Proposed Rule2024-11807

Partial Approval and Disapproval of Air Quality Implementation Plans; Arizona; Regional Haze State Implementation Plan for the Second Implementation Period and Prong 4 (Visibility) for the 2015 Ozone and 2012 Particulate Matter Standards

Primary source

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Published
May 31, 2024

Issuing agencies

Environmental Protection Agency

Abstract

The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is proposing to partially approve and partially disapprove the regional haze state implementation plan (SIP) revision submitted by Arizona on August 15, 2022 ("2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan"), under the Clean Air Act (CAA) and the EPA's Regional Haze Rule for the program's second implementation period. Arizona's SIP submission addresses the requirement that states must periodically revise their long-term strategies for making reasonable progress towards the national goal of preventing any future, and remedying any existing, anthropogenic impairment of visibility, including regional haze, in mandatory Class I Federal areas. The SIP submission also addresses other applicable requirements for the second implementation period of the regional haze program. Within this action, the EPA is also proposing to disapprove the visibility transport prong of Arizona's infrastructure SIP submittals for the 2012 annual fine particulate matter (PM<INF>2.5</INF>) and 2015 ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS). The EPA is taking this action pursuant to CAA sections 110 and 169A.

Full Text

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[Federal Register Volume 89, Number 106 (Friday, May 31, 2024)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 47398-47438]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [<a href="http://www.gpo.gov">www.gpo.gov</a>]
[FR Doc No: 2024-11807]



[[Page 47397]]

Vol. 89

Friday,

No. 106

May 31, 2024

Part III





 Environmental Protection Agency





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40 CFR Part 52





Partial Approval and Disapproval of Air Quality Implementation Plans; 
Arizona; Regional Haze State Implementation Plan for the Second 
Implementation Period and Prong 4 (Visibility) for the 2015 Ozone and 
2012 Particulate Matter Standards; Proposed Rule

Federal Register / Vol. 89 , No. 106 / Friday, May 31, 2024 / 
Proposed Rules

[[Page 47398]]


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ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY

40 CFR Part 52

[EPA-R09-OAR-2024-0005; FRL-11919-01-R9]


Partial Approval and Disapproval of Air Quality Implementation 
Plans; Arizona; Regional Haze State Implementation Plan for the Second 
Implementation Period and Prong 4 (Visibility) for the 2015 Ozone and 
2012 Particulate Matter Standards

AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).

ACTION: Proposed rule.

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SUMMARY: The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is proposing to 
partially approve and partially disapprove the regional haze state 
implementation plan (SIP) revision submitted by Arizona on August 15, 
2022 (``2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan''), under the Clean Air Act 
(CAA) and the EPA's Regional Haze Rule for the program's second 
implementation period. Arizona's SIP submission addresses the 
requirement that states must periodically revise their long-term 
strategies for making reasonable progress towards the national goal of 
preventing any future, and remedying any existing, anthropogenic 
impairment of visibility, including regional haze, in mandatory Class I 
Federal areas. The SIP submission also addresses other applicable 
requirements for the second implementation period of the regional haze 
program. Within this action, the EPA is also proposing to disapprove 
the visibility transport prong of Arizona's infrastructure SIP 
submittals for the 2012 annual fine particulate matter 
(PM<INF>2.5</INF>) and 2015 ozone National Ambient Air Quality 
Standards (NAAQS). The EPA is taking this action pursuant to CAA 
sections 110 and 169A.

DATES: Written comments must be received on or before July 1, 2024.

ADDRESSES: Submit your comments, identified by Docket ID No. EPA-R09-
OAR-2024-0005 at <a href="https://www.regulations.gov">https://www.regulations.gov</a>. For comments submitted at 
<a href="http://Regulations.gov">Regulations.gov</a>, follow the online instructions for submitting 
comments. Once submitted, comments cannot be edited or removed from 
<a href="http://Regulations.gov">Regulations.gov</a>. The EPA may publish any comment received to its public 
docket. Do not submit electronically any information you consider to be 
confidential business information (CBI) or other information whose 
disclosure is restricted by statute. Multimedia submissions (audio, 
video, etc.) must be accompanied by a written comment. The written 
comment is considered the official comment and should include 
discussion of all points you wish to make. The EPA will generally not 
consider comments or comment contents located outside of the primary 
submission (i.e., on the web, cloud, or other file sharing system). For 
additional submission methods, please contact the person identified in 
the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section. For the full EPA public 
comment policy, information about CBI or multimedia submissions, and 
general guidance on making effective comments, please visit <a href="https://www.epa.gov/dockets/commenting-epa-dockets">https://www.epa.gov/dockets/commenting-epa-dockets</a>. If you need assistance in a 
language other than English or if you are a person with a disability 
who needs a reasonable accommodation at no cost to you, please contact 
the person identified in the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Khoi Nguyen, Geographic Strategies & 
Modeling Section (AIR-2-2), Planning & Analysis Branch, EPA Region IX, 
75 Hawthorne Street, San Francisco, CA 94105, (415) 947-4120, or by 
email at <a href="/cdn-cgi/l/email-protection#1f71786a667a7131747770765f7a6f7e31787069"><span class="__cf_email__" data-cfemail="bdd3dac8c4d8d393d6d5d2d4fdd8cddc93dad2cb">[email&#160;protected]</span></a>.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:  Throughout this document, ``we,'' ``us,'' 
and ``our'' refer to the EPA.

Table of Contents

I. What action is the EPA proposing for regional haze?
II. Background and Requirements for Regional Haze Plans
    A. Regional Haze Background
    B. Roles of Agencies in Addressing Regional Haze
III. Requirements for Regional Haze Plans for the Second 
Implementation Period
    A. Identification of Class I Areas
    B. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and Natural Visibility 
Conditions; Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress
    C. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze
    D. Reasonable Progress Goals
    E. Monitoring Strategy and Other State Implementation Plan 
Requirements
    F. Requirements for Periodic Reports Describing Progress Towards 
the Reasonable Progress Goals
    G. Requirements for State and Federal Land Manager Coordination
IV. The EPA's Evaluation of Arizona's Regional Haze Submission for 
the Second Implementation Period
    A. Background on Arizona's First Implementation Period SIP 
Submission
    B. Overview of Arizona's Second Implementation Period SIP 
Submission
    C. Identification of Class I Areas
    D. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and Natural Visibility 
Conditions; Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress
    E. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze
    1. Arizona's Long-Term Strategy in the 2022 Arizona Regional 
Haze Plan
    2. The EPA's Evaluation of Arizona's Long-Term Strategy
    F. Reasonable Progress Goals
    G. Additional Monitoring To Assess Reasonably Attributable 
Visibility Impairment
    H. Monitoring Strategy and Other Implementation Plan 
Requirements
    I. Requirements for Periodic Reports Describing Progress Towards 
the Reasonable Progress Goals
    J. Requirements for State and Federal Land Manager Coordination
V. Prong 4 (Visibility) of the 2012 PM<INF>2.5</INF> NAAQS and 2015 
Ozone NAAQS Infrastructure SIPs
    A. Infrastructure SIPs
    B. Prong 4 Requirements
    1. 2012 PM<INF>2.5</INF> NAAQS
    2. 2015 Ozone NAAQS
    C. Arizona's Prong 4 Elements
    D. The EPA's Evaluation of Arizona's Submittal
VI. Proposed Action
VII. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews

I. What action is the EPA proposing for regional haze?

    On August 15, 2022,\1\ the Arizona Department of Environmental 
Quality (ADEQ) submitted the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan. ADEQ 
supplemented its SIP revision on August 25, 2023, with nonpoint source 
rules (``2023 Arizona Regional Haze Rules Supplement'').\2\ ADEQ made 
these SIP submissions to satisfy requirements of the CAA's regional 
haze program pursuant to CAA sections 169A and 169B and 40 CFR 51.308. 
The EPA is proposing to partially approve and partially disapprove the 
2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan. For the reasons described in this 
document, the EPA is proposing to approve the elements of the 2022 
Arizona Regional Haze Plan related to requirements contained in 40 CFR 
51.308(f)(1), (f)(4)-(6), and (g)(1)-(5). The EPA is proposing to 
disapprove the elements of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan related 
to requirements contained in 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2), (f)(3), and (i)(2)-
(4). We are

[[Page 47399]]

not proposing to act on the 2023 Arizona Regional Haze Rules Supplement 
at this time.
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    \1\ Letter dated August 15, 2022, from Daniel Czecholinski, 
Director, Arizona Department of Environmental Quality Air Quality 
Division, to Martha Guzman, Regional Administrator, EPA Region IX 
(submitted electronically August 15, 2022). On August 16, 2022, the 
EPA determined that the SIP submittal met the completeness criteria 
outlined in 40 CFR part 51, Appendix V. Letter dated August 16, 
2022, from Elizabeth Adams, Director, Air and Radiation Division, 
EPA Region IX, to Daniel Czecholinski, Director, Arizona Department 
of Environmental Quality Air Quality Division.
    \2\ Letter dated August 21, 2023, from Daniel Czecholinski, 
Director, Arizona Department of Environmental Quality Air Quality 
Division, to Martha Guzman, Regional Administrator, EPA Region IX 
(submitted electronically August 25, 2023).
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II. Background and Requirements for Regional Haze Plans

A. Regional Haze Background

    In the 1977 CAA Amendments, Congress created a program for 
protecting visibility in the nation's mandatory Class I Federal areas, 
which include certain national parks and wilderness areas.\3\ The CAA 
establishes as a national goal the ``prevention of any future, and the 
remedying of any existing, impairment of visibility in mandatory class 
I Federal areas which impairment results from manmade air pollution.'' 
\4\ The CAA further directs the EPA to promulgate regulations to assure 
reasonable progress toward meeting this national goal.\5\ On December 
2, 1980, the EPA promulgated regulations to address visibility 
impairment in mandatory Class I Federal areas (hereinafter referred to 
as ``Class I areas'') that is ``reasonably attributable'' to a single 
source or small group of sources.\6\ These regulations, codified at 40 
CFR 51.300 through 51.307, represented the first phase of the EPA's 
efforts to address visibility impairment. In 1990, Congress added 
section 169B to the CAA to further address visibility impairment, 
specifically, impairment from regional haze.\7\ The EPA promulgated the 
Regional Haze Rule (RHR), codified at 40 CFR 51.308,\8\ on July 1, 
1999.\9\ These regional haze regulations are a central component of the 
EPA's comprehensive visibility protection program for Class I areas.
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    \3\ CAA 169A. Areas statutorily designated as mandatory Class I 
Federal areas consist of national parks exceeding 6,000 acres, 
wilderness areas and national memorial parks exceeding 5,000 acres, 
and all international parks that were in existence on August 7, 
1977. CAA 162(a). There are 156 mandatory Class I areas. The list of 
areas to which the requirements of the visibility protection program 
apply is in 40 CFR part 81, subpart D.
    \4\ CAA 169A(a)(1).
    \5\ CAA 169A(a)(4).
    \6\ 45 FR 80084 (December 2, 1980).
    \7\ CAA 169B.
    \8\ In addition to the generally applicable regional haze 
provisions at 40 CFR 51.308, the EPA also promulgated regulations 
specific to addressing regional haze visibility impairment in Class 
I areas on the Colorado Plateau at 40 CFR 51.309. ADEQ submitted SIP 
revisions to address the regional haze regulations at 40 CFR 51.309, 
on December 23, 2003, December 30, 2004, and December 24, 2008. The 
EPA approved certain burning and smoke management rules that were 
part of the 2008 SIP submittal, but disapproved the remainder of 
those submittals. 78 FR 48326 (August 8, 2013).
    \9\ 64 FR 35714.
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    Regional haze is visibility impairment that is produced by a 
multitude of anthropogenic sources and activities which are located 
across a broad geographic area and that emit pollutants that impair 
visibility. Visibility impairing pollutants include fine and coarse 
particulate matter (PM) (e.g., sulfates, nitrates, organic carbon, 
elemental carbon, and soil dust) and their precursors (e.g., sulfur 
dioxide (SO<INF>2</INF>), nitrogen oxides (NO<INF>X</INF>), and, in 
some cases, volatile organic compounds (VOC) and ammonia 
(NH<INF>3</INF>)). Fine particle precursors react in the atmosphere to 
form PM<INF>2.5</INF>, which impairs visibility by scattering and 
absorbing light. Visibility impairment reduces the perception of 
clarity and color, as well as visible distance.\10\
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    \10\ There are several ways to measure the amount of visibility 
impairment, i.e., haze. One such measurement is the deciview, which 
is the principal metric used by the RHR. Under many circumstances, a 
change in one deciview will be perceived by the human eye to be the 
same on both clear and hazy days. The deciview is unitless. It is 
proportional to the logarithm of the atmospheric extinction of 
light, which is the perceived dimming of light due to its being 
scattered and absorbed as it passes through the atmosphere. 
Atmospheric light extinction (b\ext\) is a metric used for 
expressing visibility and is measured in inverse megameters 
(Mm<SUP>-</SUP>\1\). The EPA's Guidance on Regional Haze State 
Implementation Plans for the Second Implementation Period (``2019 
Guidance'') offers the flexibility for the use of light extinction 
in certain cases. Light extinction can be simpler to use in 
calculations than deciviews, since it is not a logarithmic function. 
See, e.g., 2019 Guidance, pp 16, 19, <a href="https://www.epa.gov/visibility/guidance-regional-haze-state-implementation-plans-second-implementation-period">https://www.epa.gov/visibility/guidance-regional-haze-state-implementation-plans-second-implementation-period</a>, The EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and 
Standards, Research Triangle Park (August 20, 2019). The formula for 
the deciview is 10 ln (b\ext\)/10 Mm - 1). 40 CFR 51.301.
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    To address regional haze visibility impairment, the 1999 RHR 
established an iterative planning process that requires both states in 
which Class I areas are located and states ``the emissions from which 
may reasonably be anticipated to cause or contribute to any impairment 
of visibility'' in a Class I area to periodically submit SIP revisions 
to address such impairment.\11\ Under the CAA, each SIP submission must 
contain ``a long-term (ten to fifteen years) strategy for making 
reasonable progress toward meeting the national goal.'' \12\ The 
initial round of SIP submissions also had to address the statutory 
requirement that certain older, larger sources of visibility impairing 
pollutants install and operate the best available retrofit technology 
(BART).\13\ States' first regional haze SIPs were due by December 17, 
2007,\14\ with subsequent SIP submissions containing updated long-term 
strategies originally due July 31, 2018, and every ten years 
thereafter.\15\ The EPA established in the 1999 RHR that all states 
either have Class I areas within their borders or ``contain sources 
whose emissions are reasonably anticipated to contribute to regional 
haze in a Class I area;'' therefore, all states must submit regional 
haze SIPs.\16\
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    \11\ CAA 169A(b)(2). The RHR expresses the statutory requirement 
for states to submit plans addressing out-of-state class I areas by 
providing that states must address visibility impairment ``in each 
mandatory Class I Federal area located outside the State that may be 
affected by emissions from within the State.'' 40 CFR 51.308(d), 
(f). See also 40 CFR 51.308(b), (f) (establishing submission dates 
for iterative regional haze SIP revisions); (64 FR at 35768, July 1, 
1999).
    \12\ CAA 169A(b)(2)(B).
    \13\ CAA 169A(b)(2)(A); 40 CFR 51.308(d), (e).
    \14\ 40 CFR 51.308(b).
    \15\ 64 FR at 35768 (July 1, 1999).
    \16\ Id. at 35721. In addition to each of the fifty states, the 
EPA also concluded that the Virgin Islands and District of Columbia 
must also submit regional haze SIPs because they either contain a 
Class I area or contain sources whose emissions are reasonably 
anticipated to contribute regional haze in a Class I area. See 40 
CFR 51.300(b), (d)(3).
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    Much of the focus in the first implementation period of the 
regional haze program, which ran from 2007 through 2018, was on 
satisfying states' BART obligations. First implementation period SIPs 
were additionally required to contain long-term strategies for making 
reasonable progress toward the national visibility goal, of which BART 
is one component. The core required elements for the first 
implementation period SIPs (other than BART) are laid out in 40 CFR 
51.308(d). Those provisions required that states containing Class I 
areas establish reasonable progress goals (RPGs) that are measured in 
deciviews and reflect the anticipated visibility conditions at the end 
of the implementation period including from implementation of states' 
long-term strategies. The first planning period RPGs were required to 
provide for an improvement in visibility for the most impaired days 
over the period of the implementation plan and ensure no degradation in 
visibility for the least impaired days over the same period. In 
establishing the RPGs for any Class I area in a state, the state was 
required to consider four statutory factors: the costs of compliance, 
the time necessary for compliance, the energy and non-air quality 
environmental impacts of compliance, and the remaining useful life of 
any potentially affected sources.\17\
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    \17\ CAA 169A(g)(1); 40 CFR 51.308(d)(1).
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    States were also required to calculate baseline (using the five 
year period of 2000-2004) and natural visibility conditions (i.e., 
visibility conditions without anthropogenic visibility impairment) for 
each Class I area, and to calculate the linear rate of progress needed 
to attain natural visibility conditions, assuming a starting point of 
baseline visibility conditions in 2004

