Rule2023-10146

Circumvention of Lawful Pathways

Primary source

Metadata and text below are from the Federal Register, a public-domain U.S. government work. Always verify the official published version before relying on it for any legal matter.

Published
May 16, 2023
Effective
May 11, 2023

Issuing agencies

Homeland Security DepartmentJustice DepartmentExecutive Office for Immigration Review

Abstract

The Department of Homeland Security ("DHS") and the Department of Justice ("DOJ") are issuing a final rule in anticipation of a potential surge of migration at the southwest border ("SWB") of the United States following the termination of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's ("CDC") public health Order. The rule encourages migrants to avail themselves of lawful, safe, and orderly pathways into the United States, or otherwise to seek asylum or other protection in another country through which they travel, thereby reducing reliance on human smuggling networks that exploit migrants for financial gain. The rule does so by introducing a rebuttable presumption of asylum ineligibility for certain noncitizens who neither avail themselves of a lawful, safe, and orderly pathway to the United States nor seek asylum or other protection in a country through which they travel. In the absence of such a measure, which would apply only to those who enter at the southwest land border or adjacent coastal borders during a limited, specified date range, the number of migrants expected to travel without authorization to the United States would be expected to increase significantly, to a level that risks undermining the Departments' continued ability to safely, effectively, and humanely enforce and administer U.S. immigration law, including the asylum system, in the face of exceptionally challenging circumstances. Coupled with an expansion of lawful, safe, and orderly pathways into the United States, the Departments expect the rule to lead to a reduction in the number of migrants who seek to cross the SWB without authorization to enter, thereby reducing the reliance by migrants on dangerous human smuggling networks, protecting against extreme overcrowding in border facilities, and helping to ensure that the processing of migrants seeking protection in the United States is done in an effective, humane, and efficient manner. In addition, the Departments are requesting comment on whether applicability of the rebuttable presumption should be extended to noncitizens who enter the United States without documents sufficient for lawful admission during the same temporary time period at a maritime border.

Full Text

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<title>Federal Register, Volume 88 Issue 94 (Tuesday, May 16, 2023)</title>
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[Federal Register Volume 88, Number 94 (Tuesday, May 16, 2023)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Pages 31314-31452]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [<a href="http://www.gpo.gov">www.gpo.gov</a>]
[FR Doc No: 2023-10146]



[[Page 31313]]

Vol. 88

Tuesday,

No. 94

May 16, 2023

Part II





Department of Homeland Security





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8 CFR Part 208





Department of Justice





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Executive Office for Immigration Review





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8 CFR Parts 1003 and 1208





Circumvention of Lawful Pathways; Final Rule

Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 94 / Tuesday, May 16, 2023 / Rules 
and Regulations

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DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND SECURITY

8 CFR Part 208

[CIS No. 2744-23; Docket No: USCIS 2022-0016]
RIN 1615-AC83

DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE

Executive Office for Immigration Review

8 CFR Parts 1003 and 1208

[A.G. Order No. 5660-2023]
RIN 1125-AB26


Circumvention of Lawful Pathways

AGENCY: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services, Department of 
Homeland Security; Executive Office for Immigration Review, Department 
of Justice.

ACTION: Final rule; request for comments on expanded applicability in 
maritime context.

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SUMMARY: The Department of Homeland Security (``DHS'') and the 
Department of Justice (``DOJ'') are issuing a final rule in 
anticipation of a potential surge of migration at the southwest border 
(``SWB'') of the United States following the termination of the Centers 
for Disease Control and Prevention's (``CDC'') public health Order. The 
rule encourages migrants to avail themselves of lawful, safe, and 
orderly pathways into the United States, or otherwise to seek asylum or 
other protection in another country through which they travel, thereby 
reducing reliance on human smuggling networks that exploit migrants for 
financial gain. The rule does so by introducing a rebuttable 
presumption of asylum ineligibility for certain noncitizens who neither 
avail themselves of a lawful, safe, and orderly pathway to the United 
States nor seek asylum or other protection in a country through which 
they travel. In the absence of such a measure, which would apply only 
to those who enter at the southwest land border or adjacent coastal 
borders during a limited, specified date range, the number of migrants 
expected to travel without authorization to the United States would be 
expected to increase significantly, to a level that risks undermining 
the Departments' continued ability to safely, effectively, and humanely 
enforce and administer U.S. immigration law, including the asylum 
system, in the face of exceptionally challenging circumstances. Coupled 
with an expansion of lawful, safe, and orderly pathways into the United 
States, the Departments expect the rule to lead to a reduction in the 
number of migrants who seek to cross the SWB without authorization to 
enter, thereby reducing the reliance by migrants on dangerous human 
smuggling networks, protecting against extreme overcrowding in border 
facilities, and helping to ensure that the processing of migrants 
seeking protection in the United States is done in an effective, 
humane, and efficient manner. In addition, the Departments are 
requesting comment on whether applicability of the rebuttable 
presumption should be extended to noncitizens who enter the United 
States without documents sufficient for lawful admission during the 
same temporary time period at a maritime border.

DATES: 
    Effective date: This rule is effective on May 11, 2023.
    Comment period for solicited comments: Comments on expanded 
applicability in maritime context identified in Section V of this 
preamble must be submitted on or before June 15, 2023. The electronic 
Federal Docket Management System will accept comments before midnight 
eastern time at the end of that day.

ADDRESSES: 
    Docket: To view comments on the proposed rule that preceded this 
rule, search for docket number USCIS 2022-0016 on the Federal 
eRulemaking Portal at <a href="https://www.regulations.gov">https://www.regulations.gov</a>.
    Comment period for solicited additional comments: You may submit 
comments on the specific issue identified in Section V of this preamble 
via the electronic Federal Docket Management System at <a href="https://www.regulations.gov">https://www.regulations.gov</a>, to DHS Docket Number USCIS 2022-0016. Follow the 
website instructions for submitting comments. Comments submitted in a 
manner other than the one listed above, including emails or letters 
sent to the Departments' officials, will not be considered comments on 
the rulemaking and may not receive a response from the Departments. 
Please note that the Departments cannot accept any comments that are 
hand-delivered or couriered. In addition, the Departments cannot accept 
comments contained on any form of digital media storage devices, such 
as CDs/DVDs or USB drives. The Departments are not accepting mailed 
comments at this time. If you cannot submit your comment by using 
<a href="https://www.regulations.gov">https://www.regulations.gov</a>, please contact the Regulatory Coordination 
Division, Office of Policy and Strategy, U.S. Citizenship and 
Immigration Services, Department of Homeland Security, by telephone at 
(240) 721-3000 (not a toll-free call) for alternate instructions.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: 
    For DHS: Daniel Delgado, Director, Border and Immigration Policy, 
Office of Strategy, Policy, and Plans, U.S. Department of Homeland 
Security; telephone (202) 447-3459 (not a toll-free call).
    For Executive Office for Immigration Review (``EOIR''): Lauren 
Alder Reid, Assistant Director, Office of Policy, EOIR, Department of 
Justice, 5107 Leesburg Pike, Falls Church, VA 22041; telephone (703) 
305-0289 (not a toll-free call).

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:

I. Public Participation

    Interested persons are invited to submit comments on the specific 
issue identified in Section V of this preamble by submitting relevant 
written data, views, or arguments. To provide the most assistance to 
the Departments, comments should explain the reason for any 
recommendation and include data, information, or authority that 
supports the recommended course of action. Comments must be submitted 
in English, or an English translation must be provided. Comments 
submitted in a manner other than those listed above, including emails 
or letters sent to the Departments' officials, will not be considered 
comments on the rulemaking and may not receive a response from the 
Departments.
    Instructions: If you submit a comment, you must submit it to DHS 
Docket Number USCIS 2022-0016. All submissions may be posted, without 
change, to the Federal eRulemaking Portal at <a href="https://www.regulations.gov">https://www.regulations.gov</a>, and will include any personal information you 
provide. Therefore, submitting this information makes it public. You 
may wish to consider limiting the amount of personal information that 
you provide in any voluntary public comment submission you make to the 
Departments. The Departments may withhold information provided in 
comments from public viewing that they determine may impact the privacy 
of an individual or is offensive. For additional information, please 
read the Privacy and Security Notice available at <a href="https://www.regulations.gov">https://www.regulations.gov</a>.

II. Executive Summary

A. Purpose of Action

    Economic and political instability around the world is fueling the 
highest

[[Page 31315]]

levels of migration since World War II, including in the Western 
Hemisphere. Analysis by the DHS Office of Immigration Statistics 
(``OIS'') found that even while CDC's Title 42 public health Order \1\ 
has been in place, encounters at our SWB \2\--referring to the number 
of times U.S. officials encounter noncitizens \3\ attempting to cross 
the SWB of the United States without authorization to do so--reached an 
all-time high in 2022, driven in large part by an unprecedented exodus 
of migrants at different times from countries such as Brazil, Colombia, 
Cuba, Ecuador, Haiti, Nicaragua, Peru, and Venezuela.\4\ The U.S. 
Border Patrol (``USBP'') completed 221,710 encounters between ports of 
entry in December 2022, second only to May 2022 (224,371 encounters) 
for the most monthly encounters since at least Fiscal Year (``FY'') 
2000 (the period for which detailed records are available), and very 
likely the most ever.\5\ Daily encounters between Ports of Entry 
(``POEs'') averaged 7,152 for December 2022 and exceeded 8,000 per day 
11 times during the month, as compared to average daily encounters of 
1,977 for all of 2000-2019 and average daily encounters of 1,265 in the 
immediate pre-pandemic period, 2014-2019.\6\ Smuggling networks enable 
and exploit this unprecedented movement of people, putting migrants' 
lives at risk for smugglers' financial gain.\7\ Meanwhile, the current 
asylum system--in which a high number of migrants are initially 
determined eligible to pursue their claims, even though most ultimately 
are not granted asylum in the subsequent EOIR removal proceedings \8\--
has contributed to a growing backlog of cases awaiting review by asylum 
officers (``AOs'') and immigration judges (``IJs''). The practical 
result of this growing backlog is that those with meritorious claims 
may have to wait years for their claims to be granted, while 
individuals who are ultimately denied protection may spend years in the 
United States before being issued a final order of removal.\9\ As the 
demographics of border encounters have shifted in recent years to 
include larger numbers of non-Mexicans--who are far more likely to 
assert asylum claims--and as the time required to process and remove 
noncitizens ineligible for protection has grown (during which 
individuals may become eligible to apply for employment authorization), 
the deterrent effect of apprehending noncitizens at the SWB has become 
more limited.\10\
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    \1\ See Public Health Determination and Order Regarding 
Suspending the Right to Introduce Certain Persons from Countries 
Where a Quarantinable Communicable Disease Exists, 87 FR 19941, 
19941-42 (Apr. 6, 2022) (describing the CDC's recent Title 42 public 
health Orders, which ``suspend[ ] the right to introduce certain 
persons into the United States from countries or places where the 
quarantinable communicable disease exists in order to protect the 
public health from an increased risk of the introduction of COVID-
19'').
    \2\ United States Government sources refer to the U.S. border 
with Mexico by various terms, including ``SWB,'' ``the southern 
border,'' ``U.S.-Mexico border,'' or ``the land border with 
Mexico.'' In some instances, these differences can be substantive, 
referring only to portions of the border, while in others they 
simply reflect different word choices. The ``southern border'' is 
both a land and maritime border extending from beyond California to 
the west to beyond Florida to the east. This rule applies along the 
entirety of the U.S. land border with Mexico, referred to in the 
regulatory text as the ``southwest land border,'' but the 
Departments use different terms in the preamble to describe the 
border. This is in large part to reflect the source material 
supporting the rule, but the Departments believe that the factual 
circumstances described in the preamble call for applying the rule 
across the entirety of the U.S. land border with Mexico, referred to 
throughout as the ``SWB.'' As discussed in greater detail below, the 
Departments believe that the factual circumstances described in this 
preamble call for applying the rule to coastal borders adjacent to 
that land border as well; accordingly, this final rule applies to 
those who enter the United States from Mexico, whether at the 
southwest land border or adjacent coastal borders.
    \3\ For purposes of this discussion, the Departments use the 
term ``noncitizen'' to be synonymous with the term ``alien'' as it 
is used in the Immigration and Nationality Act. See INA 101(a)(3), 8 
U.S.C. 1101(a)(3); Barton v. Barr, 140 S. Ct. 1442, 1446 n.2 (2020).
    \4\ OIS analysis of OIS Persist Dataset based on data through 
March 31, 2023; OIS analysis of historic U.S. Border Patrol data.
    \5\ OIS analysis of OIS Production data based on data through 
March 31, 2023.
    \6\ OIS analysis of OIS Production data for fiscal year (``FY'') 
2000-March 2023 and OIS Yearbook data for FY 1925-FY 1999. As 
discussed further below, daily encounters between ports of entry 
fell sharply in January 2023 following the launch of the Cuba, 
Haiti, and Nicaragua parole processes, and daily encounters between 
ports of entry at the SWB averaged just over 5,200 a day the 30 days 
ending April 10, 2023. OIS analysis of Unified Immigration Portal 
(UIP) data pulled on April 13, 2023.
    \7\ Miriam Jordan, Smuggling Migrants at the Border Now a 
Billion-Dollar Business, N.Y. Times, July 25, 2022, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/25/us/migrant-smugging-evolution.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/25/us/migrant-smugging-evolution.html</a>.
    \8\ See EOIR, Executive Office for Immigration Review 
Adjudication Statistics: Asylum Decision and Filing Rates in Cases 
Originating with a Credible Fear Claim (Jan. 16, 2023), <a href="https://www.justice.gov/eoir/page/file/1062976/download">https://www.justice.gov/eoir/page/file/1062976/download</a>. The EOIR 
adjudication outcome statistics report on the total number of cases 
originating with credible fear claims resolved on any ground in a 
FY, without regard to whether an asylum claim was adjudicated. The 
asylum grant rate is a percentage of that total number of cases.
    \9\ OIS analysis of EOIR data as of March 31, 2023.
    \10\ For noncitizens encountered at the SWB in FY 2014-FY 2019 
who were placed in expedited removal, nearly 6 percent of Mexican 
nationals made fear claims that were referred to U.S. Citizenship 
and Immigration Services for adjudication, compared to nearly 57 
percent of people from Northern Central America (i.e., El Salvador, 
Guatemala, and Honduras), and just over 90 percent of all other 
nationalities. OIS analysis of Enforcement Lifecycle data as of 
December 31, 2022. Of note, according to OIS analysis of historic 
EOIR and CBP data, there is a clear correlation since FY 2000 
between the increasing time it takes to complete immigration 
proceedings, which results in a lower share of noncitizens being 
removed, and the growth in non-Mexican encounters at the SWB. Both 
trends accelerated in the 2010s, as non-Mexicans became the majority 
of border encounters, and they have accelerated further since FY 
2021, as people from countries other than Mexico and Northern 
Central America now account for the largest numbers of border 
encounters.
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    While the CDC's Title 42 public health Order has been in effect, 
migrants who do not have proper travel documents have generally not 
been processed into the United States; they instead have been expelled 
to Mexico or to their home countries under the Order's authority 
without being processed under the authorities set forth in Title 8 of 
the United States Code, which includes the Immigration and Nationality 
Act (``INA'' or ``the Act''). When the Order is lifted, however, the 
United States Government will process all migrants into the United 
States under Title 8 authorities, as required by statute. At that time, 
the number of migrants seeking to cross the SWB without authorization 
is expected to increase significantly, unless other policy changes are 
made. Such challenges were evident in the days following the November 
15, 2022, court decision that, had it not been stayed on December 19, 
2022, would have resulted in the lifting of the Title 42 public health 
Order effective December 21, 2022.\11\ Leading up to the expected 
termination date, migrants gathered in various parts of Mexico, 
including along the SWB, waiting to cross the border once the Title 42 
public health Order was lifted.\12\ According to internal Government 
sources, smugglers were also expanding their messaging and recruitment 
efforts, using the expected lifting of the Title 42 public health Order 
to claim that the border was open, thereby seeking to persuade would-be 
migrants to participate in expensive and dangerous human smuggling 
schemes. In the weeks between the November 2022 announcement that the 
Title 42 public health Order would be lifted, and the December 19, 
2022, stay order that kept the Title 42 public health Order in place, 
encounter rates jumped from an average of just under 7,700 per week 
(early November) to nearly 8,800 per

[[Page 31316]]

week (mid-December), a change not predicted by normal seasonal 
effects.\13\
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    \11\ See Huisha-Huisha v. Mayorkas, No. 21-100, 2022 WL 16948610 
(D.D.C. Nov. 15, 2022), cert. and stay granted, Arizona v. Mayorkas, 
143 S. Ct. 478 (2022).
    \12\ See, e.g., Leila Miller, Asylum Seekers Are Gathering at 
the U.S.-Mexico Border. This Is Why, L.A. Times, Dec. 23, 2022, 
<a href="https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2022-12-23/la-fg-mexico-title-42-confusion">https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2022-12-23/la-fg-mexico-title-42-confusion</a>.
    \13\ Month over month change from November to December for all 
of FY 2013-FY2022 averaged negative 2 percent. OIS analysis of OIS 
Persist Dataset based on data through March 31, 2023.
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    While a number of factors make it particularly difficult to 
precisely project the numbers of migrants who would seek to cross the 
SWB without authorization or present at a U.S. POE without documents 
sufficient for admission after the lifting of the Title 42 public 
health Order, DHS encounter projections and planning models from early 
April suggest that encounters could rise to 11,000 per day, absent 
policy changes and absent a viable mechanism for removing Cuban, 
Haitian, Nicaraguan, and Venezuelan (``CHNV'') nationals who do not 
have a valid protection claim.\14\ As discussed in greater detail 
below, data indicate that recently announced enforcement processes, as 
applied to CHNV nationals, which couple new parole processes with 
prompt returns of those who attempt to cross the SWB without utilizing 
these processes, are effectively deterring irregular migration \15\ 
from those countries to the United States, thus yielding a substantial 
decrease in encounter numbers for nationals of CHNV countries.\16\
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    \14\ OIS analysis of DHS SWB Encounter Planning Model generated 
April 18, 2023. The complexity of international migration limits the 
Department's ability to precisely project border encounters under 
the best of circumstances. The current period is characterized by 
greater than usual uncertainty due to ongoing changes in the major 
migration source countries (i.e., the shift from Mexico and Northern 
Central America to new countries of origin, discussed further 
below), the growing impact of climate change on migration, political 
instability in several source countries, the evolving recovery from 
the COVID-19 pandemic, and uncertainty generated by border-related 
litigation, among other factors.
    OIS leads an interagency SWB Encounter Projections Working Group 
that generates encounter projections every two to four weeks, with 
ongoing refinements to the model based on feedback from the working 
group and model diagnostics. The enterprise encounter projection 
utilizes a mixed method blended model that combines a Bayesian 
structural time series statistical model produced by OIS with 
subject matter expert input to account for real-time policy 
developments and pending litigation, among other factors, that are 
not captured by the statistical model. The blended model is run 
through a standard statistical process (Monte Carlo simulations) to 
generate 68 percent and 95 percent confidence intervals for each of 
33 separate demographic groupings. In light of the greater-than-
usual uncertainty at the current time, the Departments' planning 
models are designed to prepare the Departments for all reasonably 
likely eventualities, and therefore focus on the upper bounds of the 
blended model's 68 and 95 percent confidence intervals. As noted in 
Section IV.B.2 of this preamble, in the current context, the 
Departments must focus their planning efforts on the high and 
moderately high planning models rather than plan to an optimistic 
scenario that could leave enforcement efforts badly under-resourced 
and harm efforts to provide a safe and orderly process.
    \15\ In this preamble, ``irregular migration'' refers to the 
movement of people into another country without authorization.
    \16\ In the week prior to the announcement of the parole 
processes (ending October 12, 2022, for Venezuela and January 6, 
2023, for Cuba, Haiti, and Nicaragua), the daily average of CHNV 
encounters was nearly 2,000 between POEs. A month after the parole 
announcements, daily encounters of CHNV nationals averaged just 
under 300 encounters. In the most recent seven days ending April 10, 
2023, CHNV daily encounters averaged 195. OIS analysis of OIS 
Persist dataset based on data through March 31, 2023, and OIS 
analysis of CBP UIP data downloaded April 13, 2023.
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    However, DHS will no longer have a means to promptly expel migrants 
without a legal basis to stay in the United States following the 
termination of the Title 42 public health Order, which means that an 
important disincentive associated with the parole processes would no 
longer be present. In addition, there are a number of factors that 
could contribute to these gains being erased after the lifting of the 
Title 42 public health Order, including the presence of several large 
diaspora populations in Mexico and elsewhere in the hemisphere, the 
unprecedented recent growth in migration from countries of origin not 
previously typical, the already large number of migrants in proximity 
to the SWB, and the general uncertainty surrounding the expected impact 
of the termination of the Title 42 public health Order on the movement 
of migrants. Thus, the high end of the estimated encounter rate remains 
a possibility for which the Departments need to prepare. In the absence 
of the policy changes included in the rule, most non-Mexicans processed 
for expedited removal under Title 8 would likely establish credible 
fear and remain in the United States for the foreseeable future despite 
the fact that many of them will not ultimately be granted asylum,\17\ a 
scenario that would likely incentivize an increasing number of migrants 
to the United States and further increase the likelihood of sustained, 
high encounter rates.
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    \17\ See Section III.C of the preamble to the notice of proposed 
rulemaking, Circumvention of Lawful Pathways, 88 FR 11704, at 11715-
11716 (Feb. 23, 2023). Overall, 63 percent of non-Mexicans placed in 
expedited removal from 2014-2019 made fear claims, and 85 percent of 
those claiming fear (54 percent of all those placed in expedited 
removal) established fear or were otherwise placed in section 240 
removal proceedings as a result of their fear claim. These rates are 
likely to be higher after May 11, 2023, because of the growing 
prevalence of extra-regional nationals (i.e., noncitizens not from 
Mexico or Northern Central America), who are more likely than those 
from Northern Central American countries to make fear claims and to 
establish fear. OIS analysis of OIS Enforcement Lifecycle data based 
on data through February 28, 2023.
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    A sustained, high encounter rate risks overwhelming the 
Departments' ability to effectively process, detain, and remove, as 
appropriate, the migrants encountered. This would put an enormous 
strain on already strained resources, risk overcrowding in already 
crowded USBP stations and border POEs in ways that pose significant 
health and safety concerns, and create a situation in which large 
numbers of migrants--only a small proportion of whom are likely to be 
granted asylum--are subject to exploitation and risks to their lives by 
the networks that support their movements north.
    In response to this urgent and extreme situation, the Departments 
are issuing a rule that--
    <bullet> incentivizes migrants to use lawful, safe, and orderly 
means for noncitizens to enter the United States to seek asylum and 
other forms of protection;
    <bullet> provides core protections for noncitizens who would be 
threatened with persecution or torture in other countries; and
    <bullet> builds upon ongoing efforts to share the responsibility of 
providing asylum and other forms of protection to eligible migrants 
with the United States' regional partners.
    At the same time, the rule addresses the reality of unprecedented 
migratory flows, the systemic costs those flows impose on the 
immigration system, and the ways in which increasingly sophisticated 
smuggling networks cruelly exploit the system for financial gain. 
Specifically, this rule establishes a presumptive condition on asylum 
eligibility for certain noncitizens who fail to take advantage of the 
existing and expanded lawful pathways \18\ to enter the United States, 
including the opportunity to schedule a time and place to present at a 
POE, and thus seek asylum or other forms of protection in a lawful, 
safe, and orderly manner, or to seek asylum or other protection in one 
of the countries through which they travel on their way to the United 
States.
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    \18\ The terms ``lawful pathways'' and ``lawful, safe, and 
orderly pathways,'' as used in this preamble, refer to the range of 
pathways and processes by which migrants are able to enter the 
United States or other countries in a lawful, safe, and orderly 
manner and seek asylum and other forms of protection as described in 
this rule.
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    This effort draws, in part, on lessons learned from the successful 
Venezuela parole process,\19\ as well as the similar processes for 
Cubans, Haitians, and Nicaraguans,\20\ under which DHS

