a very short duration at each of the drilling site. Therefore, 
impacts on habitat from proposed activities during open-water 
activities would be limited to potential impacts on prey species of 
bowhead whales and ice seals.
    The construction and maintenance of ice trails is not expected to 
cause significant impacts on habitat used by ringed seals or on their 
food sources. Landfast ice near the shoreline is the best habitat for 
ringed seal pupping (Kelly 1988), with water depth strongly dictating 
whether ringed seals overwinter in a given area. Depths greater than 
about 3 m (10 ft) are typically the minimum depth suitable for 
successful lair construction (Miller et al. 1998, Link et al. 1999) 
although more shallow areas with open leads or cracks can be attractive 
to seals as described for the ice trail across the Colville River 
Delta.
    While ringed seals may be present in the proposed project areas 
during winter, the number of seals is generally expected to be 
relatively low during ice trail activities. Ice trail construction 
would be a short-term activity expected to result in minor disruptions 
to habitat. Ringed seals feed on fish and a variety of benthic species 
including crabs and shrimp. There should be no impact on the 
distribution of fish or zooplankton as a result of ice trail 
construction within the proposed project areas. The trails melt each 
year and do not affect water circulation, substrate, fish presence or 
use of the area, or benthic populations.
    Disturbance associated with construction, operation and maintenance 
of ice trails is unlikely to have long-term effects on the availability 
of sea ice habitat identified in the critical habitat features 1 and 2. 
Disturbances due to ice trail construction and maintenance activities 
are not expected to have any effect on critical habitat feature 3, 
because these activities would not cause injury or mortality to fish 
species, nor would it displace food resources of ringed seals.
    NMFS does not expect impacts to marine mammal habitat, including 
prey, from the proposed activities of Narwhal in west Harrison Bay.

Estimated Take of Marine Mammals

    This section provides an estimate of the number of incidental takes 
proposed for authorization through the IHA, which will inform both 
NMFS' consideration of ``small numbers,'' and the negligible impact 
determinations.
    Harassment is the only type of take expected to result from these 
activities. Except with respect to certain activities not pertinent 
here, section 3(18) of the MMPA defines ``harassment'' as any act of 
pursuit, torment, or annoyance, which (i) has the potential to injure a 
marine mammal or marine mammal stock in the wild (Level A harassment); 
or (ii) has the potential to disturb a marine mammal or marine mammal 
stock in the wild by causing disruption of behavioral patterns, 
including, but not limited to, migration, breathing, nursing, breeding, 
feeding, or sheltering (Level B harassment).
    Authorized takes would be by Level B harassment only, in the form 
of disruption of behavioral patterns and/or TTS for individual marine 
mammals resulting from exposure to noise resulting from use of airguns 
and sparkers (i.e., geophysical survey) and the construction and 
operation of ice trails. Based on the nature of the activity and the 
anticipated effectiveness of the mitigation measures (i.e., shutdown 
zones and ice trails specific measures) discussed in detail below in 
the Proposed Mitigation section, Level A harassment (auditory injury) 
is neither anticipated nor proposed to be authorized.
    As described previously, no serious injury or mortality is 
anticipated or proposed to be authorized for these activities. Below we 
describe how the proposed take numbers are estimated.
    For acoustic impacts, generally speaking, we estimate take by 
considering: (1) acoustic thresholds above which NMFS believes the best 
available science indicates marine mammals will be behaviorally 
harassed or incur some degree of permanent hearing impairment; (2) the 
area or volume of water that will be ensonified above these levels in a 
day; (3) the density or occurrence of marine mammals within these 
ensonified areas; and, (4) the number of days of activities. We note 
that while these factors can contribute to a basic calculation to 
provide an initial prediction of potential takes, additional 
information that can qualitatively inform take estimates is also 
sometimes available (e.g., previous monitoring results or average group 
size). Below, we describe the factors considered here in more detail 
and present the proposed take estimates.

Acoustic Thresholds

    NMFS recommends the use of acoustic thresholds that identify the 
received level of underwater sound above which exposed marine mammals 
would be reasonably expected to be behaviorally harassed (equated to 
Level B harassment) or to incur auditory injury of some degree (equated 
to Level A harassment).
    Level B Harassment--Though significantly driven by received level, 
the onset of behavioral disturbance from anthropogenic noise exposure 
is also informed to varying degrees by other factors related to the 
source or exposure context (e.g., frequency, predictability, duty 
cycle, duration of the exposure, signal-to-noise ratio, distance to the 
source), the environment (e.g., bathymetry, other noises in the area, 
predators in the area), and the receiving animals (hearing, motivation, 
experience, demography, life stage, depth) and can be difficult to 
predict (e.g., Southall et al., 2007, 2021, Ellison et al., 2012). 
Based on what the available science indicates and the practical need to 
use a threshold based on a metric that is both predictable and 
measurable for most activities, NMFS typically recommends use of a 
generalized acoustic threshold based on received level to estimate the 
onset of behavioral harassment. NMFS generally predicts that marine 
mammals are likely to be behaviorally harassed in a manner considered 
to be Level B harassment when exposed to underwater anthropogenic noise 
above root-mean-squared pressure received levels (RMS SPL) of 120 dB 
(referenced to 1 micropascal (re 1 [mu]Pa)) for continuous (e.g., 
vibratory pile driving, drilling) and above RMS SPL 160 dB re 1 [mu]Pa 
for non-explosive impulsive (e.g., seismic airguns) or intermittent 
(e.g., scientific sonar) sources. Generally speaking, Level B 
harassment take estimates based on these behavioral harassment 
thresholds are expected to include any likely takes by TTS as, in most 
cases, the likelihood of TTS occurs at distances from the source less 
than those at which behavioral harassment is likely. TTS of a 
sufficient degree can manifest as behavioral harassment, as reduced 
hearing sensitivity and the potential reduced opportunities to detect 
important signals (conspecific communication, predators, prey) may 
result in changes in behavior patterns that would not otherwise occur.

[[Page 21199]]

    Narwhal's proposed activities include the use of impulsive (single 
airgun and sparker) sources, and therefore, the RMS SPL threshold of 
160 dB re 1 [mu]Pa is applicable. Narwhal's proposed activities also 
include the use of construction equipment while building ice trials, 
which would produce continuous sounds, for which use of the RMS SPL 
threshold of 120 dB re 1 [mu]Pa is applicable. However, as noted in the 
Marine Mammal Effects section, that threshold is not expected to be met 
for the construction equipment that will be used by Narwhal and, in 
general, disturbance of seals due to ice trails activities may be 
attributable broadly to a suite of potential sources of disturbance, 
including acoustic or visual disturbance.
    Level A harassment--NMFS' Updated Technical Guidance for Assessing 
the Effects of Anthropogenic Sound on Marine Mammal Hearing (Version 
3.0) (NMFS, 2024) identifies dual criteria to assess Auditory Injury 
(AUD INJ) (Level A harassment) to five different underwater marine 
mammal groups (based on hearing sensitivity) as a result of exposure to 
noise from two different types of sources (impulsive or non-impulsive). 
Narwhal's proposed activity includes the use of impulsive (i.e., single 
airgun and sparker) sources, and no take of marine mammals is expected 
to result from exposure to continuous noise produced by Narwhal's 
activities (e.g., ice trail construction).
    The 2024 Updated Technical Guidance criteria include both updated 
thresholds and updated weighting functions for each hearing group. The 
thresholds are provided in table 3. The references, analysis, and 
methodology used in the development of the criteria are described in 
NMFS' 2024 Updated Technical Guidance, which may be accessed at: 
<a href="https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/national/marine-mammal-protection/marine-mammal-acoustic-technical-guidance-other-acoustic-tools">https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/national/marine-mammal-protection/marine-mammal-acoustic-technical-guidance-other-acoustic-tools</a>.