[[Page 47400]]

and ending with natural conditions in 2064. This linear interpolation 
is known as the uniform rate of progress (URP) and is used as a 
tracking metric to help states assess the amount of progress they are 
making towards the national visibility goal over time in each Class I 
area.\18\ The 1999 RHR also provided that States' long-term strategies 
must include the ``enforceable emissions limitations, compliance, 
schedules, and other measures as necessary to achieve the reasonable 
progress goals.'' \19\ In establishing their long-term strategies, 
states are required to consult with other states that also contribute 
to visibility impairment in a given Class I area and include all 
measures necessary to obtain their shares of the emission reductions 
needed to meet the RPGs.\20\ Section 51.308(d) also contains seven 
additional factors states must consider in formulating their long-term 
strategies,\21\ as well as provisions governing monitoring and other 
implementation plan requirements.\22\ Finally, the 1999 RHR required 
states to submit periodic progress reports, which are SIP revisions due 
every five years that contain information on states' implementation of 
their regional haze plans and an assessment of whether anything 
additional is needed to make reasonable progress,\23\ and to consult 
with the Federal Land Manager(s) \24\ (FLMs) responsible for each Class 
I area according to the requirements in CAA section 169A(d) and 40 CFR 
51.308(i).
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    \18\ 40 CFR 51.308(d)(1)(i)(B), (d)(2). The EPA established the 
URP framework in the 1999 RHR to provide ``an equitable analytical 
approach'' to assessing the rate of visibility improvement at Class 
I areas across the country. The starting point for the URP analysis 
is 2004 and the endpoint was calculated based on the amount of 
visibility improvement that was anticipated to result from 
implementation of existing CAA programs over the period from the 
mid-1990s to approximately 2005. Assuming this rate of progress 
would continue into the future, the EPA determined that natural 
visibility conditions would be reached in 60 years, or 2064 (60 
years from the baseline starting point of 2004). However, the EPA 
did not establish 2064 as the year by which the national goal must 
be reached. 64 FR at 35731-32. That is, the URP and the 2064 date 
are not enforceable targets but are rather tools that ``allow for 
analytical comparisons between the rate of progress that would be 
achieved by the state's chosen set of control measures and the 
URP.'' 82 FR 3078, 3084 (January 10, 2017).
    \19\ 40 CFR 51.308(d)(3).
    \20\ 40 CFR 51.308(d)(3)(i), (ii).
    \21\ 40 CFR 51.308(d)(3)(v).
    \22\ 40 CFR 51.308(d)(4).
    \23\ See 40 CFR 51.308(g), (h).
    \24\ The EPA's regulations define ``Federal Land Manager'' as 
``the Secretary of the department with authority over the Federal 
Class I area (or the Secretary's designee) or, with respect to 
Roosevelt-Campobello International Park, the Chairman of the 
Roosevelt-Campobello International Park Commission.'' 40 CFR 51.301.
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    On January 10, 2017, the EPA promulgated revisions to the RHR, 
which apply for the second and subsequent implementation periods.\25\ 
The 2017 rulemaking made several changes to the requirements for 
regional haze SIPs to clarify States' obligations and streamline 
certain regional haze requirements. The revisions to the regional haze 
program for the second and subsequent implementation periods focused on 
the requirement that States' SIPs contain long-term strategies for 
making reasonable progress towards the national visibility goal. The 
reasonable progress requirements as revised in the 2017 rulemaking 
(referred to here as the 2017 RHR Revisions) are codified at 40 CFR 
51.308(f). Among other changes, the 2017 RHR Revisions adjusted the 
deadline for States to submit their second implementation period SIPs 
from July 31, 2018, to July 31, 2021, clarified the order of analysis 
and the relationship between RPGs and the long-term strategy, and 
focused on making visibility improvements on the days with the most 
anthropogenic visibility impairment, as opposed to the days with the 
most visibility impairment overall. The EPA also revised requirements 
of the visibility protection program related to periodic progress 
reports and FLM consultation. The specific requirements applicable to 
second implementation period regional haze SIP submissions are 
addressed in detail in Section III of this document.
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    \25\ 82 FR 3078.
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    The EPA provided guidance to the states for their second 
implementation period SIP submissions in the preamble to the 2017 RHR 
Revisions as well as in subsequent, stand-alone guidance documents. In 
August 2019, the EPA issued ``Guidance on Regional Haze State 
Implementation Plans for the Second Implementation Period'' (``2019 
Guidance'').\26\ On July 8, 2021, the EPA issued a memorandum 
containing ``Clarifications Regarding Regional Haze State 
Implementation Plans for the Second Implementation Period'' (``2021 
Clarifications Memo'').\27\ Additionally, the EPA further clarified the 
recommended procedures for processing ambient visibility data and 
optionally adjusting the URP to account for international anthropogenic 
and prescribed fire impacts in two technical guidance documents: the 
December 2018 ``Technical Guidance on Tracking Visibility Progress for 
the Second Implementation Period of the Regional Haze Program'' (``2018 
Visibility Tracking Guidance''),\28\ and the June 2020 ``Recommendation 
for the Use of Patched and Substituted Data and Clarification of Data 
Completeness for Tracking Visibility Progress for the Second 
Implementation Period of the Regional Haze Program'' and associated 
Technical Addendum (``2020 Data Completeness Memo'').\29\
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    \26\ Guidance on Regional Haze State Implementation Plans for 
the Second Implementation Period. <a href="https://www.epa.gov/visibility/guidance-regional-haze-state-implementation-plans-second-implementation-period">https://www.epa.gov/visibility/guidance-regional-haze-state-implementation-plans-second-implementation-period</a>. The EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and 
Standards, Research Triangle Park (August 20, 2019).
    \27\ Clarifications Regarding Regional Haze State Implementation 
Plans for the Second Implementation Period. <a href="https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2021-07/clarifications-regarding-regional-haze-state-implementation-plans-for-the-second-implementation-period.pdf">https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2021-07/clarifications-regarding-regional-haze-state-implementation-plans-for-the-second-implementation-period.pdf</a>. The EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, 
Research Triangle Park (July 8, 2021).
    \28\ Technical Guidance on Tracking Visibility Progress for the 
Second Implementation Period of the Regional Haze Program. <a href="https://www.epa.gov/visibility/technical-guidance-tracking-visibility-progress-second-implementation-period-regional">https://www.epa.gov/visibility/technical-guidance-tracking-visibility-progress-second-implementation-period-regional</a> The EPA Office of Air 
Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park. (December 
20, 2018).
    \29\ Recommendation for the Use of Patched and Substituted Data 
and Clarification of Data Completeness for Tracking Visibility 
Progress for the Second Implementation Period of the Regional Haze 
Program. <a href="https://www.epa.gov/visibility/memo-and-technical-addendum-ambient-data-usage-and-completeness-regional-haze-program">https://www.epa.gov/visibility/memo-and-technical-addendum-ambient-data-usage-and-completeness-regional-haze-program</a> The EPA 
Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park 
(June 3, 2020).
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    As explained in the 2021 Clarifications Memo, the EPA intends the 
second implementation period of the regional haze program to secure 
meaningful reductions in visibility impairing pollutants that build on 
the significant progress states have achieved to date. The Agency also 
recognizes that analyses regarding reasonable progress are state-
specific and that, based on states' and sources' individual 
circumstances, what constitutes reasonable reductions in visibility 
impairing pollutants will vary from state-to-state. While there exist 
many opportunities for states to leverage both ongoing and upcoming 
emissions reductions under other CAA programs, the Agency expects 
states to undertake rigorous reasonable progress analyses that identify 
further opportunities to advance the national visibility goal 
consistent with the statutory and regulatory requirements.\30\ This is 
consistent with Congress's determination that a visibility protection 
program is needed in addition to the CAA's NAAQS and Prevention of 
Significant Deterioration (PSD) programs, as further emissions 
reductions may be necessary to adequately protect visibility in Class I 
areas throughout the country.\31\
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    \30\ See generally 2021 Clarifications Memo.
    \31\ See, e.g., H.R. Rep No. 95-294 p. 205 (``In determining how 
to best remedy the growing visibility problem in these areas of 
great scenic importance, the committee realizes that as a matter of 
equity, the national ambient air quality standards cannot be revised 
to adequately protect visibility in all areas of the country.''), 
(``the mandatory class I increments of [the PSD program] do not 
adequately protect visibility in class I areas'').

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[[Page 47401]]

B. Roles of Agencies in Addressing Regional Haze

    Because the air pollutants and pollution affecting visibility in 
Class I areas can be transported over long distances, successful 
implementation of the regional haze program requires long-term, 
regional coordination among multiple jurisdictions and agencies that 
have responsibility for Class I areas and the emissions that impact 
visibility in those areas. To address regional haze, states need to 
develop strategies in coordination with one another, considering the 
effect of emissions from one jurisdiction on the air quality in 
another. Five regional planning organizations (RPOs),\32\ which include 
representation from state and Tribal governments, the EPA, and FLMs, 
were developed in the lead-up to the first implementation period to 
address regional haze. RPOs evaluate technical information to better 
understand how emissions from State and Tribal land impact Class I 
areas across the country, pursue the development of regional strategies 
to reduce emissions of particulate matter and other pollutants leading 
to regional haze, and help states meet the consultation requirements of 
the RHR.
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    \32\ RPOs are sometimes also referred to as ``multi-
jurisdictional organizations,'' or MJOs. For the purposes of this 
notice, the terms RPO and MJO are synonymous.
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    The Western Regional Air Partnership (WRAP), one of the five RPOs, 
is a collaborative effort of state governments, Tribal governments, and 
various Federal agencies established to initiate and coordinate 
activities associated with the management of regional haze, visibility, 
and other air quality issues in the western corridor of the United 
States. Member states (listed alphabetically) include: Alaska, Arizona, 
California, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, 
Oregon, South Dakota, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming. The Federal 
partner members of WRAP are the EPA, U.S. National Parks Service (NPS), 
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS), and U.S. Forest Service (USFS). 
There are also 468 federally recognized Tribes within the WRAP region.

III. Requirements for Regional Haze Plans for the Second Implementation 
Period

    Under the CAA and the EPA's regulations, all 50 states, the 
District of Columbia, and the U.S. Virgin Islands were required to 
submit regional haze SIP revisions satisfying the applicable 
requirements for the second implementation period of the regional haze 
program by July 31, 2021. Each state's SIP must contain a long-term 
strategy for making reasonable progress toward meeting the national 
goal of remedying any existing and preventing any future anthropogenic 
visibility impairment in Class I areas.\33\ To this end, section 
51.308(f) lays out the process by which states determine what 
constitutes their long-term strategies, with the order of the 
requirements in section 51.308(f)(1) through (3) generally mirroring 
the order of the steps in the reasonable progress analysis \34\ and 
(f)(4) through (6) containing additional, related requirements. Broadly 
speaking, a state first must identify the Class I areas within the 
state and determine the Class I areas outside the state in which 
visibility may be affected by emissions from the state. These are the 
Class I areas that must be addressed in the state's long-term 
strategy.\35\ For each Class I area within its borders, a state must 
then calculate the baseline, current, and natural visibility conditions 
for that area, as well as the visibility improvement made to date and 
the URP.\36\ Each state having a Class I area and/or emissions that may 
affect visibility in a Class I area must then develop a long-term 
strategy that includes the enforceable emissions limitations, 
compliance schedules, and other measures that are necessary to make 
reasonable progress in such areas. A reasonable progress determination 
is based on applying the four factors in CAA section 169A(g)(1) to 
sources of visibility-impairing pollutants that the state has selected 
to assess for controls for the second implementation period. 
Additionally, as further explained below, the RHR at 40 CFR 
51.308(f)(2)(iv) separately provides five ``additional factors'' \37\ 
that states must consider in developing their long-term strategies.\38\ 
A state evaluates potential emissions reduction measures for those 
selected sources and determines which are necessary to make reasonable 
progress. Those measures are then incorporated into the state's long-
term strategy. After a state has developed its long-term strategy, it 
then establishes RPGs for each Class I area within its borders by 
modeling the visibility impacts of all reasonable progress controls at 
the end of the second implementation period, i.e., in 2028, as well as 
the impacts of other requirements of the CAA. The RPGs include 
reasonable progress controls not only for sources in the state in which 
the Class I area is located, but also for sources in other states that 
contribute to visibility impairment in that area. The RPGs are then 
compared to the baseline visibility conditions and the URP to ensure 
that progress is being made towards the statutory goal of preventing 
any future and remedying any existing anthropogenic visibility 
impairment in Class I areas.\39\
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    \33\ CAA 169A(b)(2)(B).
    \34\ The EPA explained in the 2017 RHR Revisions that we were 
adopting new regulatory language in 40 CFR 51.308(f) that, unlike 
the structure in 51.308(d), ``tracked the actual planning 
sequence.'' 82 FR 3091 (January 10, 2017).
    \35\ See 40 CFR 51.308(f), (f)(2).
    \36\ See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1).
    \37\ The five ``additional factors'' for consideration in 
section 51.308(f)(2)(iv) are distinct from the four factors listed 
in CAA section 169A(g)(1) and 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) that states 
must consider and apply to sources in determining reasonable 
progress.
    \38\ See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2).
    \39\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)-(3).
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    In addition to satisfying the requirements at 40 CFR 51.308(f) 
related to reasonable progress, the regional haze SIP revisions for the 
second implementation period must address the requirements in section 
51.308(g)(1) through (5) pertaining to periodic reports describing 
progress towards the RPGs,\40\ as well as requirements for FLM 
consultation that apply to all visibility protection SIPs and SIP 
revisions.\41\
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    \40\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(5).
    \41\ 40 CFR 51.308(i).
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    A state must submit its regional haze SIP and subsequent SIP 
revisions to the EPA according to the requirements applicable to all 
SIP revisions under the CAA and the EPA's regulations.\42\ Upon EPA 
approval, a SIP is enforceable by the Agency and the public under the 
CAA. If the EPA finds that a state failed to make a required SIP 
revision, or if the EPA finds that a state's SIP is incomplete or 
disapproves the SIP, the Agency must promulgate a federal 
implementation plan (FIP) that satisfies the applicable 
requirements.\43\
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    \42\ See CAA 169A(b)(2); CAA 110(a).
    \43\ CAA 110(c)(1).
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A. Identification of Class I Areas

    The first step in developing a regional haze SIP is for a state to 
determine which Class I areas, in addition to those within its borders, 
``may be affected'' by emissions from within the state. In the 1999 
RHR, the EPA determined that all states contribute to visibility 
impairment in at least one Class I area,\44\ and explained that the 
statute and regulations lay out an ``extremely low triggering 
threshold'' for determining

[[Page 47402]]

``whether States should be required to engage in air quality planning 
and analysis as a prerequisite to determining the need for control of 
emissions from sources within their State.'' \45\
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    \44\ 64 FR 35720-22.
    \45\ Id. at 35721.
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    A state must determine which Class I areas must be addressed by its 
SIP by evaluating the total emissions of visibility impairing 
pollutants from all sources within the state. While the RHR does not 
require this evaluation to be conducted in any particular manner, the 
EPA's 2019 Guidance provides recommendations for how such an assessment 
might be accomplished, including by, where appropriate, using the 
determinations previously made for the first implementation period.\46\ 
In addition, the determination of which Class I areas may be affected 
by a state's emissions is subject to the requirement in 40 CFR 
51.308(f)(2)(iii) to ``document the technical basis, including 
modeling, monitoring, cost, engineering, and emissions information, on 
which the State is relying to determine the emission reduction measures 
that are necessary to make reasonable progress in each mandatory Class 
I Federal area it affects.''
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    \46\ 2019 Guidance, pp. 8-9.
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B. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and Natural Visibility 
Conditions; Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress

    As part of assessing whether a SIP submission for the second 
implementation period is providing for reasonable progress towards the 
national visibility goal, the RHR contains requirements in section 
51.308(f)(1) related to tracking visibility improvement over time. The 
requirements of this section apply only to states that have Class I 
areas within their borders; the required calculations must be made for 
each such Class I area. The EPA's 2018 Visibility Tracking Guidance 
\47\ provides recommendations to assist states in satisfying their 
obligations under section 51.308(f)(1); specifically, in developing 
information on baseline, current, and natural visibility conditions, 
and in making optional adjustments to the URP to account for the 
impacts of international anthropogenic emissions and prescribed fires.
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    \47\ The 2018 Visibility Tracking Guidance references and relies 
on parts of the 2003 Tracking Guidance: ``Guidance for Tracking 
Progress Under the Regional Haze Rule,'' which can be found at 
<a href="https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2021-03/documents/tracking.pdf">https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2021-03/documents/tracking.pdf</a>.
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    The RHR requires tracking of visibility conditions on two sets of 
days: the clearest and the most impaired days. Visibility conditions 
for both sets of days are expressed as the average deciview index for 
the relevant five-year period (the period representing baseline or 
current visibility conditions). The RHR provides that the relevant sets 
of days for visibility tracking purposes are the 20 percent clearest 
(the 20 percent of monitored days in a calendar year with the lowest 
values of the deciview index) and 20 percent most impaired days (the 20 
percent of monitored days in a calendar year with the highest amounts 
of anthropogenic visibility impairment).\48\ A state must calculate 
visibility conditions for both the 20 percent clearest and 20 percent 
most impaired days for the baseline period of 2000-2004 and the most 
recent five-year period for which visibility monitoring data are 
available (representing current visibility conditions).\49\ States must 
also calculate natural visibility conditions for the clearest and most 
impaired days,\50\ by estimating the conditions that would exist on 
those two sets of days absent anthropogenic visibility impairment.\51\ 
Using all these data, states must then calculate, for each Class I 
area, the amount of progress made since the baseline period (2000-2004) 
and how much improvement is left to achieve to reach natural visibility 
conditions.
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    \48\ 40 CFR 51.301. This notice also refers to the 20 percent 
clearest and 20 percent most anthropogenically impaired days as the 
``clearest'' and ``most impaired'' or ``most anthropogenically 
impaired'' days, respectively.
    \49\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(i), (iii).
    \50\ The RHR at 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(ii) contains an error 
related to the requirement for calculating two sets of natural 
conditions values. The rule says ``most impaired days or the 
clearest days'' where it should say ``most impaired days and 
clearest days.'' This is an error that was intended to be corrected 
in the 2017 RHR Revisions but did not get corrected in the final 
rule language. This is supported by the preamble text at 82 FR 3098: 
``In the final version of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(ii), an occurrence of 
``or'' has been corrected to ``and'' to indicate that natural 
visibility conditions for both the most impaired days and the 
clearest days must be based on available monitoring information.''
    \51\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(ii).
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    Using the data for the set of most impaired days only, states must 
plot a line between visibility conditions in the baseline period and 
natural visibility conditions for each Class I area to determine the 
URP--the amount of visibility improvement, measured in deciviews, that 
would need to be achieved during each implementation period to achieve 
natural visibility conditions by the end of 2064. The URP is used in 
later steps of the reasonable progress analysis for informational 
purposes and to provide a non-enforceable benchmark against which to 
assess a Class I area's rate of visibility improvement.\52\ 
Additionally, in the 2017 RHR Revisions, the EPA provided states the 
option of proposing to adjust the endpoint of the URP to account for 
impacts of anthropogenic sources outside the United States and/or 
impacts of certain types of wildland prescribed fires. These 
adjustments, which must be approved by the EPA, are intended to avoid 
any perception that states should compensate for impacts from 
international anthropogenic sources and to give states the flexibility 
to determine that limiting the use of wildland-prescribed fire is not 
necessary for reasonable progress.\53\
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    \52\ Being on or below the URP is not a ``safe harbor''; i.e., 
achieving the URP does not mean that a Class I area is making 
``reasonable progress'' and does not relieve a state from using the 
four statutory factors to determine what level of control is needed 
to achieve such progress. See, e.g., 82 FR 3093.
    \53\ 82 FR 3107 footnote 116.
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    The EPA's 2018 Visibility Tracking Guidance can be used to help 
satisfy the 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1) requirements, including in developing 
information on baseline, current, and natural visibility conditions, 
and in making optional adjustments to the URP. In addition, the 2020 
Data Completeness Memo provides recommendations on the data 
completeness language referenced in section 51.308(f)(1)(i) and 
provides updated natural conditions estimates for each Class I area.

C. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze

    The core component of a regional haze SIP submission is a long-term 
strategy that addresses regional haze in each Class I area within a 
state's borders and each Class I area that may be affected by emissions 
from the state. The long-term strategy ``must include the enforceable 
emissions limitations, compliance schedules, and other measures that 
are necessary to make reasonable progress, as determined pursuant to 
(f)(2)(i) through (iv).'' \54\ The amount of progress that is 
``reasonable progress'' is based on applying the four statutory factors 
in CAA section 169A(g)(1) in an evaluation of potential control options 
for sources of visibility impairing pollutants, which is referred to as 
a ``four-factor'' analysis. The outcome of that analysis is the 
emissions reduction measures that a particular source or group of 
sources needs to implement to make reasonable progress towards the 
national visibility goal.\55\ Emissions reduction measures that are 
necessary to make reasonable progress may be either new, additional 
control measures for a source, or they

[[Page 47403]]

may be the existing emissions reduction measures that a source is 
already implementing.\56\ Such measures must be represented by 
``enforceable emissions limitations, compliance schedules, and other 
measures'' (i.e., any additional compliance tools) in a state's long-
term strategy in its SIP.\57\
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    \54\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2).
    \55\ See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i).
    \56\ See 2019 Guidance, p. 43; 2021 Clarifications Memo, pp. 8-
10.
    \57\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2).
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    Section 51.308(f)(2)(i) provides the requirements for the four-
factor analysis. The first step of this analysis entails selecting the 
sources to be evaluated for emissions reduction measures; to this end, 
states should consider ``major and minor stationary sources or groups 
of sources, mobile sources, and area sources'' of visibility impairing 
pollutants for potential four-factor control analysis.\58\ A threshold 
question at this step is which visibility impairing pollutants will be 
analyzed. As the EPA previously explained, consistent with the first 
implementation period, the EPA generally expects that each state will 
analyze at least SO<INF>2</INF> and NO<INF>X</INF> in selecting sources 
and determining control measures.\59\ A state that chooses not to 
consider at least these two pollutants should demonstrate why such 
consideration would be unreasonable.\60\
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    \58\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i).
    \59\ See 2019 Guidance, p. 12; 2021 Clarifications Memo, p. 4.
    \60\ 2021 Clarifications Memo, p. 4.
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    While states have the option to analyze all sources, the 2019 
Guidance explains that ``an analysis of control measures is not 
required for every source in each implementation period,'' and that 
``[s]electing a set of sources for analysis of control measures in each 
implementation period is . . . consistent with the Regional Haze Rule, 
which sets up an iterative planning process and anticipates that a 
state may not need to analyze control measures for all its sources in a 
given SIP revision.'' \61\ However, given that source selection is the 
basis of all subsequent control determinations, a reasonable source 
selection process ``should be designed and conducted to ensure that 
source selection results in a set of pollutants and sources the 
evaluation of which has the potential to meaningfully reduce their 
contributions to visibility impairment.'' \62\
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    \61\ 2019 Guidance, p. 9.
    \62\ 2021 Clarifications Memo, p. 3.
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    The EPA explained in the 2021 Clarifications Memo that each state 
has an obligation to submit a long-term strategy that addresses the 
regional haze visibility impairment that results from emissions from 
within that state. Thus, source selection should focus on the in-state 
contribution to visibility impairment and be designed to capture a 
meaningful portion of the state's total contribution to visibility 
impairment in Class I areas. A state should not decline to select its 
largest in-state sources on the basis that there are even larger out-
of-state contributors.\63\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \63\ Id. at 4. Similarly, in responding to comments on the 2017 
RHR Revisions, the EPA explained that ``[a] state should not fail to 
address its many relatively low-impact sources merely because it 
only has such sources and another state has even more low-impact 
sources and/or some high impact sources.'' Responses to Comments on 
Protection of Visibility: Amendments to Requirements for State 
Plans; Proposed Rule (81 FR 26942, May 4, 2016), pp. 87-88.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Thus, while states have discretion to choose any source selection 
methodology that is reasonable, whatever choices they make should be 
reasonably explained. To this end, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) requires that 
a state's SIP submission include ``a description of the criteria it 
used to determine which sources or groups of sources it evaluated.'' 
The technical basis for source selection, which may include methods for 
quantifying potential visibility impacts such as emissions divided by 
distance metrics, trajectory analyses, residence time analyses, and/or 
photochemical modeling, must also be appropriately documented, as 
required by 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii).
    Once a state has selected the set of sources, the next step is to 
determine the emissions reduction measures for those sources that are 
necessary to make reasonable progress for the second implementation 
period.\64\ This is accomplished by considering the four factors--``the 
costs of compliance, the time necessary for compliance, and the energy 
and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance, and the 
remaining useful life of any existing source subject to such 
requirements.'' \65\ The EPA has explained that the four-factor 
analysis is an assessment of potential emissions reduction measures 
(i.e., control options) for sources; ``use of the terms `compliance' 
and `subject to such requirements' in section 169A(g)(1) strongly 
indicates that Congress intended the relevant determination to be the 
requirements with which sources would have to comply to satisfy the 
CAA's reasonable progress mandate.'' \66\ Thus, for each source it has 
selected for four-factor analysis,\67\ a state must consider a 
``meaningful set'' of technically feasible control options for reducing 
emissions of visibility impairing pollutants.\68\ The 2019 Guidance 
provides that ``[a] state must reasonably pick and justify the measures 
that it will consider, recognizing that there is no statutory or 
regulatory requirement to consider all technically feasible measures or 
any particular measures. A range of technically feasible measures 
available to reduce emissions would be one way to justify a reasonable 
set.'' \69\
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    \64\ The CAA provides that, ``[i]n determining reasonable 
progress there shall be taken into consideration'' the four 
statutory factors. CAA 169A(g)(1). However, in addition to four-
factor analyses for selected sources, groups of sources, or source 
categories, a state may also consider additional emissions reduction 
measures for inclusion in its long-term strategy, e.g., from other 
newly adopted, on-the-books, or on-the-way rules and measures for 
sources not selected for four-factor analysis for the second 
planning period.
    \65\ CAA 169A(g)(1).
    \66\ 82 FR 3091.
    \67\ ``Each source'' or ``particular source'' is used here as 
shorthand. While a source-specific analysis is one way of applying 
the four factors, neither the statute nor the RHR requires states to 
evaluate individual sources. Rather, states have ``the flexibility 
to conduct four-factor analyses for specific sources, groups of 
sources or even entire source categories, depending on state policy 
preferences and the specific circumstances of each state.'' 82 FR at 
3088. However, not all approaches to grouping sources for four-
factor analysis are necessarily reasonable; the reasonableness of 
grouping sources in any particular instance will depend on the 
circumstances and the manner in which grouping is conducted. If it 
is feasible to establish and enforce different requirements for 
sources or subgroups of sources, and if relevant factors can be 
quantified for those sources or subgroups, then states should make a 
separate reasonable progress determination for each source or 
subgroup. 2021 Clarifications Memo, pp. 7-8.
    \68\ Id. at 3088.
    \69\ 2019 Guidance, p. 29.
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    The EPA's 2021 Clarifications Memo provides further guidance on 
what constitutes a reasonable set of control options for consideration: 
``A reasonable four-factor analysis will consider the full range of 
potentially reasonable options for reducing emissions.'' \70\ In 
addition to add-on controls and other retrofits (i.e., new emissions 
reduction measures for sources), the EPA explained that states should 
generally analyze efficiency improvements for sources' existing 
measures as control options in their four-factor analyses, as in many 
cases such improvements are reasonable given that they typically 
involve only additional operation and maintenance costs. Additionally, 
the 2021 Clarifications Memo provides that states that have assumed a 
higher emissions rate than a source has achieved or could potentially 
achieve using its existing measures should also consider lower 
emissions rates as potential control options. That is, a state should 
consider a source's recent actual and projected emissions rates to 
determine if it could reasonably attain lower emissions rates with its 
existing

[[Page 47404]]

measures. If so, the state should analyze the lower emissions rate as a 
control option for reducing emissions.\71\ The EPA's recommendations to 
analyze potential efficiency improvements and achievable lower 
emissions rates apply to both sources that have been selected for four-
factor analysis and those that have forgone a four-factor analysis on 
the basis of existing ``effective controls.'' \72\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \70\ 2021 Clarifications Memo, p. 7.
    \71\ Id. at 7.
    \72\ Id. at 5, 10.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    After identifying a reasonable set of potential control options for 
the sources it has selected, a state then collects information on the 
four factors with regard to each option identified. The EPA has also 
explained that, in addition to the four statutory factors, states have 
flexibility under the CAA and RHR to reasonably consider visibility 
benefits as an additional factor alongside the four statutory 
factors.\73\ The 2019 Guidance provides recommendations for the types 
of information that can be used to characterize the four factors (with 
or without visibility), as well as ways in which states might 
reasonably consider and balance that information to determine which of 
the potential control options is necessary to make reasonable 
progress.\74\ The 2021 Clarifications Memo contains further guidance on 
how states can reasonably consider modeled visibility impacts or 
benefits in the context of a four-factor analysis.\75\ Specifically, 
the EPA explained that while visibility can reasonably be used when 
comparing and choosing between multiple reasonable control options, it 
should not be used to summarily reject controls that are reasonable 
given the four statutory factors.\76\ Ultimately, while states have 
discretion to reasonably weigh the factors and to determine what level 
of control is needed, section 51.308(f)(2)(i) provides that a state 
``must include in its implementation plan a description of . . . how 
the four factors were taken into consideration in selecting the measure 
for inclusion in its long-term strategy.''
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \73\ See, e.g., Responses to Comments on Protection of 
Visibility: Amendments to Requirements for State Plans; Proposed 
Rule (81 FR 26942, May 4, 2016), Docket Number EPA-HQ-OAR-2015-0531, 
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency at 186; 2019 Guidance, pp. 36-
37.
    \74\ See 2019 Guidance, pp. 30-36.
    \75\ 2021 Clarifications Memo, pp. 12-15.
    \76\ Id. at 13.
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    As explained above, section 51.308(f)(2)(i) requires states to 
determine the emissions reduction measures for sources that are 
necessary to make reasonable progress by considering the four factors. 
Pursuant to section 51.308(f)(2), measures that are necessary to make 
reasonable progress towards the national visibility goal must be 
included in a state's long-term strategy and in its SIP.\77\ If the 
outcome of a four-factor analysis is a new, additional emissions 
reduction measure for a source, that new measure is necessary to make 
reasonable progress towards remedying existing anthropogenic visibility 
impairment and must be included in the SIP. If the outcome of a four-
factor analysis is that no new measures are reasonable for a source, 
continued implementation of the source's existing measures is generally 
necessary to prevent future emissions increases and thus to make 
reasonable progress towards the second part of the national visibility 
goal: preventing future anthropogenic visibility impairment.\78\ That 
is, when the result of a four-factor analysis is that no new measures 
are necessary to make reasonable progress, the source's existing 
measures are generally necessary to make reasonable progress and must 
be included in the SIP. However, there may be circumstances in which a 
state can demonstrate that a source's existing measures are not 
necessary to make reasonable progress. Specifically, if a state can 
demonstrate that a source will continue to implement its existing 
measures and will not increase its emissions rate, it may not be 
necessary to have those measures in the long-term strategy to prevent 
future emissions increases and future visibility impairment. The EPA's 
2021 Clarifications Memo provides further explanation and guidance on 
how states may demonstrate that a source's existing measures are not 
necessary to make reasonable progress.\79\ If the state can make such a 
demonstration, it need not include a source's existing measures in the 
long-term strategy or its SIP.
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    \77\ States may choose to, but are not required to, include 
measures in their long-term strategies beyond just the emission 
reduction measures that are necessary for reasonable progress. See 
2021 Clarifications Memo, p. 16. For example, states with smoke 
management programs may choose to submit their smoke management 
plans to the EPA for inclusion in their SIPs but are not required to 
do so. See, e.g., 82 FR at 3108-09 (requirement to consider smoke 
management practices and smoke management programs under 40 CFR 
51.308(f)(2)(iv) does not require states to adopt such practices or 
programs into their SIPs, although they may elect to do so).
    \78\ See CAA 169A(a)(1).
    \79\ See 2021 Clarifications Memo, pp. 8-10.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As with source selection, the characterization of information on 
each of the factors is also subject to the documentation requirement in 
section 51.308(f)(2)(iii). The reasonable progress analysis, including 
source selection, information gathering, characterization of the four 
statutory factors (and potentially visibility), balancing of the four 
factors, and selection of the emissions reduction measures that 
represent reasonable progress, is a technically complex exercise, but 
also a flexible one that provides states with bounded discretion to 
design and implement approaches appropriate to their circumstances. 
Given this flexibility, section 51.308(f)(2)(iii) plays an important 
function in requiring a state to document the technical basis for its 
decision making so that the public and the EPA can comprehend and 
evaluate the information and analysis the state relied upon to 
determine what emissions reduction measures must be in place to make 
reasonable progress. The technical documentation must include the 
modeling, monitoring, cost, engineering, and emissions information on 
which the state relied to determine the measures necessary to make 
reasonable progress. This documentation requirement can be met through 
the provision of and reliance on technical analyses developed through a 
regional planning process, so long as that process and its output has 
been approved by all state participants. In addition to the explicit 
regulatory requirement to document the technical basis of their 
reasonable progress determinations, states are also subject to the 
general principle that those determinations must be reasonably moored 
to the statute.\80\ That is, a state's decisions about the emissions 
reduction measures that are necessary to make reasonable progress must 
be consistent with the statutory goal of remedying existing and 
preventing future visibility impairment.
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    \80\ See Arizona ex rel. Darwin v. U.S. EPA, 815 F.3d 519, 531 
(9th Cir. 2016); Nebraska v. U.S. EPA, 812 F.3d 662, 668 (8th Cir. 
2016); North Dakota v. EPA, 730 F.3d 750, 761 (8th Cir. 2013); 
Oklahoma v. EPA, 723 F.3d 1201, 1206, 1208-10 (10th Cir. 2013); cf. 
also Nat'l Parks Conservation Ass'n v. EPA, 803 F.3d 151, 165 (3d 
Cir. 2015); Alaska Dep't of Envtl. Conservation v. EPA, 540 U.S. 
461, 485, 490 (2004).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The four statutory factors (and potentially visibility) are used to 
determine what emissions reduction measures for selected sources must 
be included in a state's long-term strategy for making reasonable 
progress. Additionally, the RHR at 40 CFR 51.3108(f)(2)(iv) separately 
provides five ``additional factors'' \81\ that states must consider in 
developing their long-term strategies: (1) Emissions reductions due

[[Page 47405]]

to ongoing air pollution control programs, including measures to 
address reasonably attributable visibility impairment; (2) measures to 
reduce the impacts of construction activities; (3) source retirement 
and replacement schedules; (4) basic smoke management practices for 
prescribed fire used for agricultural and wildland vegetation 
management purposes and smoke management programs; and (5) the 
anticipated net effect on visibility due to projected changes in point, 
area, and mobile source emissions over the period addressed by the 
long-term strategy. The 2019 Guidance provides that a state may satisfy 
this requirement by considering these additional factors in the process 
of selecting sources for four-factor analysis, when performing that 
analysis, or both, and that not every one of the additional factors 
needs to be considered at the same stage of the process.\82\ The EPA 
provided further guidance on the five additional factors in the 2021 
Clarifications Memo, explaining that a state should generally not 
reject cost-effective and otherwise reasonable controls merely because 
there have been emissions reductions since the first planning period 
owing to other ongoing air pollution control programs or merely because 
visibility is otherwise projected to improve at Class I areas. 
Additionally, states generally should not rely on these additional 
factors to summarily assert that the state has already made sufficient 
progress and, therefore, no sources need to be selected or no new 
controls are needed regardless of the outcome of four-factor 
analyses.\83\
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    \81\ The five ``additional factors'' for consideration in 
section 51.308(f)(2)(iv) are distinct from the four factors listed 
in CAA section 169A(g)(1) and 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) that states 
must consider and apply to sources in determining reasonable 
progress.
    \82\ See 2019 Guidance, p. 21.
    \83\ 2021 Clarifications Memo, p. 13.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Because the air pollution that causes regional haze crosses state 
boundaries, section 51.308(f)(2)(ii) requires a state to consult with 
other states that also have emissions that are reasonably anticipated 
to contribute to visibility impairment in a given Class I area. 
Consultation allows for each state that impacts visibility in an area 
to share whatever technical information, analyses, and control 
determinations may be necessary to develop coordinated emissions 
management strategies. This coordination may be managed through inter- 
and intra-RPO consultation and the development of regional emissions 
strategies; additional consultations between states outside of RPO 
processes may also occur. If a state, pursuant to consultation, agrees 
that certain measures (e.g., a certain emissions limitation) are 
necessary to make reasonable progress at a Class I area, it must 
include those measures in its SIP.\84\ Additionally, the RHR requires 
that states that contribute to visibility impairment at the same Class 
I area consider the emissions reduction measures the other contributing 
states have identified as being necessary to make reasonable progress 
for their own sources.\85\ If a state has been asked to consider or 
adopt certain emissions reduction measures, but ultimately determines 
those measures are not necessary to make reasonable progress, that 
state must document in its SIP the actions taken to resolve the 
disagreement.\86\ The EPA will consider the technical information and 
explanations presented by the submitting state and the state with which 
it disagrees when considering whether to approve the state's SIP.\87\ 
Under all circumstances, a state must document in its SIP submission 
all substantive consultations with other contributing states.\88\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \84\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(A).
    \85\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(B).
    \86\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C).
    \87\ See id.; 2019 Guidance, p. 53.
    \88\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C).
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D. Reasonable Progress Goals