[[Page 31317]]

coupled a mechanism for noncitizens from these countries to seek entry 
into the United States in a lawful, safe, and orderly manner, with the 
imposition of new consequences for those who cross the border without 
authorization to do so--namely returns to Mexico.\21\ Prior to the 
implementation of these processes, the Government of Mexico had not 
been willing to accept the return of such nationals; the Government of 
Mexico's independent decision to allow such returns was predicated, in 
primary part, on the implementation of these processes.
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    \19\ See DHS, Press Release, DHS Announces New Migration 
Enforcement Process for Venezuelans (Oct. 12, 2022), <a href="https://www.dhs.gov/news/2022/10/12/dhs-announces-new-migration-enforcement-process-venezuelans">https://www.dhs.gov/news/2022/10/12/dhs-announces-new-migration-enforcement-process-venezuelans</a>; see also DHS, Implementation of a Parole 
Process for Venezuelans, 87 FR 63507 (Oct. 19, 2022).
    \20\ See DHS, Press Release, DHS Continues to Prepare for End of 
Title 42; Announces New Border Enforcement Measures and Additional 
Safe and Orderly Processes (Jan. 5, 2023), <a href="https://www.dhs.gov/news/2023/01/05/dhs-continues-prepare-end-title-42-announces-new-border-enforcement-measures-and">https://www.dhs.gov/news/2023/01/05/dhs-continues-prepare-end-title-42-announces-new-border-enforcement-measures-and</a>.
    \21\ While the Title 42 public health Order has been in place, 
those returns have been made under Title 42. As noted below, after 
the Title 42 public health Order is lifted, affected noncitizens may 
instead be subject to return or removal to Mexico under Title 8. See 
The White House, Mexico and United States Strengthen Joint 
Humanitarian Plan on Migration (May 2, 2023), <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/05/02/mexico-and-united-states-strengthen-joint-humanitarian-plan-on-migration/">https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/05/02/mexico-and-united-states-strengthen-joint-humanitarian-plan-on-migration/</a> [hereinafter The White House, Mexico and United States 
Strengthen Joint Humanitarian Plan on Migration (May 2, 2023)]; 
Government of Mexico, M[eacute]xico y Estados Unidos fortalecen Plan 
Humanitario Conjunto sobre Migraci[oacute]n (May 2, 2023), <a href="https://www.gob.mx/presidencia/prensa/mexico-y-estados-unidos-fortalecen-plan-humanitario-conjunto-sobre-migracion?state=published">https://www.gob.mx/presidencia/prensa/mexico-y-estados-unidos-fortalecen-plan-humanitario-conjunto-sobre-migracion?state=published</a>.
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    A week before the announcement of the Venezuela parole process on 
October 12, 2022, Venezuelan encounters between POEs at the SWB 
averaged over 1,100 a day from October 5-11. About two weeks after the 
announcement, Venezuelan encounters averaged under 200 per day between 
October 18 and 24.\22\ U.S. Customs and Border Protection (``CBP'') 
encountered an average of 106 Venezuelans between POEs per day in March 
2023, about one-tenth the number of encounters prior to the 
announcement of the parole process.\23\ Similarly, the number of Cuban, 
Haitian, and Nicaraguan (``CHN'') nationals encountered between POEs 
dropped significantly in the wake of the introduction of the new 
processes, which coupled a lawful, safe, and orderly way for such 
nationals to seek parole in the United States with consequences (in the 
form of prompt returns to Mexico) for those who crossed the SWB without 
authorization. Between the announcement of these processes on January 
5, 2023, and January 21, 2023, the number of daily encounters between 
POEs of CHN nationals dropped from 928 to 73, a 92 percent decline.\24\ 
CHN encounters between POEs continued to decline to an average of fewer 
than 17 per day in March 2023.\25\ DHS estimates that the drop in CHNV 
encounters in January through March was almost four times as large as 
the number of people permitted entry under the parole processes.\26\
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    \22\ OIS analysis of OIS Persist Dataset based on data through 
March 31, 2023.
    \23\ OIS analysis of OIS Persist Dataset based on data through 
March 31, 2023.
    \24\ OIS analysis of OIS Persist Dataset based on data through 
March 31, 2023.
    \25\ OIS analysis of OIS Persist Dataset based on data through 
March 31, 2023.
    \26\ In December 2022, prior to the announcement of the CHN 
parole processes, the OIS Enterprise Encounter Projection predicted 
273,000 total encounters of CHNV nationals in January through March 
2023, a projection equivalent to 265,000 unique encounters given 
CHNV repeat encounter rates. During that same period, following the 
enactment of the CHN parole processes, unique SWB encounters 
(excluding scheduled arrivals via the CBP One app) of CHNV nationals 
was 20,204-245,000 fewer unique encounters than had been predicted. 
By comparison, a total of 61,967 CHNV nationals entered the United 
States pursuant to the CHNV parole processes during the same period. 
OIS analysis of OIS Persist Dataset based on data through March 31, 
2023, and of CBP OFO CHNV Advance Travel Authorization reports.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    This rule, which draws on these successful processes, and which 
will apply only to those who enter during a limited, specified date 
range at the southwest land border or adjacent coastal borders, will 
discourage irregular migration by encouraging migrants to use lawful, 
safe, and orderly pathways and allowing for swift returns of migrants 
who bypass such pathways, even after the termination of the Title 42 
public health Order. It responds to the expected increase of migrants 
seeking to cross the SWB following the termination of the Title 42 
public health Order that would occur in the absence of a policy shift 
by encouraging reliance on lawful, safe, and orderly pathways, thereby 
shifting the incentives that otherwise encourage migrants to make a 
dangerous journey to the SWB. It is also responsive to the requests of 
foreign partners that have lauded the sharp reductions in irregular 
migration associated with the aforementioned process for Venezuelans 
and have urged that the United States continue and build on this kind 
of approach, which couples processes for individuals to travel directly 
to the United States with consequences at the land border for those who 
do not avail themselves of these processes. The United States has, as 
noted above, already extended this model to Cuba, Haiti, and Nicaragua, 
and the Government of Mexico and the United States recently announced a 
set of additional measures on migration, including the United States' 
continued commitment to welcoming CHNV nationals under these parole 
processes and Mexico's commitment to continue to accept back migrants 
on humanitarian grounds after May 11, 2023.\27\ The Departments assess 
that continuing to implement and build on this approach is critical to 
the United States' ongoing engagements with regional partners, in 
particular the Government of Mexico, regarding migration management in 
the region.\28\
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    \27\ The White House, Mexico and United States Strengthen Joint 
Humanitarian Plan on Migration (May 2, 2023).
    \28\ See also The White House, Joint Statement by President 
Biden and Prime Minister Trudeau (Mar. 24, 2023), <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/03/24/joint-statement-by-president-biden-and-prime-minister-trudeau/">https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/03/24/joint-statement-by-president-biden-and-prime-minister-trudeau/</a> 
(reaffirming commitment of United States and Canada to a 
collaborative regional approach to migration centered on expanding 
legal pathways and humane border management, including deterrence of 
irregular migration).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Consonant with these efforts, over the past two years, the United 
States has taken significant steps to expand safe and orderly options 
for migrants to lawfully enter the United States. The United States 
has, for example, increased and will continue to increase--
    <bullet> refugee processing in the Western Hemisphere;
    <bullet> country-specific and other available processes for 
individuals seeking parole for urgent humanitarian reasons or 
significant public benefit on a case-by-case basis; and
    <bullet> opportunities to lawfully enter the United States for the 
purpose of seasonal employment.
    In addition, once the Title 42 public health Order is terminated, 
the United States will expand implementation of the CBP One\TM\ mobile 
application (``CBP One app''),\29\ an innovative mechanism for 
noncitizens to schedule a time to arrive at POEs along the SWB, to 
allow an increasing number of migrants who may wish to claim asylum to 
request an available time and location to present and be inspected and 
processed at certain POEs, in accordance with operational limitations 
at each POE.\30\ Use of this app keeps

[[Page 31318]]

migrants from having to wait in long lines of unknown duration at the 
POEs, and enables the POEs to manage the flows in a safe and efficient 
manner, consistent with their footprint and operational capacity, which 
vary substantially across the SWB. Once present in the United States, 
those who use this mechanism can make claims for asylum and other forms 
of protection and are exempted from this rule's rebuttable presumption 
on asylum eligibility. They are vetted and screened, and assuming no 
public safety or national security concerns, may be eligible to apply 
for employment authorization as they await resolution of their 
cases.\31\
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    \29\ The Departments note that unless otherwise specified, 
references to the CBP One app refer to usage of the CBP One tool, 
which can be accessed via the smartphone application. Although there 
is a desktop version of the CBP One app, it does not currently allow 
users to submit their information in advance. CBP is developing the 
capability to use the desktop version for this purpose.
    \30\ As of January 12, 2023, this mechanism is currently 
available for noncitizens seeking to cross SWB land POEs to request 
a humanitarian exception from the Title 42 public health Order. See 
CBP, Fact Sheet: Using CBP One<SUP>TM</SUP> to Schedule an 
Appointment (last modified Jan. 12, 2023), <a href="https://www.cbp.gov/document/fact-sheets/cbp-one-fact-sheet-english">https://www.cbp.gov/document/fact-sheets/cbp-one-fact-sheet-english</a>. Once the Title 42 
public health Order is terminated, and the POEs open to all migrants 
who wish to seek entry into the United States, this mechanism will 
be broadly available to migrants in central and northern Mexico, 
allowing them to request an available time and location to present 
and be inspected and processed at certain POEs.
    \31\ Under current employment authorization regulations, there 
is no waiting period before a noncitizen parolee in this 
circumstance may apply for employment authorization, except where 
the noncitizen is in expedited removal proceedings, including after 
a positive credible fear determination, and paroled from custody. 
See 8 CFR 274a.12(c)(11), 235.3(b)(2)(iii), (b)(4)(ii).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Moreover, on April 27, 2023, DHS and the Department of State 
announced several new measures to further reduce irregular migration 
across the Western Hemisphere, significantly expand lawful pathways for 
protection, and facilitate the safe, orderly, and humane processing of 
migrants.\32\ These new measures include--
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \32\ See DHS, Fact Sheet, U.S. Government Announces Sweeping New 
Actions to Manage Regional Migration (Apr. 27, 2023), <a href="https://www.dhs.gov/news/2023/04/27/fact-sheet-us-government-announces-sweeping-new-actions-manage-regional-migration">https://www.dhs.gov/news/2023/04/27/fact-sheet-us-government-announces-sweeping-new-actions-manage-regional-migration</a> [hereinafter DHS, New 
Actions to Manage Regional Migration (Apr. 27, 2023)].
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    <bullet> creating family reunification parole processes for El 
Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, and Colombia, as well as modernizing the 
longstanding Haitian Family Reunification Parole process and the Cuban 
Family Reunification Parole process;
    <bullet> committing to referring for resettlement thousands of 
additional refugees per month from the Western Hemisphere, with the 
goal of doubling the number of refugees the United States committed to 
welcome as part of the Los Angeles Declaration on Migration and 
Protection (``L.A. Declaration'');
    <bullet> establishing regional processing centers in key locations 
throughout the Western Hemisphere to reduce irregular migration;
    <bullet> launching an aggressive anti-smuggling campaign targeting 
criminal networks in the Dari[eacute]n Gap and combating smuggler 
misinformation;
    <bullet> surging AOs to complete credible fear interviews at the 
SWB more quickly; and
    <bullet> ramping up coordination between state and local officials 
and other federal agencies to provide resources, technical assistance, 
and support.\33\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \33\ See id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    These measures will be implemented in close coordination with 
regional partners, including the governments of Mexico, Canada, 
Colombia, and Guatemala, as well as the government of Spain.\34\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \34\ See id.; see also The White House, Mexico and United States 
Strengthen Joint Humanitarian Plan on Migration (May 2, 2023) 
(committing to increase joint actions to counter human smugglers and 
traffickers, address root causes of migration, and continue to 
combine expanded lawful pathways with consequences for irregular 
migration).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Available pathways provide lawful, safe, and orderly mechanisms for 
migrants to enter the United States and make their protection claims. 
Consistent with the CHNV processes, this rule also imposes consequences 
on certain noncitizens who fail to avail themselves of the range of 
lawful, safe, and orderly means for entering the United States and 
seeking protection in the United States or elsewhere. Specifically, 
this rule establishes a rebuttable presumption that certain noncitizens 
who enter the United States without documents sufficient for lawful 
admission are ineligible for asylum, if they traveled through a country 
other than their country of citizenship, nationality, or, if stateless, 
last habitual residence, unless they were provided appropriate 
authorization to travel to the United States to seek parole pursuant to 
a DHS-approved parole process; presented at a POE at a pre-scheduled 
time or demonstrate that the mechanism for scheduling was not possible 
to access or use due to language barrier, illiteracy, significant 
technical failure, or other ongoing and serious obstacle; or sought 
asylum or other protection in a country through which they traveled and 
received a final decision denying that application. Unaccompanied 
children (``UC'') are excepted from this presumption.\35\ This 
presumption may be rebutted, and would necessarily be rebutted if, at 
the time of entry, the noncitizen or a member of the noncitizen's 
family with whom they are travelling had an acute medical emergency, 
faced an imminent and extreme threat to life or safety, such as an 
imminent threat of rape, kidnapping, torture, or murder,\36\ or 
satisfied the definition of ``victim of a severe form of trafficking in 
persons'' provided in 8 CFR 214.11(a). The presumption also may be 
rebutted in other exceptionally compelling circumstances.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \35\ The term ``unaccompanied child'' as used in this rule is 
the same as ``unaccompanied alien child,'' which is defined at 6 
U.S.C. 279(g)(2) to mean ``a child who--(A) has no lawful 
immigration status in the United States; (B) has not attained 18 
years of age; and (C) with respect to whom--(i) there is no parent 
or legal guardian in the United States; or (ii) no parent or legal 
guardian in the United States is available to provide care and 
physical custody.''
    \36\ The term ``imminent'' refers to the immediacy of the 
threat; it makes clear that the threat cannot be speculative, based 
on generalized concerns about safety, or based on a prior threat 
that no longer poses an immediate threat. The term ``extreme'' 
refers to the seriousness of the threat; the threat needs to be 
sufficiently grave, such as a threat of rape, kidnapping, torture, 
or murder, to trigger this ground for rebuttal.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The rebuttable presumption is a ``condition[ ]'' on asylum 
eligibility, INA 208(b)(2)(C) and (d)(5)(B), 8 U.S.C. 1158(b)(2)(C) and 
(d)(5)(B), that applies in affirmative and defensive asylum application 
merits adjudications, as well as during credible fear screenings. 
Individuals who are subject to and do not rebut the presumption remain 
eligible for statutory withholding of removal and protection under the 
regulations implementing U.S. obligations under Article 3 of the 
Convention Against Torture and Other Cruel, Inhuman or Degrading 
Treatment or Punishment (``CAT'').\37\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \37\ Convention Against Torture and Other Cruel, Inhuman or 
Degrading Treatment or Punishment, art. 3, Dec. 10, 1984, 1465 
U.N.T.S. 85, 114.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    With the ability to schedule a time and place to arrive at POEs and 
the availability of other orderly and lawful pathways, this system is 
designed to (1) protect against an unmanageable flow of migrants 
arriving at the SWB; (2) further ongoing efforts to share the 
responsibility of providing asylum and other forms of protection with 
the United States' regional partners; (3) ensure that those with valid 
asylum claims have an opportunity to seek protection, whether in the 
United States or elsewhere; (4) enable the Departments to continue 
administering the immigration laws fairly and effectively; and (5) 
reduce the role of exploitative transnational criminal organizations 
and smugglers.
    The rule applies to noncitizens who enter the United States without 
authorization from Mexico at the southwest land border or adjacent 
coastal borders on or after the date of termination of the Title 42 
public health Order and before a specified date, 24 months from the 
rule's effective date. However, the rule will continue to apply to such 
noncitizens who entered the United States during the 24-month time 
frame in their Title 8 proceedings and in any subsequent asylum 
applications, except for those applications filed after the two-year 
period by those who entered the United

[[Page 31319]]

States as minors and who apply as principal applicants. The Departments 
intend that the rule will be subject to review to determine whether the 
entry dates provided in 8 CFR 208.33(a)(1)(i) and 1208.33(a)(1)(i) 
should be extended, modified, or remain as provided in the rule.

