Potential Federal Insurance Response to Catastrophic Cyber Incidents
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Abstract
Over the past several years, the Federal Insurance Office (FIO) in the U.S. Department of the Treasury (Treasury) has continued its ongoing efforts with regard to both cyber insurance and insurer cybersecurity. Cyber insurance is a significant risk-transfer mechanism, and the insurance industry has an important role to play in strengthening cyber hygiene and building resiliency. FIO has also increased its data collection in this area with regard to the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program (TRIP) and has supported the development of Treasury's counter-ransomware strategy. The Government Accountability Office (GAO) released a report in June 2022 recommending that FIO and the Department of Homeland Security's Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) conduct a joint assessment to determine "the extent to which risks to critical infrastructure from catastrophic cyber incidents and potential financial exposures warrant a federal insurance response." Both FIO and CISA have agreed to conduct the recommended assessment. FIO is also coordinating with the White House Office of the National Cyber Director on these issues. In order to inform FIO's future work and the joint assessment, FIO is seeking comments from the public on questions related to cyber insurance and catastrophic cyber incidents.
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<title>Federal Register, Volume 87 Issue 188 (Thursday, September 29, 2022)</title>
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[Federal Register Volume 87, Number 188 (Thursday, September 29, 2022)]
[Notices]
[Pages 59161-59163]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [<a href="http://www.gpo.gov">www.gpo.gov</a>]
[FR Doc No: 2022-21133]
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DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY
Potential Federal Insurance Response to Catastrophic Cyber
Incidents
AGENCY: Departmental Offices, U.S. Department of the Treasury.
ACTION: Request for comment.
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SUMMARY: Over the past several years, the Federal Insurance Office
(FIO) in the U.S. Department of the Treasury (Treasury) has continued
its ongoing efforts with regard to both cyber insurance and insurer
cybersecurity. Cyber insurance is a significant risk-transfer
mechanism, and the insurance industry has an important role to play in
strengthening cyber hygiene and building resiliency. FIO has also
increased its data collection in this area with regard to the Terrorism
Risk Insurance Program (TRIP) and has supported the development of
Treasury's counter-ransomware strategy. The Government Accountability
Office (GAO) released a report in June 2022 recommending that FIO and
the Department of Homeland Security's Cybersecurity and Infrastructure
Security Agency (CISA) conduct a joint assessment to determine ``the
extent to which risks to critical infrastructure from catastrophic
cyber incidents and potential financial exposures warrant a federal
insurance response.'' Both FIO and CISA have agreed to conduct the
recommended assessment. FIO is also coordinating with the White House
Office of the National Cyber Director on these issues.
In order to inform FIO's future work and the joint assessment, FIO
is seeking comments from the public on questions related to cyber
insurance and catastrophic cyber incidents.
DATES: Submit comments on or before. November 14, 2022.
ADDRESSES: Submit comments electronically through the Federal
eRulemaking Portal at <a href="http://www.regulations.gov">http://www.regulations.gov</a>, in accordance with
the instructions on that site, or by mail to the Federal Insurance
Office, Attn: Richard Ifft, Room 1410 MT, Department of the Treasury,
1500 Pennsylvania Avenue NW, Washington, DC 20220. Because postal mail
may be subject to processing delays, it is recommended that comments be
submitted electronically. If submitting comments by mail, please submit
an original version with two copies. Comments should be captioned with
``Potential Federal Insurance Response to Catastrophic Cyber
Incidents.'' In general, Treasury will post all comments to
<a href="http://www.regulations.gov">www.regulations.gov</a> without change, including any business or personal
information provided such as names, addresses, email addresses, or
telephone numbers. All comments, including attachments and other
supporting materials, are part of the public record and subject to
public disclosure. You should submit only information that you wish to
make available publicly. Where appropriate, a comment should include a
short Executive Summary (no more than five single-spaced pages).