    Reasonable progress goals ``measure the progress that is projected 
to be achieved by the control measures states have determined are 
necessary to make reasonable progress based on a four-factor 
analysis.'' \89\ Their primary purpose is to assist the public and the 
EPA in assessing the reasonableness of states' long-term strategies for 
making reasonable progress towards the national visibility goal.\90\ 
States in which Class I areas are located must establish two RPGs, both 
in deciviews--one representing visibility conditions on the clearest 
days and one representing visibility on the most anthropogenically 
impaired days--for each area within their borders.\91\ The two RPGs are 
intended to reflect the projected impacts, on the two sets of days, of 
the emissions reduction measures the state with the Class I area, as 
well as all other contributing states, have included in their long-term 
strategies for the second implementation period.\92\ The RPGs also 
account for the projected impacts of implementing other CAA 
requirements, including non-SIP based requirements. Because RPGs are 
the modeled result of the measures in states' long-term strategies (as 
well as other measures required under the CAA), they cannot be 
determined before states have conducted their four-factor analyses and 
determined the control measures that are necessary to make reasonable 
progress.\93\
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    \89\ 82 FR 3091.
    \90\ See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(iii)-(iv).
    \91\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(i).
    \92\ RPGs are intended to reflect the projected impacts of the 
measures all contributing states include in their long-term 
strategies. However, due to the timing of analyses and of control 
determinations by other states, other on-going emissions changes, a 
particular state's RPGs may not reflect all control measures and 
emissions reductions that are expected to occur by the end of the 
implementation period. The 2019 Guidance provides recommendations 
for addressing the timing of RPG calculations when states are 
developing their long-term strategies on disparate schedules, as 
well as for adjusting RPGs using a post-modeling approach. 2019 
Guidance, pp. 47-48.
    \93\ See 2021 Clarifications Memo, p. 6.
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    For the second implementation period, the RPGs are set for 2028. 
Reasonable progress goals are not enforceable targets; \94\ rather, 
they ``provide a way for the states to check the projected outcome of 
the [long-term strategy] against the goals for visibility 
improvement.'' \95\ While states are not legally obligated to achieve 
the visibility conditions described in their RPGs, section 
51.308(f)(3)(i) requires that ``[t]he long-term strategy and the 
reasonable progress goals must provide for an improvement in visibility 
for the most impaired days since the baseline period and ensure no 
degradation in visibility for the clearest days since the baseline 
period.'' Thus, states are required to have emissions reduction 
measures in their long-term strategies that are projected to achieve 
visibility conditions on the most impaired days that are better than 
the baseline period and shows no degradation on the clearest days 
compared to the clearest days from the baseline period. The baseline 
period for the purpose of this comparison is the baseline visibility 
condition--the annual average visibility condition for the period 2000-
2004.\96\
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    \94\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(iii).
    \95\ 2019 Guidance, p. 46.
    \96\ See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(i), 82 FR 3097-98.
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    So that RPGs may also serve as a metric for assessing the amount of 
progress a state is making towards the national visibility goal, the 
RHR requires states with Class I areas to compare the 2028 RPG for the 
most impaired days to the corresponding point on the URP line 
(representing visibility conditions in 2028 if visibility were to 
improve at a linear rate from conditions in the baseline period of 
2000-2004 to natural visibility conditions in 2064). If the most 
impaired days RPG in 2028 is above the URP (i.e., if visibility 
conditions are improving more slowly than the rate described by the 
URP), each state that contributes to visibility impairment in the Class 
I area must demonstrate, based on the four-factor analysis required

[[Page 47406]]

under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i), that no additional emissions reduction 
measures would be reasonable to include in its long-term strategy.\97\ 
To this end, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii) requires that each state 
contributing to visibility impairment in a Class I area that is 
projected to improve more slowly than the URP provide ``a robust 
demonstration, including documenting the criteria used to determine 
which sources or groups [of] sources were evaluated and how the four 
factors required by paragraph (f)(2)(i) were taken into consideration 
in selecting the measures for inclusion in its long-term strategy.'' 
The 2019 Guidance provides suggestions about how such a ``robust 
demonstration'' might be conducted.\98\
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    \97\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii).
    \98\ See 2019 Guidance, pp. 50-51.
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    The 2017 RHR, 2019 Guidance, and 2021 Clarifications Memo also 
explain that projecting an RPG that is on or below the URP based on 
only on-the-books and/or on-the-way control measures (i.e., control 
measures already required or anticipated before the four-factor 
analysis is conducted) is not a ``safe harbor'' from the CAA's and 
RHR's requirement that all states must conduct a four-factor analysis 
to determine what emissions reduction measures constitute reasonable 
progress. The URP is a planning metric used to gauge the amount of 
progress made thus far and the amount left before reaching natural 
visibility conditions. However, the URP is not based on consideration 
of the four statutory factors and therefore cannot answer the question 
of whether the amount of progress being made in any particular 
implementation period is ``reasonable progress.'' \99\
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    \99\ See 82 FR 3093, 3099-3100; 2019 Guidance, p. 22; 2021 
Clarifications Memo, pp. 15-16.
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E. Monitoring Strategy and Other State Implementation Plan Requirements

    Section 51.308(f)(6) requires states to have certain strategies and 
elements in place for assessing and reporting on visibility. Individual 
requirements under this section apply either to states with Class I 
areas within their borders, states with no Class I areas but that are 
reasonably anticipated to cause or contribute to visibility impairment 
in any Class I area, or both. A state with Class I areas within its 
borders must submit with its SIP revision a monitoring strategy for 
measuring, characterizing, and reporting regional haze visibility 
impairment that is representative of all Class I areas within the 
state. SIP revisions for such states must also provide for the 
establishment of any additional monitoring sites or equipment needed to 
assess visibility conditions in Class I areas, as well as reporting of 
all visibility monitoring data to the EPA at least annually. Compliance 
with the monitoring strategy requirement may be met through a state's 
participation in the Interagency Monitoring of Protected Visual 
Environments (IMPROVE) monitoring network, which is used to measure 
visibility impairment caused by air pollution at the 156 Class I areas 
covered by the visibility program.\100\ The IMPROVE monitoring data is 
used to determine the 20 percent most anthropogenically impaired and 20 
percent clearest sets of days every year at each Class I area and 
tracks visibility impairment over time.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \100\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6), (f)(6)(i), (f)(6)(iv).
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    All states' SIPs must provide for procedures by which monitoring 
data and other information are used to determine the contribution of 
emissions from within the state to regional haze visibility impairment 
in affected Class I areas.\101\ Section 51.308(f)(6)(v) further 
requires that all states' SIPs provide for a statewide inventory of 
emissions of pollutants that are reasonably anticipated to cause or 
contribute to visibility impairment in any Class I area; the inventory 
must include emissions for the most recent year for which data are 
available and estimates of future projected emissions. States must also 
include commitments to update their inventories periodically. The 
inventories themselves do not need to be included as elements in the 
SIP revision and are not subject to EPA review as part of the Agency's 
evaluation of a SIP revision.\102\ All states' SIP revisions must also 
provide for any other elements, including reporting, recordkeeping, and 
other measures, that are necessary for states to assess and report on 
visibility.\103\ Per the 2019 Guidance, a state may note in its 
regional haze SIP revision that its compliance with the in 40 CFR part 
51 subpart A satisfies the requirement to provide for an emissions 
inventory for the most recent year for which data are available. To 
satisfy the requirement to provide estimates of future projected 
emissions, a state may explain in its SIP revision how projected 
emissions were developed for use in establishing RPGs for its own and 
nearby Class I areas.\104\
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    \101\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(ii), (iii).
    \102\ See ``Step 8: Additional requirements for regional haze 
SIPs'' in 2019 Guidance, p. 55.
    \103\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(vi).
    \104\ Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Separate from the requirements related to monitoring for regional 
haze purposes under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6), the RHR also contains a 
requirement at 40 CFR 51.308(f)(4) related to any additional monitoring 
that may be needed to address visibility impairment in Class I areas 
from a single source or a small group of sources. This is called 
``reasonably attributable visibility impairment.'' \105\ Under this 
provision, if the EPA or the FLM of an affected Class I area has 
advised a state that additional monitoring is needed to assess 
reasonably attributable visibility impairment, the state must include 
in its SIP revision for the second implementation period an appropriate 
strategy for evaluating such impairment.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \105\ The EPA's visibility protection regulations define 
``reasonably attributable visibility impairment'' as ``visibility 
impairment that is caused by the emission of air pollutants from 
one, or a small number of sources.'' 40 CFR 51.301.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

F. Requirements for Periodic Reports Describing Progress Towards the 
Reasonable Progress Goals

    Section 51.308(f)(5) requires a state's regional haze SIP revision 
to address the requirements of paragraphs 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1) through 
(5) so that the plan revision due in 2021 will serve also as a progress 
report addressing the period since submission of the progress report 
for the first implementation period. The regional haze progress report 
requirement is designed to inform the public and the EPA about a 
state's implementation of its existing long-term strategy and whether 
such implementation is in fact resulting in the expected visibility 
improvement.\106\ To this end, every state's SIP revision for the 
second implementation period is required to describe the status of 
implementation of all measures included in the state's long-term 
strategy, including BART and reasonable progress emissions reduction 
measures from the first implementation period, and the resulting 
emissions reductions.\107\
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    \106\ See 81 FR 26942, 26950 (May 4, 2016); 82 FR 3119 (January 
10, 2017).
    \107\ 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1) and (2).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    A core component of the progress report requirements is an 
assessment of changes in visibility conditions on the clearest and most 
impaired days. For second implementation period progress reports, 
section 51.308(g)(3) requires states with Class I areas within their 
borders to first determine current visibility conditions for each area 
on the most impaired and clearest days,\108\ and then to calculate the 
difference between those current conditions and baseline (2000-2004) 
visibility conditions to assess progress made to date.\109\ States

[[Page 47407]]

must also assess the changes in visibility impairment for the most 
impaired and clearest days since they submitted their first 
implementation period progress reports.\110\ Since different states 
submitted their first implementation period progress reports at 
different times, the starting point for this assessment will vary state 
by state.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \108\ 40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)(i).
    \109\ See 40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)(ii).
    \110\ See 40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)(iii), (f)(5).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Similarly, states must provide analyses tracking the change in 
emissions of pollutants contributing to visibility impairment from all 
sources and activities within the state over the period since they 
submitted their first implementation period progress reports.\111\ 
Changes in emissions should be identified by the type of source or 
activity. Section 51.308(g)(5) also addresses changes in emissions 
since the period addressed by the previous progress report and requires 
states' SIP revisions to include an assessment of any significant 
changes in anthropogenic emissions within or outside the state. This 
assessment must explain whether these changes in emissions were 
anticipated and whether they have limited or impeded progress in 
reducing emissions and improving visibility relative to what the state 
projected based on its long-term strategy for the first implementation 
period.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \111\ See 40 CFR 51.308(g)(4), (f)(5).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

G. Requirements for State and Federal Land Manager Coordination

    CAA section 169A(d) requires that before a state holds a public 
hearing on a proposed regional haze SIP revision, it must consult with 
the appropriate FLM or FLMs; pursuant to that consultation, the state 
must include a summary of the FLMs' conclusions and recommendations in 
the notice to the public. Consistent with this statutory requirement, 
the RHR also requires that states ``provide the [FLM] with an 
opportunity for consultation, in person and at a point early enough in 
the State's policy analyses of its long-term strategy emission 
reduction obligation so that information and recommendations provided 
by the [FLM] can meaningfully inform the State's decisions on the long-
term strategy.'' \112\ Consultation that occurs 120 days prior to any 
public hearing or public comment opportunity will be deemed ``early 
enough,'' but the RHR provides that in any event the opportunity for 
consultation must be provided at least 60 days before a public hearing 
or comment opportunity. This consultation must include the opportunity 
for the FLMs to discuss their assessment of visibility impairment in 
any Class I area and their recommendations on the development and 
implementation of strategies to address such impairment.\113\ For the 
EPA to evaluate whether FLM consultation meeting the requirements of 
the RHR has occurred, the SIP submission should include documentation 
of the timing and content of such consultation. The SIP revision 
submitted to the EPA must also describe how the state addressed any 
comments provided by the FLMs.\114\ Finally, a SIP revision must 
provide procedures for continuing consultation between the state and 
FLMs regarding the state's visibility protection program, including 
development and review of SIP revisions, five-year progress reports, 
and the implementation of other programs having the potential to 
contribute to impairment of visibility in Class I areas.\115\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \112\ 40 CFR 51.308(i)(2).
    \113\ 40 CFR 51.308(i)(2).
    \114\ 40 CFR 51.308(i)(3).
    \115\ 40 CFR 51.308(i)(4).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

IV. The EPA's Evaluation of Arizona's Regional Haze Submission for the 
Second Implementation Period

A. Background on Arizona's First Implementation Period SIP Submission

    Arizona submitted its initial regional haze SIP under 40 CFR 51.308 
to the EPA on February 28, 2011 (hereinafter ``2011 Submittal'').\116\ 
The EPA actions following the 2011 Submittal are outlined in Table 1.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \116\ On December 23, 2003, ADEQ submitted a Regional Haze plan 
under 40 CFR 51.309 (``309 Plan''). Letter dated December 23, 2003, 
from Stephen A. Owens, Director, ADEQ, to Wayne Nastri, Regional 
Administrator, EPA, Region IX. On December 30, 2004, ADEQ submitted 
a revision to its 309 Plan, consisting of rules on emissions trading 
and smoke management, and a correction to the State's regional haze 
statutes. Letter dated December 30, 2004, from Stephen A. Owens, 
Director, ADEQ, to Wayne Nastri, Regional Administrator, EPA. On 
December 24, 2008, ADEQ sent a letter resubmitting the 309 Plan 
revisions to the EPA. Letter dated December 24, 2008, from Stephen 
A. Owens, Director, ADEQ, to Wayne Nastri, Regional Administrator, 
EPA. On May 16, 2006 (71 FR 28270) and May 8, 2007 (72 FR 25973), 
the EPA approved the smoke management rules that were part of these 
submittals. On August 8, 2013 (78 FR 48326), the EPA disapproved the 
remainder of the State's submittals under 40 CFR 309.

    Table 1--Summary of EPA Actions Under CAA Section 308 on Arizona
            Regional Haze in the First Implementation Period
------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Date                              EPA action
------------------------------------------------------------------------
December 5, 2012............  ``Phase 1'' partial approval and partial
                               disapproval of certain provisions of the
                               2011 Submittal and promulgation of
                               partial federal implementation plan
                               (FIP).\a\
July 30, 2013...............  ``Phase 2'' partial approval and partial
                               disapproval of remaining portions of
                               Arizona Regional Haze 2011 Submittal.\b\
September 3, 2014...........  ``Phase 3'' promulgation of FIP for
                               remaining portions of Arizona Regional
                               Haze program.\c\
April 10, 2015..............  Approval of SIP revision for the Arizona
                               Electric Power Cooperative (AEPCO) Apache
                               Generating Station.\d\
April 17, 2015..............  FIP revision replacing the control
                               technology demonstration requirements for
                               NOX at Lhoist North America of Arizona,
                               Inc. Nelson Lime Plant with revised
                               recordkeeping and reporting
                               requirements.\e\
April 13, 2016..............  FIP revision revising NOX requirements for
                               the Salt River Project Agricultural
                               Improvement and Power District (SRP)
                               Coronado Generating Station.\f\
November 21, 2016...........  FIP revision replacing the control
                               technology demonstration requirements for
                               NOX at CalPortland Cement (CPC) Rillito
                               Plant Kiln 4 and Phoenix Cement Company
                               (PCC) Clarkdale Plant Kiln 4 with revised
                               recordkeeping and reporting
                               requirements.\g\
March 27, 2017..............  Approval of SIP revision to replace FIP
                               for Arizona Public Service (APS) Cholla
                               Generating Station.\h\
October 10, 2017............  Approval of SIP revision to replace FIP
                               for the SRP Coronado Generating
                               Station.\i\
------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ 77 FR 72512 (December 5, 2012).
\b\ 78 FR 46142 (July 30, 2013).
\c\ 79 FR 52420 (September 3, 2014).
\d\ 80 FR 19220 (April 10, 2015).
\e\ 80 FR 21176 (April 17, 2015).
\f\ 81 FR 21735 (April 13, 2016).
\g\ 81 FR 83144 (November 21, 2016).
\h\ 82 FR 15139 (March 27, 2017).

[[Page 47408]]

 
\i\ 82 FR 46903 (October 10, 2017).

    On November 12, 2015, the State of Arizona submitted its Progress 
Report to meet the requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(g) and (h).\117\ The 
EPA approved the Progress Report on July 11, 2019.\118\
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    \117\ Letter dated November 12, 2015, from Eric C. Massey, 
Director, Air Quality Division, ADEQ, to Jared Blumenfeld, Regional 
Administrator, EPA Region IX.
    \118\ 84 FR 33002.
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B. Overview of Arizona's Second Implementation Period SIP Submission

    In accordance with CAA sections 169A and the RHR at 40 CFR 
51.308(f), on August 15, 2022, ADEQ submitted a revision to the Arizona 
SIP to address its regional haze obligations for the second 
implementation period, which runs through 2028. Arizona made its 2022 
Regional Haze Plan submission available for public comment on June 13, 
2022. ADEQ received and responded to public comments and included the 
comments and responses to those comments in their submission.
    The following sections describe Arizona's SIP submission, including 
analyses conducted by the WRAP and Arizona, Arizona's assessment of 
progress made since the first implementation period in reducing 
emissions of visibility impairing pollutants, and the visibility 
improvement progress at its Class I areas and nearby Class I areas. 
This notice also provides the EPA's evaluation of Arizona's submission 
against the requirements of the CAA and RHR for the second 
implementation period of the regional haze program.