                     Table 3--Thresholds Identifying the Onset of Permanent Threshold Shift
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                       AUD INJ Onset Thresholds *  (Received Level)
             Hearing group              ------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                  Impulsive                         Non-impulsive
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low-Frequency (LF) Cetaceans...........  Cell 1: L0-pk,flat: 222     Cell 2: LE,LF,24h: 197 dB.
                                          dB; LE,LF,24h: 183 dB.
High-Frequency (HF) Cetaceans..........  Cell 3: L0-pk,flat: 230     Cell 4: LE,HF,24h: 201 dB.
                                          dB; LE,HF,24h: 193 dB.
Very High-Frequency (VHF) Cetaceans....  Cell 5: L0-pk,flat: 202     Cell 6: LE,VHF,24h: 181 dB.
                                          dB; LE,VHF,24h: 159 dB.
Phocid Pinnipeds (PW) (Underwater).....  Cell 7: L0-pk.flat: 223     Cell 8: LE,PW,24h: 195 dB.
                                          dB; LE,PW,24h: 183 dB.
Otariid Pinnipeds (OW) (Underwater)....  Cell 9: L0-pk,flat: 230     Cell 10: LE,OW,24h: 199 dB.
                                          dB; LE,OW,24h: 185 dB.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                     IN-AIR
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Phocid Pinnipeds (PA)..................  Cell 11: L0-pk.flat: 162    Cell 12: LE,PA,24h: 154 dB.
                                          dB; LE,PA,24h: 140 dB.
Otariid Pinnipeds (OA).................  Cell 13: L0-pk,flat: 177    Cell 14: LE,OA,24h: 177 dB.
                                          dB; LE,OA,24h: 163 dB.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Dual metric thresholds for impulsive sounds: Use whichever results in the largest isopleth for calculating AUD
  INJ onset. If a non-impulsive sound has the potential of exceeding the peak sound pressure level thresholds
  associated with impulsive sounds, these thresholds are recommended for consideration.
Note: Peak sound pressure level (L0-pk) has a reference value of 1 [mu]Pa, and weighted cumulative sound
  exposure level (LE,p) has a reference value of 1[mu]Pa\2\s. In this table, thresholds are abbreviated to be
  more reflective of International Organization for Standardization standards (ISO 2017). The subscript ``flat''
  is being included to indicate peak sound pressure are flat weighted or unweighted within the generalized
  hearing range of marine mammals (i.e., 7 Hz to 165 kHz). The subscript associated with cumulative sound
  exposure level thresholds indicates the designated marine mammal auditory weighting function (LF, HF, and VHF
  cetaceans, and PW and OW pinnipeds) and that the recommended accumulation period is 24 hours. The weighted
  cumulative sound exposure level thresholds could be exceeded in a multitude of ways (i.e., varying exposure
  levels and durations, duty cycle). When possible, it is valuable for action proponents to indicate the
  conditions under which these thresholds will be exceeded.

Ensonified Area for the Single Airgun

    Here, we describe operational and environmental parameters of the 
activity that are used in estimating the area ensonified above the 
acoustic thresholds, including source levels and transmission loss 
coefficient.
    Sound propagation and the distances to the sound isopleths for 
marine mammal hearing groups are defined by NMFS for Level A harassment 
of marine mammals under the 2024 Technical Acoustic Guidance. To assess 
the potential for exposure to underwater sounds that might exceed 
relevant threshold criteria during seismic surveys, Narwhal conducted 
noise modeling of the single 105 cu. in. (1,721 cc) airgun at a 
proposed survey site to determine sound source levels that are shown in 
table 4 based on Gundalf Designer software, which is a seismic source 
modelling software package that may be used to estimate source levels 
of active acoustic sources. The estimated distances discussed in this 
section are used for estimating potential exposures to noise exceeding 
relevant harassment criteria.

 Table 4--Estimated Underwater Sound Source Levels for the Single Airgun
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                 Source
           Source level type  (measured at site 10)              levels
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Peak sound pressure level (Pk SPL) (dB re 1 [mu]Pa @1 m).....        231
Root-mean-square sound pressure level (rms SPL) (dB re 1             204
 [mu]Pa @1 m with a 90%-energy pulse duration of 12.5
 milliseconds)...............................................
Sound exposure level (SEL) (dB re [mu]Pa2[middot]s @1 m).....        193
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Estimated Level A harassment zone distances were modeled for the 
single 105-cu. in. (1,721 cc) airgun, which is an impulsive, mobile 
source. Estimated distances to Level A harassment thresholds for 
weighted SEL<INF>24hr</INF> are

[[Page 21200]]

presented here and in greater detail in Appendix B of the Narwhal 
application. Shallow hazard surveys will be conducted one site at a 
time. Each survey block is approximately 2,400 m (7,874 ft) by 2,400 m 
in area. The airgun will fire every 12.5 m (41 ft) along a track line 
(i.e., every 6 or 7 seconds traveling at a speed of 2 m/s). Therefore, 
there will be an estimated 192 shots per track line. The area of 
ensonification for the seismic survey was calculated by multiplying the 
estimated distances (in km) to the harassment thresholds by the 
distance of the seismic track line (in km) to be surveyed each day. A 
single track line is approximately 2 km (1 mi) in length, which will 
take approximately 20 minutes to shoot assuming a vessel speed of 2 m/
s. In a 24-hour period, assuming no delays, the survey team will be 
able to collect data for approximately 10 km within a site over a 
period of 12 hours.
    Level A harassment zones were calculated using the source levels 
modeled from the Gundalf software. A fluid parabolic equation modelling 
algorithm (RAMGeo) was used to calculate the propagation of noise form 
the airgun source. The noise source was assumed to be omnidirectional 
and modelled as a point source. Only low frequency acoustic energy (<1 
kHz e.g., single airgun) was modeled. Greater detail on the modeling 
methods used by Narwhal are available in Section 6.2.3.1 and Appendix B 
of Narwhal's application. Modeling results estimated Level A harassment 
zone distances for LF cetaceans as 1,076 m (3,530 ft) and for phocids 
as 322 m (1,056 ft) from the seismic source vessel while the airgun is 
operating.
    The following equation is used to estimate the ensonified area:

Mobile Ensonification Area (km2) Equation = Distance*(2*Threshold 
Value/1000) + (Pi*(Threshold Value/1000)[caret]2)

    Following the same process, with additional procedures described in 
Appendix B of Narwhal's application to convert modeled SEL values to 
RMS SPLs, Narwhal estimated the distance to the 160 dB re 1 [mu]Pa 
Level B harassment threshold to be 3,188 m (10,459 ft). Narwhal then 
used the mobile ensonification equation above to calculate the total 
area of the Level B harassment, which resulted in an area of 337.98 
km\2\ (210 mi\2\). It should be noted that since the study area is in 
close proximity to shore, some sound is likely to be truncated by land 
to a certain extent.

Ensonified Area for the Sparker

    Using data from Crocker and Fratantonio (2016), NMFS estimated 
source levels for the sparker to be 213 db RMS while operating at 1000 
joules of energy across 240 active tips.
    Take by Level A harassment is not expected during the use of the 
sparker given the small injury zone sizes expected with the sparker use 
and likelihood that marine mammals will avoid the sound source before 
incurring auditory injury. Using the source levels above, NMFS 
calculated the estimated distance to the 160 dB re 1 [mu]Pa Level B 
harassment threshold to be 447 m (1,467 ft). NMFS then used the same 
mobile ensonification equation to calculate the total area of the Level 
B harassment zone which resulted in an area of 43.54 km\2\ (27 mi\2\).

Disturbance Area for the Ice Trails on the Colville River Delta

    Ringed seals are the only marine mammal expected to be present in 
the project area during winter activities. To estimate incidents of 
disturbance that may constitute a take, the total area of potential 
disturbance (i.e., ice trails) associated with construction and 
maintenance of specific portions of the coastal sea ice trail are 
included in the estimate. As noted in the Description of Marine Mammals 
in the Area of Specified Activities section, ground sea ice (occurring 
>3 m of water depth) is not considered suitable habitat for ringed 
seals. The coastal sea ice trail will be on grounded ice; however, the 
Colville River Delta is included in the take estimate to account for 
the possibility that ringed seals may occur in that section of the 
route given the potential for open leads or cracks in the sea ice, 
which could provide habitat for ringed seals. For the offshore sea ice 
trails/roads in west Harrison Bay, water depths at planned pad 
locations are less than 3 m (average); therefore, the majority of ice 
trails/roads in west Harrison Bay will be on grounded ice or limited 
portions of floating ice in water depths between 1.6 m (5 ft) and 3 m 
(10 ft) and not expected to provided suitable ringed seal habitat.
    The width of the coastal sea ice trail across the Colville River 
Delta is defined as 170 m (558 ft) on either side of the ice trail 
centerline, or a total width of 340 m (1,115 ft). The total width (340 
m or 0.34 km (.21 mi)) is then multiplied by the portion of the total 
length of trail/roads transiting ringed seal habitat, as described 
above. The linear distance of the coastal sea ice trail across the 
Colville River Delta is 57.8 km (36 mi). To calculate the potential 
exposure area, linear distance is multiplied by the total width (i.e., 
57.8 km * 0.34 km = 19.65 km\2\ (12.2 mi\2\). The calculated area of 
disturbance (19.65 km\2\) is applied to activity associated with 
Narwhal's construction, operation, and demobilization phases.