Additional Instructions. Responses should also include: (1) the
data or rationale, including examples, supporting any opinions or
conclusions; and (2) any specific legislative, administrative, or
regulatory proposals for carrying out recommended approaches or
options.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Richard Ifft, Senior Insurance
Regulatory Policy Analyst, Federal Insurance Office, (202) 622-2922,
<a href="/cdn-cgi/l/email-protection#f9ab909a91988b9dd7b09f9f8db98d8b9c988a8c8b80d79e968f"><span class="__cf_email__" data-cfemail="5b093238333a293f75123d3d2f1b2f293e3a282e2922753c342d">[email protected]</span></a>, Jeremiah Pam, Senior Insurance Regulatory
Policy Analyst, Federal Insurance Office, (202) 622-7009,
<a href="/cdn-cgi/l/email-protection#713b1403141c1810195f21101c433105031410020403085f161e07"><span class="__cf_email__" data-cfemail="a2e8c7d0c7cfcbc3ca8cf2c3cf90e2d6d0c7c3d1d7d0db8cc5cdd4">[email protected]</span></a>, or Philip Goodman, Senior Insurance
Regulatory Policy Analyst (202) 622-1170, <a href="/cdn-cgi/l/email-protection#3e6e565752574e107951515a535f507e4a4c5b5f4d4b4c4710595148"><span class="__cf_email__" data-cfemail="207048494c49500e674f4f444d414e6054524541535552590e474f56">[email protected]</span></a>.
Persons who have difficulty hearing or speaking may access these
numbers via TTY by calling the toll-free Federal Relay Service at (800)
877-8339.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
I. Background
Cyber insurance is an increasingly significant risk-transfer
mechanism, and the insurance industry has an important
[[Page 59162]]
role to play in strengthening cyber hygiene and building resiliency.\1\
Through underwriting and pricing, insurers can encourage or even
require policyholders to implement strong cybersecurity standards and
controls. More generally, cyber insurance ``can help policyholders
respond to lawsuits and loss, and provide associated mitigation
services, arising in a variety of situations such as data loss, cloud
outage, distributed denial-of-service attacks, malware, and associated
ransomware extortion.'' \2\ Cyber insurance is a growing market, with
approximately $4 billion in direct premiums written in 2020.\3\
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\1\ See, e.g., FIO, Annual Report on the Insurance Industry
(September 2021), 74-78, <a href="https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/311/FIO-2021-Annual-Report-Insurance-Industry.pdf">https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/311/FIO-2021-Annual-Report-Insurance-Industry.pdf</a> (2021 Annual Report).
\2\ FIO, 2021 Annual Report, 74.
\3\ FIO, Effectiveness of the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program
(June 2022), 62, <a href="https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/311/2022%20Program%20Effectiveness%20Report%20%28FINAL%29.pdf">https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/311/2022%20Program%20Effectiveness%20Report%20%28FINAL%29.pdf</a>.
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On June 21, 2022, GAO issued a report, Cyber Insurance: Action
Needed to Assess Potential Federal Response to Catastrophic Attacks
(GAO Report).\4\ The GAO Report emphasizes three points about the
catastrophic risk of cyber incidents. First, cyber incidents impacting
critical infrastructure have increased in frequency and severity. The
GAO Report cites a 2020 study by CISA that includes an analysis of
scenario-based estimates of potential losses from severe cyber
incidents that ranged from $2.8 billion to $1 trillion per event for
the United States.\5\ Second, the GAO Report finds that recent attacks
demonstrate the potential for systemic cyber incidents, citing recent
cyber attacks that ``illustrate that the effects of cyber incidents can
spill over from the initial target to economically linked firms--
thereby magnifying the damage to the economy.'' \6\ Third, the GAO
Report evaluates some of the issues regarding potential risks presented
by cyber incidents to critical infrastructure in the United States.\7\
(Market participants, including insurers and reinsurers, have similarly
highlighted the risks presented by catastrophic and/or systemic cyber
incidents with regard to the cyber insurance market.\8\) The GAO Report
also identified potential issues in creating a federal insurance cyber
backstop within the scope of the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program
(TRIP).\9\
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\4\ GAO, Cyber Insurance: Action Needed to Assess Potential
Federal Response to Catastrophic Attacks (2022), <a href="https://www.gao.gov/products/gao-22-104256">https://www.gao.gov/products/gao-22-104256</a>.