C. Identification of Class I Areas

    Section 169A(b)(2) of the CAA requires each state in which any 
Class I area is located or ``the emissions from which may reasonably be 
anticipated to cause or contribute to any impairment of visibility'' in 
a Class I area to have a plan for making reasonable progress toward the 
national visibility goal. The RHR implements this statutory requirement 
at 40 CFR 51.308(f), which provides that each state's plan ``must 
address regional haze in each mandatory Class I Federal area located 
within the State and in each mandatory Class I Federal area located 
outside the State that may be affected by emissions from within the 
State,'' and (f)(2), which requires each state's plan to include a 
long-term strategy that addresses regional haze in such Class I areas.
    The EPA explained in the 1999 RHR preamble that the CAA section 
169A(b)(2) requirement that states submit SIP revisions to address 
visibility impairment establishes ``an `extremely low triggering 
threshold' in determining which States should submit SIPs for regional 
haze.'' \119\ In concluding that each of the contiguous 48 states and 
the District of Columbia meet this threshold,\120\ the EPA relied on 
``a large body of evidence demonstrat[ing] that long-range transport of 
fine PM contributes to regional haze,'' \121\ including modeling 
studies that ``preliminarily demonstrated that each State not having a 
Class I area had emissions contributing to impairment in at least one 
downwind Class I area.'' \122\ In addition to the technical evidence 
supporting a conclusion that each state contributes to existing 
visibility impairment, the EPA also explained that the second half of 
the national visibility goal--preventing future visibility impairment--
requires having a framework in place to address future growth in 
visibility-impairing emissions and makes it inappropriate to 
``establish criteria for excluding States or geographic areas from 
consideration as potential contributors to regional haze visibility 
impairment.'' \123\ Thus, the EPA concluded that the agency's 
``statutory authority and the scientific evidence are sufficient to 
require all States to develop regional haze SIPs to ensure the 
prevention of any future impairment of visibility, and to conduct 
further analyses to determine whether additional control measures are 
needed to ensure reasonable progress in remedying existing impairment 
in downwind Class I areas.'' \124\ The EPA's 2017 revisions to the RHR 
did not disturb this conclusion.\125\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \119\ 64 FR 35721.
    \120\ The EPA determined that ``there is more than sufficient 
evidence to support our conclusion that emissions from each of the 
48 contiguous states and the District of Columba may reasonably be 
anticipated to cause or contribute to visibility impairment in a 
Class I area.'' 64 FR at 35721. Hawaii, Alaska, and the U.S. Virgin 
Islands must also submit regional haze SIPs because they contain 
Class I areas.
    \121\ Id.
    \122\ Id. at 35722.
    \123\ Id. at 35721.
    \124\ Id. at 35722.
    \125\ See 82 FR 3094.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Arizona has 12 Class I areas within its borders: the Chiricahua 
National Monument, Chiricahua Wilderness Area, Galiuro Wilderness Area, 
Grand Canyon National Park, Mazatzal Wilderness Area, Mount Baldy 
Wilderness Area, Petrified Forest National Park, Pine Mountain 
Wilderness, Saguaro National Park,\126\ Sierra Ancha Wilderness Area, 
Superstition Wilderness Area, and Sycamore Canyon Wilderness Area.
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    \126\ Saguaro National Park was originally established in 1933 
as a National Monument. In 1976, portions of Saguaro National 
Monument were designated as a Wilderness Area, and the Saguaro 
Wilderness Area was designated as a Mandatory Class I area in 1979. 
44 FR 69124 (November 30, 1979). Congress officially elevated the 
area known as Saguaro National Monument to the current designation 
as a National Park in 1994.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Arizona did not expressly identify within its SIP which Class I 
Federal areas located outside of Arizona may be affected by emissions 
from within Arizona. However, as part of its source selection process 
described in Chapter 8 and Appendix C, Section C2 of the 2022 Arizona 
Regional Haze Plan, Arizona included the Q/d \127\ values associated 
with Class I areas outside the State. Further, ADEQ reviewed the source 
apportionment results of the ``On the Books'' (``2028OTBa2'') 
projections scenario from the WRAP Regional Haze photochemical grid 
modeling platform.\128\ ADEQ participated in interstate consultation 
with California, Utah, Nevada, Colorado, and New Mexico, which included 
discussion of the WRAP modeling and source apportionment products.\129\ 
For New Mexico specifically, ADEQ also provided WRAP regional modeling 
platform source apportionment results for the 20 percent most impaired 
days at the four Class I areas in New Mexico that are closest to 
Arizona.\130\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \127\ Q/d represents a source's annual emissions in tons (Q) 
divided by the distance in kilometers (d) between the source and the 
nearest Class I area. For regional haze purposes, only primary 
visibility-impairing pollutants were included in a source's total Q: 
NO<INF>X</INF>, SO<INF>2</INF>, and PM<INF>10</INF>.
    \128\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 7.4 and Appendix 
D. The Particle Source Apportionment Technology (PSAT) tool was 
applied at a regional level to separate U.S. anthropogenic 
contributions from those of fire, natural, and international 
anthropogenic contributions for a current period and a future year 
in 2028.
    \129\ Id. at Chapter 2.6.
    \130\ Id. at Table 2-3.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As explained above, the EPA concluded in the 1999 RHR that ``all 
[s]tates contain sources whose emissions are reasonably anticipated to 
contribute to regional haze in a Class I area,'' \131\ and this 
determination was not changed in the 2017 RHR. Critically, the statute 
and regulation both require that the cause-or-contribute assessment 
consider all emissions of visibility-impairing pollutants from a state, 
as opposed to emissions of a particular pollutant or emissions from a 
certain set

[[Page 47409]]

of sources. Consistent with these requirements, the 2019 Guidance makes 
it clear that ``all types of anthropogenic sources are to be included 
in the determination'' of whether a state's emissions are reasonably 
anticipated to result in any visibility impairment.\132\ As explained 
in Section IV.E.2 of this document, we are proposing to find that the 
2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan did not fully meet the requirements of 
40 CFR 51.308(f)(2) related to the development of a long-term strategy. 
Although the State's failure to identify specific out-of-state Class I 
areas is not the basis for this proposed disapproval, we recommend that 
ADEQ more clearly identify which out-of-state Class I areas may be 
affected by emissions from Arizona.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \131\ 64 FR at 35721.
    \132\ 2019 Guidance, p. 8.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

D. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and Natural Visibility 
Conditions; Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress

    Section 51.308(f)(1) requires states to determine the following for 
``each mandatory Class I Federal area located within the State'': 
baseline visibility conditions for the most impaired and clearest days, 
natural visibility conditions for the most impaired and clearest days, 
progress to date for the most impaired and clearest days, the 
differences between current visibility conditions and natural 
visibility conditions, and the URP. This section also provides the 
option for states to propose adjustments to the URP line for a Class I 
area to account for visibility impacts from anthropogenic sources 
outside the United States and/or the impacts from wildland prescribed 
fires that were conducted for certain, specified objectives.\133\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \133\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(vi)(B).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    In the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, ADEQ used visibility data 
from IMPROVE monitoring sites for 2000-2004 for baseline 
visibility.\134\ ADEQ also obtained visibility data from IMPROVE 
monitoring data for 2005-2019. The five-year average of 2015-2019 
represents current visibility conditions. ADEQ also determined natural 
visibility by estimating the natural concentrations of visibility-
impairing pollutants and then calculating total light extinction with 
the IMPROVE algorithm. Comparison of baseline conditions to natural 
visibility conditions shows the improvement necessary to attain natural 
visibility by 2064 measured in deciviews of improvement per year that 
represents the URP. The calculations of baseline, current, and natural 
visibility conditions, as well as the progress to date, differences 
between current visibility conditions and natural visibility 
conditions, and the URP for each of the state's Class I areas can be 
found in Chapter 5.2 of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan. The URP 
glidepaths and 2028 visibility projections are discussed further in 
Section 7 and Appendix D. A summary of Arizona's visibility conditions 
and unadjusted URPs is also presented in Table 2 of this document. A 
summary of Arizona's adjusted URPs is presented in Table 21 of this 
document.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \134\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 5.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Data for the Chiricahua National Monument, Chiricahua Wilderness 
Area, and the Galiuro Wilderness Area come from the CHIR1 monitoring 
site.\135\ These three Class I areas have 2000-2004 baseline visibility 
conditions of 4.9 deciviews on the 20 percent clearest days and 10.5 
deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an 
estimated natural background visibility of 1.8 deciviews on the 20 
percent clearest days and 4.9 deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired 
days for these three Class I areas. The current visibility conditions, 
which are based on 2015-2019 monitoring data, were 3.9 deciviews on the 
clearest days and 9.5 deciviews on the most impaired days, which are 
2.1 deciviews and 4.6 deciviews greater than natural conditions on the 
respective sets of days. The progress to date, subtracting current 
conditions from baseline conditions, yields a 1.1 deciview improvement 
for the 20 percent clearest days and 1.0 deciview improvement for the 
20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an annual URP of 0.09 
deciviews per year needed to reach natural visibility on the 20 percent 
most impaired days by 2064. ADEQ also indicates that the visibility 
improvement needed to maintain the URP from the baseline to 2028 is 2.2 
deciviews.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \135\ Figure 5-2 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan depicts 
the annual and 5-year average most impaired day and clearest day 
visibility in deciviews (dv), the unadjusted MID URP, and the 
clearest days threshold for the CHIR1 site.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Data for the Grand Canyon National Park come from the GRCA2 
site.\136\ The Grand Canyon has 2000-2004 baseline visibility 
conditions of 2.2 deciviews on the 20 percent clearest days and 8 
deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an 
estimated natural background visibility of 0.3 deciviews on the 20 
percent clearest days and 4.2 deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired 
days for these three Class I areas. The current visibility conditions, 
which are based on 2015-2019 monitoring data, were 1.6 deciviews on the 
clearest days and 6.9 deciviews on the most impaired days, which are 
1.3 deciviews and 2.7 deciviews greater than natural conditions on the 
respective sets of days. The progress to date, subtracting current 
conditions from baseline conditions, yields a 0.6 deciview improvement 
for the 20 percent clearest days and 1.1 deciview improvement for the 
20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an annual URP of 0.06 
deciviews per year needed to reach natural visibility on the 20 percent 
most impaired days by 2064. ADEQ also indicates that the visibility 
improvement needed to maintain the URP from the baseline to 2028 is 1.5 
deciviews.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \136\ Figure 5-3 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan depicts 
the annual and 5-year average most impaired day and clearest day 
visibility in dv, the unadjusted MID URP, and the clearest days 
threshold for the GRCA2 site.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Data for the Mazatzal Wilderness Area and Pine Mountain Wilderness 
Area come from the IKBA1 monitoring site.\137\ These two Class I areas 
have 2000-2004 baseline visibility conditions of 5.4 deciviews on the 
20 percent clearest days and 11.2 deciviews on the 20 percent most 
impaired days. ADEQ calculated an estimated natural background 
visibility of 1.9 deciviews on the 20 percent clearest days and 5.2 
deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired days for these two Class I 
areas. The current visibility conditions, which are based on 2015-2019 
monitoring data, were 4.2 deciviews on the clearest days and 9.5 
deciviews on the most impaired days, which are 2.3 deciviews and 4.3 
deciviews greater than natural conditions on the respective sets of 
days. The progress to date, subtracting current conditions from 
baseline conditions, yields a 1.2 deciview improvement for the 20 
percent clearest days and 1.7 deciview improvement for the 20 percent 
most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an annual URP of 0.10 deciviews per 
year needed to reach natural visibility on the 20 percent most impaired 
days by 2064. ADEQ indicates that the visibility improvement needed to 
maintain the URP from the baseline to 2028 is 2.4 deciviews.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \137\ Figure 5-4 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan depicts 
the annual and 5-year average most impaired day and clearest day 
visibility (dv), the unadjusted MID URP, and the clearest days 
threshold for the IKBA1 site.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Data for the Mount Baldy Wilderness Area come from the BALD1 
monitoring

[[Page 47410]]

site.\138\ Mount Baldy has 2000-2004 baseline visibility conditions of 
3.0 deciviews on the 20 percent clearest days and 8.8 deciviews on the 
20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an estimated natural 
background visibility of 0.5 on the 20 percent clearest days and 4.2 
deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired days. The current visibility 
conditions, which are based on 2015-2019 monitoring data, were 1.8 
deciviews on the clearest days and 7.3 deciviews on the most impaired 
days, which are 1.3 deciviews and 3.1 deciviews greater than natural 
conditions on the respective sets of days. The progress to date, 
subtracting current conditions from baseline conditions, yields a 1.2 
deciview improvement for the 20 percent clearest days and 1.5 deciview 
improvement for the 20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an 
annual URP of 0.08 deciviews per year needed to reach natural 
visibility on the 20 percent most impaired days by 2064. ADEQ indicates 
that the visibility improvement needed to maintain the URP from the 
baseline to 2028 is 1.8 deciviews.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \138\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Tables 5-1 through 5-3.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Data for the Petrified Forest National Park come from the PEFO1 
monitoring site.\139\ The Class I area has 2000-2004 baseline 
visibility conditions of 5.0 deciviews on the 20 percent clearest days 
and 9.8 deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ calculated 
an estimated natural background visibility of 1.1 deciviews on the 20 
percent clearest days and 4.2 deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired 
days. The current visibility conditions, which are based on 2015-2019 
monitoring data, were 3.3 deciviews on the clearest days and 8.1 
deciviews on the most impaired days, which are 2.2 deciviews and 3.9 
deciviews greater than natural conditions on the respective sets of 
days. The progress to date, subtracting current conditions from 
baseline conditions, yields a 1.8 deciview improvement for the 20 
percent clearest days and 1.7 deciview improvement for the 20 percent 
most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an annual URP of 0.09 deciviews per 
year needed to reach natural visibility on the 20 percent most impaired 
days by 2064. ADEQ indicates that the visibility improvement needed to 
maintain the URP from the baseline to 2028 is 2.4 deciviews.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \139\ Figure 5-5 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan depicts 
the annual and 5-year average most impaired day and clearest day 
visibility in dv, the unadjusted MID URP, and the clearest days 
threshold for the PEFO1 site.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Data for the Saguaro National Park come from the SAGU1 monitoring 
site.\140\ The Class I area has 2000-2004 baseline visibility 
conditions of 6.9 deciviews on the 20 percent clearest days and 12.6 
deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an 
estimated natural background visibility of 2.2 deciviews on the 20 
percent clearest days and 5.1 deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired 
days. The current visibility conditions, which are based on 2015-2019 
monitoring data, were 5.8 deciviews on the clearest days and 10.7 
deciviews on the most impaired days, which are 3.6 deciviews and 5.6 
deciviews greater than natural conditions on the respective sets of 
days. The progress to date, subtracting current conditions from 
baseline conditions, yields a 1.1 deciview improvement for the 20 
percent clearest days and 1.9 deciview improvement for the 20 percent 
most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an annual URP of 0.12 deciviews per 
year needed to reach natural visibility on the 20 percent most impaired 
days by 2064. ADEQ indicates that the visibility improvement needed to 
maintain the URP from the baseline to 2028 is 3.0 deciviews.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \140\ Figure 5-6 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan depicts 
the annual and 5-year average most impaired day and clearest day 
visibility in dv, the unadjusted MID URP, and the clearest days 
threshold for the SAGU1 site.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Data for the Sierra Ancha Wilderness Area come from the SIAN1 
monitoring site.\141\ The Class I area has 2000-2004 baseline 
visibility conditions of 6.2 deciviews on the 20 percent clearest days 
and 10.8 deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ 
calculated an estimated natural background visibility of 2.0 deciviews 
on the 20 percent clearest days and 5.1 deciviews on the 20 percent 
most impaired days. The current visibility conditions, which are based 
on 2015-2019 monitoring data, were 4.3 deciviews on the clearest days 
and 9.4 deciviews on the most impaired days, which are 2.3 deciviews 
and 4.3 deciviews greater than natural conditions on the respective 
sets of days. The progress to date, subtracting current conditions from 
baseline conditions, yields a 1.9 deciview improvement for the 20 
percent clearest days and 1.4 deciview improvement for the 20 percent 
most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an annual URP of 0.09 deciviews per 
year needed to reach natural visibility on the 20 percent most impaired 
days by 2064. ADEQ indicates that the visibility improvement needed to 
maintain the URP from the baseline to 2028 is 2.3 deciviews.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \141\ Figure 5-7 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan depicts 
the annual and 5-year average most impaired day and clearest day 
visibility in dv, the unadjusted MID URP, and the clearest days 
threshold for the SIAN1 site. Data is not available for 2016-2020 
for SIAN1.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Data for the Superstition Wilderness Area come from the TONT1 
monitoring site.\142\ The Class I area has 2000-2004 baseline 
visibility conditions of 6.5 deciviews on the 20 percent clearest days 
and 11.7 deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ 
calculated an estimated natural background visibility of 2.0 deciviews 
on the 20 percent clearest days and 5.1 deciviews on the 20 percent 
most impaired days. The current visibility conditions, which are based 
on 2015-2019 monitoring data, were 4.9 deciviews on the clearest days 
and 10.3 deciviews on the most impaired days, which are 2.9 deciviews 
and 5.2 deciviews greater than natural conditions on the respective 
sets of days. The progress to date, subtracting current conditions from 
baseline conditions, yields a 1.6 deciview improvement for the 20 
percent clearest days and 1.3 deciview improvement for the 20 percent 
most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an annual URP of 0.09 deciviews per 
year needed to reach natural visibility on the 20 percent most impaired 
days by 2064. ADEQ indicates that the visibility improvement needed to 
maintain the URP from the baseline to 2028 is 2.6 deciviews.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \142\ Figure 5-8 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan depicts 
the annual and 5-year average most impaired day and clearest day 
visibility in dv, the unadjusted MID URP, and the clearest days 
threshold for the TONT1 site.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Data for the Sycamore Canyon Wilderness Area come from the 
SYCA_RHTS monitoring site.\143\ The Class I area has 2000-2004 baseline 
visibility conditions of 5.6 deciviews on the 20 percent clearest days 
and 12.2 deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ 
calculated an estimated natural background visibility of 1.0 deciview 
on the 20 percent clearest days and 4.7 deciviews on the 20 percent 
most impaired days. The current visibility conditions, which are based 
on 2015-2019 monitoring data, were 3.9 deciviews on the clearest days 
and 11.7 deciviews on the most impaired days, which are 2.9 deciviews 
and 7.0 deciviews greater than natural

[[Page 47411]]

conditions on the respective sets of days. The progress to date, 
subtracting current conditions from baseline conditions, yields a 1.6 
deciview improvement for the 20 percent clearest days and 0.4 deciview 
improvement for the 20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an 
annual URP of 0.12 deciviews per year needed to reach natural 
visibility on the 20 percent most impaired days by 2064. ADEQ indicates 
that the visibility improvement needed to maintain the URP from the 
baseline to 2028 is 3.0 deciviews.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \143\ Figure 5-9 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan depicts 
the annual and 5-year average most impaired day and clearest day 
visibility in dv, the unadjusted MID URP, and the clearest days 
threshold for the SYCA_RHTS site. The abbreviation ``SYCA_RHTS'' is 
for Sycamore Regional Haze Tracking Site, and combines data from the 
SYCA1 IMPROVE site, which closed in 2015 during the baseline period, 
and data from the newer SYCA2 site.