Marine Mammal Density Estimates

    In this section, we provide information about the occurrence of 
marine mammals, including density or other relevant information that 
will inform the take calculations.
    Narwhal and NMFS used a variety of data sources to estimate 
appropriate marine mammal densities for evaluation of potential take 
incidental to the proposed activities. Neither NMFS nor Narwhal relied 
on data available from Ca[ntilde]adas et al. 2020 (Duke University 
Arctic Study Area Models; see <a href="https://seamap.env.duke.edu/models/Duke/Arctic/">https://seamap.env.duke.edu/models/Duke/Arctic/</a>). For bowhead whales, more recent data (through 2021) is 
available in the ASAMM dataset, opposed to the Arctic Study Area Models 
where data through 2019 was used. For bearded seal, estimates of 
density are available but, as noted in Ca[ntilde]adas et al. (2020), 
there is a high degree of observer bias, which leads to uncertainty in 
species identification and, therefore, uncertainty in model outputs and 
resultant densities. Therefore, data from previous, site-specific 
vessel surveys (Funk et al. 2010) provide the best estimates of species 
proportions in Harrison Bay during the open water period. Neither 
spotted seal nor ringed seal density estimates are available from 
Ca[ntilde]adas et al. (2020).
Bowhead Whale
    Bowhead whale sighting data from ASAMM aerial survey Block 3, which 
includes Harrison Bay, for the period 2012-2021 were used to estimate 
bowhead density near the project area. For reference, Harrison Bay is 
approximately 250 km\2\ relative to the larger total area of ASAMM 
survey Block 3. Harrison Bay also is not preferred habitat of bowhead 
whales given the lack of observations from within the bay as noted 
above in the Description of Marine Mammals in the Area of Specified 
Activities Section. Therefore, the density estimates presented here 
could be slightly higher than would be expected in the project area. 
Densities were calculated by Narwhal using a two-step approach. First, 
a sighting rate is calculated based on whales per km, then transect 
length (km) is multiplied by the effective strip width of the transect 
using the modeled effective strip width for bowhead whales observed 
during aerial surveys

[[Page 21201]]

conducted from an Aero Commander airplane (1.15 km (CV = 0.08)) 
(Ferguson and Clarke 2013). Therefore, whales per km\2\ = whales per 
km/(2*1.15 km). For survey Block 3, the average density estimate in 
summer is 0.009 bowhead whales per km\2\ (table 5). The average fall 
density was calculated at 0.017 bowhead whales per km\2\; however, 
since the shallow water hazard survey work is proposed to be completed 
in the summer, NMFS used the summer density for calculating take 
estimates.
    As noted in the Description of Marine Mammals in the Area of 
Specified Activities section, we do not expect bowhead whales to be 
present during Narwhal's winter or spring activities.

                                   Table 5--Bowhead Whale Sighting Data From 2012 Through 2020 and Resulting Densities
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                                      Bowhead whale
                  Survey year                            Survey time period           On transect     sightings on     Bowhead whales    Bowhead whales
                                                                                    distance  (km)      transect           per km           per km\2\
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2012 Summer....................................  Jul-Aug..........................           1,742                 1             0.001             0.004
2012 Fall......................................  Sep-Oct..........................           1,388                26             0.019             0.083
2013 Summer....................................  Jul-Aug..........................             950                 8             0.009            0.0039
2013 Fall......................................  Sep-Oct..........................           1,217                 7             0.006            0.0026
2014 Summer....................................  Jul-Aug..........................           1,290                 0             0.000             0.000
2014 Fall......................................  Sep-Oct..........................           1,927                 1             0.001            0.0004
2015 Summer....................................  Jul-Aug..........................           1,570                 0             0.000             0.000
2015 Fall......................................  Sep-Oct..........................           1,949                66             0.034            0.0148
2016 Summer....................................  Jul-Aug..........................           1,845               259             0.141            0.0613
2016 Fall......................................  Sep-Oct..........................           1,959                61             0.032            0.0139
2017 Summer....................................  Jul-Aug..........................           2,188                 6             0.003            0.0013
2017 Fall......................................  Sep-Oct..........................           2,269                35             0.016            0.0070
2018 Summer....................................  Jul-Aug..........................           2,049                 7             0.004            0.0017
2018 Fall......................................  Sep-Oct..........................           2,390                32             0.014            0.0061
2019 Summer....................................  Jul-Aug..........................           2,822                 7             0.003            0.0013
2019 Fall......................................  Sep-Oct..........................           3,853                 8             0.003            0.0013
2020 Fall......................................  Sep-Oct..........................             654                32             0.049            0.0213
2021 Fall......................................  Sep-Oct..........................           1,637                58             0.035            0.0154
                                                                                                                                       -----------------
    Summer Average.............................  .................................  ..............  ................  ................             0.009
    Fall Average...............................  .................................  ..............  ................  ................             0.017
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Bearded and Spotted Seals
    Spring aerial surveys conducted as part of industry monitoring for 
the Northstar production facility provide limited sighting numbers of 
bearded seals from 1999-2002 (Richardson and Williams, 2002 and 2003). 
Given the lack of bearded seal data in Harrison Bay, NMFS reviewed 
survey data from Funk et al. (2010). This information represents a 
compilation of monitoring data gathered during vessel-based seismic 
operations in the Beaufort Sea from 2006-2008. NMFS considers this the 
best available data to derive a density estimate for bearded seals and 
spotted seals (see below). This survey observed ringed seals, bearded 
seals, spotted seals, ribbon seals, and some unidentified seals. 
Narwhal proposed to base the percentage of seals present in the survey 
area as a percentage of the total identified seals and multiplying that 
percentage by the ringed seal summer/fall density. The density that 
Narwhal proposed in their application was 0.03 bearded seals/km\2\. 
NMFS expects that relying on this method to calculate the percentage of 
bearded and spotted seals may result in underestimation of potential 
seal occurrence.
    Therefore, NMFS modified this approach and calculated the bearded 
seal percentage as a proportion of the observed ringed seals in the 
Funk et al. (2010) survey. NMFS took this approach because the bearded 
seal density was being derived from the ringed seal summer/fall 
density, and such does not utilize the best available scientific 
information and likely underestimates the potential for bearded seal 
take. Percentages calculated using NMFS method are found in table 6 and 
differ from the Narwhal application. Based on this ratio NMFS expects 
that the bearded seal density would be 21.3 percent of the summer/fall 
ringed seal density (0.213 * 0.32 = 0.07 bearded seals/km\2\).
    Similar to the method used for bearded seals, NMFS derived the 
density of spotted seals by first determining the ratio of the number 
spotted seals observed to the number of ringed seals observed from Funk 
et al. (2010) (table 6). Based on this ratio, NMFS expects that the 
spotted seal density would be 34.8 percent of the summer/fall ringed 
seal density (0.348 * 0.32 = 0.11 spotted seals/km\2\).