B. Effective Date

    Issuance of this rule is justified in light of the migration 
patterns witnessed in recent months, and the concern about the 
possibility of a surge in irregular migration upon, or in anticipation 
of, the lifting of the Title 42 public health Order. The Departments 
seek to underscore that migrants will not be able to cross the border 
without authorization to enter without consequence upon the eventual 
lifting of the Order. Under this rule, the Departments will use their 
Title 8 authorities to process, detain, and remove, as appropriate, 
those who enter the United States from Mexico at the southwest land 
border or adjacent coastal borders without authorization and do not 
have a valid protection claim.
    The Departments are issuing this rule without the 30-day delayed 
effective date typically required by the Administrative Procedure Act 
(``APA'') \38\ because the Departments have determined that it is 
necessary to implement the rule when the Title 42 public health Order 
is lifted. The lifting of the Order could occur as a result of several 
different litigation and policy developments, including the vacatur of 
the preliminary injunction entered in Louisiana v. CDC, 603 F. Supp. 3d 
406 (W.D. La. 2022), appeal pending, No. 22-30303 (5th Cir. June 15, 
2022); the lifting of the stay entered by the Supreme Court in Arizona 
v. Mayorkas, 143 S. Ct. 478 (2022); or ``the expiration of the 
Secretary of HHS' declaration that COVID-19 constitutes a public health 
emergency,'' Public Health Reassessment and Order Suspending the Right 
to Introduce Certain Persons from Countries Where a Quarantinable 
Communicable Disease Exists, 86 FR 42828, 42829 (Aug. 5, 2021). The 
expiration of the declaration by the Secretary of Health and Human 
Services (``HHS'') that COVID-19 constitutes a public health emergency 
is expected to occur on May 11, 2023, in light of the recent 
announcement that ``[a]t present, the Administration's plan is to 
extend'' the public health emergency to May 11 and then allow it to 
expire ``on that date.'' \39\ The Departments have thus sought to move 
as expeditiously as possible, while also allowing sufficient time for 
public comment.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \38\ See 5 U.S.C. 553(d). The Departments further address this 
requirement in Section VI.A of this preamble.
    \39\ Office of Mgmt. & Budget, Exec. Office of the President, 
Statement of Administration Policy (Jan. 30, 2023), <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/SAP-H.R.-382-H.J.-Res.-7.pdf">https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/SAP-H.R.-382-H.J.-Res.-7.pdf</a>; see also HHS, Fact Sheet: COVID-19 Public Health 
Emergency Transition Roadmap (Feb. 9, 2023), <a href="https://www.hhs.gov/about/news/2023/02/09/fact-sheet-covid-19-public-health-emergency-transition-roadmap.html">https://www.hhs.gov/about/news/2023/02/09/fact-sheet-covid-19-public-health-emergency-transition-roadmap.html</a> (``Based on current COVID-19 trends, the 
Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) is planning for the 
federal Public Health Emergency (PHE) for COVID-19, declared under 
Section 319 of the Public Health Service (PHS) Act, to expire at the 
end of the day on May 11, 2023.'').
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C. Changes From Proposed Rule to Final Rule

    On February 23, 2023, the Departments issued a notice of proposed 
rulemaking (``NPRM'' or ``proposed rule'') \40\ in anticipation of a 
potential surge of migration at the SWB following the eventual 
termination of the CDC's public health Order. Following careful 
consideration of public comments received, the Departments have made 
modifications to the regulatory text proposed in the NPRM, as described 
below. The rationale for the proposed rule and the reasoning provided 
in the proposed rule preamble remain valid, except as distinguished in 
this regulatory preamble.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \40\ 88 FR 11704.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

1. Removing Provisions Implementing the Proclamation Bar IFR and the 
TCT Bar Final Rule
    Consistent with the proposed rule, Circumvention of Lawful 
Pathways, 88 FR 11704, 11727-28 (Feb. 23, 2023), the Departments have 
added amendatory instructions to remove provisions enacted to implement 
the bars to asylum eligibility established in an interim final rule 
(``IFR'') entitled, Aliens Subject to a Bar on Entry Under Certain 
Presidential Proclamations; Procedures for Protection Claims, 83 FR 
55934 (Nov. 9, 2018) (``Proclamation Bar IFR''), and a final rule 
entitled, Asylum Eligibility and Procedural Modifications, 85 FR 82260 
(Dec. 17, 2020) (``TCT Bar Final Rule'').\41\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \41\ The TCT Bar Final Rule amended an earlier IFR on the same 
topic. See Asylum Eligibility and Procedural Modifications, 84 FR 
33829 (July 16, 2019). The IFR was vacated prior to the issuance of 
the TCT Bar Final Rule. Additionally, where the Departments refer to 
the ``Proclamation Bar'' or ``TCT Bar'' without including ``IFR'' or 
``Final Rule,'' the Departments are referring to the bars as applied 
and not to the rulemaking documents that implemented them.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    To remove the provisions enacted to implement the Proclamation Bar 
IFR and TCT Bar Final Rule, the Departments have made the following 
changes:
    <bullet> removed and reserved paragraphs 8 CFR 208.13(c)(3) and 
1208.13(c)(3), which previously included the requirements for the 
Proclamation Bar IFR's applicability;
    <bullet> removed and reserved paragraphs 8 CFR 208.13(c)(4) and 
1208.13(c)(4), which previously included the requirements for the TCT 
Bar Final Rule's applicability;
    <bullet> removed and reserved paragraphs 8 CFR 208.13(c)(5) and 
1208.13(c)(5), which provided that determinations made with regard to 
whether an applicant met one of the exceptions to the TCT Bar Final 
Rule would not bind Federal departments or agencies with respect to 
certain later adjudications;
    <bullet> amended 8 CFR 208.30(e)(5) to remove paragraphs (ii) and 
(iii), which regard application during credible fear of the 
Proclamation Bar IFR and TCT Bar Final Rule, respectively;
    <bullet> removed reference to 8 CFR 208.30(e)(5)(ii) through (iv) 
from what was previously (i) and redesignated (i) as (e)(5);
    <bullet> amended 8 CFR 1003.42(d) to remove paragraphs (1) and (2) 
and redesignated paragraph (3) as (d) because paragraphs (d)(1) and (2) 
provided the standard of review for Proclamation Bar and TCT Bar 
determinations made during credible fear screenings; and
    <bullet> removed and reserved 8 CFR 1208.30(g)(1), which provided 
instructions to IJs regarding the application of the Proclamation Bar 
and the TCT Bar during credible fear reviews.
2. Applicability of Rebuttable Presumption After the Two-Year Period
    The rule applies to certain noncitizens who enter during the two-
year period in any asylum application they submit, regardless of when 
the application is filed or if the noncitizen makes subsequent entries. 
See 8 CFR 208.13(f) (``For applications filed by aliens who entered the 
United States between May 11, 2023, and May 11, 2025, also refer to the 
provisions on asylum eligibility described in Sec.  208.33.''); 8 CFR 
1208.13(f) (same); 8 CFR 208.33(a)(1), 1208.33(a)(1) (providing that 
the rebuttable presumption applies to noncitizens who enter the United 
States from Mexico at the southwest land border or adjacent coastal 
borders without documents sufficient for lawful admission between the 
effective date and a date 24-months later and after the end of 
implementation of the Title 42 public health Order with certain 
exceptions).

[[Page 31320]]

To remove any potential ambiguity regarding the ongoing applicability 
of the lawful pathways rebuttable presumption, the final rule makes the 
presumption's ongoing applicability explicit in 8 CFR 208.33(c)(1) and 
1208.33(d)(1) by stating that the lawful pathways condition on 
eligibility shall apply to ``any asylum application'' that is filed by 
a covered noncitizen ``regardless of when the application is filed and 
adjudicated.''
    The Departments have exempted from this ongoing application of the 
rebuttable presumption certain noncitizens who enter the United States 
during the two-year period while under the age of 18 and who later seek 
asylum as principal applicants after the two-year period. In the NPRM, 
the Departments requested comment on ``[w]hether any further regulatory 
provisions should be added or amended to address the application of the 
rebuttable presumption in adjudications that take place after the 
rule's sunset date.'' 88 FR at 11708. After reviewing comments raising 
concerns about the impact of the rule on children who arrive as part of 
a family unit and who are thus subject to the decision-making of their 
parents, the Departments have decided to adopt a provision excepting 
such children from the rule in certain circumstances after the two-year 
period ends. See 8 CFR 208.33(c)(2), 1208.33(d)(2). The Departments 
recognize that children who enter with their families are generally 
traveling due to their parents' decision-making. Exempting children 
from the rebuttable presumption entirely would mean, under the rule, 
that all family units that include minor children would also be 
exempted, which could incentivize families who otherwise would not make 
the dangerous journey to do so. And if the rule were amended to only 
exempt the child, it could inadvertently lead to the separation of a 
family in many cases because every child would have to be treated 
separately from their family during the credible fear screening as they 
would not be subject to the rebuttable presumption but their parents 
could be.
    Although accompanied children remain subject to the rebuttable 
presumption generally, the Departments have determined that the 
presumption should not apply to them in any application for asylum they 
file after the two-year period, but only if they apply as a principal 
(as opposed to a derivative) applicant. The Departments believe this 
exception to the general applicability provision balances the interest 
in ensuring the rebuttable presumption has an impact on behavior, while 
at the same time recognizing the special circumstance of children who 
enter in a manner that triggers the rebuttable presumption, likely 
without intending to do so or being able to form an understanding of 
the consequences. Specifically, if the Departments were to extend this 
exception to all children after the two-year period, even if they 
applied only as a derivative, the Departments would risk incentivizing 
families to seek to prolong their proceedings to file their asylum 
applications after the two-year period expires, undermining the 
Departments' interest in efficient adjudications. In addition, any 
family that did so would be able to avoid the applicability of the 
presumption entirely, by virtue of the rule's family unity provision. 
The Departments have decided not to include such a broad exemption, in 
light of the urgent need to disincentivize a further surge in irregular 
migration.
3. Expansion of Applicability to Adjacent Coastal Borders
    As proposed in the NPRM, the rule would apply to certain 
noncitizens who enter the United States at the SWB--that is, ``along 
the entirety of the U.S. land border with Mexico.'' 88 FR at 11704 n.1. 
The Departments received comments that applying the rule only to those 
who enter the United States from Mexico across the U.S.-Mexico land 
border would inadvertently incentivize noncitizens without documents 
sufficient for lawful admission to circumvent the land border by making 
a hazardous attempt to reach the United States by sea. In this final 
rule, the Departments have decided to modify 8 CFR 208.33(a)(1) and 8 
CFR 1208.33(a)(1) to provide that the rule's rebuttable presumption of 
ineligibility for asylum applies to noncitizens who enter the United 
States from Mexico at ``adjacent coastal borders.'' The term ``adjacent 
coastal borders'' refers to any coastal border at or near the U.S.-
Mexico border. This modification therefore means that the rule's 
rebuttable presumption of ineligibility for asylum applies to 
noncitizens who enter the United States at such a border after 
traveling from Mexico and who have circumvented the U.S.-Mexico land 
border.
    This modification mirrors the geographic reach of the CDC's Title 
42 public health Order, which likewise applied--as relevant here--to 
certain covered noncitizens traveling from Mexico who would otherwise 
be introduced into a congregate setting ``at or near the U.S. land and 
adjacent coastal borders.'' See 86 FR at 42841. Because the Title 42 
public health Order did not define the phrase ``adjacent coastal 
borders,'' its meaning was developed during the public health Order's 
implementation. Specifically, as implemented by CBP, the term 
``adjacent coastal borders'' was interpreted to apply to the same 
population as the Amended CDC Order issued in May 2020, which first 
introduced the concept of ``coastal'' application. The Amended Order 
applied to ``persons traveling from Canada or Mexico (regardless of 
their country of origin) who would otherwise be introduced into a 
congregate setting in a land or coastal POE or Border Patrol station at 
or near the U.S. border with Canada or Mexico, subject to exceptions.'' 
\42\ With regard to persons traveling from Mexico, in line with the 
interpretation above, CBP implemented the Title 42 public health Order 
as covering any coastal border adjacent to the U.S.-Mexico border 
reached by an individual traveling from Mexico and landing within the 
United States having circumvented the U.S.-Mexico land border. Applying 
the same geographic reach that has been applied by CBP for the past 
three years to this rule will avoid the risk that smugglers would 
exploit what could be perceived as a new ``loophole'' following the 
lifting of the Title 42 public health Order to persuade migrants to 
make a perilous crossing to the United States from Mexico by sea. In 
DHS's experience, that risk may well materialize, as smugglers 
routinely prey on migrants using perceived changes in U.S. immigration 
law.\43\ Any such campaign by smugglers to persuade more migrants to 
circumvent the land border would result in life-threatening risks for 
migrants and DHS personnel, given the elevated danger associated with 
maritime crossings. As just one example of how dangerous such attempts 
can be, the Departments note that in March 2023, two suspected human 
smuggling boats from Mexico capsized and eight

[[Page 31321]]

people died off the coast near San Diego, California.\44\ This 
incident, as well as the increases in maritime migration over the past 
few years, as discussed further in Section V of this preamble, and 
commenters' concerns that the NPRM would have encouraged migration by 
sea, as discussed further in Section IV.B.8.i of this preamble, have 
led the Departments to extend the rebuttable presumption to the 
adjacent coastal borders. Specifically, in the interest of ensuring 
that this rule is not used to encourage intending migrants to undertake 
attempts that could end in similar tragedies, the Departments believe 
it is important that the text of 8 CFR 208.33(a)(1) and 8 CFR 
1208.33(a)(1) make clear that the rule's presumption applies equally to 
noncitizens who arrive from Mexico on coasts adjacent to the southwest 
land border.
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    \42\ See Amendment and Extension of Order Under Sections 362 and 
365 of the Public Service Act; Order Suspending Introduction of 
Certain Persons from Countries Where a Communicable Disease Exists, 
85 FR 31503 (May 26, 2020); CBP, CBP COVID-19 Response: Suspension 
of Entries and Imports Concept of Operations 1-3 (May 20, 2020), 
<a href="https://www.cbp.gov/document/foia-record/title-42">https://www.cbp.gov/document/foia-record/title-42</a>.
    \43\ See Tech Transparency Project, Inside the World of 
Misinformation Targeting Migrants on Social Media (July 26, 2022), 
<a href="https://www.techtransparencyproject.org/articles/inside-world-misinformation-targeting-migrants-social-media">https://www.techtransparencyproject.org/articles/inside-world-misinformation-targeting-migrants-social-media</a> (``A review of social 
media groups and pages identified by migrants showed . . . dubious 
offers of coyote or legal services, false claims about conditions 
along the route, misinformation about points of entry at which 
officials waive the rules, and baseless rumors about changes to 
immigration law.'').
    \44\ See Karen Kucher et al., 8 Reported Dead After 2 Suspected 
Smuggling Boats Crash at Black's Beach in San Diego, L.A. Times, 
Mar. 12, 2023, <a href="https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2023-03-12/8-reported-dead-after-2-suspected-smuggling-boats-crash-at-blacks-beach-in-san-diego">https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2023-03-12/8-reported-dead-after-2-suspected-smuggling-boats-crash-at-blacks-beach-in-san-diego</a>; Wendy Fry, An Endless Fight: As Border 
Infrastructure on Land Improves, Smugglers Take to the Water, San 
Diego Tribune, Nov. 6, 2019, <a href="https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/news/border-baja-california/story/2019-11-06/an-endless-fight-as-border-infrastructure-on-land-improves-smugglers-take-to-the-water">https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/news/border-baja-california/story/2019-11-06/an-endless-fight-as-border-infrastructure-on-land-improves-smugglers-take-to-the-water</a>.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

4. Clarification of Meaning of ``Final Decision''
    As was proposed in the NPRM, the rule excepts from the rebuttable 
presumption noncitizens who sought asylum or other protection in 
another country through which they traveled and received a ``final 
decision'' denying that application. See 8 CFR 208.33(a)(2)(ii)(C), 
1208.33(a)(2)(ii)(C). The Departments have amended this paragraph to 
further define what constitutes a ``final decision'' for the purposes 
of this exception. With this change, the final rule specifies that a 
``final decision includes any denial by a foreign government of the 
applicant's claim for asylum or other protection through one or more of 
that government's pathways for that claim.'' Id. The provision further 
states that a ``final decision does not include a determination by a 
foreign government that the noncitizen abandoned the claim.'' Id. The 
Departments have made this change in response to comments, as discussed 
below, and to provide clarity that a noncitizen must in fact pursue the 
claim since a denial based on abandonment would be insufficient.
5. Exception for Unaccompanied Children
    The NPRM provided that ``[u]naccompanied alien children, as defined 
in 6 U.S.C. 279(g)(2), are not subject to paragraph (a)(1) of this 
section.'' See 88 FR at 11750-51 (proposed 8 CFR 208.33(b), 
1208.33(b)). The Departments have modified the proposed language to 
explicitly state that this exception applies to noncitizens who were 
UCs at the time of entry.\45\ 8 CFR 208.33(a)(2)(i), 1208.33(a)(2)(i).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \45\ Numerous commenters recognized that the NPRM proposed an 
exception for UCs, but did not indicate a clear understanding of 
whether this exception applied to those who were UCs at the time of 
entry or at the time of adjudication.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    This added language makes clear that the UC exception aligns with 
other exceptions in this rule, which are based upon conditions at the 
time of a noncitizen's presentation at a POE, see 8 CFR 208.33(a)(2), 
1208.33(a)(2), and more closely aligns the regulatory text with the 
Departments' stated purpose in the NPRM that ``unaccompanied children 
would be categorically excepted from the rebuttable presumption,'' 88 
FR at 11724.
6. Expansion of Family Unity Provision
    The NPRM provided that where a principal applicant is eligible for 
statutory withholding of removal or CAT withholding and would be 
granted asylum but for the presumption, and where an accompanying 
spouse or child does not independently qualify for asylum or other 
protection from removal, the presumption shall be deemed rebutted as an 
exceptionally compelling circumstance. See 88 FR at 11752 (proposed 8 
CFR 1208.33(d)). Commenters raised concerns that excluding asylum 
applicants who travel without their families may inadvertently 
incentivize families to engage in irregular migration together so as 
not to risk that the principal applicant would be prevented from later 
applying for their family members to join them. This could involve 
making a dangerous journey with vulnerable family members, such as 
children. Accordingly, as discussed in Section IV.E.7.ii of this 
preamble, in response to these comments, the Departments have expanded 
the provision to also cover principal asylum applicants who have a 
spouse or child who would be eligible to follow to join that applicant 
as described in section 208(b)(3)(A) of the INA, 8 U.S.C. 
1158(b)(3)(A). See 8 CFR 1208.33(c).
7. Other Changes
    In addition to the changes this final rule makes to the NPRM 
detailed above, this final rule also makes other changes to the 
regulatory text set out in the NPRM.
    First, the Departments have reorganized and made other edits to 
proposed 8 CFR 208.33(a) and 1208.33(a) to improve clarity for 
noncitizens, counsel appearing before the Departments, other members of 
the public, and adjudicators. For example, the Departments added the 
exception for unaccompanied children to 8 CFR 208.33(a)(2)(i) and 
1208.33(a)(2)(i) rather than maintaining it as a standalone paragraph 
at 8 CFR 208.33(b) and 1208.33(b). Similarly, the Departments added 
headings and additional guideposts within 8 CFR 208.33(a) and 
1208.33(a). Second, the Departments revised 8 CFR 208.33 and 1208.33 to 
move instructions from 8 CFR 208.33 to 8 CFR 1208.33 regarding IJ 
review that are better placed in EOIR's regulations. For example, the 
Departments removed the sentence at proposed 8 CFR 208.33(c)(2)(ii) 
stating that noncitizens may apply for asylum, withholding of removal, 
and protection under the CAT in removal proceedings and included that 
at new 8 CFR 1208.33(b)(4). These revisions do not change the meaning 
of those provisions.

D. Rule Provisions

    The rule contains the following key provisions:
    <bullet> The rule imposes a rebuttable presumption of ineligibility 
for asylum upon certain noncitizens who enter the United States from 
Mexico at the southwest land border or adjacent coastal borders without 
documents sufficient for lawful admission as described in INA 
212(a)(7), 8 U.S.C. 1182(a)(7). See 8 CFR 208.33(a)(1), 1208.33(a)(1). 
The rebuttable presumption applies to only those noncitizens whose 
entry was (1) between May 11, 2023 and May 11, 2025; (2) subsequent to 
the end of implementation of the Title 42 public health Order; and (3) 
after the noncitizen traveled through a country other than the 
noncitizen's country of citizenship, nationality, or, if stateless, 
last habitual residence, that is a party to the 1951 Convention 
Relating to the Status of Refugees, July 28, 1951, 19 U.S.T. 6259, 189 
U.N.T.S. 150 (``Refugee Convention'') or 1967 Protocol Relating to the 
Status of Refugees, Jan. 31, 1967, 19 U.S.T. 6223, 606 U.N.T.S. 268 
(``Refugee Protocol''). See 8 CFR 208.33(a)(1)(i) through (iii), 
1208.33(a)(1)(i) through (iii).