                                                         Table 2--Visibility Conditions and Uniform Rate of Progress, in Deciviews (dv)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                             20% Clearest days                          20% Most-impaired days                          Maintain URP
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                                                                                                          total dv     total dv
                         Class I Area                           Baseline   Current    Natural    Difference   Baseline   Current    Natural    Difference  dv per year   (baseline    (baseline
                                                                                                                                                                          to 2019)     to 2028)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Chiricahua NM WA.............................................        4.9        3.9        1.8          2.1       10.5        9.5        4.9          4.6         0.09          1.4          2.2
Chiricahua WA................................................        4.9        3.9        1.8          2.1       10.5        9.5        4.9          4.6         0.09          1.4          2.2
Galiuro WA...................................................        4.9        3.9        1.8          2.1       10.5        9.5        4.9          4.6         0.09          1.4          2.2
Grand Canyon NP..............................................        2.2        1.6        0.3          1.3        8.0        6.9        4.2          2.7         0.06          1.0          1.5
Mazatzal WA..................................................        5.4        4.2        1.9          2.3       11.2        9.5        5.2          4.3         0.10          1.5          2.4
Mount Baldy WA...............................................        3.0        1.8        0.5          1.3        8.8        7.3        4.2          3.1         0.08          1.2          1.8
Petrified Forest NP..........................................        5.0        3.3        1.1          2.2        9.8        8.1        4.2          3.9         0.09          1.4          2.2
Pine Mountain WA.............................................        5.4        4.2        1.9          2.3       11.2        9.5        5.2          4.3         0.10          1.5          2.4
Saguaro NP...................................................        6.9        5.8        2.2          3.6       12.6       10.7        5.1          5.6         0.12          1.9          3.0
Sierra Ancha WA..............................................        6.2        4.3        2.0          2.3       10.8        9.4        5.1          4.3         0.09          1.2          2.3
Superstition WA..............................................        6.5        4.9        2.0          2.9       11.7       10.3        5.1          5.2         0.11          1.6          2.6
Sycamore Canyon WA...........................................        5.6        3.9        1.0          2.9       12.2       11.7        4.7          7.0         0.12          1.9          3.0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, p. 38, Tables 5-1, 5-2, and 5-3. Baseline conditions are for 2000-2004 Current Conditions are for 2015-2019; Difference is Current dv minus Natural
  Conditions. Maintain URP shows the deciviews per year and the total deciview improvements needed to maintain the Uniform Rate of Progress to 2019 and 2028.

    ADEQ chose to adjust its URP to account for international 
anthropogenic impacts and for the impacts of wildland prescribed fires. 
The WRAP/WAQS Regional Haze modeling platform used scaled 2014 NEI 
wildland prescribed fire data for purposes of calculating the URP 
adjustments. ADEQ submits activity data related to wildland prescribed 
fires approved under its SIP approved Enhanced Smoke Management Program 
to the EPA for use in the development of the NEI. WRAP used the results 
from the CAMx 2028OTBa2 High-Level Source Apportionment run to obtain 
concentrations due to international emissions and to prescribed fire. 
These concentrations were then used in a relative sense to estimate the 
contributions for use in adjusting the URP. That is, the modeled 
relative effect of removing their emissions (relative response factors) 
was applied to projections of 2028 concentrations. The resulting 
concentration decrease was taken as the contribution of these sources. 
The international and prescribed fire contributions were therefore 
calculated in a fashion consistent with each other and with the 2028 
projections. This approach is consistent with the default method 
described in the EPA's September 2019 regional haze modeling Technical 
Support Document (``EPA 2019 Modeling TSD'') \144\ and with the source 
apportionment approach described in EPA's 2018 Visibility Tracking 
Guidance.\145\ Two different adjusted glidepath options, 
``International Emissions Only (A)'' and ``International Emissions + 
Wildland Rx Fire (B),'' were made available on the WRAP TSS to adjust 
the URP glidepath end points projections at 2064 for Class I federal 
areas on the most impaired days. ADEQ used the International Emissions 
+ Wildland Rx Fire glidepath endpoint adjustment option. The choice of 
adjustment option made a negligible difference for five of the nine 
IMPROVE monitor locations, a small difference for three others, and a 
larger difference for the SYCA_RHTS monitor covering the Sycamore 
Canyon Wilderness. The deciview values for the URP glidepaths, both 
unadjusted and adjusted, were fairly close to values estimated in the 
EPA 2019 Modeling TSD. The choice of adjustment option made no 
difference in whether the RPG for each area was above or below its URP 
glidepath, which is discussed in the Section IV.F of this document.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \144\ Memorandum from Richard A. Wayland, Director, Air Quality 
Assessment Division, EPA, to Regional Air Division Directors, 
Subject: ``Availability of Modeling Data and Associated Technical 
Support Document for the EPA's Updated 2028 Visibility Air Quality 
Modeling,'' September 19, 2019, available at <a href="https://www.epa.gov/visibility/technical-support-document-epas-updated-2028-regional-haze-modeling">https://www.epa.gov/visibility/technical-support-document-epas-updated-2028-regional-haze-modeling</a>.
    \145\ Memorandum from Richard A. Wayland, Director, Air Quality 
Assessment Division, EPA, to Regional Air Division Directors, 
Subject: ``Technical Guidance on Tracking Visibility Progress for 
the Second Implementation Period of the Regional Haze Program,'' 
December 20, 2018, available at <a href="https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2018-12/documents/technical_guidance_tracking_visibility_progress.pdf">https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2018-12/documents/technical_guidance_tracking_visibility_progress.pdf</a>.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The EPA is therefore proposing to find that Chapter 5 and Appendix 
A of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan meet the requirements of 40 
CFR 51.308(f)(1) related to the calculations of baseline, current, and 
natural visibility conditions; progress to date; differences between 
current visibility conditions and natural visibility conditions; and 
the URPs for the second implementation period. We also propose to find 
that ADEQ has estimated the impacts from anthropogenic sources outside 
the United States and wildland prescribed fires using scientifically 
valid data and methods, and we therefore propose to approve the 
adjustments to the URPs pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(vi)(B).

E. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze

1. Arizona's Long-Term Strategy in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan
    Each state having a Class I area within its borders or emissions 
that may affect visibility in a Class I area must develop a long-term 
strategy for making reasonable progress towards the national visibility 
goal. As explained in Section 3 of this notice, reasonable progress is 
achieved when all states contributing to visibility impairment in

[[Page 47412]]

a Class I area are implementing the measures determined--through 
application of the four statutory factors to sources of visibility 
impairing pollutants--to be necessary to make reasonable progress.\146\ 
Each state's long-term strategy must include the enforceable emissions 
limitations, compliance schedules, and other measures that are 
necessary to make reasonable progress.\147\ All new (i.e., additional) 
measures that are the outcome of four-factor analyses are necessary to 
make reasonable progress and must be in the long-term strategy. If the 
outcome of a four-factor analysis and analysis of other measures 
necessary to make reasonable progress is that no new measures are 
reasonable for a source, that source's existing measures are necessary 
to make reasonable progress, unless the state can demonstrate that the 
source will continue to implement those measures and will not increase 
its emissions rate. Existing measures that are necessary to make 
reasonable progress must also be in the long-term strategy. In 
developing its long-term strategies, a state must also consider the 
five additional factors in section 51.308(f)(2)(iv). As part of its 
reasonable progress determinations, the state must describe the 
criteria used to determine which sources or group of sources were 
evaluated in a four-factor analysis for the second implementation 
period and how the four factors were taken into consideration in 
selecting the emissions reduction measures for inclusion in the long-
term strategy.\148\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \146\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i).
    \147\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2).
    \148\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The consultation requirements of section 51.308(f)(2)(ii) provide 
that states must consult with other states that are reasonably 
anticipated to contribute to visibility impairment in a Class I area to 
develop and coordinate emissions management strategies containing the 
emissions reduction measures that are necessary to make reasonable 
progress. Section 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(A) and (B) require states to 
consider the emissions reduction measures identified by other states as 
necessary for reasonable progress and to include agreed upon measures 
in their SIPs, respectively. Section 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C) speaks to what 
happens if states cannot agree on what measures are necessary to make 
reasonable progress.
    The following sections summarize Arizona's long-term strategy for 
the second planning period, as set forth in the 2022 Arizona Regional 
Haze Plan. The EPA's evaluation with respect to the requirements of 
51.308(f)(2) is provided in Section IV.E.2.
a. Point Sources
i. Source Selection
    PM is composed of different chemical constituents, including 
sulfates, nitrates, organic carbon, elemental carbon, coarse mass, and 
soil dust (``PM species'' or ``species''). ADEQ focused its source 
evaluation on the PM species that dominate visibility impairment at its 
Class I areas.\149\ ADEQ evaluated light extinction for PM species by 
calculating total light extinction \150\ and anthropogenic extinction 
\151\ for each species on the most impaired days at its Class I areas. 
ADEQ indicated that when the anthropogenic portion of the impact is 
considered, the sulfate, nitrate, and coarse mass species collectively 
constitute 80 percent of total extinction on average across the Arizona 
Class I areas (ranging from 72.3 percent at the PEFO1 monitor to 88.8 
percent at the CHIR1 monitor).\152\ ADEQ also noted that, while organic 
carbon mass and light absorbing carbon account for more than 10 percent 
of the anthropogenic light extinction impact for at least one of the 
Class I areas, the emissions that contribute to these species are 
primarily from biogenic, wildfires, and onroad sources, for which the 
State has limited available control opportunities. Based on this 
analysis, ADEQ determined that sulfate, nitrate, and coarse mass are 
the three species that should be evaluated for source controls during 
this planning period in order to maximize the visibility benefit of 
controls. SO<INF>2</INF> emissions are a precursor to the formation of 
sulfate, and NO<INF>X</INF> emissions are a precursor to the formation 
of nitrate. Coarse mass emissions involve particulates with an 
aerodynamic diameter between 10 and 2.5 microns (i.e., PM<INF>10</INF> 
less PM<INF>2.5</INF>). Because coarse mass is not commonly included in 
emissions inventories, states generally use particulate matter with an 
aerodynamic diameter under 10 microns (PM<INF>10</INF>) as a surrogate 
for coarse mass. Therefore, ADEQ conducted its screening based on 
NO<INF>X</INF>, SO<INF>2</INF>, and PM<INF>10</INF> emissions.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \149\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Section 8.2.1.
    \150\ Id., Appendix C, Table 3.
    \151\ Id. at Table 4.
    \152\ Id. at Table 5.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Arizona used the Q/d method to identify sources that are reasonably 
expected to contribute to visibility impairment at any Class I area. 
ADEQ used a Q/d threshold of 10 (combined NO<INF>X</INF>, 
SO<INF>2</INF> and PM<INF>10</INF> emissions) based on the 2014 
National Emissions Inventory (NEI) Version 2 (``2014v2'') emissions. 
ADEQ's approach included additional steps in order to screen out 
processes within the identified sources that have installed or will 
install ``effective controls'' prior to the end of the second planning 
period.\153\ ADEQ evaluated 2018 operational and emissions data to 
determine which processes have an effective control installed or 
incorporated within the last five years or will install or incorporate 
an effective control prior to 2028.\154\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \153\ A full description of the methodology and determinations 
of effective controls and their treatment are included in Appendix C 
of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan. Figure 8-1 of the 2022 
Arizona Regional Haze Plan presents a flowchart of ADEQ's major 
point source screening process.
    \154\ Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C2.2.1.2.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ADEQ used following the criteria for determining what constitutes 
an effective control: (1) the control was installed within the last 
five years of this analysis (i.e., during or since 2014) or will be 
installed prior to 2028; (2) the control was installed to meet (a) PSD 
requirements (or is otherwise considered a to be equivalent to the best 
available control technology (BACT)), (b) BART requirements (including 
BART reconsiderations and better-than-BART determinations),\155\ (c) 
Regional Haze 1st planning period Reasonable Progress, requirements, or 
(d) other SIP requirements to achieve NAAQS compliance; and (3) process 
emissions must be controlled through routing those emissions through a 
newly constructed or recently upgraded pollution control device or 
``taking emission limits that would otherwise equate to the 
installation of a pollution control device.'' \156\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \155\ Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(e)(2), States have the 
flexibility to adopt alternatives that provide greater reasonable 
progress towards natural visibility conditions than BART for one or 
more subject-to-BART sources (commonly known as ``better-than-BART'' 
alternatives).
    \156\ Arizona Regional Haze Plan Appendix C, p. 30.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ADEQ further determined that the application of the effective 
control screening should be applied at the process level as opposed to 
the facility-wide level. Given an increase in resolution at the process 
level as compared to the unit level, ADEQ determined that examining 
facility processes was the most appropriate level of resolution for 
determining which emission sources at a facility would undergo a four-
factor control determination. Additionally, given that some permitted 
sources submit emissions inventories containing hundreds of processes, 
including many that emit low levels of pollutants, ADEQ

[[Page 47413]]

determined that it was unnecessary to perform a control evaluation on 
all processes at each facility, but that at least the largest 80 
percent of pollutant- and process-specific emissions at a source should 
be considered.
    As shown in Table 3 of this document, ADEQ determined that 55 
processes within the identified sources were effectively 
controlled.\157\ These include certain processes where no control has 
been installed within the last five years, but where new emissions 
limits were established, such as Tucson Electric Power (TEP) Company 
Irvington Generating Station (IGS) Unit 4 and AEPCO Apache Generating 
Station Unit 2, both of which converted from coal to natural gas as 
part of better-than-BART alternatives during the first planning period. 
ADEQ then screened out these effectively controlled processes from 
further consideration and indicated that these effectively controlled 
processes will be reevaluated in future rounds of Regional Haze 
planning.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \157\ Id. at Exhibit CI.

             Table 3--List of Effective Controls Identified by ADEQ for Arizona Major Point Sources
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                   Unit/process
           Facility                description      Control program                    Comments
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AEPCO--Apache Generating        Steam Unit 1 Gas.  Regional Haze--    NOX limit of 0.056 pounds per million
 Station.                                           BART Alternative.  British thermal unit (lb/MMBtu)
                                                                       standalone and 0.1 lb/MMBtu combined ST1/
                                                                       GT1 and a 30-calendar day average of
                                                                       1,205 lb/day, PM10 limit of 0.0075 lb/
                                                                       MMBtu, and SO2 limit of 0.00064 lb/MMBtu.
AEPCO--Apache Generating        Steam Unit 2 Gas.  Regional Haze--    Conversion from coal to natural gas with
 Station.                                           BART Alternative.  NOX limit of 0.085 lb/MMBtu 30-day
                                                                       average, SO2 limit of 0.00064 lb/MMBtu 30-
                                                                       day average, PM10 limit of 0.008 lb/MMBtu
                                                                       30-day average.
AEPCO--Apache Generating        Steam Unit 2 Coal  Regional Haze--    Conversion from coal to natural gas w/NOX
 Station.                                           BART Alternative.  limit of 0.085 lb/MMBtu 30-day average,
                                                                       SO2 limit of 0.00064 lb/MMBtu 30-day
                                                                       average, PM10 limit of 0.008 lb/MMBtu 30-
                                                                       day average.
AEPCO--Apache Generating        Steam Unit 3 Coal  Regional Haze--    Selective non-catalytic reduction (SNCR)
 Station.                                           BART Alternative.  installation w/a NOX 30-day average limit
                                                                       of 0.23 lb/MMBtu.
AEPCO--Apache Generating        Steam Unit 3 Gas.  Regional Haze--    SNCR installation w/a NOX 30-day average
 Station.                                           BART Alternative.  limit of 0.23 lb/MMBtu.
AEPCO--Apache Generating        Gas Combust        Regional Haze--    NOX limit of 0.056 lb/MMBtu standalone and
 Station.                        Turbine #1.        BART Alternative.  0.1 lb/MMBtu combined ST1/GT1 and a 30-
                                                                       calendar day average of 1,205 lb/day,
                                                                       PM10 limit of 0.0075 lb/MMBtu, and SO2
                                                                       limit of 0.00064 lb/MMBtu.
APS--Cholla Power Plant.......  Coal Combustion    Regional Haze--    Cease operation or convert unit from coal
                                 In Steam Unit #1.  BART.              to natural gas by April 30, 2025, with
                                                                       20% annual capacity factor.
APS--Cholla Power Plant.......  Coal Combustion    Regional Haze--    Permanently shut down April 1, 2016.
                                 in Steam Unit #2.  BART.
APS--Cholla Power Plant.......  Coal Combustion    Regional Haze--    Permanently cease coal burning by April
                                 in Steam Unit #3.  BART.              30, 2025. Natural gas option with less
                                                                       than 20% average annual capacity factor
                                                                       (NOX, SO2, and PM10 emissions limits
                                                                       specified).
APS--Cholla Power Plant.......  Coal Combustion    Regional Haze--    Permanently cease coal burning by April
                                 in Steam Unit #4.  BART.              30, 2025. Natural gas option with less
                                                                       than 20% average annual capacity factor
                                                                       (NOX, SO2, and PM10 emissions limits
                                                                       specified).
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........  Flash Furnace,     SIP Action--Pb,    Converter retrofit & HSA Lime Injection/
                                 Converter.         SO2.               Baghouse.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........  Paved Road         SIP Action--Pb...  Limits on Lead Bearing Fugitive Dust from
                                 Traffic.                              the Hayden smelter.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........  Product Dryer      SIP Action--Pb,    Converter retrofit & HSA Lime Injection/
                                 Baghouses.         SO2.               Baghouse.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........  Storage &          SIP Action--Pb...  Limits on Lead Bearing Fugitive Dust from
                                 Handling.                             the Hayden smelter.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........  Unpaved Road       SIP Action--Pb...  Limits on Lead Bearing Fugitive Dust from
                                 Traffic.                              the Hayden smelter.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........  Flash Furnace/     SIP Action--SO2..  Flash furnace fugitive SO2 capture and
                                 Converter                             control improvements made as part of the
                                 Primary                               converter retrofit project.
                                 Ventilation--Aci
                                 d Plant Outlet.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........  Converter Aisle    SIP Action--SO2..  New tertiary ventilation system.
                                 Fugitives.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........  Fines Crushing     SIP Action--Pb...  Limits on Lead Bearing Fugitive Dust from
                                 Circuit.                              the Hayden smelter.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........  Flash Furnace      SIP Action--SO2..  Flash furnace fugitive SO2 capture and
                                 Fugitives.                            control improvements made as part of the
                                                                       converter retrofit project.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........  Flash Furnace      SIP Action--SO2..  Flash furnace fugitive SO2 capture and
                                 Baghouse Outlet.                      control improvements made as part of the
                                                                       converter retrofit project.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........  Peirce Smith       SIP Action--SO2..  New tertiary ventilation system.
                                 Converters.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........  Peirce Smith       SIP Action--Pb,    Converter retrofit & HSA Lime Injection/
                                 Converters.        SO2.               Baghouse.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........  Revert Crushing    SIP Action--Pb...  Limits on Lead Bearing Fugitive Dust from
                                 Circuit.                              the Hayden smelter.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........  Secondary Hood     SIP Action--SO2..  New tertiary ventilation system.
                                 Baghouse.