   Table 6--Bearded Seal and Spotted Seal Ratios Based on the Observed
                  Ringed Seals From Funk et al. (2010)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                          Percentage  of
                         Species                           ringed  seal
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bearded Seal............................................            21.3
Spotted Seal............................................            34.8
------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ringed Seal
    Winter/Spring Density--Narwhal originally proposed in their 
application the use of data from a number of on-ice surveys and aerial 
surveys for ringed seal density estimates for on-ice periods. These 
included site-specific surveys for ringed seals along the Beaufort Sea 
coast that were conducted in association with industry activities in 
the late 1980s and continued into the 2020s (Kelly et al. 1986; Frost 
and Burns 1989; Frost and Lowry 1987; Richardson and Williams 2001, 
2002, and 2004; Frost et al. 2004; Moulton et al. 2005; and Quakenbush 
et al. 2022 and 2023). Several of these studies estimated approximate 
seal densities by considering the detection by trained dogs of seal 
structures such as breathing holes, haulout lairs, or pupping lairs. 
Aerial surveys were also included in the density estimate that

[[Page 21202]]

was completed in the spring of the year. Narwhal proposed a ringed seal 
density estimate for the winter/spring season of 0.49 seals/km\2\ (see 
table 6-3 in Narwhal's application).
    However, NMFS determined that a different approach to use of these 
data for calculating the ringed seal density would be more appropriate, 
as several of the papers used by Narwhal included inconsistent 
correction factors for seal abundance (Quakenbush 2022 and 2023), some 
of the data Narwhal proposed for use was approximately 40 years old, 
and because NMFS assumed that aerial surveys provide a more accurate 
density calculation than on-ice surveys given they are actual seal 
counts rather than counts of potential seal structures. NMFS relied 
only on spring aerial surveys conducted in 1997-2002 (Moulton et al. 
2005) and 1996-1999 (Frost et al. 2004), which included a broad section 
of the total survey area. Densities reported by Moulton et al. (2005) 
were lower than those estimated by Frost et al. (2004) for that same 
area: 0.43 vs. 0.73 seals/km\2\ in 1997, 0.39 vs. 0.64 seals/km\2\ in 
1998, and 0.63 vs. 0.87 seals/km\2\ in 1999. Narwhal had noted that the 
differences in density were mainly because of differences in ice 
composition (fast ice vs. pack ice) between Frost et al. (2004) and 
Moulton et al. (2005). Since these observed densities are for the same 
area and years, NMFS does not believe the higher observed densities 
reported by Frost et al. (2004) are due to differences in the 
composition of sea ice surveyed between the two studies. Further, Frost 
et al. (2004) noted that the two studies were similar in timing and 
methods. For these reasons, NMFS calculated an average density (without 
trimming to calculate the average density) of 0.63 seals/km\2\ using 
these two data sources (table 7).

     Table 7--Ringed Seal Aerial Survey Densities for Winter/Spring
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                             Observed
                 Source                        Year           density
                                                           (seals/km\2\)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Moulton et al. (2005)...................            1997            0.43
Moulton et al. (2005)...................            1998            0.39
Moulton et al. (2005)...................            1999            0.63
Moulton et al. (2005)...................            2000            0.47
Moulton et al. (2005)...................            2001            0.54
Moulton et al. (2005)...................            2002            0.83
Frost et al. (2004).....................            1996            0.81
Frost et al. (2004).....................            1997            0.73
Frost et al. (2004).....................            1998            0.64
Frost et al. (2004).....................            1999            0.87
                                         -------------------------------
    Average.............................  ..............            0.63
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Summer/Fall Density--Hauser et al. (2008) summarized sighting data 
from a 2008 seismic survey (inside and outside the barrier islands) 
near Thetis Island north and east of the action area. Hauser et al. 
(2008) found that most seal sightings were observed in waters seaward 
of the barrier islands (~76 percent of 38 sightings). Sightings of 
ringed seals in the shallow waters shoreward of the barrier islands 
were substantially lower. Narwhal's action area is most similar to what 
Hauser et al. (2008) defined as shallow waters. Hauser et al. (2008) 
reported a seal density for all species combined of 0.11 seals/km\2\ 
for shallow waters during open-water conditions.
    While this average seal density based on actual observations do not 
reflect seals that may not have been visible to observers, several 
publications acknowledge that during open-water months, ringed seals 
are more abundant farther offshore (Harwood and Stirling 1992, Kelly et 
al. 2010b, McLaren 1958, Von Duyke et al. 2020). For example, 1999 
aerial surveys conducted over 8 days near Prudhoe Bay reported that the 
density of seals visible near shore decreased compared to the density 
offshore (Richardson and Williams 2000b). Narwhal estimated a summer 
density for ringed seals by using a 50 percent conversion factor of the 
winter/spring densities (table 8). NMFS agrees with this methodology 
and estimated the summer/fall density to be 0.32 seals/km\2\ (i.e., 50 
percent of 0.63 seals/km\2\ the winter/spring density).

Take Estimation

    Here, we describe how the information provided above is synthesized 
to produce a quantitative estimate of the take that is reasonably 
likely to occur and proposed for authorization.
    For all marine mammal species, NMFS does not expect or propose to 
authorize take by Level A harassment during any activities. Narwhal 
proposes to implement an 1,100 m (3,608 ft) shutdown zone for LF 
cetaceans and a 350 m (1,148 ft) shutdown zone for phocids during the 
operation of the single 105 cu. in. (1,721 cc) airgun. These zones are 
larger than the respective Level A harassment zones and therefore, 
would reduce the already low likelihood of take by Level A harassment. 
Take by Level A harassment is unlikely because Narwhal would shutdown 
the single airgun before a marine mammal would enter the Level A 
harassment zone. Take by Level A harassment is also unlikely because 
animals will avoid the area of active acoustic sources.
    Summer/Fall Take Estimates--As described above, the estimated Level 
B harassment area for the seismic airgun is 337.98 km\2\ and for the 
sparker 43.54 km\2\. Given that the Level B harassment zone of 447 m 
for the sparker, it is expected that Narwhal would implement a shutdown 
zone of 500 m for bowhead whales and no take of bowhead whales would 
occur during sparker use. Similar to the single airgun, Narwhal would 
shutdown the sparker before a marine mammal would enter the Level A 
harassment zone and therefore prevent take by Level A harassment. This 
area was used to determine the number of take based on the densities of 
marine mammals as described above multiplied by the number of days 
(i.e., 12 days of seismic survey and sparker use) of activity. NMFS 
expects the number of take for each species as outlined in table 8.

[[Page 21203]]



          Table 8--Estimated Level B Harassment of Marine Mammals During Shallow Hazard Survey Activity
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                  Ensonified                                        Total take
                                    Density       area of the   Ensonified  area      Days of       estimate by
            Species             (animal/km\2\)      airgun       of the  sparker     activity         Level B
                                                    (km\2\)          (km\2\)                        harassment
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bowhead Whale.................           0.009          337.98  N/A for take                  12              37
                                                                 calculation.
Ringed Seal...................           0.320          337.98  43.54...........              12           1,465
Bearded Seal..................           0.070          337.98  43.54...........              12             320
Spotted Seal..................           0.110          337.98  43.54...........              12             504
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Winter/Spring Take Estimate--NMFS estimated the take estimates 
based on the total construction and operation area that would be 
affected during the winter period. As discussed previously, the total 
potential disturbance area of the Colville River Delta sea ice trail is 
estimated to be 19.65 km. NMFS multiplied the area of the sea ice trail 
with the winter/spring density of ringed seals for the construction, 
operation, and demobilization activities to determine the total number 
of potential takes by Level B harassment for ringed seals (table 9).

     Table 9--Estimated Level B Harassment of Ringed Seals During Colville River Delta Coastal Sea Ice Trail
                                                   Activities
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                                    Total take
                                                      Area of         Density         Days of       estimate by
             Sea ice trail  activity                disturbance   (animal/km\2\)     activity         Level B
                                                      (km\2\)                                       harassment
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Construction....................................           19.65            0.63              25             300
Operation.......................................           19.65            0.63              40             480
Demobilization..................................           19.65            0.63              22             264
                                                 ---------------------------------------------------------------
    Total.......................................  ..............  ..............  ..............           1,044
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The total number of take estimated for Narwhal's specified activity 
is available in table 10.