[[Page 31322]]

    <bullet> The rule excepts from the rebuttable presumption any 
noncitizen who is an unaccompanied child as defined in 6 U.S.C. 
279(g)(2). See 8 CFR 208.33(a)(2)(i), 1208.33(a)(2)(i).
    <bullet> The rule also excepts from the rebuttable presumption a 
noncitizen if the noncitizen or a member of the noncitizen's family 
with whom the noncitizen is traveling (1) was provided appropriate 
authorization to travel to the United States to seek parole, pursuant 
to a DHS-approved parole process; (2) presented at a POE, pursuant to a 
pre-scheduled time and place, or presented at a POE without a pre-
scheduled time and place, if the noncitizen demonstrates by a 
preponderance of the evidence that it was not possible to access or use 
the DHS scheduling system due to language barrier, illiteracy, 
significant technical failure, or other ongoing and serious obstacle; 
or (3) sought asylum or other protection in a country through which the 
noncitizen traveled and received a final decision denying that 
application. See id. 208.33(a)(2)(ii), 1208.33(a)(2)(ii).
    <bullet> The rule allows a noncitizen to rebut the presumption by 
demonstrating by a preponderance of the evidence that exceptionally 
compelling circumstances exist. A noncitizen necessarily rebuts the 
presumption if they demonstrate by a preponderance of the evidence that 
the noncitizen, or a member of the noncitizen's family with whom the 
noncitizen is traveling, (1) faced an acute medical emergency; (2) 
faced an imminent and extreme threat to life or safety, such as an 
imminent threat of rape, kidnapping, torture, or murder; or (3) 
satisfied the definition of ``victim of a severe form of trafficking in 
persons'' provided in 8 CFR 214.11(a). See id. 208.33(a)(3), 
1208.33(a)(3). In addition, as a measure to ensure family unity, the 
rule provides that in removal proceedings pursuant to section 240 of 
the INA, 8 U.S.C. 1229a (``section 240 removal proceedings''), where a 
principal asylum applicant is eligible for statutory withholding of 
removal or CAT withholding and would be granted asylum but for the 
rebuttable presumption, and where an accompanying spouse or child does 
not independently qualify for asylum or other protection from removal 
or where the principal asylum applicant has a spouse or child who would 
be eligible to follow to join them if they are granted asylum, as 
described in section 208(b)(3)(A) of the INA, 8 U.S.C. 1158(b)(3)(A), 
the presumption is deemed rebutted as an exceptionally compelling 
circumstance. See 8 CFR 1208.33(c).
    <bullet> The rule establishes procedures, applicable in the 
expedited removal context, under which AOs will determine whether the 
noncitizen has made a sufficient showing that the rebuttable 
presumption does not apply or that they meet an exception to or can 
rebut the presumption. See id. 208.33(b). If the AO determines that the 
rebuttable presumption does not apply or the noncitizen falls within an 
exception or has rebutted the presumption, the general procedures in 8 
CFR 208.30 apply. See id. 208.33(b)(1)(ii). On the other hand, if the 
AO determines that the rebuttable presumption does apply and no 
exception or rebuttal ground applies, the AO will consider whether the 
noncitizen has established a reasonable possibility of persecution or 
torture with respect to the identified country or countries of removal. 
See id. 208.33(b)(1)(i), 208.33(b)(2).
    <bullet> The rule provides that an AO's adverse determination as to 
the applicability of the rebuttable presumption, whether an exception 
applies or the presumption has been rebutted, and whether the 
noncitizen has established a reasonable possibility of persecution or 
torture, are all subject to de novo IJ review. See id. 
208.33(b)(2)(iii) through (v), 1208.33(b). The noncitizen must request 
such review by so indicating on a Record of Negative Fear Finding and 
Request for Review by Immigration Judge. See id. 208.33(b)(2)(iv) and 
(v), 1208.33(b)(1).
    <bullet> The rule establishes procedures for such IJ review. 
Specifically, if the IJ determines that the noncitizen has made a 
sufficient showing that the rebuttable presumption does not apply to 
them or that they meet an exception to or can rebut the presumption, 
and that the noncitizen has established a significant possibility of 
eligibility for asylum, statutory withholding of removal, or CAT 
withholding, the IJ issues a positive credible fear finding and the 
case proceeds under existing procedures at 8 CFR 1208.30(g)(2)(iv)(B). 
See id. 208.33(b)(2)(v)(A), 1208.33(b)(2)(i). If the IJ determines that 
the rebuttable presumption applies and has not been rebutted and no 
exception is applicable, but the noncitizen has established a 
reasonable possibility of persecution or torture with respect to the 
identified country or countries of removal, the IJ will issue a 
positive credible fear finding and DHS will issue a Form I-862, Notice 
to Appear, to commence section 240 removal proceedings. See id. 
208.33(b)(2)(v)(B), 1208.33(b)(2)(ii). And finally, if the IJ issues a 
negative credible fear determination, the case is returned to DHS for 
removal of the noncitizen. See id. 208.33(b)(2)(v)(C), 
1208.33(b)(2)(ii). In such a circumstance, the noncitizen may not 
appeal the IJ's decision or request that U.S. Citizenship and 
Immigration Services (``USCIS'') reconsider the AO's negative 
determination, although USCIS may, in its sole discretion, reconsider a 
negative determination. See id. 208.33(b)(2)(v)(C).
    <bullet> The rule provides that a noncitizen who is found to be 
subject to the lawful pathways condition during expedited removal 
proceedings may, if placed in section 240 removal proceedings, apply 
for asylum, statutory withholding of removal, or CAT protection, or any 
other form of relief or protection for which the noncitizen is eligible 
during those removal proceedings. See id. 1208.33(b)(4).
    <bullet> The rule declines to adopt the Proclamation Bar IFR on a 
permanent basis and removes the language effectuating the Proclamation 
Bar. Specifically, the rule removes and reserves paragraphs 8 CFR 
208.13(c)(3) and 1208.13(c)(3), which previously included the 
requirements for the bar's applicability.
    <bullet> The rule removes regulatory provisions implementing the 
TCT Bar Final Rule. The rule removes and reserves paragraphs 8 CFR 
208.13(c)(4) and 1208.13(c)(4), which previously included the 
requirements for the TCT Bar Final Rule's applicability. The rule also 
removes and reserves paragraphs 8 CFR 208.13(c)(5) and 1208.13(c)(5), 
which provided that determinations made with regard to whether an 
applicant met one of the exceptions to the TCT Bar Final Rule would not 
bind Federal departments or agencies with respect to certain later 
adjudications. Given the removal of the TCT Bar Final Rule and its 
implementing provisions, these provisions are no longer necessary.
    <bullet> The rule also amends the CFR to remove provisions 
implementing the Proclamation Bar IFR and TCT Bar Final Rule during the 
credible fear process. The rule removes 8 CFR 208.30(e)(5)(ii) and 
(iii), which implemented the Proclamation Bar IFR and TCT Bar Final 
Rule, respectively. The rule also removes reference to (ii) though (iv) 
from what was previously (i) and redesignates (i) as (e)(5). Similarly, 
the rule also amends provisions relating to IJ standard of review for 
Proclamation Bar and TCT Bar determinations by removing 8 CFR 
1003.42(d)(2) and (3), and redesignates 8 CFR 1003.42(d)(1) as 
paragraph (d). Finally, the rule removes and reserves 8 CFR 
1208.30(g)(1), which provided instructions to IJs regarding the 
application of the Proclamation Bar

[[Page 31323]]

and the TCT Bar during credible fear reviews.
    <bullet> The rule contains a special provision providing that the 
rebuttable presumption does not apply to an asylum application filed 
after May 11, 2025, if the noncitizen was under the age of 18 at the 
time of entry, and the noncitizen is applying for asylum as a principal 
applicant. See id. 208.33(c)(2), 1208.33(d)(2).
    <bullet> The rule contains a severability clause reflecting the 
Departments' intention that the rule's provisions be severable from 
each other in the event that any aspect of the new provisions governing 
the rebuttable presumption is held to be invalid or unenforceable by 
its terms, or as applied to any person or circumstance. See id. 
208.33(d), 1208.33(e).

III. Legal Authority

    The Secretary and the Attorney General jointly issue this rule 
pursuant to their shared and respective authorities concerning asylum, 
statutory withholding of removal, and CAT determinations. The Homeland 
Security Act of 2002 (``HSA''), Public Law 107-296, 116 Stat. 2135, as 
amended, created DHS and transferred to it many functions related to 
the administration and enforcement of Federal immigration law while 
maintaining many functions and authorities with the Attorney General, 
including concurrently with the Secretary.
    The INA, as amended by the HSA, charges the Secretary ``with the 
administration and enforcement of [the INA] and all other laws relating 
to the immigration and naturalization of aliens,'' except insofar as 
those laws assign functions to other agencies. INA 103(a)(1), 8 U.S.C. 
1103(a)(1). The INA also grants the Secretary the authority to 
establish regulations and take other actions ``necessary for carrying 
out'' the Secretary's authority under the immigration laws, INA 
103(a)(1) and (3), 8 U.S.C. 1103(a)(1) and (3); see also 6 U.S.C. 202.
    The HSA charges the Attorney General with ``such authorities and 
functions under [the INA] and all other laws relating to the 
immigration and naturalization of aliens as were [previously] exercised 
by the Executive Office for Immigration Review, or by the Attorney 
General with respect to [EOIR].'' INA 103(g)(1), 8 U.S.C. 1103(g)(1); 
see also 6 U.S.C. 521. In addition, under the HSA, the Attorney General 
retains authority to ``establish such regulations, . . . issue such 
instructions, review such administrative determinations in immigration 
proceedings, delegate such authority, and perform such other acts as 
the Attorney General determines to be necessary for carrying out'' his 
authorities under the INA. INA 103(g)(2), 8 U.S.C. 1103(g)(2).
    Under the HSA, the Attorney General retains authority over the 
conduct of section 240 removal proceedings. These adjudications are 
conducted by IJs within DOJ's EOIR. See 6 U.S.C. 521; INA 103(g), 8 
U.S.C. 1103(g). With limited exceptions, IJs within DOJ adjudicate 
asylum, statutory withholding of removal, and CAT protection 
applications filed by noncitizens during the pendency of section 240 
removal proceedings, including asylum applications referred by USCIS to 
the immigration court. INA 101(b)(4), 8 U.S.C. 1101(b)(4); INA 
240(a)(1), 8 U.S.C. 1229a(a)(1); INA 241(b)(3), 8 U.S.C. 1231(b)(3); 8 
CFR 1208.2(b), 1240.1(a); see also Dhakal v. Sessions, 895 F.3d 532, 
536-37 (7th Cir. 2018) (describing affirmative and defensive asylum 
processes). The Board of Immigration Appeals (``BIA''), also within 
DOJ, in turn hears appeals from IJ decisions. See 8 CFR 1003.1(a)(1) 
and (b)(3); see also Garland v. Ming Dai, 141 S. Ct. 1669, 1677-78 
(2021) (describing appeals from IJ to BIA). In addition, the INA 
provides that the ``determination and ruling by the Attorney General 
with respect to all questions of law shall be controlling.'' INA 
103(a)(1), 8 U.S.C. 1103(a)(1).
    In addition to the separate authorities discussed above, the 
Attorney General and the Secretary share some authorities. Section 208 
of the INA, 8 U.S.C. 1158, authorizes the ``Secretary of Homeland 
Security or the Attorney General'' to ``grant asylum'' to a noncitizen 
``who has applied for asylum in accordance with the requirements and 
procedures established by'' the Secretary or the Attorney General under 
section 208 if the Secretary or the Attorney General determines that 
the noncitizen is a refugee. INA 208(b)(1)(A), 8 U.S.C. 1158(b)(1)(A). 
Section 208 thereby authorizes the Secretary and the Attorney General 
to ``establish[ ]'' ``requirements and procedures'' to govern asylum 
applications. Id. The statute further authorizes them to ``establish,'' 
``by regulation,'' ``additional limitations and conditions, consistent 
with'' section 208, under which a noncitizen ``shall be ineligible for 
asylum.'' INA 208(b)(2)(C), 8 U.S.C. 1158(b)(2)(C); see also INA 
208(d)(5)(B), 8 U.S.C. 1158(d)(5)(B) (authorizing the Secretary and the 
Attorney General to ``provide by regulation for any other conditions or 
limitations on the consideration of an application for asylum not 
inconsistent with [the INA]'').\46\ The INA also provides the Secretary 
and Attorney General authority to publish regulatory amendments 
governing their respective roles regarding apprehension, inspection and 
admission, detention and removal, withholding of removal, deferral of 
removal, and release of noncitizens encountered in the interior of the 
United States or at or between POEs. See INA 235, 236, 241, 8 U.S.C. 
1225, 1226, 1231.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \46\ Under the HSA, the references to the ``Attorney General'' 
in the INA also encompass the Secretary, either solely or 
additionally, with respect to statutory authorities vested in the 
Secretary in the HSA or subsequent legislation, including in 
relation to immigration proceedings before DHS. 6 U.S.C. 557.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The HSA granted DHS the authority to adjudicate asylum applications 
and to conduct credible fear interviews, make credible fear 
determinations in the context of expedited removal, and to establish 
procedures for further consideration of asylum applications after an 
individual is found to have a credible fear. INA 235(b)(1)(B), 8 U.S.C. 
1225(b)(1)(B); see also 6 U.S.C. 271(b) (providing for the transfer of 
adjudication of asylum and refugee applications from the Commissioner 
of Immigration and Naturalization to the Director of the Bureau of 
Citizenship and Immigration Services, now USCIS). Within DHS, the 
Secretary has delegated some of those authorities to the Director of 
USCIS, and USCIS AOs conduct credible fear interviews, make credible 
fear determinations, and determine whether a noncitizen's asylum 
application should be granted. See DHS, Delegation to the Bureau of 
Citizenship and Immigration Services, No. 0150.1 (June 5, 2003); 8 CFR 
208.2(a), 208.9, 208.30.
    The United States is a party to the Refugee Protocol, which 
incorporates Articles 2 through 34 of the Refugee Convention. Article 
33 of the Refugee Convention generally prohibits parties to the 
Convention from expelling or returning (``refouler'') ``a refugee in 
any manner whatsoever to the frontiers of territories where his life or 
freedom would be threatened on account of his race, religion, 
nationality, membership of a particular social group or political 
opinion.'' 120%
    Congress codified these obligations in the Refugee Act of 1980, 
creating the precursor to what is now known as statutory withholding of 
removal.\47\ The Supreme Court has long recognized that the United 
States implements its non-refoulement obligations under Article 33 of 
the Refugee Convention (via the

[[Page 31324]]

Refugee Protocol) through the statutory withholding of removal 
provision in section 241(b)(3) of the INA, 8 U.S.C. 1231(b)(3), which 
provides that a noncitizen may not be removed to a country where their 
life or freedom would be threatened on account of one of the protected 
grounds listed in Article 33 of the Refugee Convention.\48\ See INA 
241(b)(3), 8 U.S.C. 1231(b)(3); see also 8 CFR 208.16, 1208.16. The INA 
also authorizes the Secretary and the Attorney General to implement 
statutory withholding of removal under section 241(b)(3) of the INA, 8 
U.S.C. 1231(b)(3). See INA 103(a)(1) and (3), (g)(1) and (2), 8 U.S.C. 
1103(a)(1) and (3), (g)(1) and (2).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \47\ Public Law 96-212, 94 Stat. 102 (``Refugee Act'').
    \48\ See INS v. Aguirre-Aguirre, 526 U.S. 415, 426-27 (1999); 
see also INS v. Cardoza-Fonseca, 480 U.S. 421, 440-41 (1987) 
(distinguishing between Article 33's non-refoulement prohibition, 
which aligns with what was then called withholding of deportation 
and Article 34's call to ``facilitate the assimilation and 
naturalization of refugees,'' which the Court found aligned with the 
discretionary provisions in section 208 of the INA, 8 U.S.C. 1158). 
The Refugee Convention and Protocol are not self-executing. E.g., 
Al-Fara v. Gonzales, 404 F.3d 733, 743 (3d Cir. 2005) (``The 1967 
Protocol is not self-executing, nor does it confer any rights beyond 
those granted by implementing domestic legislation.'').
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The Departments also have authority to implement Article 3 of the 
United Nations Convention Against Torture and Other Cruel, Inhuman or 
Degrading Treatment or Punishment, Dec. 10, 1984, S. Treaty Doc. No. 
100-20, 1465 U.N.T.S. 85 (entered into force for United States Nov. 20, 
1994). The Foreign Affairs Reform and Restructuring Act of 1998 
(``FARRA'') provides the Departments with the authority to ``prescribe 
regulations to implement the obligations of the United States under 
Article 3 of the [CAT], subject to any reservations, understandings, 
declarations, and provisos contained in the United States Senate 
resolution of ratification of the Convention.'' Public Law 105-277, 
div. G, sec. 2242(b), 112 Stat. 2681, 2681-822 (8 U.S.C. 1231 note). 
DHS and DOJ have implemented the United States' obligations under 
Article 3 of the CAT in the CFR, consistent with FARRA. See, e.g., 8 
CFR 208.16(c) through 208.18, 1208.16(c) through 1208.18; Regulations 
Concerning the Convention Against Torture, 64 FR 8478 (Feb. 19, 1999), 
as corrected by 64 FR 13881 (Mar. 23, 1999).
    This rule does not change the eligibility requirements for 
statutory withholding of removal or CAT protection. As further 
discussed below, the rule applies a ``reasonable possibility'' standard 
in screenings for statutory withholding of removal and CAT protection 
in cases where the presumption of asylum ineligibility is applied and 
not rebutted. While the application of this standard is a change from 
the prior practice in the expedited removal context, it is the same 
standard used in protection screenings in other contexts and is 
consistent with both domestic and international law. See 8 CFR 208.31.

IV. Public Comments and Responses

    The Departments received 51,952 comments on the proposed rule, the 
majority of which expressed opposition to the proposal. A range of 
governmental and non-governmental entities, public officials, and 
private persons submitted comments. The Departments summarize and 
respond to the public comments below.

A. General Support

1. General Support
    Comment: Many commenters stated their support for the rule overall. 
Commenters emphasized the importance of border security, stating that 
the Government must do what is necessary to both manage workloads at 
the border and stop migrants from entering the United States without 
permission.
    Response: Promulgation of this rule is needed because, once the 
Title 42 public health Order is lifted, the number of migrants 
traveling to the United States without authorization is expected to 
increase significantly, to a level that risks undermining the 
Departments' ability to safely, effectively, and humanely enforce and 
administer U.S. immigration law, including the asylum system. Such a 
surge would also place additional pressure on States, local 
communities, and non-governmental organization (``NGO'') partners both 
along the border and in the interior of the United States.
    To address these issues, the rule imposes a rebuttable presumption 
of asylum ineligibility for certain migrants who enter the United 
States outside of safe, orderly, and lawful pathways and without first 
seeking protection in a third country they have traveled through en 
route to the SWB, during a designated period of time. The rule (1) 
incentivizes the use of multiple existing lawful, safe, and orderly 
means for noncitizens to enter the United States to seek asylum and 
other forms of protection; (2) continues to provide core protections 
for noncitizens who would be threatened with persecution or torture in 
other countries; and (3) builds upon ongoing efforts to share the 
responsibility of providing asylum and other forms of protection to 
deserving migrants with the United States' regional partners.
    The successful implementation of the CHNV parole processes has 
demonstrated that an increase in lawful pathways, when paired with 
consequences for migrants who do not avail themselves of such pathways, 
can incentivize the use of such pathways and undermine transnational 
criminal organizations, such as smuggling operations. The rule, which 
is fully consistent with domestic and international legal obligations, 
provides the necessary consequences to maintain this incentive under 
Title 8 authorities. In short, the Departments expect the rule, coupled 
with an expansion of lawful, safe, and orderly pathways, to reduce the 
number of noncitizens seeking to cross the SWB without authorization to 
enter the United States.
    The benefits of reducing the number of encounters include 
protecting against overcrowding in border facilities; allowing for the 
continued effective, humane, and efficient processing of noncitizens at 
and between ports of entry; and helping to reduce reliance on dangerous 
human smuggling networks that exploit migrants for financial gain. Even 
where the rule applies, the presumption against asylum eligibility may 
be rebutted in certain circumstances, such as where, at the time of the 
noncitizen's entry into the United States, they or a family member with 
whom they are traveling are experiencing an acute medical emergency or 
an extreme and imminent threat to life or safety, or are a victim of a 
severe form of trafficking. Moreover, DHS will still screen migrants 
who cannot overcome the rebuttable presumption to determine if the 
migrant has established a reasonable possibility of persecution for the 
purposes of statutory withholding of removal or a reasonable 
possibility of torture for the purposes of protection under the 
regulations implementing the CAT. See 8 CFR 208.33(b)(2)(i). Should a 
migrant receive a negative credible fear determination, they can also 
seek review of the determination by an IJ. See 8 CFR 208.33(b)(2)(iii) 
through (v). Those who are found to have credible fear due to a 
reasonable possibility of persecution or torture will then have the 
opportunity for further consideration of their protection claims via a 
section 240 removal proceeding. See 8 CFR 208.33(b)(2)(ii).
2. Need, Effectiveness, and Rationale for the Rule
    Comment: Commenters described the rule as a common-sense approach 
to managing migration at the border and