\5\ See GAO Report, 25 (citing CISA, Cost of a Cyber Incident:
Systematic Review and Cross Validation (2020), 14, <a href="https://www.cisa.gov/sites/default/files/publications/CISA-OCE_Cost_of_Cyber_Incidents_Study-FINAL_508.pdf">https://www.cisa.gov/sites/default/files/publications/CISA-OCE_Cost_of_Cyber_Incidents_Study-FINAL_508.pdf</a>).
\6\ See GAO Report, 16 (identifying the May 2021 attack on the
Colonial Pipeline Company, the July 2021 attack on Kaseya, and the
February 2022 attack on Viasat, Inc.).
\7\ See GAO Report, 9-12.
\8\ See, e.g., Chubb, Catastrophic Cyber Risks--A Growing
Concern (2021), 6, <a href="https://www.chubb.com/content/dam/chubb-sites/chubb-com/us-0">https://www.chubb.com/content/dam/chubb-sites/chubb-com/us-0</a>en/global/global/documents/pdf/2021-10.21_17-01-
0286_Cyber_Systemic_Risks_whitepaper.pdf; Carnegie Endowment for
International Peace, Systemic Cyber Risk: A Primer (March 7, 2022),
<a href="https://carnegieendowment.org/2022/03/07/systemic-cyber-risk-primer-pub-86531">https://carnegieendowment.org/2022/03/07/systemic-cyber-risk-primer-pub-86531</a>; Geneva Association and the International Forum of
Terrorism Risk (Re)Insurance Pools, Insuring Hostile Cyber Activity:
In search of sustainable solutions (January 2022), 16-20, <a href="https://www.genevaassociation.org/sites/default/files/research-topics-document-type/pdf_public/cybersolutions_web.pdf">https://www.genevaassociation.org/sites/default/files/research-topics-document-type/pdf_public/cybersolutions_web.pdf</a>.
\9\ The GAO Report was originally mandated in the 2019
reauthorization of the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program, which was
enacted as part of the Further Consolidated Appropriations Act,
2020, Public Law 116-94, section 502, 133 Stat. 2534, 3027 (2019).
See GAO, Cyber Insurance (2022), 3. Specifically, the Terrorism Risk
Insurance Program Reauthorization Act of 2019 directed GAO to
provide Congress with a study and report that shall:
(1) analyze and address--
(A) overall vulnerabilities and potential costs of cyber attacks
to the United States public and private infrastructure that could
result in physical or digital damage;
(B) whether State-defined cyber liability under a property and
casualty line of insurance is adequate coverage for an act of cyber
terrorism;
(C) whether such risks can be adequately priced by the private
market; and
(D) whether the current risk-share system under the Terrorism
Risk Insurance Act of 2002 (15 U.S.C. 6701 note) is appropriate for
a cyber terrorism event; and
(2) set forth recommendations on how Congress could amend the
Terrorism Risk Insurance Act of 2002 (15 U.S.C. 6701 note) to meet
the next generation of cyber threats.
Public Law 116-94 at sec. 502(d).
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The GAO Report concludes that a full evaluation of whether there
should be a federal insurance response in connection with catastrophic
cyber risks would be best addressed by FIO (given its statutory
authorities, including monitoring of the insurance sector and assisting
the Secretary of the Treasury with administration of TRIP) and CISA
(given its expertise in connection with cyber and physical risks to
U.S. infrastructure) in a joint assessment to be provided to
Congress.\10\ Both FIO and CISA accepted the GAO recommendation to
conduct such a joint assessment, as reflected in letters attached to
the GAO Report.
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\10\ GAO Report, 33.
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As a threshold matter, ``insurance responses'' can take many forms.
Most insurance in the United States is provided through private
insurance companies that are regulated at the state level. However,
there are a large number of programs and mechanisms, both at the state
and federal level, where insurance coverage may be provided or mandated
by state or federal requirements. These arrangements have typically
been put into place when the private market has failed to make
available affordable insurance to policyholders. At the state level,
many states have created residual market funds that ensure all
policyholders can obtain coverage (with those obligations spread across
the industry as a whole in some fashion) in areas such as workers'
compensation, automobile, and property insurance.\11\ There are also
several federal programs in this area, including TRIP,\12\ the National
Flood Insurance Program,\13\ the Federal Crop Insurance Program,\14\
and others.