                                          Table 10--Summary of All Marine Mammal Exposures Requested by Species
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                           Total take by
                                                                           Total take by      Level B
                                                                              Level B       harassment     Total take by                     Take as a
                  Species                               Stock               harassment      during ice        Level B       Population    percentage  of
                                                                            during the         trail        harassment       estimate           the
                                                                           shallow water   construction                                     population
                                                                           hazard survey   and operation
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bowhead Whale.............................  Western Artic...............              37               0              37          15,277             0.2
Ringed Seals..............................  Artic.......................           1,465           1,044           2,509     \a\ 342,836             0.7
Bearded Seals.............................  Beringia....................             320               0             320     \b\ 301,836             0.1
Spotted Seals.............................  Bering......................             504               0             504         461,625             0.1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ Conn et al. (2014) calculated an abundance estimate of 171,418 using a subset of aerial survey data collected in 2012 by Moreland et al. (2013) that
  covered the entire ice-covered portions of the Bering Sea. This estimate is consider to be low and was multiplied by a factor of two (Young et al.
  2023).
\b\ Conn et al. (2014), using a sub-sample of the data collected from the U.S. portion of the Bering Sea in 2012, calculated an abundance estimate of
  301,836 bearded seals (Young et al. 2023).

Potential Effects of Specified Activities on Subsistence Uses of Marine 
Mammals

    The availability of the affected marine mammal stocks or species 
for subsistence uses may be impacted by this activity. The subsistence 
uses that may be affected and the potential impacts of the activity on 
those uses are described below. Measures included in this IHA to reduce 
the impacts of the activity on subsistence uses are described in the 
Proposed Mitigation section. Last, the information from this section 
and the Proposed Mitigation section is analyzed to determine whether 
the necessary findings may be made in the Unmitigable Adverse Impact 
Analysis and Determination section.
    The communities of Nuiqsut, Utqiagvik and Kaktovik engage in 
subsistence harvests off the North Slope of Alaska. Alaska Native 
communities have harvested bowhead whales for subsistence and cultural 
purposes with oversight and quotas regulated by the International 
Whaling Commission (IWC). The NSB Department of Wildlife Management has 
been conducting bowhead whale subsistence harvest research since the 
early 1980's to collect the data needed by the IWC to set harvest 
quotas. Impacts to bowhead whales and ice seals would include limited, 
temporary behavioral disturbances only. Level A harassment, serious 
injury, or mortality of marine mammals is not anticipated from the 
proposed activities, and the activities are not expected to have any 
impacts on

[[Page 21204]]

reproductive or survival rates of any marine mammal species at any of 
the locations where subsistence harvest is occurring.
    These communities also engage in subsistence harvest of beluga and 
gray whales. NMFS is not proposing to authorize take of these species 
in this IHA (see Description of Marine Mammals in the Area of Specified 
Activities section), and therefore, the specified activities are not 
expected to affect the availability to access belugas and gray whales 
for subsistence use. Additional information on subsistence harvest of 
these species is included below. Most of the Beaufort Sea population of 
beluga whales migrate from the Bering Sea into the Beaufort Sea in 
April or May. The spring migration routes through ice leads are similar 
to those of the bowhead whale. Fall migration through the western 
Beaufort Sea is in September or October. Surveys of the fall 
distribution strongly indicate that most belugas migrate offshore along 
the pack ice front beyond the reach of subsistence harvesters. Beluga 
whales are harvested opportunistically during the bowhead harvest and 
throughout ice-free months. No beluga whale harvests were reported in 
2006 survey interviews conducted by Stephen R. Braund & Associates 
(SRBA) in any community (SRBA 2010). Beluga harvests were also not 
reported in Nuiqsut and Kaktovik, although households did report using 
beluga whale, likely through sharing from other communities (Brown et 
al., 2016). Gray whale harvests were not reported by any of the 
communities surveyed by ADF&G in any of the survey years.

Nuiqsut

    The proposed oil and gas exploration activities would occur closest 
to the marine subsistence use area used by the Native Village of 
Nuiqsut. Nuiqsut is located on the west bank of the Nechelik Channel on 
the lower Colville River, about 25 mi (40 km) from the Arctic Ocean and 
approximately 150 mi (242 km) southeast of Utqiagvik. Nuiqsut 
subsistence hunters utilize an extensive search area, across the 
central Arctic Slope (Brown et al., 2016). Marine mammal hunting is 
primarily concentrated in two areas: (1) Harrison Bay, between Atigaru 
Point and Oliktok Point, including a northward extent of approximately 
50 mi (80 km) beyond the Colville River Delta (Brown et al., 2016); and 
(2) east of the Colville River Delta between Prudhoe and Foggy Island 
bays, which includes an area of approximately 100 square mi surrounding 
the Midway Islands, McClure Island and Cross Island (Brown et al., 
2016).
    Ringed, spotted and bearded seals are also harvested by the 
community of Nuiqsut. Seal hunting typically begins in April and May 
with the onset of warmer temperatures. Many residents continue to hunt 
seals after spring breakup as well (Brown et al., 2016). The most 
important seal hunting area for Nuiqsut hunters is off the Colville 
Delta, an area extending as far west as Fish Creek and as far east as 
Pingok Island. Seal hunting search areas by Nuiqsut hunters also 
include Harrison Bay, and a 30-mi (48-km) stretch northeast of Nuiqsut 
between the Colville and Kuparuk rivers, near Simpson Lagoon and Jones 
Islands (Brown et al., 2016). Cross Island is a productive area for 
seals, but is too far from Nuiqsut to be used on a regular basis.
    Nuiqsut residents commonly harvest ringed seal in the Beaufort Sea 
during the summer months (SRBA 2010). There are a higher number of use 
areas extending east and west of the Colville River delta. Residents 
reported traveling as far as Cape Halkett to the west and Camden Bay to 
the east in search of ringed seal. Survey respondents reported 
traveling offshore up to 30 mi (48 km; SRBA 2010). Residents reported 
hunting ringed seals throughout the late spring, summer, and early fall 
with a higher number of use areas reported in June, July, and August 
(SRBA 2010). In 2006, 12 people (36 percent of survey respondents) 
indicated that they had recently hunted for ringed seals in Nuiqsut 
(SRBA 2010).
    Nuiqsut bearded seal hunting areas extend as far west as Cape 
Halkett, as far east as Camden Bay, and offshore up to 40 mi (64 km). 
In 2006, 12 people (69 percent of survey respondents) indicated that 
they had recently hunted for bearded seals in Nuiqsut (SRBA 2010). 
Nuiqsut hunters reported hunting bearded seal during the summer season 
in open water as the seals are following the ice pack. Residents 
reported hunting bearded seal between June and September, although a 
small number of use areas were reportedly used in May and October (SRBA 
2010). The number of reported bearded seal use areas peak in July and 
August, when the majority of seals are available along the ice pack 
(SRBA 2010).
    Nuiqsut's bowhead whale hunt occurs in the fall at Cross Island, a 
barrier island located approximately 90 mi (144 km) east of west 
Harrison Bay. Nuiqsut whalers base their activities from Cross Island 
(Galginaitis 2014), and the whaling search and the harvest areas 
typically are concentrated north of the island. Hunting activities 
between 1997 and 2006 occurred almost as far west as Thetis Island, as 
far east as Barter Island (Kaktovik), and up to approximately 50 mi (80 
km) offshore (SRBA 2010). Harvest locations in 1973-2011 and GPS tracks 
of 2001-2020 whaling efforts are shown in figure 4-7 of Narwhal's 
application.
    Bowhead whales are harvested by Nuiqsut whalers during the fall 
whaling season. Nuiqsut residents typically hunt bowhead whales in 
September, although a small number of use areas were reported in August 
and extending into October (SRBA 2010). While seismic operations would 
occur during Nuiqsut whaling season, the proposed project area is at a 
distance that would not affect whaling operations. The distance to 
whaling grounds used by Nuiqsut residents is approximately 100 mi (155 
km) east of the project area and further than expected acoustic effects 
of the shallow hazard survey.
    Nuiqsut subsistence hunting crews operating from Cross Island have 
typically harvested three to four bowhead whales per year (Bacon et 
al., 2009; Galginaitis 2014; Suydam et al. 2020). In 2014, the AEWC 
allocated Nuiqsut a quota of four bowhead whales each year; however, 
through transfers of quota from other communities, in 2015 Nuiqsut was 
able to harvest five whales (Brown et al., 2016). In 2006, 10 people 
(30 percent of survey respondents) in Nuiqsut indicated that they had 
recently hunted for bowhead whales (SRBA 2010). In 2016, Nuiqsut 
whaling crews harvested four bowhead whales (Suydam et al., 2017). In 
2019, Nuiqsut whaling crews harvested three bowhead whales (Suydam et 
al., 2020).
    Narwhal plans to sign a Conflict Avoidance Agreement (CAA) with 
Nuiqsut to reduce any impacts to Nuiqsut whaling season (see Proposed 
Mitigation section). Narwhal has consulted with AEWC and NSB on 
mitigation measures to limit impacts and has continued to provide 
formal and informal project updates to these groups, as recently as 
April 2025.
    The proposed activities are not expected to impact marine mammals 
in numbers or locations that would affect the availability for 
subsistence harvest given the short-term, temporary, and localized 
nature of seismic operations and ice trials construction, and the 
proposed mitigation measures. Impacts to marine mammals would mostly 
include limited, temporary behavioral disturbances of bowhead whales 
and seals. Serious injury or mortality of marine mammals is not 
anticipated from the proposed activities, and the activities are not 
expected to have any