[[Page 31325]]

discouraging illegal migration, while others stated that the rule would 
contribute to the ``rule of law'' at the border. Other commenters noted 
that a change such as that made by this rule is necessary, as it is 
simply impossible to admit all migrants who want to enter the United 
States. Some commenters stated that the rule is a reasonable solution 
until Congress can take legislative action to address the issue. Other 
commenters supported the rule's encouragement for migrants to first 
seek protection in third countries they pass through before requesting 
asylum at the SWB and asserted that such a requirement is standard in 
international law; commenters further stated that the rule would 
discourage ``asylum shoppers.'' Commenters stated that allowing 
migrants to cross multiple countries en route to the United States 
before claiming asylum defeats the true purpose of asylum. Some 
commenters stated that migrants know that claiming asylum allows them 
entry into the United States, and thus take advantage of the process.
    Response: As noted above, the Departments have designed this rule 
in response to the number of migrants expected to travel without 
authorization to the United States after the lifting of the Title 42 
public health Order, absent a policy change such as this one. In that 
case, the circumstances likely to occur include the following: an 
additional number of migrants anticipated to arrive at the border; the 
severe strain on resources that this influx of migrants would cause 
DHS; and a substantial resulting impact on U.S. Government operations, 
as well as local communities. DHS's successful Uniting for Ukraine 
(``U4U'') and CHNV parole processes--under which DHS coupled a 
mechanism for noncitizens from these countries to seek entry to the 
United States in a lawful, safe, and orderly manner with the imposition 
of new consequences for those who cross the SWB without authorization--
have demonstrated that an increase in the availability of lawful 
pathways paired with consequences for migrants who do not avail 
themselves of such pathways can incentivize the use of lawful pathways 
and undermine transnational criminal organizations, such as smuggling 
operations. The Departments expect similar benefits from this rule, 
especially a reduced number of encounters at the border, which will 
help to protect against overcrowding in border facilities; allow for 
the continued effective, humane, and efficient processing of 
noncitizens at and between ports of entry; and reduce reliance on 
dangerous human smuggling networks that exploit migrants for financial 
gain.
    The Departments designed the rule to strike a balance that 
maintains safe and humane processing of migrants while also including 
safeguards to protect especially vulnerable individuals. The rule 
provides exceptions to the rebuttable presumption and allows migrants 
to rebut the presumption in exceptionally compelling circumstances. 
These exceptions and opportunities for rebuttal are meant to ensure 
that migrants who are particularly vulnerable, who are in imminent 
danger, or who could not access the lawful pathways provided are not 
made ineligible for asylum by operation of the rebuttable presumption. 
Those who are not excepted from and are unable to rebut the presumption 
of ineligibility may still pursue statutory withholding of removal and 
protection under the CAT. In addition, to further aid migrants, the 
Departments plan to continue to work with foreign partners to expand 
lawful pathways for migration, as well as expand the Departments' 
mechanisms for lawful processing. Thus, the rule will disincentivize 
irregular migration and instead incentivize migrants--including those 
intending to seek asylum--to use lawful, safe, and orderly pathways to 
enter the United States, or seek asylum or other protection in another 
country through which they travel.
3. Mitigate Irregular Migration and the Associated Impacts
    Comment: Many commenters expressed support for the rule for a 
variety of reasons. Commenters supported the change in policy, noting 
that this rule would result in a more efficient use of government 
resources at the border. Commenters also supported the proposed rule's 
use of a formal process for asylum applicants. Some commenters stated 
their support for the rule because the journey to the SWB is dangerous 
due to harsh conditions and smugglers, and this rule would weaken 
smugglers and transnational criminal enterprises and reduce their 
exploitation of migrants. Commenters also stated that incentivizing 
migrants to present themselves at POEs would reduce their risk of 
exploitation by human traffickers or other harm when attempting to 
cross between POEs. Commenters commended the Departments for 
prioritizing safe and orderly processing methods for those seeking 
refuge. Some commenters indicated that border security is critical and 
expressed concerns that malicious actors could enter the United States 
more easily during a surge in migration.
    Response: The Departments recognize these commenters' support for 
the rule and agree that maintaining border security is critical. The 
Departments agree that irregular migration is dangerous and can lead to 
increased strain on SWB operations and resources, increased illegal 
smuggling activity, and increased pressure on communities along the 
SWB. The United States has taken several measures to meet the influx of 
migrants crossing the SWB and is taking new steps to address increased 
flows throughout the Western Hemisphere.\49\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \49\ See DHS, New Actions to Manage Regional Migration (Apr. 27, 
2023).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    However, the anticipated increase in the number of migrants 
following the lifting of the Title 42 public health Order threatens to 
exceed the Departments' capacity to safely and humanely process 
migrants. By coupling the rule with additional lawful pathways and 
allowing migrants to schedule their arrival at a SWB POE, currently via 
the CBP One app, the rule will reduce the number of noncitizens seeking 
to cross the SWB without authorization to enter the United States. This 
reduction will protect against overcrowding in border facilities; allow 
for the continued effective, humane, and efficient processing of 
noncitizens at and between ports of entry; and help to reduce reliance 
on dangerous human smuggling networks that exploit migrants for 
financial gain. The Departments expect that this rule will result in 
decreased strain on border states, local communities, and NGOs and, 
accordingly, allow them to better absorb releases from CBP border 
facilities and provide support to the migrant community. Ultimately, 
this rule will disincentivize irregular migration and instead 
incentivize migrants to use safe, orderly, and lawful pathways to the 
United States or to seek protection in third countries.
4. Positive Impacts on Operations and Resources
    Comment: Commenters supported the rule, stating that allowing 
migrants to remain in the United States at the government's expense 
while waiting for their asylum claim to be adjudicated is a waste of 
government resources. Commenters said that the rule--specifically when 
coupled with the expanded use of the CBP One app and the ability for 
migrants to schedule appointments--would allow for more efficient 
processing at the SWB. Commenters stated that, by decreasing

[[Page 31326]]

the number of migrants seeking asylum, the Departments would adjudicate 
asylum claims much faster and decrease the amount of time migrants must 
wait in the United States before receiving a final decision in their 
case.
    Response: The Departments recognize these commenters' support and 
agree that the rule will have benefits for both those granted asylum 
and the U.S. immigration system. The rule encourages noncitizens to use 
lawful, safe, and orderly pathways to enter the United States, or seek 
asylum or other protection in another country through which they 
travel. The rule is designed to channel the high numbers of migrants 
expected to seek protection in the United States following the 
termination of the Title 42 public health Order into lawful, safe, and 
orderly pathways and ensure they can be processed in an effective, 
humane, and efficient manner. In addition, the Departments anticipate 
that the use of the CBP One app--the current scheduling mechanism that 
provides migrants with a means to schedule a time and place to present 
themselves at a SWB POE--will allow CBP to streamline the processing of 
noncitizens at POEs on the SWB and process significantly more 
individuals in a safe and orderly manner.
    Adjudication on the merits of an asylum claim for those who 
establish credible fear and are placed into removal proceedings can be 
a long process. Thirty-eight percent of all noncitizens who entered 
along the SWB, received a positive credible fear determination, and 
were placed into proceedings before EOIR between FY 2014 and FY 2019 
remained in EOIR proceedings as of December 31, 2022.\50\ Further, 
almost half (47 percent) of those in EOIR cases who received positive 
credible fear determinations resulting from FY 2019 encounters 
(referrals to EOIR) remained in proceedings as of December 31, 
2022.\51\ Excluding in absentia orders, the mean completion time for 
EOIR cases in FY 2022 was 3.7 years.\52\ Thus, those who have a valid 
claim to asylum in the United States often wait years for a final 
relief or protection decision; likewise, noncitizens who will 
ultimately be found ineligible for asylum or other protection--which 
occurs in the majority of cases--often have spent many years in the 
United States prior to being ordered removed.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \50\ See OIS analysis of OIS Enforcement Lifecycle data based on 
data through December 31, 2022.
    \51\ Id.
    \52\ See OIS analysis of DOJ EOIR data based on data through 
March 31, 2023.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    This lengthy adjudications process means that migrants who can 
establish credible fear can expect to remain in the United States for 
an extended period regardless of whether they will ultimately obtain 
asylum status at an EOIR hearing on the merits. Allowing a migrant to 
remain in the United States for years before ultimately determining the 
migrant is ineligible for asylum or other protection is inefficient, 
risks creating a pull factor for other intending migrants, and runs 
counter to principles of judicial fairness, including the swift 
adjudication of claims. As discussed in the NPRM, see 88 FR at 11737, 
and below at Section IV.B.2 of this preamble, the Departments have 
determined that this rule will lead to increased efficiencies in the 
asylum adjudications process so that claims can be adjudicated without 
a lengthy delay.
5. Other Support
    Comment: Commenters agreed that the Departments have the legal 
authority to restrict asylum eligibility based on a migrant's failure 
to seek protection in a third country that they have traveled through 
on route to the SWB and that such a policy is consistent with both 
domestic and international law. Commenters stated that the rule was 
necessary because most migrants do not have legitimate asylum claims, 
noting low grant rates by EOIR, and are instead seeking economic 
opportunities in the United States. Other commenters expressed general 
support for the rule and stated a belief that asylum seekers do not 
have legitimate claims because they may be coached by NGOs or other 
organizations.At least one commenter stated that if a migrant traveled 
through a third country with a legitimate asylum process on their way 
to the United States, DHS should assume that the migrant is not really 
in fear for their life; otherwise, the U.S. asylum system would be used 
for economic migration, the demand for which should be addressed by 
other means. Another commenter said that the proposed rule encourages 
asylum-seekers to use the ``front door'' by presenting at POEs and 
fulfills domestic and international legal obligations by removing 
eligibility for asylum for those who fail to do so while maintaining 
access to statutory withholding of removal and protection under the 
CAT. The commenter noted that countries are within their rights to 
limit access to asylum. The commenter also stated that many individuals 
are barred from asylum eligibility for reasons such as fraud, criminal 
convictions, and illegal reentry, and that the proposed rule would add 
those who do not avail themselves of asylum in the nearest country and 
do not apply at a POE to this list, which should limit further unlawful 
entries and use of government resources. Some commenters supported the 
rule and suggested that the Government disseminate information about 
the rule in other countries to ensure migrants planning to seek asylum 
are aware of both the asylum process and the consequences of non-
compliance.
    Response: As discussed further below in Section IV.B.D, the 
Departments agree that the rule is consistent with U.S. obligations 
under both domestic and international law, including the INA; the 
Refugee Convention; the Refugee Protocol, which incorporates Articles 2 
through 34 of the Refugee Convention; and the CAT. While the 
Departments appreciate these commenters' support for the rule, the 
Departments emphasize that this rule is necessary to prevent the 
expected increase in the number of migrants who would otherwise seek to 
travel without authorization to the United States after the termination 
of the Title 42 public health Order, which would risk undermining the 
Departments' ability to safely, effectively, and humanely enforce and 
administer U.S. immigration law, including the asylum system. In other 
words, the Departments do not rely on the alternative goals or bases of 
support for the rule expressed in the comments summarized above.
    The Departments appreciate the importance of disseminating 
information about the rule to the public, including intending migrants, 
and are planning a robust communication effort in conjunction with and 
immediately following the publication of this rule.

B. General Opposition

1. General Opposition
    Comment: The Departments received many comments expressing general 
opposition to the rule. Some commenters expressed opposition to the 
rule and encouraged the Administration to withdraw it, without further 
explanation. Commenters also stated, without explanation, that the rule 
would allow future administrations the ability to decide which 
nationalities are afforded protections, instead of making protections 
available for everyone in need. Other commenters stated the rule 
creates barriers, not pathways, for asylum seekers.
    Response: The Departments take seriously the concerns expressed by 
commenters who generally oppose the rule. Because some of these 
comments failed to articulate specific reasoning underlying the general 
opposition, the

[[Page 31327]]

Departments are unable to provide a more detailed response to those 
comments. In general, the Departments emphasize that this rule is 
necessary to ensure that, after the lifting of the Title 42 public 
health Order, protection claims made by noncitizens encountered at the 
SWB can be processed in a manner that is effective, humane, and 
efficient. The rule is also designed to reduce overcrowding at DHS 
facilities and reduce migrants' reliance on exploitive smuggling 
networks. The Departments intend this rule to work in conjunction with 
other initiatives that expand lawful pathways to enter the United 
States, and thereby incentivize safe, orderly, lawful migration over 
dangerous, irregular forms of migration. Although some lawful pathways, 
which exist separate from this rule, are available only to particular 
nationalities, this rule does not deny protection on the basis of 
nationality. A noncitizen of any nationality may avoid the rebuttable 
presumption by, for instance, presenting at a POE pursuant to a pre-
scheduled time and place. As discussed in the NPRM and further below, 
the rule's presumption against asylum eligibility only applies to those 
who enter during a 2-year period, is rebuttable, and contains multiple 
exceptions to prevent undue harm to noncitizens with meritorious 
protection claims.
2. Need, Effectiveness, and Rationale for the Rule
    Comment: Commenters asserted that the Departments' concerns about a 
future surge of migration after the end of the Title 42 public health 
Order are speculative and unsupported. One commenter said that the 
surge numbers were unreliable at best, that entries between POEs were 
higher two decades ago, and that the surge could in part be the result 
of attempted suppression of normal migration. Some commenters 
questioned the Departments' planning projection of the number of border 
encounters it expects when the Title 42 public health Order is lifted 
as a valid justification of the NPRM. Another commenter stated that the 
numbers of unauthorized unique individuals detained at the border are 
far from an all-time high or a record, and that attempts to enter the 
country undetected have plummeted. One commenter stated that the Title 
42 public health Order increased the percentage of individuals 
attempting repeated crossings at the border, which has artificially 
inflated CBP's border apprehension statistics, and thereby overstated 
the scale of the problem at the border. Some commenters stated that the 
public is unable to properly evaluate the Departments' data used to 
justify the rule because the ``DHS SWB Encounter Planning Model 
generated January 6, 2023'' cited in the NPRM, e.g., 88 FR at 11705 
n.11, does not have a link to the model and it does not provide 
information on methodology, data sources, and alternative figures.
    Response: The Departments strongly disagree that the concerns 
stated in the NPRM regarding an ongoing and potential further surge of 
migration are speculative or unsupported. As noted in the NPRM, for the 
30 days ending December 24, 2022, total daily encounters along the SWB 
consistently fluctuated between approximately 7,100 and 9,700 per day, 
averaging approximately 8,500 per day, with encounters exceeding 9,000 
per day on 12 different occasions during this 30-day stretch.\53\ 88 FR 
at 11704-05. While commenters are correct that the Title 42 public 
health Order has increased the percentage of repeat crossing attempts 
relative to the 2010s, since 2022 over 97 percent of extra-regional 
migrants (i.e., migrants not from Mexico or Northern Central America 
\54\)--the people representing the greatest processing challenge--are 
unique encounters.\55\ Encounter totals reached an all-time high in FY 
2022, and they remain at historically high levels even as encounters of 
CHNV nationals have fallen in recent months.\56\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \53\ OIS analysis of OIS Persist Dataset based on data through 
March 31, 2023.
    \54\ Northern Central America refers to El Salvador, Guatemala, 
and Honduras.
    \55\ OIS analysis of OIS Persist Dataset based on data through 
March 31, 2023.
    \56\ Concrete data on unique versus repeat encounters are only 
available since 2010. During that period, for the years prior to the 
implementation of Title 42 expulsions, the percentage of encounters 
that were unique increased each year from 2010-2019. OIS analysis of 
OIS Persist Dataset based on data through March 31, 2023. While 
specific data on numbers of unique encounters are not available 
prior to 2010, it is widely accepted that the years before the 2010, 
and particularly the years before 2000, were characterized by much 
larger numbers of repeat encounters, as most encounters were of 
Mexican nationals who were permitted to return to Mexico without 
being subject to formal removal proceedings or other enforcement 
consequences. See also DHS, FY 2021 Border Security Metrics Report 
(Apr. 27, 2022), <a href="https://www.dhs.gov/immigration-statistics/border-security/border-security-metrics-report">https://www.dhs.gov/immigration-statistics/border-security/border-security-metrics-report</a>.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OIS leads an interagency working group that produces a roughly bi-
weekly SWB encounter projection used for operational planning, policy 
development, and short-term budget planning. The model used to produce 
encounter projections every two to four weeks is a mixed-method 
approach that combines a statistical predictive model with subject 
matter expertise intended to provide informed estimates of future 
migration flow and trends. The mixed methods approach blends multiple 
types of models through an ensemble approach of model averaging.\57\ 
The model includes encounter data disaggregated by country and 
demographic characteristics going back to FY 2013, data on 
apprehensions of third country nationals by Mexican enforcement 
agencies, and economic data. DHS uses the encounter projection to 
generate a range of planning models, including ``moderately-high'' 
planning models that are based on the 68 percent upper bound of the 
forecast interval and ``high'' planning models based on the 95 percent 
upper bound of the forecast interval.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \57\ Blending multiple models and basing predictions on prior 
data has been understood to improve modeling accuracy. See, e.g., 
Spyros Makridakis et al., Forecasting in Social Settings: The State 
of the Art, 36 Int'l J. Forecasting 15, 16 (2020) (noting that it 
has ``stood the test of time [that] combining forecasts improves 
[forecast] accuracy''); The Forecasting Collaborative, Insights into 
the Accuracy of Social Scientists' Forecasts of Societal Change, 
Nat. Hum. Behaviour, Feb. 9, 2023, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-022-01517-1">https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-022-01517-1</a> (comparing forecasting methods and suggesting that 
forecasting teams may materially improve accuracy by, for instance, 
basing predictions on prior data and including scientific experts 
and multidisciplinary team members).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Encounter projections are, of course, subject to some degree of 
uncertainty. International migration is an exceedingly complex process 
shaped by family and community networks, labor markets, environmental 
and security-related push factors, and rapidly evolving criminal 
smuggling networks, among other factors. Recent unprecedented changes 
in migration flows have further complicated the task of predicting 
future migration flows with precision. As recently as the 2000s, 
unauthorized migration to the SWB consisted almost entirely of single 
adults from Mexico.\58\ Families and UCs accounted for increasing 
shares of unauthorized migrants in the 2010s, as did migrants from 
Northern Central America; and ``extra-regional'' migrants have driven 
increased flows in the 2020s, accounting for an absolute majority of 
encounters in FY 2023

[[Page 31328]]

YTD.\59\ The OIS working group takes these recent changes in migration 
flows into account in preparing its roughly bi-weekly encounter 
projection models.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \58\ According to historic OIS Yearbooks of Immigration 
Statistics, Mexican nationals accounted for 97 percent of all 
administrative arrests by the legacy Immigration and Nationality 
Service from 1981-1999. According to OIS Production data, Mexican 
nationals also accounted for 97 percent of SWB encounters from 2000-
2003. Mexico's share of SWB border encounters fell to 94 percent in 
2004, an all-time low, then averaged 91 percent for the remainder of 
the 2000s. OIS analysis of OIS Yearbook on Immigration Statistics, 
1981-1999; OIS Production Data, 2000-2009.
    \59\ Families and unaccompanied children accounted for an 
estimated 11 percent of SWB encounters in 2013, rising to 62 percent 
in 2019, and have averaged 30 percent from 2020 through March 2023. 
Data on unaccompanied children were first collected in 2008 and data 
on other family statuses were first collected in 2013, but not 
universally collected until 2016. Mexican nationals accounted for an 
average of 57 percent of SWB encounters from 2013-2015, fell to an 
all-time low of 24 percent in 2019 (when Northern Central Americans 
accounted for 64 percent of the total), and have averaged 35 percent 
of encounters from 2021 through March 2023. Extra regional nationals 
accounted for an average of 9 percent of SWB encounters from 2013-
2018, 12 percent from 2019-2020, and account for 52 percent in the 
first six months of FY 2023. OIS analysis of OIS Persist Dataset 
based on data through March 31, 2023.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Demographic changes in migration flows have introduced new 
challenges in the field of border enforcement. For decades the 
challenge was to detect and interdict Mexican nationals seeking to 
evade detection and to return them to Mexico, which generally was 
cooperative in accepting back its nationals across the land border. 
Today's set of challenges is broader; the United States Government must 
humanely process family units and UCs and consider tens of thousands of 
asylum claims, granting relief or protection where appropriate and 
imposing enforcement consequences (such as removal or return, and in 
some cases criminal charges), all with limited processing resources and 
challenges relating to barriers to repatriations for nationals from 
certain countries. These changes have significant implications, 
requiring substantial resources from CBP, ICE, USCIS, EOIR, and HHS.
    An additional consideration in how the Departments utilize 
encounter projections for operational planning and budgeting is that it 
takes weeks or months to put new enforcement resources in place, while 
removing such resources takes much less time. For this reason, DHS 
generally must be conservative in its enforcement planning because the 
failure to have adequate resources in place at the start of a migration 
surge risks vicious cycles in which inadequate capacity to implement 
critically needed tools to disincentivize irregular migration, coupled 
with persistent and strong ``push factors,'' contribute to cascading 
adverse effects as the enforcement system becomes overwhelmed. Such 
effects include overcrowding in DHS facilities (which can endanger both 
migrants and DHS personnel), more noncitizens being released into the 
interior pending immigration proceedings, and additional flows of 
migrants. In the current context of added uncertainty in the encounter 
projection and evolving enforcement challenges, DHS focuses its 
operational planning efforts on the high and moderately-high planning 
models rather than planning for an optimistic scenario that could leave 
enforcement efforts badly under-resourced. As for this policymaking 
effort, the Departments believe the policies in this rule are justified 
``in light of the migration patterns witnessed in late November and 
December of 2022, and the concern about the possibility of a surge in 
irregular migration upon, or in anticipation of, the eventual lifting 
of the Title 42 public health Order.'' 88 FR at 11708.
    With respect to the suggestion that the Departments should have 
subjected the OIS planning model to more detailed review by commenters, 
the Departments respectfully disagree. In addition to the Departments' 
description of the planning model in the NPRM, see 88 FR at 11705 n.11, 
the Departments presented a range of the underlying data clearly 
demonstrating the scope of the problem the Departments face. See, e.g., 
88 FR at 11704-05 (``For the 30 days ending December 24, 2022, total 
daily encounters along the SWB consistently fluctuated between 
approximately 7,100 and 9,700 per day, averaging approximately 8,500 
per day, with encounters exceeding 9,000 per day on 12 different 
occasions during this 30-day stretch''); id. at 11708-14 (describing 
the historically unique nature of current migratory trends and the role 
of shifting demographics and other factors on these trends). Although 
the Departments did not describe the planning models in minute detail, 
the data make clear the basis for the proposed rule and no commenters 
submitted data suggesting that the Departments do not currently face, 
and will not imminently face, an urgent circumstance requiring a policy 
response.
    Comment: One commenter stated that concerns that NGOs and shelter 
networks have or are close to reaching their ``outer limit'' of 
capacity are unfounded, because according to the commenter, none of the 
$800 million newly allocated for humanitarian reception had been 
distributed as of the NPRM's publication in late February of this year. 
The commenter wrote that there are numerous ways that the 
Administration can work with Congress and NGO partners to continue to 
build shelter capacity and effectively respond to the needs of arriving 
migrants and asylum seekers. Similarly, a commenter noted that the 
Government pays private, for-profit detention facilities $320/day to 
detain noncitizens, but only pays shelters $25 for a single bed. The 
commenter wrote that they had been asking the Government for more than 
two years to provide more funding to shelters and increase cooperation 
with NGOs, to no avail.
    Response: The Departments acknowledge commenters' concerns about 
funds dedicated for NGOs and shelter networks as they work to respond 
to migratory flows and note that one expected effect of this rule is to 
disincentivize irregular migration, which may in turn result in reduced 
demand for certain NGO and shelter services. With respect to grant 
funding generally, as noted in the NPRM, the Federal Emergency 
Management Agency (``FEMA'') spent $260 million in FYs 2021 and 2022 on 
grants to non-governmental and state and local entities through the 
Emergency Food and Shelter Program--Humanitarian (``EFSP-H'') to assist 
migrants arriving at the SWB with shelter and transportation. See 88 FR 
at 11714. In November 2022, FEMA released $75 million through the 
program, consistent with the Continuing Appropriations and Ukraine 
Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2023.\60\ In addition, the Bipartisan 
Year-End Omnibus, which was enacted on December 29, 2022, directed CBP 
to transfer $800 million in funding to FEMA to support sheltering and 
related activities for noncitizens encountered by DHS. The Omnibus 
authorized FEMA to utilize this funding to establish a new Shelter and 
Services Program and to use a portion of the funding for the existing 
EFSP-H, until the Shelter and Services Program is established.\61\ On 
February 28, 2023, DHS announced a $350 million funding opportunity for 
EFSP-H.\62\ This is the first major portion of funding that is being 
allocated for humanitarian assistance under the Omnibus funding