[[Page 47414]]

 
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........  Tertiary Hood      SIP Action--SO2..  New tertiary ventilation system.
                                 Ventilation
                                 Outlet.
Calportland-Rillito Cement      Preheater & Kiln   Regional Haze--    SNCR installation with a NOX limit of 3.46
 Plant.                          4.                 Reasonable         lb/ton.
                                                    Progress.
Chemical Lime Nelson Plant....  Baghouse.........  Regional Haze--    SNCR NOX limit of 3.80 lb/ton. Use of
                                                    BART.              lower sulfur fuel with SO2 limit of 9.32
                                                                       lb/ton.
Chemical Lime Nelson Plant....  Baghouse.........  Regional Haze--    SNCR NOX limit of 2.61 lb/ton. Use of
                                                    BART.              lower sulfur fuel with SO2 limit of 9.73
                                                                       lb/ton.
Coronado Generating Plant.....  Coal Combustion    Regional Haze--    Selective catalytic reduction (SCR)
                                 Unit 1.            BART.              installation or shut down by 12/31/2025.
                                                                       0.065 lb/MMBtu average NOX limit and
                                                                       0.060 lb/MMBtu average SO2 limit.
                                                                       Additional facility-wide cap on SO2
                                                                       emissions.
Coronado Generating Plant.....  Fuel Oil           Regional Haze--    SCR installation or shut down by 12/31/
                                 Combustion Unit    BART.              2025. 0.065 lb/MMBtu average NOX limit
                                 1.                                    and 0.060 lb/MMBtu average SO2 limit.
                                                                       Additional facility-wide cap on SO2
                                                                       emissions.
Coronado Generating Plant.....  Coal Combustion    Regional Haze--    SCR installation in June 2014.
                                 Unit 2.            BART.
Coronado Generating Plant.....  Fuel Oil           Regional Haze--    SCR installation in June 2014.
                                 Combustion Unit    BART.
                                 2.
Freeport McMoran Miami Smelter  Smelting: Isa &    SIP Action--SO2..  2018 environmental upgrades included
                                 Elf.                                  capture of anode vessel process
                                                                       emissions, routing to baghouse and
                                                                       caustic scrubber.
Freeport McMoran Miami Smelter  Captured           SIP Action--SO2..  Anode process emissions routed through
                                 Converter                             baghouse and caustic scrubber, Converter
                                 Fugitives and                         fugitive emissions routed through caustic
                                 Anode Process                         scrubber.
                                 Emissions.
Freeport McMoran Miami Smelter  Collected          SIP Action--SO2..  Vent fume system, including Wet
                                 Fugitives.                            Electrostatic Precipitator (ESP) and
                                                                       caustic scrubber.
Freeport McMoran Miami Smelter  Bypass Stack.....  SIP Action--SO2..  Bypass stack subject to facility-wide SO2
                                                                       limit in SO2 and permit.
Freeport McMoran Miami Smelter  Smelting           SIP Action--SO2..  Fugitive originating from IsaSmelt vessel,
                                 Fugitives.                            electric furnace, converters, and anode
                                                                       vessels, each of which have emissions
                                                                       capture and control systems.
Freeport McMoran Miami Smelter  Natural Gas        SIP Action--SO2..  Majority of smelter natural gas combustion
                                 Combustion.                           occurs within IsaSmelt, Electric Furnace,
                                                                       Converters and Anode Vessels and is co-
                                                                       mingled with process gas which is routed
                                                                       to the various control devices.
                                                                       Insignificant emissions originating from
                                                                       uncontrolled space heaters, small water
                                                                       heaters, etc.
Freeport McMoran Miami Smelter  Anode Refining...  SIP Action--SO2..  2018 environmental upgrades included
                                                                       capture of anode vessel process
                                                                       emissions, routing to baghouse and
                                                                       caustic scrubber.
Phoenix Cement--Clarkdale.....  Raw Mill/Kiln....  Regional Haze--    SNCR installation with a NOX limit of 2.67
                                                    Reasonable         lb/ton.
                                                    Progress.
Phoenix Cement--Clarkdale.....  Coal Milling.....  Regional Haze--    SNCR installation with a NOX limit of 2.67
                                                    Reasonable         lb/ton.
                                                    Progress.
Tucson Electric Power--         U1 Boiler--        PSD BACT.........  Replacement of unit with 10 upgraded
 Irvington.                      Natural Gas.                          reciprocating internal combustion engines
                                                                       (RICE) engines and a combined annual NOX
                                                                       limit of 170 tons per year (tpy).
Tucson Electric Power--         U2 Boiler--        PSD BACT.........  Replacement of unit with 10 upgraded RICE
 Irvington.                      Natural Gas.                          engines and a combined annual NOX limit
                                                                       of 170 tpy.
Tucson Electric Power--         U4 Boiler--        Regional Haze--    Fuel switch with a 0.25 lb/MMBtu NOX
 Irvington.                      Natural Gas.       BART Alternative.  limit, 0.57 lb/MMBtu SO2 limit, and 0.010
                                                                       lb/MMBtu PM10 limit.
Tucson Electric Power--         IGT1-Turbine--Nat  PSD BACT.........  Replacement of unit with 10 upgraded RICE
 Irvington.                      ural Gas.                             engines and a combined annual NOX limit
                                                                       of 170 tpy.
Tucson Electric Power--         IGT2-Turbine--Nat  PSD BACT.........  Replacement of unit with 10 upgraded RICE
 Irvington.                      ural Gas.                             engines and a combined annual NOX limit
                                                                       of 170 tpy.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Exhibit CI.

    ADEQ then recalculated Q/d using a threshold of 10 for each 
facility utilizing the remaining processes and 2018 data.
    Based on the source screening results, ADEQ determined that the 11 
permitted sources listed in Table 4 of this document would undergo a 
four-factor analysis.\158\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \158\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Table 8-2.

                                    Table 4--Arizona Source Screening Results
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 Facility                     Q (tpy)       d (km)        Q/d           Nearest Class I area
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ASARCO LLC--Mission Complex...............        1,254           42           30  Saguaro National Park.
ASARCO LLC--Ray Operations................          371           26           14  Superstition Wilderness Area.

[[Page 47415]]

 
CalPortland--Rillito Cement Plant.........          246            8           30  Saguaro National Park.
Drake Cement LLC..........................          375           22           17  Sycamore Canyon Wilderness
                                                                                    Area.
El Paso Natural Gas--Willcox Compressor             321           27           12  Chiricahua Wilderness Area.
 Station.
El Paso Natural Gas--Williams Compressor            786           19           40  Sycamore Canyon Wilderness
 Station.                                                                           Area.
Freeport-McMoran--Morenci.................        2,768           54           52  Gila Wilderness Area.
Freeport-McMoran--Sierrita Mine...........          869           42           21  Saguaro National Park.
Phoenix Cement--Clarkdale.................          136           10           14  Sycamore Canyon Wilderness
                                                                                    Area.
Tucson Electric Power Co--Irvington.......          444           16           28  Saguaro National Park.
Tucson Electric Power Co--Springerville...       17,044           50          339  Mount Baldy Wilderness Area.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Table 8-2. The Q and Q/d values shown here exclude those processes that
  ADEQ screened out based on a finding that they were effectively controlled.

ii. Overall Approach to Four-Factor Analyses
    For cost calculation interest rates, ADEQ requested that the 
sources undergoing a four-factor analysis provide source specific 
lending/interest rates in line with the general recommendations of the 
7th Edition of the EPA Control Cost Manual.\159\ In the absence of 
source-specific information, ADEQ relied on a 4.75 percent interest 
rate developed by analyzing and averaging historical bank prime rate 
data. ADEQ looked at 3-year average bank prime rates for the periods of 
2017-2019 (4.83 percent) and April 2018-March 2020 (4.78 percent). 
These dates were chosen as they were the most recent data at the time 
of the analysis. ADEQ determined, based on these 3-year averages, that 
a 3-year average bank prime rate of 4.75 percent was appropriate. ADEQ 
indicates that the use of a 3-year average was more appropriate than 
the utilization of the bank prime rate at a singular point in time due 
to the variability that can occur in bank prime rates over time. ADEQ 
also performed an analysis to determine a reasonable cost-effectiveness 
(cost/ton) threshold for Arizona emissions sources evaluated under the 
four-factor analysis in the regional haze second planning period, based 
on the cost-effectiveness values for controls required in regional haze 
SIP revisions from the first planning period. ADEQ indicated that it 
found that none of the implemented cost-effectiveness values during the 
first planning period exceeded $5,300/ton. Adjusting the cost for 
inflation to 2019 dollars based on Chemical Engineering Plant Cost 
Index values,\160\ ADEQ determined that any controls having an average 
cost-effectiveness of more than $6,500/ton would be cost excessive and 
could be rejected without further justification.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \159\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Section 8.3.2.
    \160\ Available at <a href="https://www.chemengonline.com/site/plant-cost-index/">https://www.chemengonline.com/site/plant-cost-index/</a>.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

iii. Summary of Four-Factor Analyses

                Table 5--Summary of Facilities and Processes Evaluated Under Four-Factor Analysis
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                                 Projected 2028
                Facility                           Process                   Pollutant           emissions (tpy)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ASARCO LLC--Mission Complex............  Trucks hauling ore and      PM10.....................               713
                                          waste rock.
                                         Rubber tire rigs traveling  PM10.....................                97
                                          on unpaved roads.
ASARCO LLC--Ray Operations.............  Trucks hauling ore and      PM10.....................               158
                                          waste rock.
                                         Miscellaneous vehicles      PM10.....................                87
                                          traveling on unpaved
                                          roads.
                                         Dumps and tailings          PM10.....................                41
                                          windblown dust.
                                         Dozing mine areas, dumps    PM10.....................                21
                                          and stockpiles.
                                         Blasting ore and waste      NOX......................                89
                                          rock.
CalPortland--Rillito Cement Plant......  Clinker From K234--         PM10.....................              62.5
                                          Overhead Crane Building.
                                         Unpaved Roads.............  PM10.....................              51.7
                                         Plant Materials...........  PM10.....................              17.3
                                         Finish Milling--D2-PC.....  PM10.....................               9.5
                                         Iron Stockpile............  PM10.....................               8.5
                                         Finish Milling--D3-1-DC2..  PM10.....................               7.1
                                         Cooler--Kiln 4 H2-GB......  PM10.....................               7.0
                                         Quarry Materials..........  PM10.....................               6.5
                                         Paved Roads...............  PM10.....................               5.8
                                         Mining Operations--         NOX......................               5.7
                                          Blasting.
                                         Quarry Crusher System--B2-  PM10.....................               5.3
                                          DC1.
Drake Cement LLC.......................  Raw Mill and Kiln.........  NOX......................           \a\ 316
El Paso Natural Gas--Willcox Compressor  TURBINE-1.................  NOX......................               134
 Station.
                                         TURBINE-2.................  NOX......................               157
El Paso Natural Gas--Williams            TURBINE-1.................  NOX......................               290
 Compressor Station.
                                         RECIP-1...................  NOX......................               148
                                         RECIP-2...................  NOX......................               170
                                         RECIP-5...................  NOX......................               205
Freeport--McMoran--Morenci.............  Haul Trucks Traveling on    PM10.....................             1,552
                                          Mine Roads.
                                         Other Vehicles Traveling    PM10.....................               229
                                          on Mine Roads.
                                         Loading Ores into Haul      PM10.....................               120
                                          Trucks.

[[Page 47416]]

 
Freeport--McMoran--Sierrita Mine.......  Unpaved Roads.............  PM10.....................               449
                                         Loading Ores into Haul      PM10.....................                82
                                          Trucks.
                                         Sierrita Tailings.........  PM10.....................               171
                                         Blasting Operations.......  NOX......................                97
Phoenix Cement--Clarkdale..............  Rock Sampling and Storage-- PM10.....................              31.4
                                          Raw Storage Piles.
                                         Coal/Coke Handling 2--Coal/ PM10.....................              12.1
                                          Coke Storage Pile.
                                         Gypsum Handling--Gypsum     PM10.....................               7.4
                                          Storage Piles.
                                         Cement Storage--DC510.....  PM10.....................               5.5
                                         Quarry Rds/Blast/Drill--    NOX......................               3.5
                                          Quarry--Blasting.
                                         Raw Storage and Homog2--    PM10.....................               3.1
                                          DC607.
                                         Kiln Feed System--DC409...  PM10.....................               3.0
                                         Clinker Handling and STR3-- PM10.....................               2.8
                                          DC352.
                                         Finish Milling--DC340.....  PM10.....................               2.6
                                         Cement Storage 2--DC512...  PM10.....................               2.6
                                         Raw Mill--DC366...........  PM10.....................               2.2
                                         Rock Reclaimer and TPS--    PM10.....................               2.4
                                          DC205.
                                         Cement Storage 2--DC508...  PM10.....................               2.1
                                         Clinker Handling and STR3-- PM10.....................               2.0
                                          DC350.
                                         Raw Storage and Homog1--    PM10.....................               1.9
                                          DC601.
                                         Clinker Handling and STR1-- PM10.....................               1.9
                                          DC447.
                                         Clinker Cooling--DC445....  PM10.....................               1.7
                                         Clinker Handling and STR3-- PM10.....................               1.6
                                          DC312.
                                         Raw Storage and Homog2--    PM10.....................               1.6
                                          DC224.
                                         Raw Storage and Homog2--    PM10.....................               1.6
                                          DC228.
                                         Raw Storage and Homog2--    PM10.....................               1.6
                                          DC615.
                                         Raw Storage and Homog2--    PM10.....................               1.6
                                          DC616.
                                         Coal/Coke Handling1--DC452  PM10.....................               1.4
                                         Finish Milling--DC341.....  PM10.....................               1.3
                                         Paved Plant Roads.........  PM10.....................               1.2
Tucson Electric Power Co--Irvington....  Unit 3....................  NOX......................               251
Tucson Electric Power Co--Springerville  Unit 1 Boiler.............  PM10.....................                92
                                                                     NOX......................             2,099
                                                                     SO2......................             2,869
                                         Unit 2 Boiler.............  PM10.....................               107
                                                                     NOX......................             2,283
                                                                     SO2......................             2,982
                                         Unit 3 Boiler.............  PM10.....................               158
                                                                     NOX......................             1,019
                                                                     SO2......................             1,036
                                         Unit 4 Boiler.............  PM10.....................                31
                                                                     NOX......................               929
                                                                     SO2......................             1,039
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ The Plan does not state the projected 2028 emissions for this unit. However, the highest annual facility-
  wide NOX emissions during the baseline period were 316 tpy in 2018, so this may be considered an upper-bound
  of emissions from the Raw Mill and Kiln.
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C.

    ASARCO LLC (Asarco) Mission Complex \161\ is a copper mine located 
in Sahuarita, Arizona. The facility operates an open-pit copper mine, 
two concentrators, and a by-products molybdenum plant. Asarco Mission 
Complex was screened in with a Q/d value of 30, and the nearest Class I 
area is Saguaro National Park at 42 kilometers away. ADEQ identified 
two processes that are subject to the four-factor analysis for Asarco 
Mission Complex: haul trucks hauling ore and waste rock, and rubber 
rigs traveling on unpaved roads. Using information supplied by Asarco, 
ADEQ conducted four-factor analyses for these two processes, the 
results of which are summarized in Table 6 of this document. Based on 
these results, ADEQ determined that the emissions controls that Asarco 
is implementing for the two processes, such as a speed limit of 35 
miles per hour and application of water, reflect current best 
management practices for the mining industry and that it is reasonable 
not to require additional controls during this planning period. 
Although ADEQ did not specify why no other controls were reasonable, 
cost appears to have been the determining factor, as the cost 
effectiveness of all feasible controls exceeded ADEQ's chosen cost-
effectiveness threshold of $6,500/ton.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \161\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 8.3.3.1 and 
Appendix C, Section C3.3.

[[Page 47417]]



                         Table 6--Summary of Control Options for Asarco Mission Complex
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                                       Cost-
                 Process                            Control               Emission reduction       effectiveness
                                                                                                      ($/ton)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Truck Hauling Ore and Waste Rock........  Reduce the speed limit for  203.7.....................         $80,544
                                           haul trucks from 35 mph
                                           to 25 mph.
                                          Apply additional water to   71.3......................          12,183
                                           haul roads (outside pit
                                           only).
                                          Apply additional water to   356.5.....................          10,117
                                           haul roads (inside and
                                           outside pit).
                                          Increase freeboard in the   Emissions reductions could             N/A
                                           haul trucks.                not be quantified.
Rubber Tire Rigs Traveling on Unpaved     Reduce the speed limit for  No reduction expected                  N/A
 Non-Haul Roads.                           rubber tire rigs from 35    since average traveling
                                           mph to 25 mph.              speed of rubber tire rigs
                                                                       is 15 mph.
                                          Apply additional water to   49.7......................          18,043
                                           unpaved roads (non-haul
                                           roads only).
                                          Apply additional water to   59.4......................          15,771
                                           unpaved roads (haul roads
                                           non-haul roads only).
                                          Apply and maintain surface  5.1.......................          25,711
                                           gravel on unpaved non-
                                           haul roads (decreasing
                                           the silt content from
                                           6.9% to 6.4%).
                                          Paving unpaved non-haul     73.7......................          47,295
                                           roads.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C.3.3.

    Asarco Ray Operations is located near Kearny, Arizona and consists 
of an open pit mine, concentrator, solvent extraction-electrowinning 
operation, and associated maintenance, warehouse, and administrative 
facilities.\162\ The facility was screened in with a Q/d value of 14, 
and the nearest Class I area is Saguaro National Park at 26 kilometers 
away. ADEQ identified five processes that are subject to the four-
factor analysis for Asarco Ray Operations: trucks hauling ore and waste 
rock, miscellaneous vehicles traveling on unpaved roads, dumps and 
tailings windblown dust, dozing mine areas, dumps and stockpiles, and 
blasting ore and waste rock. Asarco completed and submitted a four-
factor analysis report for the five processes in December 2019 and 
provided additional information in March 2020 through 2021. ADEQ's 
determination in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan is that the 
emissions controls that Asarco is implementing for these processes, 
such as a speed limit of 35 miles per hour, water sprays, and 
application of chemical dust suppressants (on non-haul roads), reflect 
current best management practices for the mining industry and that it 
is reasonable not to require additional controls during this planning 
period.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \162\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 8.3.3.2 and 
Appendix C, Section C3.4.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CalPortland Rillito Cement Plant is a portland cement manufacturing 
plant in Rillito, Arizona.\163\ The facility was screened in with a Q/d 
value of 30, and the nearest Class I area is Superstition Wilderness 
Area at 8 kilometers away. ADEQ evaluated potential controls at nine 
emissions sources at the CalPortland Rillito Cement Plant and conducted 
a four-factor analysis for each control that it found to be feasible. 
The results of these analyses are shown in Table 7. While ADEQ's was 
conducting its four-factor analysis for the Rillito facility, 
CalPortland took on a voluntary, enforceable air quality control permit 
condition for the location of its iron stockpile (horseshoe pit, three-
sided artificial windbreak).\164\ ADEQ subsequently found that no other 
controls were reasonable based the statutory four factors. Although 
ADEQ did not specify why no other controls were reasonable, cost 
appears to have been the determining factor, as the cost effectiveness 
of all feasible controls exceeded ADEQ's chosen cost-effectiveness 
threshold of $6,500/ton.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \163\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 8.3.3.3 and 
Appendix C.
    \164\ ADEQ Air Quality Control Permit #85424 Attachment C 
Section XI Regional Haze Requirements of the 2022 Arizona Regional 
Haze Plan. ADEQ has not submit the new permit condition as a SIP 
revision.