[[Page 21205]]

impacts on reproductive or survival rates of any marine mammal species.
    In summary, impacts to subsistence hunting are not expected due to 
the distance between Narwhal activities and primary seal hunting areas 
and proposed mitigation for subsistence activities below during the 
Nuiqsut bowhead whale hunt.

Utqiagvik

    Utqiagvik (formerly known as Barrow) is the northernmost community 
on the North Slope and the United States and is approximately 179.6 km 
(111.6 mi) northwest of Harrison Bay. According to Brown et al. (2016), 
71 percent of households reported using marine mammals as a resource. 
Of the marine mammals harvested, bowhead whale made up the largest 
composition of marine mammals harvested at 54 percent by weight while 
bearded seals represented 30 percent, ringed seals 2 percent, and 
beluga whale 2 percent of total marine mammal weight harvested (Brown 
et al., 2016). Bowhead whale was reported as a resource used in 70 
percent of households, bearded seal in 44 percent of households, ringed 
seal in 19 percent of households, beluga whale in 15 percent of 
households, and spotted seals in 5 percent.
    The spring hunt of bowhead whales occurs while bowheads are making 
their migration east toward the eastern Beaufort Sea. Crews begin to 
camp on the ice in mid- to late-April and stay out on the edge of the 
ice for about 2-6 weeks, depending on the condition of the ice (Brown 
et al., 2016). During the fall bowhead migration west, crews travel on 
open boat, making day trips from the community. During the summer 
months of July and August, bearded seals and ringed seals are targeted 
offshore near ice floes (Brown et al., 2016).
    The community of Utqia[gdot]vik's subsistence activities occur 
outside of the specified geographical region. We do not expect impacts 
to Utqia[gdot]vik's subsistence activities, and they are not discussed 
further beyond the explanation provided here. Impacts to marine mammals 
from the planned oil and gas exploratory activities would mostly 
include limited, temporary behavioral disturbances of seals. 
Additionally, a small number of takes of bowhead whales, by Level B 
harassment only, are predicted to occur in the vicinity of Narwhal's 
activity. Even if some subset of taken individuals deflected farther 
offshore near the project site, it is reasonable to predict that most 
individuals would likely resume a more typical migration path by the 
time they reach the Utqia[gdot]vik hunting area, and therefore, 
significant impacts to the Utqia[gdot]vik hunt would be unlikely.
    The planned activities and associated harassment of marine mammals 
are not expected to impact marine mammals in numbers or locations 
sufficient to render them unavailable for Utqia[gdot]vik subsistence 
harvest given the short-term, temporary, and localized nature of survey 
and ice trail construction and operation activities and the planned 
mitigation measures. Additionally, no serious injury or mortality of 
marine mammals is expected or proposed for authorization.

Kaktovik

    Kaktovik is the easternmost village in the NSB. Kaktovik is located 
on the north shore of Barter Island, situated between the Okpilak and 
Jago rivers on the Beaufort Sea coast. Kaktovik's subsistence-harvest 
areas are to the east of the project area and target marine mammal 
species migrating eastward during spring and summer. This migration 
occurs seaward of the project area and westward in the fall.
    Kaktovik bowhead whale hunters reported traveling between Camden 
Bay to the west and Nuvagapak Lagoon to the east (SRBA 2010). This 
range does not include the project area impacted by the activities 
analyzed for this proposed IHA. The small number of takes of bowhead 
whales, by Level B harassment only, predicted to occur in the vicinity 
of Narwhal's activity are not expected to have any impacts on the 
fitness of any bowhead whales. Further, we do not expect Narwhal's 
activities to deflect the bowhead whale migration offshore in the 
Kaktovik hunting area, given the distance from the western extent of 
the hunting area (Camden Bay) to Narwhal's proposed project area. Even 
if some subset of taken individuals deflected farther offshore near the 
project area, it is reasonable to predict that most individuals would 
likely resume a more typical migration path by the time they reach the 
Kaktovik hunting area during the eastbound migration, and during the 
westbound migration, a bowhead exposed to project noise would have 
already passed the hunting area prior to exposure. Significant impacts 
to the Kaktovik hunt would be unlikely, and Kaktovik bowhead whale 
hunting is not discussed further.
    Ringed, spotted and bearded seals are harvested by the community of 
Kaktovik. Residents hunt seals in rivers during ice-free months, 
primarily July-August. Ringed seals are an important subsistence 
resource for Alaska Natives living in communities along the Beaufort 
Sea coast. Kaktovik hunters travel by boat to look for ringed seals on 
floating ice (often while also hunting for bearded seal) or sometimes 
along the ice edge by snow machine before break-up during the spring 
(SRBA 2010). In 2006, 7 people (18 percent of survey respondents) 
indicated that they had recently hunted for ringed seals in Kaktovik 
(SRBA 2010). Residents reported looking for ringed seal, usually while 
also searching for bearded seal, offshore between Prudhoe Bay to the 
west and Demarcation Bay to the east (SRBA 2010). Ringed seal hunting 
typically peaks between March and August but continues into September 
(SRBA 2010). Although residents reported hunting ringed seals up to 
approximately 30 mi (48 km) from shore, the most overlapping use areas 
generally occur within a few miles from shore (SRBA 2010). Harvest of 
ringed seals by Kaktovik hunters does not typically occur to the west 
of Prudhoe Bay and therefore, is not expected to be affected by 
Narwhal's proposed activities. Additionally, impacts to ringed seals 
are expected to include temporary behavioral disturbances only. Level A 
harassment, serious injury, or mortality of ringed seals is not 
anticipated from the proposed activities, and the activities are not 
expected to have any impacts on ringed seal reproductive or survival 
rates, or to impact availability of ringed seals. Therefore, Narwhal's 
proposed activities are not expected to impact Kaktovik ringed seal 
harvests.
    Kaktovik bearded seal hunting occurs along the coast as far west as 
Prudhoe Bay and as far east as the United States/Canada border (SRBA 
2010). Residents reported looking for bearded seal as far as 
approximately 30 mi (48 km) from shore but generally hunt them closer 
to shore, up to 5 mi (8 km; SRBA 2010). Between 1994 and 2003, 29 
bearded seals were taken in Kaktovik. In 2006, 7 people (18 percent of 
survey respondents) indicated that they had recently hunted for bearded 
seals in Kaktovik (SRBA 2010). Bearded seal hunting activities, like 
ringed seal, begin in March, peaking in July and August, and then 
conclude in September (SRBA 2010). Kaktovik hunters harvested 126 
pounds (57.15 kilograms) of spotted seals in 1992 (ADF&G Community 
Subsistence Information System; retrieved and analyzed August 15, 
2018). Spotted seals were not reported harvested in 2006 survey 
interviews conducted in Nuiqsut (SRBA 2010).
    The community of Kaktovik is approximately 200 (direct) mi (320 km) 
from the proposed project in west Harrison Bay; subsistence activities 
for these communities occur outside of the

[[Page 21206]]

project area and associated Level A and Level B harassment zones. The 
proposed oil and gas exploration would occur in west Harrison Bay, 
which is in an area that is not typically used for subsistence hunting 
by residents of Kaktovik.
    Because of the distance from Kaktovik, it is unlikely that the 
planned activities would have any effects on the use of marine mammals 
for subsistence by residents of Kaktovik. Further, the proposed 
activities are not expected to impact marine mammals in numbers or 
locations sufficient to render them unavailable for subsistence harvest 
given the short-term, temporary, and localized nature of project 
activities, and the proposed mitigation measures. Therefore, we do not 
discuss Kaktovik's subsistence activities further.