[[Page 31329]]

approved in December.\63\ For the new Shelter and Services Program, 
FEMA and CBP have held several public listening sessions and are 
developing plans to release a Notice of Funding Opportunity prior to 
September 2023 for the second major portion of funding allocated by 
Omnibus to assist migrants encountered by DHS.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \60\ Public Law 117-180, Division A, Sec. 101(6), Continuing 
Appropriations Act, 2023.
    \61\ Public Law 117-328, Division F, Title II, Security 
Enforcement, and Investigations, U.S. Customs and Border Protection, 
Operations and Support.
    \62\ See DHS, Press Release, The Department of Homeland Security 
Awards $350 Million for Humanitarian Assistance Through the 
Emergency Food and Shelter Program (Feb. 28, 2023), <a href="https://www.dhs.gov/news/2023/02/28/department-homeland-security-awards-350-million-humanitarian-assistance-through">https://www.dhs.gov/news/2023/02/28/department-homeland-security-awards-350-million-humanitarian-assistance-through</a>; DHS Grant Opportunity DHS-
23-DAD-024-00-03, Fiscal Year 2023 Emergency Food and Shelter 
National Board Program--Humanitarian (EFSP) ($350M) (Feb. 28, 2023), 
<a href="https://www.grants.gov/web/grants/view-opportunity.html?oppId=346460">https://www.grants.gov/web/grants/view-opportunity.html?oppId=346460</a>.
    \63\ DHS, Press Release, The Department of Homeland Security 
Awards $350 Million for Humanitarian Assistance Through the 
Emergency Food and Shelter Program (Feb. 28, 2023), <a href="https://www.dhs.gov/news/2023/02/28/department-homeland-security-awards-350-million-humanitarian-assistance-through">https://www.dhs.gov/news/2023/02/28/department-homeland-security-awards-350-million-humanitarian-assistance-through</a>.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The Departments emphasize that the reference to an ``outer limit'' 
in the NPRM was a prediction that the expected increase in migration at 
the border following the end of the Title 42 public health Order, 
without any other policy changes, could exceed the capacity of the 
Department of State, local governments, and NGOs to provide assistance 
to migrants. 88 FR at 11715. While commenters are correct that the $800 
million in funding approved in the recent Omnibus is still being 
distributed and allocated, the Departments disagree that this ongoing 
funding conflicts with the statement in the NPRM. In other words, 
funding allocated to date, and funding slated for further allocation 
under the Omnibus funding approved in December, is insufficient to 
address the impending further surge of migration expected after the 
termination of the Title 42 public health Order.
    Comment: Multiple commenters stated their opposition to 
``deterrence-oriented'' rules. At least one commenter stated the NPRM 
makes clear the Administration wants to make the asylum system 
``cumbersome and difficult to navigate'' to deter potential asylum 
seekers from coming to the United States, stating Vice President 
Harris' comment of ``do not come'' in 2021 was a message that those 
fleeing danger should not seek protection in the United States. Another 
commenter stated the proposed rule would not be an effective deterrent 
because of its similarity to the Migrant Protection Protocols (``MPP'') 
and the Title 42 public health Order in the past, which the commenter 
claimed ``outsourced and exacerbated the situation'' by leaving 
thousands of individuals in dangerous conditions in Mexican border 
cities waiting to see if, or when, they will get into the United 
States. Another commenter stated the rule does not serve as a 
deterrent, as evidenced by the growing numbers of asylum seekers at the 
border.
    Some commenters disagreed that the rule would reduce arrivals at 
the SWB. Commenters disagreed with the premise underlying the proposed 
rule--that the rebuttable presumption would disincentivize migrants 
from entering the United States except through a lawful and orderly 
pathway and lead to a reduction in encounters at the SWB. Another 
commenter argued that the rule is providing an opportunity to smuggling 
organizations and also providing an additional tool for extortion for 
noncitizens seeking to enter the United States. Another commenter 
stated that there is no evidence that the NPRM will deter asylum 
seekers from crossing the border and suggested that arrivals at the 
border would increase due to suppression of entries at POEs.
    Response: The Departments disagree that the rule generally seeks to 
discourage asylum seekers from coming to the United States. Rather, the 
rule seeks to strike a balance: It is intended to reduce the level of 
irregular migration to the United States, but also to preserve 
sufficient avenues for migrants with valid claims to apply for asylum 
or other protection, either in the United States or in third countries 
through which they travel. This rule is also intended to disincentivize 
the use of smugglers. To those ends, the rule encourages those with 
meritorious claims to either apply for asylum or other protection in 
the first safe country they reach or pursue available lawful pathways 
to the United States as set forth in the rule.
    The Departments also disagree with the comparison some commenters 
made between this rule and certain past policies, including MPP and 
application of the Title 42 public health Order. The rule's operation 
as a rebuttable presumption, and the rule's operation in conjunction 
with multiple available lawful pathways, are two of the multiple ways 
in which this rule differs from certain past policies, including MPP or 
expulsions under the Title 42 public health Order. As it relates to MPP 
in particular, the purpose and effect of this rule is not to return 
noncitizens to Mexico pending their removal proceedings. See INA 
235(b)(2)(C), 8 U.S.C. 1225(b)(2)(C). Instead, it is to incentivize 
migrants, including those intending to seek asylum, to use lawful, 
safe, and orderly pathways to enter the United States, or seek asylum 
or other protection in another country through which they travel. 
Although some migrants may wait for some period of time in Mexico 
before obtaining a CBP One app appointment and before attending that 
appointment, the purpose and duration of such a stay would be different 
than under MPP. Absent this rule, DHS anticipates that its ability to 
process noncitizens at POEs, as well as continue to facilitate regular 
travel and trade, would be adversely impacted by the shifting of 
resources and personnel from POEs to help process individuals 
encountered between POEs.
    The Departments disagree with commenters' claim that this rule will 
not reduce entries and that it will incentivize irregular migration. 
The Departments have shown that an increase in the availability of 
lawful pathways, paired with immediate consequences for irregular 
migration, can incentivize the use of lawful pathways and thus reduce 
irregular migration. See 88 FR at 11705-06. Furthermore, the 
Departments disagree with commenters' assertion that the rule will push 
individuals away from POEs to cross between POEs. The rule incentivizes 
noncitizens who might otherwise attempt to enter without inspection 
between POEs to take advantage of expanded lawful pathways. The 
availability of lawful pathways, such as the ability to schedule an 
appointment through the CBP One app and the DHS-approved parole 
processes, and the rule's operation as a rebuttable presumption are two 
of the multiple ways in which this rule differs from certain efforts of 
the past Administration.
    Comment: Commenters raised concerns with Departmental data cited in 
the NPRM. For example, commenters referred to two of the Departments' 
statements in the NPRM: (1) that 83 percent of the people who were 
subject to expedited removal and claimed to have a credible fear of 
persecution or torture from 2014 to 2019 were referred to an IJ for 
section 240 proceedings, but only 15 percent of those cases that were 
completed were granted asylum or some other form of protection, see 88 
FR at 11716; and (2) while only 15 percent of all case completions 
result in relief or protection, OIS estimates that 28 percent of cases 
decided on their merits are grants of relief, 88 FR at 11716 n.97. 
Commenters stated that the 15 percent figure is misleading, because it 
is based on the total percentage of completed removal cases, and not 
the total percentage of cases decided on the merits of the asylum 
claim. Commenters claim that this method artificially deflates the 
asylum grant rate and creates the false impression that many asylum 
seekers were ineligible for asylum even where there was no decision on 
their asylum claim. Commenters also stated that the 28 percent figure 
itself was too low because, as described by the Departments, this 
figure excludes

[[Page 31330]]

withholding of removal, deferral of removal, cancellation of removal, 
and claimed status reviews.
    Commenters also claimed that asylum policies of the previous 
Administration artificially deflated asylum grant rates. Other 
commenters stated that it is logical that the percentage of cases 
passing the credible fear interview stage is far higher than the cases 
that eventually qualify for asylum, given that the credible fear 
process is supposed to have a low bar for passage. Another commenter 
stated that, by the Departments' logic, no asylum applicant should be 
entitled to an initial credible fear determination and full asylum 
merits hearing because their claims will probably be denied given the 
low approval rating of asylum.
    Response: The Departments cited relevant Departmental statistics--
which date back to 2014, prior to the implementation of any policies of 
the prior Administration--to demonstrate the general point that there 
is a significant disparity between positive credible fear 
determinations and ultimate relief in section 240 removal proceedings. 
See 88 FR at 11716. Whether one uses the 15-percent figure or the 28-
percent figure, ultimately, the number of individuals who are referred 
to an IJ at the beginning of the expedited removal process greatly 
exceeds the number who are granted asylum or some other form of relief 
or protection.
    Comment: A commenter stated that numerous factors beyond merit 
impact whether an asylum seeker's case is ultimately granted (e.g., 
access to counsel, availability of experts, changing regulations and 
procedures, and backlogs that affect the availability of evidence). 
Another commenter noted that many who seek asylum in the United States 
ultimately lose their cases not due to a lack of merit but instead 
because of ``our convoluted and dysfunctional'' immigration system, 
which the commenter claimed is difficult for asylum seekers to navigate 
and results in denial of many asylum claims on bases unrelated to the 
merits of the claim. One commenter asserted that modifying the legal 
requirements for asylum will not stop migrants from fleeing armed 
conflict, poverty or other dangers, because many are unaware of their 
right to apply for asylum. Another commenter stated that the number of 
migrants arriving is irrelevant to the merits of their asylum claims; 
the commenter also argued that the rule would screen out asylum seekers 
regardless of the merit of their case.
    Response: The Departments acknowledge commenters' concerns that 
factors unrelated to the merits of the claim, such as access to counsel 
and unfamiliarity with the asylum process, could affect the ultimate 
determination of an asylum claim, but disagree that these potential 
issues are exacerbated by the rule. As discussed in more detail later 
in Section IV.B.5 of this preamble, this rule does not deprive 
noncitizens of access to counsel during credible fear proceedings. 
Additionally, all AOs are trained to conduct interviews in a non-
adversarial manner and elicit relevant testimony from noncitizens. 
Specific training for implementation of this rule will include training 
on eliciting testimony related to whether a noncitizen can establish an 
exception or rebut the presumption of asylum ineligibility; therefore, 
noncitizens are not required to be familiar with the rule to remain 
eligible for asylum. The Departments emphasize that in all credible 
fear determinations, a noncitizen's credible testimony may be 
sufficient to overcome or establish an exception to the presumption 
against asylum ineligibility in this rule. INA 208(b)(1)(B)(ii), 8 
U.S.C. 1158(b)(1)(B)(ii). As discussed later in Section IV.D.1.iii of 
this preamble, the Departments note that the overall standard of proof 
for rebutting or establishing an exception to the presumption of asylum 
ineligibility during credible fear proceedings remains the 
``significant possibility'' standard; that standard must be applied in 
conjunction with the standard of proof required for the ultimate 
determination (i.e., preponderance of the evidence that an exception 
applies or that the presumption has been rebutted).
    As discussed throughout the NPRM, the lawful pathways condition, 
and the related modification of the withholding and CAT screening 
standard applied to noncitizens subject to the condition, would improve 
overall asylum processing efficiency by increasing the speed with which 
asylum claims are considered. See 88 FR at 11737. By encouraging 
noncitizens seeking to travel to the United States, including those 
seeking asylum, to pursue lawful pathways and processes, the rule 
promotes orderly processing and reduces the number of individuals who 
would be placed in lengthy section 240 removal proceedings and released 
into the United States pending such proceedings. Id. at 11736. 
Moreover, by reducing the number of noncitizens permitted to remain in 
the United States despite failing to avail themselves of a safe and 
lawful pathway to seek protection, the rule reduces incentives for 
noncitizens to cross the SWB, thus reducing the anticipated further 
surge that is expected to strain DHS resources. The Departments 
reiterate that the rule is not being promulgated to generally prevent 
noncitizens from seeking asylum in the United States but to strike a 
balance--reducing the level of irregular migration to the United States 
while providing sufficient avenues for migrants with valid claims to 
apply for asylum or other protection. The rule is needed because, 
absent this rule, after the termination of the Title 42 public health 
Order, the number of migrants expected to travel without authorization 
to the United States is expected to increase significantly, to a level 
that risks undermining the Departments' ability to safely, effectively, 
and humanely enforce and administer U.S. immigration law, including the 
asylum system.
    Comment: One commenter asserted that the real purpose of the rule 
is to incentivize an increasing number of migrants to use the CBP One 
app to make fraudulent asylum claims. The same commenter also stated 
``that the proposed rule and the CBP One app will incentivize increased 
rates of illegal immigration into the United States.'' The commenter 
further stated that because there is insufficient capacity to process 
all of the asylum claims of those using the CBP One app, the rule will 
simply increase the number of individuals who are paroled into the 
United States, incentivizing further illegal immigration. Another 
commenter argued that current migration levels result from the current 
Administration's actions to ``weaken border security, promote the 
influx of illegal immigration, and to remove integrity from the 
administration of both the legal immigration process (including asylum 
and credible fear measures) and overall enforcement of the laws.'' 
Similarly, another commenter stated that the root cause of this crisis 
was ``the Administration's reckless open borders policies.''
    Response: While the Departments acknowledge the commenters' 
concerns about increased rates of unauthorized immigration into the 
United States, the Departments disagree that the rule and use of the 
CBP One app will incentivize noncitizens to enter the United States to 
make fraudulent asylum claims. If anything, by adding a rebuttable 
presumption of ineligibility, this rule creates a strong disincentive 
for irregular migration relative to the status quo. The Departments 
note that no commenter submitted data suggesting that the rule will 
result in an increase in fraud or misrepresentation. As explained in 
Section IV.B.5.iii of this

[[Page 31331]]

preamble, the Departments are confident that AOs have the training, 
skills, and experience needed to assess credibility and appropriately 
determine whether a noncitizen has met an exception to or rebutted the 
presumption of ineligibility for asylum codified in the rule. Regarding 
commenters' concerns that use of the CBP One app will increase the 
number of individuals who are paroled into the United States and thus 
incentivize irregular migration, the Departments note that the rule 
does not provide for, prohibit, or otherwise set any policy regarding 
DHS's discretionary authority to make parole determinations for those 
who use the CBP One app. Even so, as outlined in the NPRM and later in 
Section IV.E.3.ii of this preamble, the expanded use of the CBP One app 
is expected to create efficiencies that will enable CBP to safely and 
humanely expand its ability to process noncitizens at POEs, including 
those who may be seeking asylum. See 88 FR at 11719. Notably, the rule, 
coupled with an expansion of lawful, safe, and orderly pathways, is 
expected to reduce the number of noncitizens seeking to cross the SWB 
without authorization to enter the United States. Additionally, the 
United States is undertaking a range of efforts to address irregular 
migration, including, for instance, working with partner countries to 
address the causes of migration, significantly increasing the 
availability of H-2 temporary worker visas and refugee processing in 
the Western Hemisphere, successfully implementing the CHNV parole 
processes, and addressing the pernicious role of human smugglers. See 
88 FR at 11718-21.
    The Departments strongly disagree with commenters who assert that 
the current migration levels are a result of any action by the 
Departments to ``weaken'' security at the border. Rather, as noted in 
the NPRM, economic and political instability around the world is 
fueling the highest levels of migration since World War II, including 
in the Western Hemisphere. See 88 FR 11704. Additionally, even while 
the Title 42 public health Order has been in place, the total number of 
encounters at the SWB reached an all-time high in FY 2022, and they 
remain at historically high levels even as encounters of CHNV nationals 
have fallen in recent months.\64\ See id. at 11704-05. During this 
time, the United States has been working to build on a multi-pronged, 
long-term strategy with countries throughout the region to support 
conditions that would decrease irregular migration while continuing 
efforts to increase immigration enforcement capacity and streamline 
processing of asylum seekers and other migrants. See 88 FR at 11720-23. 
This rule ensures that the United States meets its obligations under 
both U.S. and international law while ensuring that vulnerable 
populations are able to seek asylum or other protection through lawful, 
safe, and orderly pathways.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \64\ OIS analysis of OIS Persist Dataset based on data through 
March 31, 2023; OIS analysis of historic USBP data.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Comment: Commenters stated that the rule is unnecessary because the 
goals of discouraging migrants from seeking asylum and swiftly removing 
migrants are invalid. These commenters further stated that immigration 
is good; there is no need to quickly remove asylum seekers, regardless 
of backlogs; and that overwhelmed immigration facilities are problems 
created by the Government that would be solved by welcoming migrants 
rather than treating them as a problem or as dangerous. A few 
commenters critiqued the need for the rule, writing that the proposed 
rule is unnecessary and the Administration should take responsibility 
for actions that have created an overloaded immigration system. Other 
commenters questioned whether restrictive border measures and quickly 
removing individuals actually reduce migratory flows. At least one 
commenter did not understand how this rule was a ``good thing'' that 
would change immigration policy in the United States, which the 
commenter described as a ``disaster.'' A commenter stated that the 
proposed rule is not needed and instead recommended implementing 
practical and humane solutions, including funding and coordinating with 
civil society organizations on the border and throughout the country. 
Another commenter stated that she lives within 100 miles of the border 
and does not feel threatened by the influx of migrants to her 
community, and thus the rule is unnecessary.
    One commenter stated that the U.S. immigration system is not broken 
but the current laws need to be strictly enforced, while another 
commenter stated that DHS should be strengthened so it can address each 
case instead of lumping people into categories. At least one commenter 
stated that there is no reason why DHS cannot process applicants more 
quickly, noting that the United States received a significant number of 
migrants in the early 1900s with far less technology, so the government 
should be able to do so much more efficiently now with the 
sophisticated technology, medical equipment, fingerprinting, and other 
means available now. Another commenter stated that the rule would not 
fix backlogs in immigration court, while a number of commenters 
suggested that it would actually increase the backlogs.
    A commenter questioned the need for the rule because the 
Departments had not demonstrated that they had considered other 
options. Another commenter requested that the Departments expressly 
consider a range of factors, such as the U.S. economic outlook and the 
role of other external variables (such as climate change) in driving 
migration. The commenter suggested that such factors may influence 
migration patterns to such a degree that the rule is unnecessary or 
likely to be ineffective.
    Response: The Departments disagree that the rule is unnecessary. 
The Departments reiterate that the goal of the rule is not to generally 
discourage migrants with valid claims from applying for asylum or other 
protection, but rather to encourage the use of lawful, safe, and 
orderly pathways into the United States. The Departments agree that the 
United States' historical openness to immigration has enriched our 
culture, expanded economic opportunities, and enhanced our influence in 
the world. However, the U.S. immigration system has experienced extreme 
strain with a dramatic increase of noncitizens attempting to cross the 
SWB in between POEs without authorization, reaching an all-time high of 
2.2 million encounters in FY 2022.\65\ The Departments believe that 
without a meaningful policy change, border encounters could 
dramatically rise to as high as 11,000 per day after the Title 42 
public health Order is lifted.\66\ As described in the NPRM, DHS does 
not currently have the resources to manage and sustain the processing 
of migratory flows of this scale in a safe and orderly manner, even 
with the assistance of modern technology. See 88 FR at 11712-13. In 
response to this urgent situation, the rule will establish a rebuttable 
presumption of asylum ineligibility for certain noncitizens who fail to 
take advantage of the existing and expanded lawful pathways to enter 
the United States, including the opportunity to schedule a time and 
place to present at a SWB POE, where they may seek asylum or other 
forms of protection, in a lawful, safe, and orderly manner, or to seek 
asylum or other protection in one of the countries through which they