                           Table 7--Summary of Control Options for CalPortland Cement
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                   Technically     Emissions          Cost-
                Source                       Control option       feasible (Y/     reduction    effectiveness ($/
                                                                       N)            (tpy)            ton)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Clinker to Overhead Crane Building....  Fabric Filter Baghouse..            N              N/A               N/A
Clinker to Overhead Crane Building....  Full Enclosure..........            Y             9.38           $13,605
Unpaved Road Vehicular Traffic........  Traffic Management Plans            N              N/A               N/A
Unpaved Road Vehicular Traffic........  Additional Watering.....            Y            44.34            23,955
Unpaved Road Vehicular Traffic........  Surface Gravel..........            N              N/A               N/A
Unpaved Road Vehicular Traffic........  Paving..................            N              N/A               N/A
Unpaved Road Vehicular Traffic........  Chemical Dust                       N              N/A               N/A
                                         Suppressant.
Paved Road Vehicular Traffic..........  Cover Haul Trucks.......            N              N/A               N/A
Paved Road Vehicular Traffic..........  Stabilize Unpaved Points            Y                0               N/A
Paved Road Vehicular Traffic..........  Rapid Cleanup of Spills.            N              N/A               N/A
Paved Road Vehicular Traffic..........  Curb or Pave Shoulders..            N              N/A               N/A
Paved Road Vehicular Traffic..........  Street Sweepers.........            Y              1.5            28,146

[[Page 47418]]

 
Material Handling.....................  Water Sprays............            N              N/A               N/A
Material Handling.....................  Baghouse................            N              N/A               N/A
Material Handling.....................  Enclosures..............            N              N/A               N/A
Iron Stockpile........................  Water Application.......            N              N/A               N/A
Iron Stockpile........................  Chemical Dust                       N              N/A               N/A
                                         Suppressant.
Iron Stockpile........................  Artificial Wind Break...            Y                0               N/A
Iron Stockpile........................  Vegetative Wind Break...            Y                0               N/A
Iron Stockpile........................  Compact Piles...........            N              N/A               N/A
Iron Stockpile........................  Cover with Tarps........            N              N/A               N/A
Finish Mill...........................  Improved Baghouses......            Y      15.85-18.26     14,254-16,057
Clinker Cooler........................  Improved Baghouses......            Y            21.19            16,210
Quarry Crusher........................  Improved Baghouses......            Y             5.92            12,099
Blasting..............................  N/A.....................          N/A              N/A               N/A
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan Appendix C, Section C.3.5.

    The Drake Cement Paulden facility is a Portland cement 
manufacturing facility in Paulden, Yavapai County, Arizona.\165\ The 
facility was screened in with a Q/d value of 17, and the nearest Class 
I area is Sycamore Canyon Wilderness Area at 22 kilometers away. One 
emission source, the Main Baghouse Raw Mill and Kiln, contributed 
approximately 84 percent of the facility's total NO<INF>X</INF>, 
SO<INF>2</INF>, and PM<INF>10</INF> combined emissions, and ADEQ 
evaluated this unit for regional haze controls. The Plan does not state 
the projected 2028 emissions for this unit. However, the highest annual 
facility-wide NO<INF>X</INF> emissions during the baseline period were 
316 tpy in 2018, so this may be considered an upper-bound of emissions 
from the Raw Mill and Kiln. ADEQ indicated that Low NO<INF>X</INF> 
Burners, Preheater Riser Duct Firing, and SNCR are currently 
implemented at the Drake Cement Paulden facility. The only remaining 
potential control available for implementation at the Paulden facility 
is SCR. Noting that SCR has been employed at only a handful of cement 
plants in Europe and one in the United States, ADEQ concluded that SCR 
was technically infeasible. Despite this, ADEQ conducted a four-factor 
analysis of SCR, using a control efficiency of 65 percent, which 
resulted in a reduction of 83.6 tons per year at approximately $30,521/
ton.\166\ This cost exceeds ADEQ's cost threshold and therefore, ADEQ 
determined that it is reasonable not to require additional controls on 
Drake Cement during this planning period.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \165\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C3.6.
    \166\ Drake Cement estimated a cost effectiveness of $28,641/ton 
utilizing a 3 percent interest rate. ADEQ updated the interest rate 
to 4.75 percent for consistency with other four-factor analyses in 
its SIP submittal. The cost is based on a 30-year lifespan of the 
SCR.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    EPNG Willcox Compressor Station is a natural gas compressor station 
facility that provides natural gas compression to EPNG's pipeline 
network.\167\ The facility screened in with a Q/d value of 12, and the 
nearest Class I area is Chiricahua Wilderness Area at 27 kilometers 
away. The two units subject to four-factor analysis were TURBINE-1 and 
TURBINE-2, with 2028 emissions of 134.72 and 157.44 tons 
NO<INF>X</INF>, respectively.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \167\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 8.3.3.6 and 
Appendix C, Section C3.8.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ADEQ found that EPNG was already implementing Good Combustion 
Practices at both units, and that the following control options would 
be technically feasible: Combustion Liner Upgrade with Dry Low 
NO<INF>X</INF> (DLN; 68-71 percent control effectiveness) and SCR (77 
percent control effectiveness). The results of ADEQ's analysis of these 
two options are summarized in Table 8 of this document.

                              Table 8--Summary of Control Options for EPNG Willcox
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                                       Cost-
                  Process                                  Control                   Emission      effectiveness
                                                                                     reduction        ($/ton)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TURBINE-1..................................  Lean Head End Combustion Liner                91.24         $12,764
                                              Upgrade with Dry Low-NOX Control.
                                             SCR................................             106          10,008
TURBINE-2..................................  Lean Head End Combustion Liner               115.82          10,524
                                              Upgrade with Dry Low-NOX Control.
                                             SCR................................             124           8,892
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C3.8.

    ADEQ determined that neither the Combustion Liner Upgrade with DLN 
nor SCR are cost-effective options because they exceed ADEQ's cost 
threshold. ADEQ found that EPNG should continue to implement Good 
Combustion Practices but did not consider whether or not this measure 
was necessary to make reasonable progress.
    El Paso Natural Gas (EPNG) Williams Compressor Station is a natural 
gas compressor station facility that provides natural gas compression 
to EPNG's pipeline network.\168\ The facility was screened in with a Q/
d value of 40, and the nearest Class I area is Sycamore Canyon 
Wilderness Area at 19 kilometers away. EPNG reviewed NO<INF>X</INF> 
control options for both the General Electric (GE) gas turbine 
(TURBINE-1, with 2028 emissions of 290.42 tons NO<INF>X</INF>) and 
three reciprocating engines (RECIP-1, RECIP-2, and RECIP-5, with

[[Page 47419]]

2028 emissions of 148.4, 179.4, and 205.16 tons NO<INF>X</INF>, 
respectively) located at the Williams Compressor Station.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \168\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 8.3.3.5 and 
Appendix C, Section C3.7.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Based on information provided by EPNG, ADEQ evaluated the following 
controls for the Williams compressor station TURBINE-1 for 
NO<INF>X</INF>: Water or Steam Injection, Combustion Liner Upgrade with 
Low NO<INF>X</INF> Burner Design, Good Combustion Practices, 
EMX<SUP>TM</SUP>/SCONOX<SUP>TM</SUP> Technology, SCR, and SNCR. Of the 
list, ADEQ determined three of the control options to be technically 
feasible: water or steam injection (74 percent control effectiveness), 
SCR (80 percent control effectiveness), and combustion liner upgrade 
with low NO<INF>X</INF> burner design (78 percent control 
effectiveness). The results of this analysis are summarized in Table 9 
of this document. After the evaluation of these costs of compliance, 
ADEQ determined that the control options were not cost effective, and 
that the continued use of Good Combustion Practices is reasonable for 
TURBINE-1. ADEQ did not determine whether this measure was necessary to 
make reasonable progress.
    Additionally, the following controls were evaluated for the three 
Williams compressor station reciprocating engines: SCR, Air-Fuel Ratio 
Adjustment with High Energy Ignition, Low-Emission Combustion (LEC) 
Retrofits, Replacement of Three Engines with one Low NO<INF>X</INF> 
Emissions Gas Turbine, Replacement of Three Engines with Electric 
Motors or a Gas Turbine, and Good Combustion Practices. The results of 
ADEQ's four-factor analysis for the engines are summarized in Table 9 
of this document. Based on these results, ADEQ found that all LEC 
options were cost-effective for every engine based on average cost-
effectiveness. However, ADEQ also found that the incremental cost 
effectiveness of requiring LEC-3 on RECIP-1 as compared to requiring 
LEC-2 ($11,120/ton) was ``cost-excessive.'' Therefore, while ADEQ 
determined that LEC-3 was necessary to make reasonable progress for 
RECIP-2 and RECIP-5, it selected a less stringent control, LEC-2, for 
RECIP-1. ADEQ also found that replacement of the three engines with a 
gas turbine would be cost-effective but did not adopt this option due 
to issues and uncertainties with this option, such as the need for 
operational flexibility to control pipeline flowrate changes and a 
potential increase in fuel usage and emissions during low flow 
conditions.\169\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \169\ Id. at 126-127.

                              Table 9--Summary of Control Options for EPNG Williams
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                                       Cost-
                  Process                                  Control                   Emission      effectiveness
                                                                                     reduction        ($/ton)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TURBINE-1..................................  Water Injection....................          201.54          $6,536
                                             Steam Injection....................          201.54           7,601
                                             Combustion Liner Upgrade and Low              213.5           8,775
                                              NOX Burner Design.
                                             SCR................................             219           8,051
RECIP-1....................................  Air-Fuel Ratio Adjustment with High           20.67           2,484
                                              Energy Ignition.
                                             LEC-1..............................           76.46           4,058
                                             LEC-2..............................          116.30           4,581
                                             LEC-3..............................          131.45           5,334
                                             SCR................................          119.18           5,782
                                             Replacement with Electric Motors...          140.21          20,880
RECIP-2....................................  LEC-1..............................           74.36           4,172
                                             LEC-2..............................          127.42           4,181
                                             LEC-3..............................          147.59           4,751
                                             SCR................................          135.37           5,553
                                             Replacement with Electric Motors...          159.26          23,301
RECIP-5....................................  LEC-1..............................           87.51           3,645
                                             LEC-2..............................          181.86           2,977
                                             LEC-3..............................          217.72           3,302
                                             SCR................................          202.70           4,409
                                             Replacement with Electric Motors...          238.47          27,011
RECIP-1, 2, & 5............................  Replacement of Three Engines with            484.21           3,905
                                              Low NOX Emissions Gas Turbine.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C.3.7.

    Freeport-McMoRan Morenci Complex is located in Greenlee County, 
Arizona and consists of three major operations: mining operations, 
including the drilling and blasting of ore in open-pit copper mines, 
three in-pit crushers and an ore conveying system, the Morenci 
Concentrator and Metcalf Concentrator operations for production of 
copper and molybdenum concentrates through conventional milling and 
froth flotation operations, and the Metcalf Mine-for-Leach (MFL) plant 
and five Solution Extraction and four Electrowinning facilities (SX/EW) 
operations for production of high quality copper cathodes through 
leaching and hydrometallurgy.\170\ The facility was screened in with a 
Q/d value of 52 and the nearest Class I area is Gila Wilderness Area at 
54 kilometers away.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \170\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 8.3.3.7 and 
Appendix C, Section C3.9.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ADEQ identified two processes that are subject to the four-factor 
analysis for Freeport-McMoRan Morenci: haul trucks and other vehicles 
travel on mine roads and loading ore into haul trucks. Using 
information supplied by Freeport-McMoRan, ADEQ conducted four-factor 
analyses for these two processes, the results of which are summarized 
in Table 10 of this document. Based on these results, ADEQ determined 
that the emissions controls Freeport is already implementing for the 
two processes, such as a speed limit of 35 miles per hour and 
application of water, reflect current best management practices for the 
mining industry, and that it is reasonable not to require additional 
controls during this planning period. Although ADEQ did not specify why 
it found that no other controls were reasonable, cost appears to have 
been the determining factor, as the cost effectiveness of all feasible 
controls

[[Page 47420]]

exceeded ADEQ's chosen threshold of $6,500/ton.

                        Table 10--Summary of Control Options for Freeport-McMoRan Morenci
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                                       Cost-
               Process                         Control                 Emission reduction          effectiveness
                                                                                                      ($/ton)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Haul Trucks and Other Vehicles         Reduce the speed limit   427.............................        $383,018
 Traveling on Mine Roads.               for haul trucks to 25
                                        mph.
                                       Apply additional water   890.8...........................          10,949
                                        to unpaved mine roads.
                                       Increase freeboard in    Not quantifiable................             N/A
                                        the haul trucks.
Loading Ores into Haul Trucks........  Apply additional water   52.06...........................         406,990
                                        to ores.
                                       Ceasing operations       0.06............................      14,625,548
                                        during high wind hours.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C.3.9.

    Freeport-McMoRan Sierrita Complex is located in southern Pima 
County, Arizona and consists of three major operations: mining 
operations, including the drilling and blasting of ore in open-pit 
copper mines, the Sierrita concentrator operations for production of 
copper and molybdenum concentrates, and the run of mine (ROM) oxide-
leaching plant and the Twin Buttes SX/EW operations for production of 
high quality copper cathodes.\171\ The facility was screened in with a 
Q/d value of 21, and the nearest Class I area is Saguaro National Park 
at 42 kilometers away. ADEQ identified four processes that are subject 
to the four-factor analysis for the Freeport-McMoRan Sierrita complex: 
vehicle travel on unpaved roads, tailings, loading/unloading ore into 
haul trucks, and blasting operations. Using information supplied by 
Freeport-McMoRan, ADEQ conducted four-factor analyses for these four 
processes, the results of which are summarized in Table 11 of this 
document. Based on these results, ADEQ determined that the emissions 
controls Freeport-McMoRan is already implementing, such as a speed 
limit of 35 miles per hour and water application, reflect current best 
management practices for the mining industry, and that it is reasonable 
not to require additional controls during this planning period. 
Although ADEQ did not specify why it found that no other controls were 
reasonable, cost appears to have been the determining factor, as the 
cost effectiveness of all feasible controls exceeded ADEQ's chosen 
threshold of $6,500/ton.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \171\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 8.3.3.8 and 
Appendix C, Section C3.10.

                       Table 11--Summary of Control Options for Freeport-McMoRan Sierrita
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                                       Cost-
               Process                         Control                 Emission reduction          effectiveness
                                                                                                      ($/ton)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Vehicle Travel on Unpaved Mine Roads.  Reduce the speed limit   124.............................        $233,539
                                        from 34.5 mph to 25
                                        mph.
                                       Apply additional water   224.7...........................          12,021
                                        to unpaved roads
                                        (increasing the
                                        control efficiency
                                        from 90% to 95%).
                                       Increase freeboard in    Emissions reductions could not               N/A
                                        the haul trucks.         be quantified.
Loading Ores into Haul Trucks........  Apply water to ores to   57.73...........................         240,703
                                        increase the moisture
                                        content from 2% to
                                        4.8%.
                                       Ceasing loading          0.66............................       8,081,366
                                        operations during high
                                        wind hours.
Emissions from Tailings..............  No feasible controls...  N/A.............................             N/A
Blasting Operations..................  No feasible controls...  N/A.............................             N/A
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C.3.10.

    Phoenix Cement Clarkdale Facility is a Portland cement plant and 
quarry near Clarkdale, Arizona that is owned by an enterprise division 
of the Salt River Pima-Maricopa Indian Community.\172\ The facility was 
screened in with a Q/d value of 14, and the nearest Class I area is 
Sycamore Canyon Wilderness Area at 10 kilometers away. As shown in 
Table 3 of this document, ADEQ screened out the raw mill/kiln and coal 
milling emissions sources because they were required to install SNCR as 
part of the first implementation period of the Regional Haze Rule and 
were deemed effectively controlled. The remaining emissions sources 
subject to a four-factor analysis included: raw storage piles, coal/
coke storage piles, gypsum storage piles, paved plant roads, quarry 
blasting, and material handling processes. Based on the results of 
these analyses, which are summarized in Table 12 of this document, ADEQ 
determined that no new controls were reasonable. Although ADEQ did not 
specify its reasoning, cost appears to have been the determining 
factor, as the cost effectiveness of all feasible controls exceeded 
ADEQ's cost-effectiveness threshold of $6,500/ton.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \172\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 8.3.3.9 and 
Appendix C, Section C3.11.

[[Page 47421]]



                        Table 12--Summary of Control Options for Phoenix Cement Clarkdale
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                                       Cost-
                 Process                            Control               Emission reduction       effectiveness
                                                                                                      ($/ton)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Raw Storage Piles.......................  Enclosure.................  28.31.....................        $154,422
                                          Increase Moisture Content.  Technically Infeasible....             N/A
                                          Cover with Tarps..........  Technically Infeasible....             N/A
Coal/Coke Storage Pile..................  Enclosure.................  10.94.....................         228,410
                                          Increase Moisture Content.  Technically Infeasible....             N/A
Gypsum Storage Piles....................  Enclosure.................  6.64......................          44,441
                                          Increase Moisture Content.  Technically Infeasible....             N/A
                                          Cover with Tarps..........  Technically Infeasible....             N/A
Paved Plant Roads.......................  Berm Installation.........  Already Implemented.......             N/A
                                          Curbing/Paving or Shoulder  Already Implemented.......             N/A
                                           Stabilization.
                                          Curbing with Gutters......  Already Implemented.......             N/A
                  

[…truncated; see source link]
Indexed from Federal Register on May 31, 2024.

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