Proposed Mitigation

    In order to issue an IHA under section 101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA, 
NMFS must set forth the permissible methods of taking pursuant to the 
activity, and other means of effecting the least practicable impact on 
the species or stock and its habitat, paying particular attention to 
rookeries, mating grounds, and areas of similar significance, and on 
the availability of the species or stock for taking for certain 
subsistence uses. NMFS regulations require applicants for incidental 
take authorizations to include information about the availability and 
feasibility (economic and technological) of equipment, methods, and 
manner of conducting the activity or other means of effecting the least 
practicable adverse impact upon the affected species or stocks, and 
their habitat (50 CFR 216.104(a)(11)).
    In evaluating how mitigation may or may not be appropriate to 
ensure the least practicable adverse impact on species or stocks and 
their habitat, as well as subsistence uses where applicable, NMFS 
considers two primary factors:
    (1) The manner in which, and the degree to which, the successful 
implementation of the measure(s) is expected to reduce impacts to 
marine mammals, marine mammal species or stocks, and their habitat, as 
well as subsistence uses. This considers the nature of the potential 
adverse impact being mitigated (likelihood, scope, range). It further 
considers the likelihood that the measure will be effective if 
implemented (probability of accomplishing the mitigating result if 
implemented as planned), the likelihood of effective implementation 
(probability implemented as planned), and;
    (2) The practicability of the measures for applicant 
implementation, which may consider such things as cost and impact on 
operations.

Mitigation for Shallow Water Hazard Surveys

    Vessels used during the surveys will not allow lines to remain in 
the water unless both ends are under tension and affixed to vessels or 
gear. No materials capable of becoming entangled around marine mammals 
will be discarded into marine waters.
    Vessel-Visual Based Mitigation Monitoring--Visual monitoring 
requires the use of trained observers (herein referred to as visual 
protected species observers (PSOs)) to scan the ocean surface visually 
for the presence of marine mammals. PSOs shall establish and monitor a 
pre-start clearance zone (shutdown zones in table 11) and, to the 
extent practicable, a Level B harassment zone (table 11). These zones 
shall be based upon the radial distance from the edges of the acoustic 
source (rather than being based around the vessel itself). The shutdown 
zones are based off the size of the Level A harassment zone with 
slightly larger areas to ensure shutdown before the animal enters the 
harassment zone. During pre-start clearance (i.e., before ramp-up 
begins), the pre-start clearance zone is the area in which observations 
of marine mammals within the zone would prevent airgun and sparker 
operations from beginning (i.e., ramp-up). The pre-start clearance zone 
would encompass the shutdown zones.
    During survey operations (e.g., any day on which use of the 
acoustic source is planned to occur, and whenever the acoustic source 
is in the water, whether activated or not), a minimum of two PSOs 
during the operation of the airgun and a minimum of one PSO during the 
operation of the sparker must be on duty and conducting visual 
observations at all times during daylight hours (i.e., from 30 minutes 
prior to sunrise through 30 minutes following sunset). Visual 
monitoring must begin no less than 15 minutes prior to use of the 
acoustic source and must continue until 1 hour after use of the 
acoustic source ceases or until 30 minutes past sunset. Visual PSO(s) 
must coordinate to ensure 360 degree visual coverage around the vessel 
from the most appropriate observation posts, and must conduct visual 
observations using binoculars and the naked eye while free from 
distractions and in a consistent, systematic, and diligent manner.
    Any observations of marine mammals by crew members shall be relayed 
to the PSO team. During good conditions (e.g., daylight hours, Beaufort 
sea state (BSS) 3 or less), visual PSOs shall conduct observations when 
the acoustic source is not operating for comparison of sightings rates 
and behavior with and without use of the acoustic source and between 
acquisition periods, to the maximum extent practicable.
    Visual PSOs may be on watch for a maximum of 4 consecutive hours 
followed by a break of at least 1 hour between watches and may conduct 
a maximum of 12 hours of observation per 24-hour period.
    Pre-Start Clearance and Ramp-Up--A ramp-up procedure, involving a 
gradual increase in source level output, is not required for use of the 
airgun but would be required at the start of the activation of the 
sparker when technically feasible. Operators should ramp up sparker 
source to half power for 5 minutes and then proceed to full power. A 
15-minute pre-start clearance observation period must occur prior to 
the start of ramp-up. The intent of pre-start clearance observation (15 
minutes) is to ensure no marine mammals are within the shutdown zones 
prior to the beginning of ramp-up. The intent of ramp-up is to warn 
marine mammals of pending operations and to allow sufficient time for 
those animals to leave the immediate vicinity. A 15 minute pre-start 
clearance period is proposed for all species for this project due to 
the quick succession of track lines and in general the shallow water of 
the project area. All sound source operators must adhere to the 
following pre-start clearance and ramp-up requirements:
    <bullet> The operator must notify a designated PSO of the planned 
start of ramp-up as agreed upon with the lead PSO; the notification 
time should not be less than 60 minutes prior to the planned ramp-up in 
order to allow the PSOs time to monitor the shutdown zones for 15 
minutes prior to the initiation of ramp-up (pre-start clearance). 
During this 15 minute pre-start clearance period, the entire applicable 
shutdown zones must be visible, except as indicated in below.
    <bullet> Source use shall be scheduled so as to minimize the time 
spent with the source activated prior to the start of acquisition.
    <bullet> A visual PSO conducting pre-start clearance observations 
must be notified again immediately prior to initiating ramp-up 
procedures and the operator must receive confirmation from the PSO to 
proceed.
    <bullet> Any PSO on duty has the authority to delay the start of 
survey operations if a protected species is detected within the 
applicable pre-start clearance zone.

[[Page 21207]]

    <bullet> The operator must establish and maintain clear lines of 
communication directly between PSOs on duty and crew controlling the 
acoustic source to ensure that mitigation commands are conveyed swiftly 
while allowing PSOs to maintain watch.
    <bullet> Ramp-up may not be initiated if any marine mammal is 
within the applicable shutdown zone. If a marine mammal is observed 
within the applicable shutdown zone during the 15 minute pre-start 
clearance period, ramp-up may not begin until the animal(s) has been 
observed exiting the zones or until an additional time period has 
elapsed with no further sightings (15 minutes for all marine mammals).
    <bullet> PSOs must monitor the shutdown zones 15 minutes before and 
during ramp-up, and ramp-up must cease and the source must be shut down 
upon observation of a marine mammal within the applicable shutdown 
zone.
    <bullet> Ramp-up may occur at times of poor visibility, including 
nighttime, if appropriate visual monitoring has occurred with no 
detections of protected species in the 15 minutes prior to beginning 
ramp-up.
    <bullet> If the acoustic source is shut down for brief periods 
(i.e., less than 30 minutes) for reasons other than implementation of 
prescribed mitigation (e.g., mechanical difficulty), it may be 
activated again without ramp-up if PSOs have maintained constant visual 
observation and no detections of protected species have occurred within 
the applicable shutdown zone. For any longer shutdown, pre-start 
clearance observation and ramp-up are required.

Shutdown Procedures

    Any PSO on duty will have the authority to call for shutdown of the 
acoustic sources, as appropriate. The operator must also establish and 
maintain clear lines of communication directly between PSOs on duty and 
crew controlling the acoustic sources to ensure that shutdown commands 
are conveyed swiftly while allowing PSOs to maintain watch. Narwhal 
must implement shutdown if a marine mammal species for which take was 
not authorized or a species for which authorization was granted but the 
authorized takes have been met approaches the Level B harassment zone. 
If the seismic activity is halted due to the presence of a marine 
mammal, the activity may not resume until either the animal has 
voluntarily exited and been visually confirmed beyond the shutdown zone 
indicated in table 11, or 15 minutes have passed without re-detection 
of any marine mammal.