[[Page 31332]]

travel on their way to the United States. See id at 11706. The 
Departments believe that this rule is necessary to address the 
anticipated surge in irregular migration.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \65\ OIS analysis of historic USBP data.
    \66\ OIS analysis of DHS SWB Encounter Planning Model generated 
April 18, 2023.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The Departments also believe the rule is necessary to improve the 
overall functioning and efficiency of the immigration system. See INA 
208(b)(2)(C) and (d)(5)(B), 8 U.S.C. 1158(b)(2)(C) and (d)(5)(B). 
Specifically, the rule would efficiently and fairly provide relief to 
noncitizens who are in the United States and are eligible for relief, 
while also efficiently denying relief and ultimately removing those 
noncitizens who are determined to be ineligible for asylum and do not 
qualify for statutory withholding of removal or protection under the 
regulations implementing the CAT. The Departments acknowledge that 
despite the protections preserved by the rule and the availability of 
lawful pathways, the rebuttable presumption adopted in the rule will 
result in the denial of some asylum claims that otherwise may have been 
granted, but the Departments believe that the rule will generally offer 
opportunities for those with valid claims to seek protection. Moreover, 
the Departments have determined that the benefits to the overall 
functioning of the system, including deterrence of dangerous irregular 
migration and smuggling, justify the rule. In sum, the rule permissibly 
pursues efficient asylum processing while preserving core protections, 
which is within the Departments' authority conferred by section 208 of 
the INA, 8 U.S.C. 1158.
    The Departments acknowledge commenters' support for enforcing 
existing immigration laws. However, the Departments do not believe that 
current laws and regulations are sufficient to address the current 
levels of migratory flows and the anticipated increase in the number of 
migrants who will attempt to enter the United States following the 
lifting of the Title 42 public health Order. Likewise, a policy is 
necessary to ensure lawful, safe, and orderly processing of those 
migrants. Absent further action, POEs will be congested, migrants will 
be forced to wait in long lines for unknown periods of time, and once 
processed they will be released into local communities that are already 
at or near their capacity to absorb them. See 88 FR at 11715. By 
incentivizing noncitizens to use lawful pathways, this rule aims to 
encourage migrants to either pursue options that would allow them to 
avoid making the journey to the SWB, or to schedule in advance a time 
for arrival at a POE, which will alleviate additional strain on DHS 
resources. The Departments believe it would be inappropriate to elect 
inaction on the basis of conjecture regarding U.S. economic outlook and 
similar factors and the potential effects of such factors on the 
impending surge of irregular migration.
    In response to comments asserting that the Departments did not 
consider other options before promulgating this final rule, the 
Departments note that alternative approaches for managing the expected 
surge in migration were discussed in the NPRM and the Departments 
ultimately assessed, and continue to assess, that the rule is the best 
option for responding to the current situation at the border and the 
expected surge in migration after the lifting of the Title 42 public 
health Order. See 88 FR at 11730-32. Concerns regarding backlogs, 
government resources and funding are addressed in Sections IV.B.5.iv 
and IV.C.2 of this preamble.
    The Departments acknowledge commenters' suggestion that DHS 
``strengthen'' its resources to respond to the anticipated surge in 
migrants to the SWB. The Departments note that they have already 
deployed additional personnel, technology, infrastructure, and 
resources to the SWB and that continuing this ``strengthening'' of the 
SWB would require additional congressional actions, including 
significant additional appropriations, which are outside of the scope 
of this rulemaking.
i. Concerns Regarding the Sufficiency of the Lawful Pathways
    Comment: Commenters stated that in general, the available lawful 
pathways are insufficient to meet the significant demand for migration 
to the United States. Commenters stated that increasing legal pathways 
for some should not come at the expense of restricting access for 
asylum seekers seeking protection. Commenters stated that the existing 
lawful pathways are ``extremely narrow and unavailable to many 
people,'' and that it is fundamentally unjust to fault individuals for 
seeking safety and stability in the only way possible. Commenters 
stated that migrants who seek asylum in the United States rather than 
another country are doing so rationally and intentionally and they 
would seek asylum in a closer country if it was truly safe.
    Multiple commenters stated that H-2 temporary worker visas are 
insufficient substitutes for asylum. One commenter stated that the 
Administration is ``misguided'' in touting its efforts in the proposed 
rule to expand two of the most ``exploitative and troubled U.S. work 
visa programs--H-2A and H-2B'' because these programs are ``deeply 
flawed and in desperate need of reform.'' The same commenter stated 
that expanding temporary work visa programs like H-2B and H-2A makes 
little sense for those seeking asylum because they do not provide a 
permanent pathway to remain in the United States and would put migrants 
in danger by returning them to dangerous situations after the visa 
certification expires. Similarly, other commenters stated that the H-2 
programs do not provide or guarantee safety for migrants because they 
are not permanent or durable solutions and they do not allow for family 
unity in the United States.
    Response: The United States is both a nation of immigrants and a 
nation of laws. The Departments are charged with enforcing those laws 
and endeavor to do so humanely. The rule is needed because, absent this 
rule, after the termination of the Title 42 public health Order, the 
number of migrants expected to travel without authorization to the 
United States is expected to increase significantly, to a level that 
risks undermining the Departments' ability to safely, effectively, and 
humanely enforce and administer U.S. immigration law, including the 
asylum system. The rule, coupled with an expansion of lawful, safe, and 
orderly pathways, is expected to reduce the number of noncitizens 
seeking to cross the SWB without authorization to enter the United 
States.
    Though the Departments acknowledge that existing lawful pathways 
may not be available to every migrant, the Departments disagree with 
comments stating that the existing lawful pathways are extremely 
narrow. The United States Government has been working to significantly 
expand access to lawful pathways and processes for migrants since 
January 2021. In addition to the new processes DHS has implemented for 
CHNV nationals, which are discussed at length in the NPRM, DHS has been 
working with other Federal departments and agencies to increase access 
to labor pathways; restart, streamline, and expand family reunification 
parole programs; and significantly rebuild and expand refugee 
processing in the region. See 88 FR at 11718-23.\67\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \67\ See also DHS, New Actions to Manage Regional Migration 
(Apr. 27, 2023).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    For example, DHS has worked with the Department of State and the 
Department of Labor (``DOL'') to significantly expand access to the H-
2A and H-2B temporary agricultural and nonagricultural worker visas in 
order to

[[Page 31333]]

help address labor shortages and provide safe and orderly pathways for 
migrants seeking economic opportunity in the United States. On December 
15, 2022, DHS and DOL jointly published a temporary final rule 
increasing the total number of noncitizens who may receive an H-2B 
nonimmigrant visa by up to 64,716 for the entirety of FY 2023. See 
Exercise of Time-Limited Authority to Increase the Numerical Limitation 
for FY 2023 for the H-2B Temporary Nonagricultural Worker Program and 
Portability Flexibility for H-2B Workers Seeking to Change Employers, 
87 FR 76816 (Dec. 15, 2022). In particular, the number of H-2 visas 
issued to nationals of El Salvador, Honduras, and Guatemala has 
increased by 250 percent between FYs 2020 and 2022: in FY 2022, the 
Department of State issued 19,295 H-2 visas to those three countries, 
compared to just 5,439 in FY 2020.\68\ The Departments disagree that 
expanding use of these programs is misguided; although improvements are 
possible, these programs are established features of the immigration 
system and an appropriate mechanism to support lawful, safe, and 
orderly travel to the United States. Moreover, these programs represent 
two of several available lawful pathways, some of which provide 
protection that is not temporary and does allow for derivative 
protection for family members. For example, the United States 
Government has restarted the Central American Minors Refugee and Parole 
Program, which provides certain qualified children who are nationals of 
El Salvador, Guatemala, and Honduras, as well as certain family members 
of those children, an opportunity to apply for refugee status and 
possible resettlement in the United States.\69\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \68\ See Department of State, H-2 Visa Data for El Salvador, 
Guatemala, and Honduras, FY 2015-FY2023 Mid-Year (last reviewed Feb. 
24, 2023).
    \69\ See USCIS, Central American Minors (CAM) Refugee and Parole 
Program, <a href="https://www.uscis.gov/CAM">https://www.uscis.gov/CAM</a> (last visited Apr. 5, 2023).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The United States Government also provides durable solutions for 
humanitarian protection through the U.S. Refugee Admissions Program for 
qualifying applicants. In 2022, concurrent with the announcement of the 
L.A. Declaration, the United States announced that it intends to refer 
for resettlement at least 20,000 refugees from Latin America and the 
Caribbean in FY 2023 and FY 2024, which would put the United States on 
pace to more than triple refugee admissions from the Western Hemisphere 
this fiscal year alone.\70\ On April 27, 2023, DHS announced that it 
would commit to welcoming thousands of additional refugees per month 
from the Western Hemisphere--with the goal of doubling the number of 
refugees the United States committed to welcome as part of the L.A. 
Declaration.\71\ The United States Government also continues to work 
with our partners to expand access to refugee resettlement more broadly 
throughout the Western Hemisphere. For instance, Canada recently 
announced that it will take significant steps to expand safe and 
orderly pathways for migrants from the Western Hemisphere to enter 
Canada lawfully. Building on prior commitments, Canada will provide an 
additional 15,000 migrants from Latin America and the Caribbean with 
access to legal pathways to Canada; and enter into arrangements with 
the United States and like-minded countries to promote lawful labor 
mobility pathways.\72\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \70\ See The White House, Fact Sheet: The Los Angeles 
Declaration on Migration and Protection U.S. Government and Foreign 
Partner Deliverables (June 10, 2022) (``L.A. Declaration Fact 
Sheet''), <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/06/10/fact-sheet-the-los-angeles-declaration-on-migration-and-protection-u-s-government-and-foreign-partner-deliverables/">https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/06/10/fact-sheet-the-los-angeles-declaration-on-migration-and-protection-u-s-government-and-foreign-partner-deliverables/</a>.
    \71\ See DHS, New Actions to Manage Regional Migration (Apr. 27, 
2023).
    \72\ See DHS, Press Release, United States and Canada Announce 
Efforts to Expand Lawful Migration Processes and Reduce Irregular 
Migration (Mar. 24, 2023), <a href="https://www.dhs.gov/news/2023/03/24/united-states-and-canada-announce-efforts-expand-lawful-migration-processes-and">https://www.dhs.gov/news/2023/03/24/united-states-and-canada-announce-efforts-expand-lawful-migration-processes-and</a>.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Comments asserting insufficiencies associated with the CHNV parole 
processes and other lawful pathways identified in the rule are further 
addressed in Section IV.3 of this preamble.
    The rule will not impact those who use these lawful pathways that 
the United States is offering for migrants to obtain entry into the 
United States. Additionally, the rule will not apply to noncitizens who 
enter the United States with documents sufficient for admission. 
Instead, the rule is meant to promote the use of these lawful pathways 
and disincentivize irregular migration.
ii. Similarity to Actions of Past Administration
    Comment: Many commenters stated that the proposed rule is 
functionally indistinguishable from prior asylum-related rules that 
were issued by the prior Administration, particularly the TCT Bar IFR 
and Final Rule, which have been enjoined, or would cause similar harm 
to asylum seekers. At least one commenter criticized that the addition 
of the ``rebuttable presumption'' in this rule is not enough to 
distinguish it from previous rules. For example, commenters described 
the rule as ``resurrect[ing] Trump-era categorical bans on groups of 
asylum seekers.'' Similarly, some commenters stated that this rule is 
similar to the ``asylum bans'' the past Administration attempted to 
advance. Another commenter asserted that this rule operates similarly 
to rules from the prior Administration because it would operate as a 
ban for asylum seekers based on factors that do not relate to their 
fear of return and would result in asylum denials for all who are 
unable to establish that they qualify for exceptions the commenter 
characterized as extremely limited. A commenter claimed that while the 
Departments repeatedly assert throughout the NPRM that the rebuttable 
presumption is distinguishable from the TCT Bar, the opportunity to 
rebut the presumption would occur only under the most extreme scenarios 
and in excess of what would ordinarily be sufficient to claim asylum. 
Another commenter predicted that the proposed rule would revive 
attempts to ``rig the credible fear process.'' While comparing the 
rebuttable presumption standards to the non-refoulement screening 
standard used under MPP, the commenter argued that the proposed rule 
would impose a ``more likely than not'' screening standard that far 
exceeds the standard for an asylum grant. The commenter further stated 
that the ``deficient'' non-refoulement screenings carried out during 
MPP foreshadow the dangers asylum seekers would face under the proposed 
rule if finalized.
    In comparing this rule to those issued by the prior Administration, 
commenters stated that the previous rules led to asylum denials, 
prolonged detention for many with bona fide claims, and family 
separations. At least one commenter stated that a recent congressional 
investigation found that not one person sent to Guatemala under the 
prior Administration's Asylum Cooperative Agreements received asylum; 
instead, migrants were forced to return to their originating country. A 
commenter also stated that the rule attempts to differentiate itself 
from prior policies via exceptions and alternative pathways to asylum 
but that the exceptions are insufficient because they would fail to 
protect the most vulnerable. Several commenters stated that asylum bans 
have been proven to be ineffective at deterring noncitizens from 
seeking safety. One commenter stated that calling the rule a 
``rebuttable presumption'' was merely a semantic difference from prior 
asylum bans, which had narrow exceptions.
    Response: The Departments acknowledge these commenters'

[[Page 31334]]

concerns but disagree that the final rule is indistinguishable from 
asylum-related rulemakings and policies issued by the prior 
Administration. The TCT Bar IFR and Final Rule and the Proclamation Bar 
IFR, for instance, categorically barred covered individuals from 
certain types of relief. While the TCT Bar Final Rule only allowed 
limited exceptions to its eligibility bar, including for trafficking 
victims and other grounds, this rule includes a number of broader 
exceptions and means for rebutting the presumption. A noncitizen can 
rebut the presumption by, for example, demonstrating exceptionally 
compelling circumstances by a preponderance of the evidence during a 
full merits hearing. See 8 CFR 208.33(a)(3); 8 CFR 1208.33(a)(3). A 
noncitizen can rebut the presumption if they establish that they or a 
member of their family with whom the noncitizen is traveling meet any 
of the three per se grounds for rebuttal, which provide that, at the 
time of entry: (1) they faced an acute medical emergency; (2) they 
faced an imminent and extreme threat to their life or safety; or (3) 
they were a ``victim of a severe form of trafficking in persons'' as 
defined in 8 CFR 214.11. In addition to the per se grounds for 
rebuttal, a noncitizen could also rebut the presumption in other 
exceptionally compelling circumstances. One exceptionally compelling 
circumstance recognized by the rule is included specifically to avoid 
family separations. See 8 CFR 1208.33(c). Protecting against family 
separation is one example of how this rule includes appropriate 
safeguards for vulnerable populations. Depending on individual 
circumstances, AOs and IJs may find that certain especially vulnerable 
individuals meet the exceptionally compelling circumstances standard.
    The Departments acknowledge concerns about opportunities to rebut 
the presumption but disagree that the rule would impose a higher 
standard for rebutting the presumption than the standard to establish 
asylum eligibility. The ``significant possibility'' standard is the 
overall assessment applied during credible fear screenings; that 
standard must be applied in conjunction with the standard of proof 
required for the ultimate determination (i.e., preponderance of the 
evidence that the presumption has been rebutted or an exception 
established). As discussed below in Section IV.E.1 of this preamble, a 
noncitizen can satisfy their burden of proof through credible testimony 
alone; the rule does not require any particular evidence to rebut or 
establish an exception to the presumption under 8 CFR 208.33(a)(3), 
1208.33(a)(3). See INA 208(b)(1)(B)(ii), 8 U.S.C. 1158(b)(1)(B)(ii); 
INA 235(b)(1)(B)(v), 8 U.S.C. 1225(b)(1)(B)(v). Accordingly, the 
Departments believe that the means of rebutting or establishing an 
exception to the presumption are not unduly burdensome.
    The Departments have considered the approaches taken in multiple 
rulemaking efforts of the last few years and now believe that the more 
tailored, time-limited approach in this final rule is better suited to 
address the increased migrant flows into the United States expected 
after the Title 42 public health Order terminates. See 88 FR at 11728. 
This rule encourages use of lawful, safe, and orderly pathways to enter 
the United States and, unlike those prior rulemakings, retains a 
noncitizen's ability to be found eligible for asylum should they enter 
through an enumerated lawful pathway or otherwise overcome the 
condition imposed by this rule. The Departments believe that the rule's 
more balanced approach renders the TCT Bar Final Rule and the 
Proclamation Bar IFR unnecessary, and that those rules conflict with 
the approach taken in this rule.\73\ As proposed in the NPRM and 
discussed at Sections IV.E.9 and IV.E.10 of this preamble, the 
Departments have decided to remove those prior rules from the CFR. See 
88 FR at 11728.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \73\ Both the TCT Bar Final Rule and the Proclamation Bar IFR 
are discussed further in Sections IV.E.9 and IV.E.10 of this 
preamble.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The Departments disagree with some commenters that this final rule 
will cause harms similar to those attributed to the TCT Bar Final Rule 
and the Proclamation Bar IFR, which commenters allege include asylum 
denials, prolonged detention, and family separation. This rule's scope 
and effect are significantly different from the TCT Bar Final Rule. 
Unlike the TCT Bar Final Rule, the presumption would not completely bar 
asylum eligibility based on the availability of protection in a third 
country. First, while this rule takes into account whether individuals 
sought asylum or other forms of protection in third countries while 
traveling to the United States, the rule would not require that all 
noncitizens make such an application to be eligible for asylum, unlike 
the TCT Bar Final Rule. For example, if the noncitizen received 
authorization to travel to the United States to seek parole or 
scheduled an appointment through the CBP One app to present themselves 
at a POE, then the condition on asylum eligibility would not apply to 
that noncitizen regardless of whether the noncitizen sought protection 
in a third country. Second, while the TCT Bar Final Rule only allowed 
limited exceptions to its eligibility bar, including for trafficking 
victims and other grounds, this rule includes a number of exceptions 
and means for rebutting the presumption, including an exception for 
trafficking victims. This rule encourages noncitizens to use orderly, 
lawful pathways to enter the United States, and it will only become 
relevant whether the noncitizens applied for protection in a third 
country through which they traveled in cases in which noncitizens do 
not avail themselves of one of the pathways.
    The Departments acknowledge commenters' concerns with the 
effectiveness of Safe Third Country Agreements (``STCA'') or asylum 
cooperative agreements. The Departments acknowledge that negotiating 
such agreements is a lengthy and complicated process that depends on 
the agreement of other nations. See 88 FR at 11732. The Departments 
note that the only such agreement in effect is the Canada-U.S. STCA. 
See generally Implementation of the 2022 Additional Protocol to the 
2002 U.S.-Canada Agreement for Cooperation in the Examination of 
Refugee Status Claims from Nationals of Third Countries, 88 FR 18227 
(Mar. 28, 2023). The rule does not implement or change the framework 
for negotiating STCAs, which involves extensive diplomatic 
negotiations. As discussed more in Section IV.E.3.iv of this preamble, 
the safe-third-country provision in section 208(a)(2)(A) of the INA, 8 
U.S.C. 1158(a)(2)(A), indicates that a noncitizen may be removed, 
pursuant to ``a safe-third-country agreement,'' and the noncitizen may 
not apply for asylum ``unless the Attorney General finds that it is in 
the public interest for the alien to receive asylum in the United 
States.'' This rule operates differently. Under this rule, noncitizens 
may apply for asylum and other protection in the United States. While 
the rule would create a rebuttable presumption, it specifies 
circumstances in which that presumption is necessarily rebutted as well 
as other exceptions. By encouraging noncitizens seeking to travel to 
the United States, including those intending to seek asylum, to use 
lawful pathways and processes, the Departments expect the rule to 
promote orderly processing, reduce the anticipated surge that is 
expected to strain DHS resources, reduce the number of individuals who 
would be placed in lengthy removal proceedings pursuant to section 240 
of