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\11\ See FIO, Annual Report on the Insurance Industry (2021),
66-67, <a href="https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/311/FIO-2021-Annual-Report-Insurance-Industry.pdf">https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/311/FIO-2021-Annual-Report-Insurance-Industry.pdf</a>.
\12\ Terrorism Risk Insurance Act of 2002, Public Law 107-297,
116 Stat. 2322 (2002), as amended, 15 U.S.C. 6701 note. The
operation of TRIP is described in FIO's most recent report
addressing the effectiveness of the Program. See FIO, The
Effectiveness of the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program (June 2022),
5-8, <a href="https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/311/2022%20Program%20Effectiveness%20Report%20%28FINAL%29.pdf">https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/311/2022%20Program%20Effectiveness%20Report%20%28FINAL%29.pdf</a>.
\13\ See generally ``Flood Insurance,'' FEMA, last updated March
9, 2022, <a href="https://www.fema.gov/flood-insurance">https://www.fema.gov/flood-insurance</a>.
\14\ See generally ``Crop Insurance: Keeps America Growing,''
National Crop Insurance Services, <a href="https://cropinsuranceinamerica.org/">https://cropinsuranceinamerica.org/</a>.
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FIO, in association with CISA, seeks public comments as to whether
a federal insurance response to ``catastrophic'' \15\ cyber incidents
may be warranted, as well as how such an insurance response should be
structured and other related issues. FIO intends to assess potential
federal insurance responses that are outside of TRIP, but will also
consider how potential responses could interact with, or be part of,
TRIP. State and federal governments have responded in a variety of ways
to situations in which the private market is unable to provide
sufficient or affordable insurance, and FIO seeks input on a wide range
of options and potential response structures.
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\15\ FIO also seeks information on possible definitions of what
constitutes a ``catastrophic'' cyber incident, but in this context
the term is generally related to the magnitude of the loss, its
dispersion among multiple entities, and the degree of critical
services affected.
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Among other things, FIO is seeking comment on issues concerning the
risks of catastrophic cyber incidents to critical infrastructure,\16\
the potential
[[Page 59163]]
quantification of such risks, the extent of existing private market
insurance protection for such risks, whether a federal insurance
response is warranted, and how such a federal insurance response, if
warranted, should be structured.
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\16\ As noted above, the GAO Report recommends a joint
assessment on the extent to which the risks to the nation's critical
infrastructure from catastrophic cyber attacks, and the potential
financial exposures resulting from these risks, warrant a federal
insurance response. CISA has previously identified those critical
infrastructure sectors whose ``assets, systems, and networks,
whether physical or virtual, are considered so vital to the United
States that their incapacitation or destruction would have a
debilitating effect on security, national economic security,
national public health or safety, or any combination thereof.''
CISA, ``Critical Infrastructure Sectors,'' <a href="https://www.cisa.gov/critical-infrastructure-sectors">https://www.cisa.gov/critical-infrastructure-sectors</a>. FIO also seeks comment (see
Question 8, below) about the potential effects of a federal
insurance response that distinguishes between risks to critical
infrastructure and non-critical infrastructure.
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II. Solicitation for Comments
FIO seeks comments on each of the following topics:
Catastrophic Cyber Incidents
1. Nature of Event. What type of cyber incidents could have a
catastrophic effect on U.S. critical infrastructure? How likely are
such incidents? Are particular sectors of U.S. critical infrastructure
more susceptible to such incidents? How should the federal government
and/or the insurance industry address the potential for cascading,
cross-sector impacts from a cyber incident? What type of potential
``catastrophic'' cyber incident could justify the creation of a federal
insurance response?
2. Measuring Financial and Insured Losses. What data and
methodologies could the federal government and/or the insurance
industry use to predict, measure and assess the financial impact of
catastrophic cyber incidents? What amount of financial losses should be
deemed ``catastrophic'' for purposes of any potential federal insurance
response? How should FIO measure and assess potential insured loss from
catastrophic cyber incidents?