                     Table 11--Shutdown Zones and Level B Harassment Zones for Each Activity
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                    Shutdown zone radius  (m)         Level B
                                                               ----------------------------------   harassment
                           Activity                               Low-frequency       Phocid        zone radius
                                                                    cetaceans        pinnipeds          (m)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Single Airgun.................................................             1,100             350           3,188
Sparker.......................................................               500             N/A             447
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Vessel Strike Avoidance

    Crew and supply vessel personnel should use an appropriate 
reference guide that includes identifying information on all marine 
mammals and other marine aquatic protected species that may be 
encountered. Vessel operators must comply with the below measures 
except under extraordinary circumstances when the safety of the vessel 
or crew is in doubt or the safety of life at sea is in question.
    <bullet> Vessel operators and crews must maintain a vigilant watch 
for all protected species and slow down, stop their vessel, or alter 
course, as appropriate and regardless of vessel size, to avoid striking 
any protected species. A single protected species at the surface may 
indicate the presence of submerged animals in the vicinity of the 
vessel; therefore, precautionary measures should always be exercised. A 
visual observer aboard the vessel must monitor a vessel strike 
avoidance zone around the vessel (species-specific distances detailed 
below). Visual observers monitoring the vessel strike avoidance zone 
may be third-party observers (i.e., PSOs) or crew members, but crew 
members responsible for these duties must be provided sufficient 
training to (1) distinguish protected species from other phenomena and 
(2) broadly to identify a marine mammal as a whale, seal, or other 
marine mammals.
    <bullet> Vessel speed within west Harrison Bay must generally be 
restricted to 15 knots (kn) or less, must be reduced to 5 kn if within 
300 yds (274 m) of a whale and must be reduced to 10 kn or less when 
weather conditions reduce visibility to 1.6 km or less;
    <bullet> All vessels must maintain a minimum separation distance of 
100 m from bowhead whales. If a bowhead whale is sighted within the 
relevant separation distance, the vessel must steer a course away at 10 
knots or less until the 100-m separation distance has been established.
    <bullet> All vessels must, to the maximum extent practicable, 
attempt to maintain a minimum separation distance of 100 yds (91 m) 
from all other marine mammals, with an understanding that at times this 
may not be possible (e.g., for animals that approach the vessel), and;
    <bullet> When protected species are sighted while a vessel is 
underway, the vessel shall take action as necessary to avoid violating 
the relevant separation distance (e.g., attempt to remain parallel to 
the animal's course, avoid excessive speed or abrupt changes in 
direction until the animal has left the area, reduce speed and shift 
the engine to neutral). This does not apply to any vessel towing gear 
or any vessel that is navigationally constrained

Mitigation for the Sea Ice Trail Crossing the Colville River Delta

    Unless otherwise noted, these measures apply to ringed seals and 
the portion of the sea ice trail crossing the Colville River Delta. 
Take is only expected for this section of trail because this is the 
only suitable ringed seal habitat the ice trails will cross. These 
mitigation measures are organized into the following categories: (1) 
general mitigation measures (implemented throughout the ice trail 
season, which occurs generally from December through May) and (2) 
mitigation measures that begin after March 1st.

General Ice Trail Mitigation Measures

    Ice trail mitigation measures are based on the following 
assumptions: ice trail construction occurs from approximately December 
1st to mid-February (or as soon as sea ice conditions allow safe access 
and permit such activity); operations and maintenance generally occur 
from approximately mid-January through mid- to late May. Ringed seals

[[Page 21208]]

begin to establish birth lairs in late March. Therefore, ice trail 
construction should be initiated no later than March 1st (i.e., 
surface-disturbing activities such as clearing or packing of snow or 
grading to be completed for the full spatial extent of the ice trails 
prior to March 1st) to reduce the potential for disturbance to ringed 
seal birth lairs/dens; and disturbance associated with construction 
prior to March 1st may deter pregnant seals from establishing birth 
lairs in the disturbed areas.
    The following mitigation measures will be implemented throughout 
the entire ice trail season, including during construction, 
maintenance, active use, and decommissioning:
    <bullet> Personnel shall not approach or interact with any 
wildlife.
    <bullet> Personnel must follow directions of Security and posted 
signs when traveling the ice trail.
    <bullet> Workers must notify appropriate personnel if a seal is 
observed within 50 meters, or if a seal structure (i.e., breathing hole 
or lair) is observed within 150 m, of the centerline of the ice trail.
    <bullet> Workers must stay in the vehicle and continue traveling at 
a constant speed if a seal is observed near the trail. Do not slow 
down, stop, or exit the vehicle.
    <bullet> Transport vehicles (passenger vehicles and trucks hauling 
goods) will not stop within 50 m (164 ft) of observed seals or 150 m 
(about 500 ft) of known seal lairs. Instead, they will continue 
travelling at a constant speed.
    <bullet> Ice trail speed limits will be 45 miles per hour (mph) or 
less, based on environmental, road conditions, and ice trail longevity 
considerations.
    <bullet> Delineators will mark the roadway in a minimum of \1/4\-
mile increments on both sides of the portions of ice trails in west 
Harrison Bay to delineate the path of vehicle travel and areas of 
planned on-ice activities (e.g., emergency response exercises). 
Delineators may also be used to mark the centerline of the roadway.
    <bullet> Corners of rig mats, steel plates, and other materials 
used to bridge sections of hazardous ice will be clearly marked or 
mapped using GPS coordinates of the locations.
    <bullet> Any seal structures (i.e., breathing holes and lairs) 
observed will be avoided by a minimum of 150 meters (about 500 feet) 
during ice testing and new trail construction and their locations will 
be reported and physically marked.
    <bullet> Personnel will be instructed that approaching or 
interacting with seals is prohibited.
    <bullet> If a seal is observed within 50 meters (164 feet) or if a 
seal structure (i.e., breathing hole or lair) is detected within 150 
meters (about 500 feet) of the centerline of an ice trail, the project 
proponent's Environmental Specialist or Project Manager will be 
informed of the observation, who will then carry out the notification 
protocol and implement the procedures described in the General 
Monitoring Measures for Ice Trails section (below). The following 
procedures will also be followed:
    [cir] The location of the seal or seal structure will be physically 
marked (e.g., at its position along the axis of the ice trail) by 
placing a readily visible marker (e.g., pole and flag) within 15 meters 
(50 feet) of the edge of the ice trail, while maintaining a distance of 
at least 15 meters (50 feet) from the seal/seal structure.
    [cir] Construction, maintenance, or decommissioning work will not 
occur within 50 meters (164 feet) of the seal, but may proceed as soon 
as the seal, of its own accord, moves farther than 50 meters distance 
away from the activities or has not been observed within that area for 
at least 24 hours. Transport vehicles may continue their route within 
the designated trail if they can do so without stopping.
    [cir] During the period in which a seal structure is periodically 
monitored as described in the General Monitoring Measures for Ice 
Trails section (below), maintenance work will proceed in a manner that 
minimizes impacts or disturbance to the area.

Ice Trail Mitigation Measures That Begin After March 1st

    After March 1st and continuing until decommissioning of ice trails 
is completed, on-ice activities can occur anywhere on sea ice where 
water depth is less than 3 meters (10 feet) (i.e., habitat less 
suitable for ringed seal lairs and breathing holes). However, after 
March 1st on those sections of the ice trails where water depth is 
greater than 3 meters (10 feet), all activities will occur within the 
boundaries of the driving lane or shoulder area of the ice trail and 
other previously disturbed areas (e.g., spill and emergency response 
areas, snow push areas), as long as personnel safety is ensured.
    <bullet> If safety concerns due to unstable ice trail conditions 
warrant the creation of workaround route after March 1st, the route 
will be surveyed for seal structures using a trained observer in a 
tracked vehicle approximately 2 days prior to establishing the route, 
weather permitting. Surveys must occur following improved weather 
conditions before establishing the workaround route. The fo

[…truncated; see source link]
Indexed from Federal Register on May 16, 2025.

This is legal information, not legal advice. Laws vary by jurisdiction and change frequently. Always verify current law with official sources and consult a licensed attorney in your jurisdiction for advice on your specific situation.