[[Page 31335]]

the INA and released into the United States pending such proceedings, 
allow for the expeditious removal of noncitizens who failed to avail 
themselves of a safe and lawful pathway to seek protection, and reduce 
incentives for noncitizens to cross the border using dangerous 
smuggling networks. See 88 FR at 11736. Regarding comments about the 
ineffectiveness of the rule to deter migrants from seeking safety, the 
rule does not discourage migrants with valid claims from applying for 
asylum or other protection. The rule encourages those with meritorious 
claims to either apply for asylum or other protection in the first safe 
country they find or pursue available lawful pathways, such as the U4U 
and CHNV parole processes--which early data indicate are deterring 
irregular migration from those countries, see 88 FR at 11706--or 
presenting at a POE at a pre-scheduled time and place.
    Comment: Some commenters noted the rise in recidivist encounters 
following the end of the prior Administration despite many efforts to 
restrict asylum access and stated that removals under this rule would 
increase rates of recidivism.
    Response: The Departments disagree that removals under this rule 
will increase the rate of recidivism. The Departments note that a range 
of external considerations (such as the COVID-19 pandemic, litigation 
resulting in injunctions or vacatur of those rules prior to or during 
initial stages of their implementation,\74\ and differences in the 
operation of the Title 42 public health Order and this rule) prevent 
the Departments from drawing any firm conclusions applicable to this 
rulemaking based solely on recidivism numbers following the end of the 
prior Administration. The application of the Title 42 public health 
Order at the border has had unpredictable impacts on migration. Because 
Title 42 expulsions have no consequence, aside from the expulsion 
itself, DHS has seen a substantial increase in recidivism for 
individuals processed under Title 42 as compared to those processed 
under Title 8 authorities. In March 2023, for example, 26 percent of 
encounters at the SWB involved individuals who had at least one prior 
encounter during the previous 12 months, compared to an average 1-year 
re-encounter rate of 14 percent for FYs 2014-2019.\75\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \74\ Federal courts have either vacated or enjoined the 
Departments from implementing the TCT Bar IFR and Final Rule, 
Procedures for Asylum and Bars to Asylum Eligibility, 85 FR 67202 
(Oct. 21, 2020) (``Criminal Asylum Bars Rule''), and Procedures for 
Asylum and Withholding of Removal; Credible Fear and Reasonable Fear 
Review, 85 FR 80274 (December 11, 2020) (``Global Asylum Rule''). 
See, e.g., Capital Area Immigrants' Rights Coal. v. Trump, 471 F. 
Supp. 3d 25 (D.D.C. 2020) (vacating the TCT Bar IFR); E. Bay 
Sanctuary Covenant v. Garland, 994 F.3d 962 (9th Cir. 2020) (``East 
Bay I'') (affirming injunction of the TCT Bar IFR); E. Bay Sanctuary 
Covenant v. Barr, 519 F. Supp. 3d 663 (N.D. Cal. 2021) (``East Bay 
II'') (enjoining the TCT Bar Final Rule); Pangea Legal Servs. v. 
DHS, 501 F. Supp. 3d 792 (N.D. Cal. 2020) (enjoining the Criminal 
Asylum Bars Rule) (``Pangea I''); Pangea Legal Servs. v. U.S. Dep't 
of Homeland Sec., 512 F. Supp. 3d 966, 977 (N.D. Cal. 2021) 
(``Pangea II'') (preliminarily enjoined the Departments ``from 
implementing, enforcing, or applying the [Global Asylum Rule] . . . 
or any related policies or procedures.''); E. Bay Sanctuary Covenant 
v. Biden, 993 F.3d 640, 681 (9th Cir. 2021) (``East Bay III''); see 
O.A. v. Trump, 404 F. Supp. 3d 109 (D.D.C. 2019) (recounting the 
history of the litigation over the Proclamation Bar IFR and vacating 
it).
    \75\ Including CBP enforcement encounters at or between ports of 
entry. OIS Persist based on data through March 31, 2023.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Overall, since the start of the pandemic and the initiation of 
Title 42 expulsions, 39 percent of all Title 42 expulsions have been 
followed by a re-encounter of the same individual within 30 days versus 
a 9 percent 30-day re-encounter rate for Title 8 repatriations.\76\ 
Similarly, the 12-month re-encounter rates are 51 percent for Title 42 
expulsions versus 20 percent for Title 8 repatriations.\77\ While a 
portion of the overall gap between Title 42 and Title 8 re-encounter 
rates is likely explained by the fact that many Title 42 expulsions are 
to Mexico and almost all Title 8 repatriations are to individuals' 
countries of citizenship, it is notable that a large gap between Title 
42 and Title 8 re-encounter rates is also observed in the case of 
Mexican nationals, all of whom are repatriated to Mexico.\78\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \76\ Title 8 repatriation, as used here, refers to both removals 
(noncitizen required to depart based on a removal order) and returns 
(noncitizen required to depart leaves without a formal order of 
removal).
    \77\ OIS analysis of OIS Enforcement Lifecycle based on data 
through December 31, 2022.
    \78\ For Mexican nationals, since the start of the pandemic, the 
30-day re-encounter rates are 44 percent for Title 42 expulsions 
versus 15 percent for Title 8 repatriations, and the 12-month re-
encounter rates are 55 percent for Title 42 expulsions versus 26 
percent for Title 8 repatriations. OIS analysis of OIS Enforcement 
Lifecycle based on data through December 31, 2022.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    This gap is likely, in part, because a removal under Title 8 
carries with it at least a five-year bar to admission, among other 
legal consequences. As a result, it is the Departments' assessment that 
a return to Title 8 processing of all noncitizens will likely reduce 
recidivism at the border. Moreover, the Departments believe it would be 
unwarranted to conclude that, based on recidivist apprehensions while 
the Title 42 public health Order has been in place, conditions on 
asylum eligibility do not discourage attempts to enter the United 
States unlawfully. This rule, which will take effect upon the lifting 
of the Title 42 public health Order, anticipates that those who receive 
negative credible fear determinations will be removed upon issuance of 
final orders of removal and be subject to at least a five-year bar on 
admission in addition to having the rebuttable presumption apply to any 
subsequent asylum application the noncitizen may file in the future.
iii. Unnecessary Given the Asylum Processing IFR
    Comment: Some commenters questioned why this proposed rule is 
necessary given that the Asylum Processing IFR was adopted less than 
one year ago. See Procedures for Credible Fear Screening and 
Consideration of Asylum, Withholding of Removal, and CAT Protection 
Claims by Asylum Officers, 87 FR 18078 (Mar. 29, 2022) (``Asylum 
Processing IFR''). In referencing the Asylum Processing IFR, one 
commenter noted that this rule is an ``abrupt change in reasoning from 
less than a year ago,'' which, according to the commenter, indicates 
that the rule is ``political'' rather than based on reasoned decision 
making. Some commenters noted that in the Asylum Processing IFR, the 
Departments explained that applying the TCT Bar Final Rule at the 
credible fear stage as proposed by the past Administration was 
inefficient and consumed considerable resources so there is ``no basis 
to suddenly reverse course again.'' A commenter argued that the 
proposal would depart from conclusions DHS reached within the last year 
in the Asylum Processing IFR recommitting agencies to the statutory 
``significant possibility'' standard for asylum claims. One commenter 
asserted that while the proposed rule is premised on the idea that 
applying a higher ``reasonable possibility'' standard can weed out non-
meritorious asylum cases, the Departments recently acknowledged in the 
Asylum Processing IFR that the higher standard is not effective at 
screening out such claims. The same commenter expressed concern that 
the Government's ``abrupt about-face'' is not based on new data, but 
rather on the lack of evidence that the reasonable possibility standard 
is not effective in the context in which it is currently used. Another 
commenter similarly wrote that the application of the reasonable 
possibility standard at the credible fear screening stage represents a 
``stark reversal'' from DHS's position in the Asylum Processing IFR 
that asylum eligibility bars should not be applied at the initial 
screening stage and

[[Page 31336]]

that the ``significant possibility'' standard should be applied when 
screening for all protection claims (i.e., asylum, withholding of 
removal, and CAT protection). A commenter stated that the proposed rule 
introduces conflict with the Asylum Processing IFR and expressed 
concern that implementation of the new rule would be difficult for AOs. 
One commenter stated that the Departments should make greater use of 
the recent 2022 asylum merits interview process, which would provide a 
solution to the problems the Departments asserted in the NPRM.
    Response: The Departments recognize that under the Asylum 
Processing IFR issued in March 2022, certain noncitizens determined to 
have a credible fear are referred to an AO, in the first instance, for 
further review of the noncitizen's asylum application. See 87 FR at 
18078. For noncitizens subject to that IFR, following a positive 
credible fear determination, AOs conduct an initial asylum merits 
interview instead of referring the case directly for removal 
proceedings pursuant to section 240 of the INA. If USCIS does not grant 
asylum, the individual is referred to EOIR for streamlined removal 
proceedings pursuant to section 240. In issuing the Asylum Processing 
IFR, the Departments concluded that protection determinations during 
the expedited removal process could be made more efficient. See 87 FR 
at 18085. The purpose of the Asylum Processing IFR was to 
simultaneously increase the promptness, efficiency, and fairness of the 
process by which noncitizens who enter the United States without 
appropriate documentation are either removed or, if eligible, granted 
relief or protection. Id. at 18089. Additionally, the Asylum Processing 
IFR enables meritorious cases to be resolved more quickly, reducing the 
overall asylum system backlog, and using limited AO and IJ resources 
more efficiently. Id. at 18090. The entire process is designed to take 
substantially less time than the average of over four years it takes to 
adjudicate asylum claims otherwise. See 88 FR at 11716. This final rule 
builds upon this existing system while implementing changes, namely 
that AOs will apply the lawful pathways rebuttable presumption during 
credible fear screenings.
    The Departments disagree with commenters' suggestion that the 
proposed rule was political and not based on reasoned decisions. 
Rather, the rule's primary purpose is to incentivize migrants, 
including those intending to seek asylum, to use lawful, safe, and 
orderly pathways to enter the United States, or seek asylum or other 
protection in another country through which they travel. The rule 
establishes procedures for AOs and IJs to follow when determining 
whether the rebuttable presumption applies to a noncitizen and, if it 
does, whether the noncitizen has established any exceptions to or 
rebutted the presumption. See 8 CFR 208.33(b). In addition, for 
noncitizens found to be ineligible for asylum under 8 CFR 208.33, the 
rule establishes procedures for AOs to further consider a noncitizen's 
eligibility for statutory withholding of removal or protection under 
the regulations implementing the CAT. See 8 CFR 208.33(c)(2). 
Individuals subject to the lawful pathways condition will still be 
placed into removal proceedings under section 240 if they meet the 
``reasonable possibility'' of persecution or torture standard. One of 
the goals of the Asylum Processing IFR is to streamline the expedited 
removal process, and this rule is complementary to that goal, but is 
also necessary to incentivize lawful, safe, and orderly migratory 
flows. This rule does not foreclose processing noncitizens through the 
process established by the Asylum Processing IFR.
    The Departments acknowledge that the approach in this rule is 
different in certain respects from that articulated in the Asylum 
Processing IFR issued in March 2022. However, the Departments believe 
the current and impending situation on the ground along the SWB 
warrants departing in some respects from the approach generally applied 
in credible fear screenings. See 88 FR at 11742. The Asylum Processing 
IFR was designed for non-exigent circumstances. However, as noted in 
the NPRM, encounters of non-Mexican nationals at the SWB between POEs 
have reached a 10-year high of 1.5 million in FY 2022,\79\ driven by 
smuggling networks that enable and exploit this unprecedented movement 
of people. This heightened migratory flow has overburdened the current 
asylum system, resulting in a growing backlog of cases awaiting review 
by AOs and IJs. See 88 FR at 11705. The exigent circumstances giving 
rise to this rule arose after the Asylum Processing IFR was issued and 
require departing from the general approach in the Asylum Processing 
IFR in specific ways--i.e., applying the condition on eligibility 
during credible fear screenings, applying the ``reasonable 
possibility'' standards to individuals who cannot show a ``significant 
possibility'' of eligibility for asylum based on the presumption 
established in the rule, requiring an affirmative request for IJ review 
of a negative credible fear determination, and limiting requests for 
reconsideration after IJ review and instead providing for 
reconsideration based only on USCIS's discretion.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \79\ OIS analysis of OIS Persist Dataset based on data through 
March 31, 2023.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The Departments believe that the condition on eligibility and this 
rule's departures from the Asylum Processing IFR are reasonable and 
necessary for the reasons discussed in the NPRM. See 88 FR at 11744-47. 
The rule will help achieve many of the goals outlined in the Asylum 
Processing IFR, including improving efficiency; streamlining the 
adjudication of asylum, statutory withholding of removal, and CAT 
protection claims; and reducing the strain on the immigration courts by 
screening out and removing those with non-meritorious claims more 
quickly. See 87 FR 18078.
    The Departments note that the rule does not apply a higher 
``reasonable possibility'' standard to asylum claims; rather, the rule 
applies the statutory ``significant possibility'' standard to asylum 
claims, as explained elsewhere in this preamble. The rule only applies 
the ``reasonable possibility'' standard to statutory withholding and 
CAT claims, and only if a noncitizen is subject to and has not 
established an exception to or rebutted the presumption at the credible 
fear screening. Additionally, the Asylum Processing IFR did not 
conclude that the higher standard was ``not effective'' at screening 
out non-meritorious statutory withholding and CAT claims, but rather 
made a policy determination that the higher standard was inefficient 
given the circumstances of that particular rule. See 87 FR at 18092. 
The Departments reached a different policy conclusion after the Asylum 
Processing IFR was issued and believe that this rule is necessary to 
address the current and exigent circumstances described throughout the 
NPRM. See 88 FR at 11744-47.
    The Departments appreciate commenters' support for the asylum 
merits interview process, but the Departments reiterate the discussion 
from the NPRM that the asylum merits interview process should not be 
used for noncitizens subject to the presumption. See 88 FR at 11725-26. 
This is because each such proceeding, in which the noncitizen would 
only be eligible for forms of protection that the AO cannot grant 
(withholding of removal or CAT protection), would have to ultimately be 
adjudicated by an IJ. Further, the Departments note that the processes 
relating to management of those who have already established a credible 
fear

[[Page 31337]]

are different from the processes for migrants seeking entry into the 
United States who are making an initial claim of fear.
iv. Unnecessary Given Parole Processes
    Comment: Some commenters objected that although the Departments 
stated that they anticipate a surge in CHNV individuals claiming fear 
at the SWB after the termination of the Title 42 public health Order, 
the proposed rule also claims that the parole processes for these 
populations are working to limit irregular migration from these 
countries.
    Response: In an effort to address the significant increase in CHNV 
migrants at the SWB, the United States has taken significant steps to 
expand safe and orderly processes for migrants from these countries to 
lawfully come to the United States. Specifically, these processes 
provide a lawful and streamlined way for eligible CHNV nationals and 
their family members to apply to come to the United States without 
having to make the dangerous journey to the SWB.\80\ Individuals can 
request an advance authorization to travel to the United States to be 
considered on a case-by-case basis for a grant of temporary parole by 
CBP. Noting the success of the CHNV parole processes coupled with 
enforcement measures in limiting irregular migration of CHNV nationals, 
the Departments also recognize that there are a number of factors that 
could prevent the same level of success after the lifting of the Title 
42 public health Order absent additional policy changes. See 88 FR at 
11706. These factors include the presence of large CHNV populations 
already in Mexico and elsewhere in the hemisphere as a result of past 
migratory flows and the already large number of migrants from these 
countries in the proximity of the SWB after they were expelled to 
Mexico under the Title 42 public health Order. See id. In addition, as 
the Departments noted in the NPRM, the incentive structure created by 
the CHNV parole processes relies on the availability of an immediate 
consequence, such as the application of expedited removal under this 
rule, for those who do not have a valid protection claim or lawful 
basis to stay in the United States. See 88 FR at 11731. The parole 
processes thus work with this rule in a complementary manner to address 
the expected surge in migration after the Title 42 public health Order 
is lifted.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \80\ See DHS, Press Release, DHS Continues to Prepare for End of 
Title 42; Announces New Border Enforcement Measures and Additional 
Safe and Orderly Processes (Jan. 5, 2023), <a href="https://www.dhs.gov/news/2023/01/05/dhs-continues-prepare-end-title-42-announces-new-border-enforcement-measures-and">https://www.dhs.gov/news/2023/01/05/dhs-continues-prepare-end-title-42-announces-new-border-enforcement-measures-and</a>.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

v. Unnecessary Given Lack of Access to Asylum
    Comment: Some commenters stated that the rule would not succeed at 
meeting its goal of deterring irregular immigration since migrants are 
already aware, even without the rule, that there is a low chance of 
actually receiving asylum in the United States.
    Response: The Departments reiterate that the rule's primary goal is 
to incentivize migrants, including those intending to seek asylum, to 
use lawful, safe, and orderly pathways to enter the United States, or 
seek asylum or other protection in another country through which they 
travel. The rule is intended to reduce the level of irregular migration 
to the United States without discouraging migrants with valid claims 
from applying for asylum or other protection. Even assuming migrants 
are aware of the relative likelihood of success of their asylum claims, 
the Departments do not believe the low ultimate approval rate for 
asylum and other forms of protection, which has long been the status 
quo, has served as a strong disincentive against making protection 
claims given the comparatively high chance of receiving a positive 
credible fear determination (83 percent for FYs 2014-19, see 88 FR at 
11716) after which migrants are able to wait in the United States to 
present their claims, the multi-year backlog of immigration court 
cases,\81\ and the fact that many migrants who are denied asylum are 
not ultimately removed, see id. Additionally, many noncitizens who are 
encountered at the border and released pending their immigration 
proceedings will spend years in the United States, regardless of the 
outcome of their cases. See id. Indeed, most noncitizens who receive a 
positive credible fear determination will be able to live and work in 
the United States for the duration of their removal proceedings--which, 
on average, take almost 4 years.\82\ This reality provides a powerful 
incentive for noncitizens to make protection claims. Therefore, a low 
approval rate for asylum applications does not necessarily offer much 
disincentive against making protection claims.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \81\ See TRAC, Immigration Court Asylum Backlog through February 
2023, <a href="https://trac.syr.edu/phptools/immigration/asylumbl/">https://trac.syr.edu/phptools/immigration/asylumbl/</a> (last 
visited Mar. 14, 2023) (average 1,535 days from I-589 filing to 
merits hearing).
    \82\ OIS analysis of DOJ EOIR data based on data through March 
31, 2023.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

vi. Ineffective Without Changes to Withholding of Removal or CAT 
Adjudications
    Comment: Some commenters stated that if the process for applying 
for statutory withholding of removal or CAT protection stays the same, 
the rule would not be an effective deterrent for people who do not have 
a meritorious claim for asylum who are seeking to delay their removal 
from the United States. One commenter suggested that because those 
subject to the rule can seek protection through statutory withholding 
of removal and CAT, even with this rule in place, they will likely 
continue to arrive without using a lawful pathway. The commenter 
further stated that people fleeing unlivable conditions at home, the 
overwhelmingly majority of whom have no real knowledge of U.S. 
immigration law, are unlikely to carefully dissect the rule's subtle 
changes to eligibility standards. And as long as migrants know there is 
the possibility of protection in the United States--no matter whether 
through asylum or another form of relief--they will likely continue to 
make the dangerous trek to the border, where they will then cross.
    Response: The Departments note that the rule would implement 
changes to the existing credible fear screening process. Specifically, 
if noncitizens cannot make a sufficient showing that the lawful 
pathways condition on eligibility for asylum is inapplicable or that 
they are subject to an exception or rebuttal ground, then the AO will 
screen the noncitizen for statutory withholding of removal and 
protection under the CAT using the higher ``reasonable possibility'' 
standard. See 8 CFR 208.33(b)(2)(i). This ``reasonable possibility'' 
standard is a change from the practice currently applied for statutory 
withholding of removal and CAT protection in the credible fear process. 
As explained in the NPRM, the Departments have long applied--and 
continue to apply--the higher ``reasonable possibility'' of persecution 
or torture standard in reasonable-fear screenings because this standard 
better predicts the likelihood of succeeding on the ultimate statutory 
withholding of removal or CAT protection application than does the 
``significant possibility'' of establishing eligibility for the 
underlying protection standard, given the higher burden of proof for 
statutory withholding of removal and CAT protection. See 88 FR at 
11746-47. The Dep

[…truncated; see source link]
Indexed from Federal Register on May 16, 2023.

This is legal information, not legal advice. Laws vary by jurisdiction and change frequently. Always verify current law with official sources and consult a licensed attorney in your jurisdiction for advice on your specific situation.