3. Cybersecurity Measures. What cybersecurity measures would most
effectively reduce the likelihood or magnitude of catastrophic cyber
incidents? What steps could the federal government take to potentially
incentivize or require policyholders to adopt these measures?
Potential Federal Insurance Response for Catastrophic Cyber Incidents
4. Insurance Coverage Availability. What insurance coverage is
currently available for catastrophic cyber incidents? What are the
current limitations on coverage for catastrophic cyber incidents? What
rationales have been (or likely would be) used to deny coverage for
catastrophic cyber incidents? Is the private market currently making
available insurance for catastrophic cyber incidents that is desired by
policyholders, in terms of the limits, the scope of coverage, and the
type and size of businesses seeking coverage?
5. Data and Research. What data do you collect that you would be
willing to share with FIO and/or CISA to consider in their assessment
of catastrophic cyber incidents and cyber insurance? What other
information regarding catastrophic cyber incidents and cyber insurance
should FIO and CISA consider? What data should FIO and/or CISA consider
collecting to help inform this assessment and their ongoing work?
6. Federal Insurance Response. Is a federal insurance response for
catastrophic cyber incidents warranted? Why or why not?
7. Potential Structures for Federal Insurance Response. What
structures should be considered by FIO and CISA for a potential federal
insurance response for catastrophic cyber incidents? In your answer,
please address:
<bullet> Potential Models. Should an existing federal insurance
program (e.g., NFIP or TRIP) or other U.S. or international public-
private insurance mechanism serve as a model for, or be modified to
address, catastrophic cyber incidents?
<bullet> Participation. If there were a federal insurance response,
should all cyber insurers be required to participate? Should there be
other conditions surrounding participation, whether for cyber insurance
or policyholders?
<bullet> Scope of Coverage. What should be included in the scope of
coverage? For example, should it be limited to certain critical
infrastructure sectors, size(s) of policyholder permitted to
participate, policyholder retentions or deductibles, any required
coverages, limits, deductibles, etc.? Should coverage be limited to or
differentiate whether a firm is U.S.-based or the infrastructure is
located within the U.S.?
<bullet> Cybersecurity Measures. Should cybersecurity and/or cyber
hygiene measures be required of policyholders under the structure? If
so, which measures should be required?
<bullet> Moral Hazard. What measures should be included to minimize
potential moral hazard risks (e.g., the possibility that either
insurers or policyholders might take undue risks in reliance upon a
federal insurance response or fail to implement cybersecurity
controls)?
<bullet> Risk Sharing. How should any structure involving private
insurance address risk sharing with the government and the private
insurance sector?
<bullet> Reinsurance/Capital Markets. To what extent should
reinsurance arrangements, including capital markets participation, be
included in any potential insurance response? How would a potential
federal insurance response affect the reinsurance and capital markets?
<bullet> Funding. How should the structure be funded (e.g., should
it be pre- or post-funded)? What might the costs be to the federal
government and thus the potential impact on taxpayers?
<bullet> Evaluation/Data Collection. How should any structure and
its program administration be evaluated on an ongoing basis, whether by
policymakers and/or administrators, including whether there should be
reporting requirements to Congress or other authorities (and on what
topics) and data collection (and which information to collect)?
<bullet> Limitations. What catastrophic risk exposures might
insurers be unwilling to insure even if a federal insurance response
supporting such coverage were adopted? Should limitations exist between
cyber and physical incidents (e.g., causes or impacts)?
8. Effects on Cyber Insurance Market. How might a federal insurance
response affect the availability and affordability of cyber insurance
across the entire insurance market? What would be the effect on any
part of the cyber insurance market that would remain outside the
parameters of a federal insurance response?
Other
9. Please provide any additional comments or information on any
other issues or topics relating to cyber insurance and catastrophic
cyber incidents.
Steven E. Seitz,
Director, Federal Insurance Office.
[FR Doc. 2022-21133 Filed 9-28-22; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4810-AK-P
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